MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Betting |
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UFC Betting: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 6 (35%) Losing Events: 11 (65%)
Average Staked Per Event: 37.18 units Most Staked On One Event: 72.00 units Best Event: 28.73 units Worst Event: -26.81 units Average Event: -3.24 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 34.18 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -47.45 |
UFC Betting: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2020 |
35 |
-23.0 |
-66% |
-23.0 / 35 (-66%) |
|
|
/ 2 (0%) |
-11.48 |
2019 |
597 |
-32.2 |
-5% |
-32.2 / 597 (-5%) |
|
|
6 / 9 (40%) |
-2.15 |
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UFC Betting: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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UFC Betting: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
632 |
-55.1 |
-9% |
-55.1 / 632 (-9%) |
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|
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UFC Betting: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
10 (8%) |
6 |
60 % |
39.00 |
-7.51 |
-0.75 |
-19% |
Slight Favorites |
3 (2%) |
1 |
33 % |
9.00 |
-3.30 |
-1.10 |
-37% |
Slight Underdogs |
86 (67%) |
29 |
34 % |
433.00 |
-84.65 |
-0.98 |
-20% |
Big Underdogs |
30 (23%) |
10 |
33 % |
151.00 |
40.32 |
1.34 |
27% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
15 (12%) |
3 |
20 % |
58.00 |
-20.43 |
-1.36 |
-35% |
Co-Main Event |
10 (8%) |
7 |
70 % |
52.00 |
50.62 |
5.06 |
97% |
Position 3-5 |
32 (25%) |
14 |
44 % |
151.00 |
30.21 |
0.94 |
20% |
6+ (Undercard) |
72 (56%) |
22 |
31 % |
371.00 |
-115.54 |
-1.60 |
-31% |
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UFC Betting: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (7%) |
2 |
22 % |
45.00 |
-19.98 |
-2.22 |
-44% |
Light Heavy |
10 (8%) |
5 |
50 % |
47.00 |
18.95 |
1.90 |
40% |
Middleweight |
12 (9%) |
7 |
58 % |
50.00 |
29.10 |
2.42 |
58% |
Welterweight |
26 (20%) |
9 |
35 % |
124.00 |
-13.37 |
-0.51 |
-11% |
Lightweight |
21 (16%) |
7 |
33 % |
126.00 |
-11.56 |
-0.55 |
-9% |
Featherweight |
12 (9%) |
4 |
33 % |
45.00 |
-7.06 |
-0.59 |
-16% |
Bantamweight |
14 (11%) |
4 |
29 % |
71.00 |
-25.50 |
-1.82 |
-36% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
|
0 % |
11.00 |
-11.00 |
-5.50 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
23 (18%) |
8 |
35 % |
113.00 |
-14.72 |
-0.64 |
-13% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
1.05 |
1.05 |
21% |
Bantamweight |
7 (5%) |
3 |
43 % |
26.00 |
17.59 |
2.51 |
68% |
Flyweight |
5 (4%) |
1 |
20 % |
29.00 |
-11.29 |
-2.26 |
-39% |
Strawweight |
10 (8%) |
3 |
30 % |
53.00 |
-22.07 |
-2.21 |
-42% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail UFC Betting's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
31st Aug |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
31 |
9.5 |
30% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,094.50 |
7th Sep |
UFC 242 |
25 |
22.6 |
90% |
|
$10.95 |
$1,094.50 |
$1,341.86 |
14th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 158 |
45 |
-14.6 |
-32% |
|
$13.42 |
$1,341.86 |
$1,145.95 |
21st Sep |
UFC Fight Night 159 |
44 |
5.4 |
12% |
|
$11.46 |
$1,145.95 |
$1,208.40 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
58 |
28.7 |
50% |
$5 |
$12.08 |
$1,208.40 |
$1,550.57 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
63 |
-26.8 |
-43% |
$5 |
$15.51 |
$1,550.57 |
$1,129.86 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
72 |
-9.7 |
-13% |
$5 |
$11.30 |
$1,129.86 |
$1,015.49 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
56 |
14.1 |
25% |
$5 |
$10.15 |
$1,015.49 |
$1,154.18 |
26th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 162 |
49 |
-12.4 |
-25% |
$5 |
$11.54 |
$1,154.18 |
$1,006.63 |
2nd Nov |
UFC 244 |
36 |
-11.3 |
-31% |
$5 |
$10.07 |
$1,006.63 |
$888.38 |
9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 163 |
32 |
-7.2 |
-23% |
$5 |
$8.88 |
$888.38 |
$818.98 |
16th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 164 |
28 |
-7.6 |
-27% |
$5 |
$8.19 |
$818.98 |
$751.74 |
7th Dec |
UFC on ESPN 7 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$7.52 |
$751.74 |
$679.08 |
15th Dec |
UFC 245 |
31 |
4.0 |
13% |
$5 |
$6.79 |
$679.08 |
$701.11 |
21st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 165 |
18 |
-18.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.01 |
$701.11 |
$574.91 |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
19 |
-19.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$5.75 |
$574.91 |
$460.68 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
16 |
-4.0 |
-25% |
|
$4.61 |
$460.68 |
$442.43 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -55.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
UFC Betting: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jan '20 |
Michael Chiesa |
Rafael dos Anjos |
3.01 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Dec '19 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Max Holloway |
2.64 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Dec '19 |
Omari Akhmedov |
Ian Heinisch |
2.33 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
4. |
Dec '19 |
Jessica Eye |
Viviane Araujo |
2.53 |
7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Dec '19 |
Irene Aldana |
Ketlen Vieira |
2.46 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
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|
6. |
Nov '19 |
Charles Oliveira |
Jared Gordon |
1.28 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:26) |
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7. |
Nov '19 |
Wellington Turman |
Markus Perez |
2.13 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Nov '19 |
Randy Brown |
Warlley Alves |
2.01 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (1:22) |
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9. |
Nov '19 |
Davey Grant |
Grigory Popov |
2.50 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Nov '19 |
Ed Herman |
Khadis Ibragimov |
2.45 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Nov '19 |
Kevin Lee |
Gregor Gillespie |
2.35 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:47) |
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|
12. |
Nov '19 |
Corey Anderson |
Johnny Walker |
2.60 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:7) |
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13. |
Oct '19 |
Stevie Ray |
Michael Johnson |
3.45 |
7 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Oct '19 |
Demian Maia |
Ben Askren |
2.50 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (3:54) |
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15. |
Oct '19 |
Randy Costa |
Boston Salmon |
2.38 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:15) |
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16. |
Oct '19 |
Sean Woodson |
Kyle Bochniak |
2.15 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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17. |
Oct '19 |
Darren Stewart |
Deron Winn |
2.10 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
18. |
Oct '19 |
Charles Rosa |
Manny Bermudez |
2.40 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:46) |
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19. |
Oct '19 |
Joe Lauzon |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:33) |
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20. |
Oct '19 |
Brendan Allen |
Kevin Holland |
2.50 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:38) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jan '20 |
Darko Stosic |
Jamahal Hill |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Jan '20 |
Hannah Cifers |
Angela Hill |
2.48 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Jan '20 |
Junior dos Santos |
Curtis Blaydes |
3.00 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Jan '20 |
Donald Cerrone |
Conor McGregor |
3.05 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:40) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jan '20 |
Justin Ledet |
Aleksa Camur |
2.45 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jan '20 |
Maurice Greene |
Aleksei Oleinik |
2.10 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:38) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jan '20 |
Raquel Pennington |
Holly Holm |
2.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jan '20 |
Anthony Pettis |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
2.87 |
6 |
Sub, R2 (1:46) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Dec '19 |
Dong Hyun Ma |
Omar Morales |
2.62 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Dec '19 |
Said Nurmagomedov |
Raoni Barcelos |
2.37 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Dec '19 |
Matt Schnell |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.82 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (4:17) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Dec '19 |
Frankie Edgar |
Chan Sung Jung |
2.53 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '19 |
Colby Covington |
Kamaru Usman |
2.66 |
3 |
TKO, R5 (4:10) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '19 |
Jose Aldo |
Marlon Moraes |
2.64 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Dec '19 |
Ben Saunders |
Matt Brown |
4.04 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:55) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '19 |
Urijah Faber |
Petr Yan |
4.94 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (0:43) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '19 |
Thiago Alves |
Tim Means |
3.26 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:38) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Dec '19 |
Daniel Teymur |
Chase Hooper |
2.08 |
7 |
TKO, R1 (4:34) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Dec '19 |
Yana Santos |
Aspen Ladd |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Dec '19 |
Ricky Simon |
Rob Font |
2.25 |
7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
UFC Betting: Progress Chart |
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