MMA Handicapper Stats: TPL |
|
TPL : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 32 (52%) Losing Events: 29 (48%)
Average Staked Per Event: 2.51 units Most Staked On One Event: 8.16 units Best Event: 4.72 units Worst Event: -6.22 units Average Event: 0.14 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 10.20 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -6.22 |
TPL : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
9.94 |
-3.3 |
-33% |
|
-3.3 / 9.94 (-33%) |
|
1 / 4 (20%) |
-0.65 |
2020 |
61.36 |
5.9 |
10% |
1.2 / 45.49 (3%) |
4.6 / 15.87 (29%) |
|
13 / 16 (45%) |
0.20 |
2019 |
81.79 |
6.0 |
7% |
8.0 / 75.48 (11%) |
0.7 / 1.66 (40%) |
-2.7 / 4.65 (-57%) |
18 / 9 (67%) |
0.22 |
|
TPL : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
TPL : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
133.67 |
4.2 |
3% |
5.4 / 102.9 (5%) |
2.0 / 27.47 (7%) |
-3.3 / 3.3 (-100%) |
Bellator |
6.76 |
2.9 |
42% |
2.2 / 5.41 (41%) |
|
0.6 / 1.35 (47%) |
PFL |
0.51 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
-0.5 / 0.51 (-100%) |
|
|
Other |
12.15 |
2.1 |
17% |
2.1 / 12.15 (17%) |
|
|
|
TPL : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
10 (12%) |
6 |
60 % |
22.22 |
-1.80 |
-0.18 |
-8% |
Slight Favorites |
31 (37%) |
15 |
48 % |
53.16 |
-7.04 |
-0.23 |
-13% |
Slight Underdogs |
30 (36%) |
17 |
57 % |
38.25 |
10.66 |
0.36 |
28% |
Big Underdogs |
12 (14%) |
6 |
50 % |
7.34 |
7.46 |
0.62 |
102% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
13 (16%) |
6 |
46 % |
15.38 |
-2.84 |
-0.22 |
-18% |
Co-Main Event |
12 (14%) |
7 |
58 % |
16.95 |
1.85 |
0.15 |
11% |
Position 3-5 |
20 (24%) |
7 |
35 % |
22.31 |
-2.52 |
-0.13 |
-11% |
6+ (Undercard) |
38 (46%) |
24 |
63 % |
66.33 |
12.79 |
0.34 |
19% |
|
TPL : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (7%) |
5 |
83 % |
8.03 |
4.53 |
0.76 |
56% |
Light Heavy |
7 (8%) |
3 |
43 % |
9.19 |
1.07 |
0.15 |
12% |
Middleweight |
14 (17%) |
8 |
57 % |
21.22 |
5.13 |
0.37 |
24% |
Welterweight |
9 (11%) |
8 |
89 % |
15.87 |
9.02 |
1.00 |
57% |
Lightweight |
15 (18%) |
3 |
20 % |
14.51 |
-6.72 |
-0.45 |
-46% |
Featherweight |
9 (11%) |
3 |
33 % |
13.75 |
-7.18 |
-0.80 |
-52% |
Bantamweight |
10 (12%) |
6 |
60 % |
16.37 |
4.81 |
0.48 |
29% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
3.20 |
1.51 |
0.76 |
47% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
11 (13%) |
6 |
55 % |
18.83 |
-2.90 |
-0.26 |
-15% |
Bantamweight |
3 (4%) |
3 |
100 % |
4.62 |
3.39 |
1.13 |
73% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
5.51 |
-0.35 |
-0.09 |
-6% |
Strawweight |
4 (5%) |
1 |
25 % |
8.70 |
-5.93 |
-1.48 |
-68% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
5 (100%) |
3 |
60 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
5 |
3 |
60 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
50-65% |
2 (7%) |
0 |
0 % |
35-50% |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
<35% chance |
22 (81%) |
5 |
23 % |
|
27 |
8 |
30 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail TPL 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Aug |
DWCS 24 |
3 |
0.6 |
20% |
$100 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$906.00 |
17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
8 |
4.0 |
50% |
$100 |
$9.06 |
$906.00 |
$841.96 |
23rd Aug |
Combate 42 |
2.38 |
1.6 |
66% |
$100 |
$8.42 |
$841.96 |
$755.26 |
24th Aug |
Bellator 225 |
1.05 |
1.1 |
106% |
$100 |
$7.55 |
$755.26 |
$663.67 |
31st Aug |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
6.98 |
2.9 |
42% |
$100 |
$6.64 |
$663.67 |
$583.17 |
7th Sep |
UFC 242 |
6.22 |
-6.2 |
-100% |
$100 |
$5.83 |
$583.17 |
$446.89 |
8th Sep |
Bellator 226 |
0.55 |
1.6 |
285% |
$100 |
$4.47 |
$446.89 |
$353.90 |
14th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 158 |
5.02 |
-0.7 |
-13% |
$100 |
$3.54 |
$353.90 |
$251.55 |
20th Sep |
Combate 43 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
125% |
$100 |
$2.52 |
$251.55 |
$153.75 |
21st Sep |
UFC Fight Night 159 |
1.05 |
0.3 |
31% |
$100 |
$1.54 |
$153.75 |
$54.25 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
8.16 |
4.7 |
58% |
$100 |
$0.54 |
$54.25 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
3.32 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
$100 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$866.80 |
12th Oct |
Combate 46 |
1.05 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
$100 |
$8.67 |
$866.80 |
$757.70 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
3.81 |
1.9 |
49% |
$100 |
$7.58 |
$757.70 |
$671.73 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
6.02 |
-3.5 |
-58% |
$100 |
$6.72 |
$671.73 |
$548.18 |
26th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 162 |
4.19 |
0.5 |
11% |
$100 |
$5.48 |
$548.18 |
$450.79 |
2nd Nov |
UFC 244 |
3.71 |
-0.7 |
-20% |
$100 |
$4.51 |
$450.79 |
$347.49 |
9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 163 |
3 |
1.3 |
45% |
$100 |
$3.47 |
$347.49 |
$252.18 |
14th Nov |
Bellator 234 |
0.52 |
1.0 |
200% |
$100 |
$2.52 |
$252.18 |
$154.80 |
16th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 164 |
1.05 |
1.2 |
110% |
$100 |
$1.55 |
$154.80 |
$56.59 |
22nd Nov |
Cage Warriors 111 |
0.43 |
0.8 |
180% |
$100 |
$0.57 |
$56.59 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
23rd Nov |
Bellator London |
0.7 |
-0.7 |
-100% |
$100 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$893.00 |
7th Dec |
UFC on ESPN 7 |
3.21 |
-0.3 |
-10% |
$100 |
$8.93 |
$893.00 |
$790.27 |
15th Dec |
UFC 245 |
4.28 |
-4.3 |
-100% |
$100 |
$7.90 |
$790.27 |
$656.45 |
21st Dec |
Bellator STT |
1.02 |
0.8 |
76% |
$100 |
$6.56 |
$656.45 |
$561.54 |
21st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 165 |
1.02 |
1.1 |
105% |
$100 |
$5.62 |
$561.54 |
$467.55 |
22nd Dec |
Bellator Hawaii |
1.35 |
0.6 |
47% |
$100 |
$4.68 |
$467.55 |
$370.52 |
1st Jan |
PFL 2019: Week 10 |
0.51 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
$100 |
$3.71 |
$370.52 |
$268.63 |
10th Jan |
One FC - New Tomorrow |
0.52 |
1.3 |
245% |
$100 |
$2.69 |
$268.63 |
$172.05 |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
1.04 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$1.72 |
$172.05 |
$70.26 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
3.01 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
$100 |
$0.70 |
$70.26 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
4.15 |
-4.2 |
-100% |
$100 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$858.50 |
15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
4.21 |
3.5 |
83% |
$100 |
$8.59 |
$858.50 |
$788.32 |
21st Feb |
Bellator 239 |
0.49 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
$100 |
$7.88 |
$788.32 |
$684.46 |
29th Feb |
Combate 56 |
1.07 |
1.1 |
100% |
$100 |
$6.84 |
$684.46 |
$591.78 |
29th Feb |
UFC Fight Night |
1.56 |
-1.6 |
-100% |
$100 |
$5.92 |
$591.78 |
$482.55 |
8th Mar |
UFC 248 |
3.88 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
$100 |
$4.83 |
$482.55 |
$381.55 |
14th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
2.09 |
0.3 |
12% |
$100 |
$3.82 |
$381.55 |
$282.51 |
10th May |
UFC 249 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$2.83 |
$282.51 |
$179.68 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
1.25 |
0.9 |
69% |
$100 |
$1.80 |
$179.68 |
$81.23 |
16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
3.04 |
0.2 |
5% |
$100 |
$0.81 |
$81.23 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
2.83 |
3.8 |
134% |
$100 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$937.80 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
3.85 |
1.9 |
49% |
$100 |
$9.38 |
$937.80 |
$855.48 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
185% |
$100 |
$8.55 |
$855.48 |
$776.05 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
5.49 |
0.9 |
16% |
$100 |
$7.76 |
$776.05 |
$682.73 |
26th Aug |
DWCS 30 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$6.83 |
$682.73 |
$575.90 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$5.76 |
$575.90 |
$470.14 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
1 |
0.5 |
50% |
$100 |
$4.70 |
$470.14 |
$372.49 |
10th Oct |
KSW 55 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$3.72 |
$372.49 |
$265.04 |
15th Oct |
Bellator 249 |
1.08 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
$100 |
$2.65 |
$265.04 |
$162.18 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
$100 |
$1.62 |
$162.18 |
$61.37 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
104% |
$100 |
$0.61 |
$61.37 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$890.00 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
4.75 |
-0.5 |
-9% |
$100 |
$8.90 |
$890.00 |
$785.99 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
2.24 |
1.7 |
74% |
$100 |
$7.86 |
$785.99 |
$699.02 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$6.99 |
$699.02 |
$592.03 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
1.94 |
-1.9 |
-100% |
$100 |
$5.92 |
$592.03 |
$480.55 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$4.81 |
$480.55 |
$375.74 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$3.76 |
$375.74 |
$271.98 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$100 |
$2.72 |
$271.98 |
$169.27 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
5 |
1.7 |
34% |
$100 |
$1.69 |
$169.27 |
$72.11 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -592.79% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
TPL : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Nov '20 |
Mauricio Rua |
Paul Craig |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:36) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Oct '20 |
Jacob Malkoun |
Phil Hawes |
3.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:18) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Oct '20 |
Ricky Bandejas |
Leandro Higo |
1.62 |
1.08 |
Sub, R2 (2:32) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '20 |
Scott Askham |
Mamed Khalidov |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Aug '20 |
Jhonoven Pati |
Jamie Pickett |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Aug '20 |
Scott Holtzman |
Beneil Dariush |
2.40 |
1.83 |
TKO, R1 (4:38) |
No |
|
|
7. |
May '20 |
Antonina Shevchenko |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.77 |
0.8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
May '20 |
Edson Barboza |
Dan Ige |
1.76 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '20 |
Kevin Lee |
Charles Oliveira |
1.77 |
1.05 |
Sub, R3 (0:28) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '20 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Weili Zhang |
2.30 |
2.6 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '20 |
Tom Breese |
Brendan Allen |
1.83 |
1.56 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Feb '20 |
Brandon Girtz |
Myles Jury |
3.19 |
0.49 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '20 |
Andrea Lee |
Lauren Murphy |
1.30 |
2.09 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '20 |
Mirsad Bektic |
Dan Ige |
1.90 |
2.06 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jan '20 |
Justin Ledet |
Aleksa Camur |
2.10 |
1.04 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jan '20 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Natan Schulte |
3.25 |
0.51 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '19 |
Alistair Overeem |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
1.95 |
1.07 |
TKO, R5 (4:56) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Dec '19 |
Max Holloway |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.61 |
3.21 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Dec '19 |
Daniel Teymur |
Chase Hooper |
2.10 |
1.07 |
TKO, R1 (4:34) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Nov '19 |
Terry Brazier |
Soren Bak |
2.95 |
0.35 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
TPL : Progress Chart |
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