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MMA Handicapper Stats: Markus Ericsen

Markus Ericsen (MarkusEricsen)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	28 (45%)	Right	9 (36%)	Right	19 (51%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	34 (55%)	Wrong	16 (64%)	Wrong	18 (49%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	2.11	Avg Odds	2.16	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	80.4	Units Bet	35.4	Units Bet	45.1	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	1.30	Avg Bet	1.41	Avg Bet	1.22	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-4.74	Units Profit	-12.95	Units Profit	8.20	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-37%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	nan%

Markus Ericsen: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 170	10.5	-8.8	-84%	-3.2 / 4.95 (-65%)	-5.6 / 5.55 (-100%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	18.81	5.2	28%	-0.3 / 7.37 (-4%)	5.5 / 11.44 (48%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	7.61	-0.0	-0%	-0.5 / 7 (-7%)	0.5 / 0.61 (82%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	10.09	0.4	4%	-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)	3.8 / 6.69 (57%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	11.04	-3.0	-27%	-2.4 / 2.35 (-100%)	-0.6 / 8.69 (-7%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	1.7	-0.1	-4%	-0.1 / 1.7 (-4%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	3.2	-3.2	-100%	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	4.08	-3.2	-79%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.7 / 2.58 (-66%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	1.4	0.2	15%	0.2 / 1.4 (15%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	1	0.7	71%	0.7 / 1 (71%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	2.5	-2.5	-100%		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	8.5	9.5	112%	0.7 / 1.5 (47%)	8.8 / 7 (126%)

Winning Events: 5 (42%)
Losing Events: 7 (58%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.70 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.81 units
Best Event: 9.49 units
Worst Event: -8.77 units
Average Event: -0.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.46

Markus Ericsen: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	67.03	-12.7	-19%	-14.6 / 31.47 (-46%)	1.9 / 35.56 (5%)		2 / 6 (25%)	-1.58
2019	13.4	7.9	59%	1.6 / 3.9 (42%)	6.3 / 9.5 (66%)		3 / 1 (75%)	1.98

Markus Ericsen: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Markus Ericsen: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	80.43	-4.7	-6%	-12.9 / 35.37 (-37%)	8.2 / 45.06 (18%)

Markus Ericsen: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.70	0.50	0.50	29%
Slight Favorites	10 (40%)	2	20 %	19.12	-14.74	-1.47	-77%
Slight Underdogs	10 (40%)	5	50 %	10.85	3.36	0.34	31%
Big Underdogs	4 (16%)	1	25 %	3.70	-2.07	-0.52	-56%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (12%)	0	0 %	8.20	-8.20	-2.73	-100%
Co-Main Event	5 (20%)	1	20 %	6.25	-4.05	-0.81	-65%
Position 3-5	7 (28%)	4	57 %	6.12	1.61	0.23	26%
6+ (Undercard)	10 (40%)	4	40 %	14.80	-2.31	-0.23	-16%

Markus Ericsen: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	2.70	0.64	0.21	24%
Light Heavy	3 (12%)	1	33 %	4.65	-2.92	-0.97	-63%
Middleweight	4 (16%)	2	50 %	5.30	3.38	0.85	64%
Welterweight	3 (12%)	1	33 %	3.85	-1.65	-0.55	-43%
Lightweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	5.87	-3.20	-1.60	-55%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.70	0.50	0.50	29%
Flyweight	2 (8%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-2.00	-100%

Women's Fights	7 (28%)	1	14 %	7.30	-5.69	-0.81	-78%
Bantamweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	1.10	0.51	0.25	46%
Flyweight	2 (8%)		0 %	3.70	-3.70	-1.85	-100%
Strawweight	3 (12%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-0.83	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (16%)	4	67 %
50-65%	16 (43%)	10	63 %
35-50%	6 (16%)	2	33 %
<35% chance	9 (24%)	3	33 %
	37	19	51 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (8%)	3	100 %	1.78	1.80	1.74	2.3 (78%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.62	1.62	1.62	-1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	7 (19%)	4	57 %	2.02	3.75	1.54	2.7 (38%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (5%)	1	50 %	2.09	2.30	1.91	-0.1 (-5%)
Fight Starts Round X	12 (32%)	8	67 %	1.64	2.45	1.43	1.9 (16%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.87	1.87	1.87	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	2 (5%)	1	50 %	6.44	7.50	5.65	3.7 (183%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (8%)	1	33 %	5.04	12.00	2.90	-0.1 (-3%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (8%)	0	0 %	5.47	13.85	2.63	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (3%)	0	0 %	2.55	2.55	2.55	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	2 (5%)	1	50 %	2.88	17.00	1.57	-0.4 (-21%)
	37	19	51 %	2.16			3.9 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Markus Ericsen's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
17th Aug	UFC 241	8.5	9.5	112%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,094.93
5th Oct	UFC 243	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.95	$1,094.93	$1,067.56
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	1	0.7	71%		$10.68	$1,067.56	$1,075.19
15th Dec	UFC 245	1.4	0.2	15%		$10.75	$1,075.19	$1,077.42
18th Jan	UFC 246	4.08	-3.2	-79%		$10.77	$1,077.42	$1,042.84
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	3.2	-3.2	-100%		$10.43	$1,042.84	$1,009.47
9th Feb	UFC 247	1.7	-0.1	-4%		$10.09	$1,009.47	$1,008.71
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	11.04	-3.0	-27%		$10.09	$1,008.71	$978.71
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	10.09	0.4	4%		$9.79	$978.71	$982.63
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	7.61	-0.0	-0%		$9.83	$982.63	$982.43
8th Mar	UFC 248	18.81	5.2	28%		$9.82	$982.43	$1,033.47
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 170	10.5	-8.8	-84%		$10.33	$1,033.47	$942.78

ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Markus Ericsen: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '20	Nikita Krylov	Johnny Walker	2.30	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '20	Beneil Dariush	Drakkar Klose	1.60	1.67	TKO, R2 (1:0)
3.	Mar '20	Gerald Meerschaert	Deron Winn	2.20	1	Sub, R3 (2:13)
4.	Mar '20	Sean O'Malley	Jose Quinonez	1.29	1.7	TKO, R1 (2:2)
5.	Feb '20	Brendan Allen	Tom Breese	2.16	3	TKO, R1 (4:47)
6.	Feb '20	Justin Tafa	Juan Adams	3.25	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:59)
7.	Dec '19	Irene Aldana	Ketlen Vieira	2.68	0.6	TKO, R1 (4:51)
8.	Dec '19	Ben Rothwell	Stefan Struve	1.71	1	TKO, R2 (4:57)
9.	Aug '19	Nate Diaz	Anthony Pettis	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '20	Kevin Lee	Charles Oliveira	1.71	4.2	Sub, R3 (0:28)	No
2.	Mar '20	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.60	0.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '20	Austin Hubbard	Mark O. Madsen	3.20	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '20	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.60	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '20	Joseph Benavidez	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.80	1	TKO, R2 (1:54)	No
6.	Feb '20	Joseph Benavidez	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.80	3	TKO, R2 (1:54)	No
7.	Feb '20	Loma Lookboonmee	Angela Hill	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '20	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Jim Crute	1.83	2.4	Sub, R1 (3:29)	No
9.	Feb '20	Mara Romero Borella	Montana De La Rosa	2.60	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '20	Michel Pereira	Diego Sanchez	1.65	1.35		No
11.	Feb '20	Shanna Young	Macy Chiasson	7.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Feb '20	Ilir Latifi	Derrick Lewis	2.86	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jan '20	Lucie Pudilova	Justine Kish	1.63	3.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jan '20	Justin Ledet	Aleksa Camur	2.05	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Dec '19	Oskar Piechota	Punahele Soriano	1.91	0.8	TKO, R1 (3:17)	No
16.	Aug '19	Yoel Romero	Paulo Costa	1.77	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Markus Ericsen: Progress Chart

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