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MMA Handicapper Stats: DFS BY THE NUMBERS

DFS BY THE NUMBERS (bigbrady83)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - DFS BY THE NUMBERS

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 94 (52%) Right 30 (53%) Right 40 (48%) Right 24 (60%)
Wrong 87 (48%) Wrong 27 (47%) Wrong 44 (52%) Wrong 16 (40%)
Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 2.39 Avg Odds 1.89
Units Bet 255.8 Units Bet 91.7 Units Bet 87.8 Units Bet 76.4
Avg Bet 1.41 Avg Bet 1.61 Avg Bet 1.04 Avg Bet 1.91
Units Profit 24.05 Units Profit -0.31 Units Profit 13.60 Units Profit 10.76
ROI % 9% ROI % -0% ROI % 15% ROI % 14%
View Handicapper's Profile

DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 4 -4.0 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 7 -1.6 -22% -2.0 / 4.5 (-44%) 0.4 / 2.5 (18%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 5.2 -2.3 -44% -0.3 / 3.2 (-9%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 10.4 3.7 35% 2.3 / 2.2 (102%) 2.6 / 4.7 (56%) -1.2 / 3.5 (-34%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 7 -4.5 -64% 0.0 / 2.5 (2%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 8.85 1.3 15% 2.2 / 3.4 (65%) 1.1 / 3.45 (32%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 4 -0.7 -19% -0.7 / 4 (-19%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 6.2 -1.4 -23% -1.2 / 3.5 (-36%) -0.2 / 2.7 (-7%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 5.9 -1.4 -24% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) -0.5 / 2.6 (-21%) 0.4 / 2 (22%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 5.3 5.3 100% 1.1 / 2 (57%) 4.1 / 3.3 (126%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 6.5 3.9 59% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 5.4 / 5 (107%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 6.5 -1.3 -20% 1.2 / 1 (120%) -2.5 / 5.5 (-45%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 6.45 -3.8 -59% -0.1 / 2.75 (-5%) -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
11th Nov '20 DWCS 35 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 5.2 2.9 55% 2.4 / 2.2 (110%) 0.5 / 3 (16%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 8 0.4 4% 0.1 / 2.5 (3%) -1.0 / 3.5 (-29%) 1.3 / 2 (64%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 8.65 5.8 67% 1.4 / 1 (135%) 2.0 / 3.65 (55%) 2.4 / 4 (61%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 5.5 -5.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 9.25 1.5 16% 0.4 / 5.5 (7%) 1.0 / 1.25 (80%) 0.1 / 2.5 (4%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 5 1.8 37% 2.3 / 2.5 (92%) -0.5 / 2.5 (-18%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 7.5 -2.4 -32% 1.1 / 1 (105%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.9 / 5 (-39%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 7.7 -2.6 -33% 1.1 / 2 (54%) -1.4 / 3.5 (-41%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 4.2 3.7 89% 3.7 / 4.2 (89%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 3.5 -1.1 -31% -1.1 / 3.5 (-31%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 5 2.9 58% 1.3 / 2.5 (50%) 1.7 / 2.5 (67%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 3.5 1.0 28% 2.0 / 2.5 (79%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 7.25 1.3 17% 0.0 / 2.5 (0%) 1.3 / 4.75 (27%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 6.5 4.2 65% 2.5 / 2.5 (98%) -0.0 / 2 (-2%) 1.8 / 2 (92%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 5.5 -2.4 -44% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 0.1 / 3 (2%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 12 3.1 25% -1.9 / 6.5 (-29%) 3.0 / 3.5 (85%) 2.0 / 2 (100%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 11.5 1.2 10% -2.8 / 6 (-47%) 4.0 / 5.5 (73%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 10.75 7.2 67% 0.2 / 3.25 (7%) 1.9 / 2 (95%) 5.1 / 5.5 (92%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 8.75 2.6 29% 2.6 / 8.75 (29%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 10.25 5.1 50% 2.3 / 5 (45%) -0.0 / 2.25 (-0%) 2.9 / 3 (96%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 6 -3.0 -50% -0.5 / 3.5 (-14%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 5.5 -1.4 -25% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 2.1 / 2 (107%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 5 4.9 98% 2.6 / 2.5 (104%) 2.3 / 2.5 (93%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 2 1.7 83% 1.7 / 2 (83%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 3.5 3.0 87% 3.0 / 3.5 (87%)


Winning Events: 22 (54%)
Losing Events: 19 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.00 units
Best Event: 7.19 units
Worst Event: -5.50 units
Average Event: 0.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 19.15
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -7.86

DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 46.45 -8.1 -17% 2.0 / 10.6 (19%) -2.8 / 23.35 (-12%) -7.3 / 12.5 (-58%) 2 / 5 (29%) -1.15
2020 200.85 30.4 15% -2.3 / 81.05 (-3%) 16.4 / 64.4 (25%) 16.3 / 55.4 (29%) 18 / 13 (58%) 0.98
2019 8.5 1.7 20% 1.7 / 8.5 (20%) 2 / 1 (67%) 0.57

DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 250.8 29.1 12% 1.7 / 89.65 (2%) 13.6 / 87.75 (15%) 13.8 / 73.4 (19%)
Other 5 -5.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (5%) 2 67 % 13.00 1.65 0.55 13%
Slight Favorites 31 (54%) 16 52 % 54.40 -6.91 -0.22 -13%
Slight Underdogs 19 (33%) 11 58 % 20.25 5.75 0.30 28%
Big Underdogs 4 (7%) 1 25 % 4.00 -0.80 -0.20 -20%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (12%) 3 43 % 16.00 -0.72 -0.10 -4%
Co-Main Event 4 (7%) 2 50 % 10.50 -0.47 -0.12 -4%
Position 3-5 18 (32%) 9 50 % 27.45 -4.23 -0.23 -15%
6+ (Undercard) 28 (49%) 16 57 % 37.70 5.10 0.18 14%

DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 4.00 1.00 0.33 25%
Light Heavy 3 (5%) 2 67 % 4.90 0.64 0.21 13%
Middleweight 9 (16%) 5 56 % 12.50 1.99 0.22 16%
Welterweight 5 (9%) 4 80 % 5.50 3.77 0.75 69%
Lightweight 8 (14%) 2 25 % 16.00 -4.80 -0.60 -30%
Featherweight 8 (14%) 4 50 % 15.30 0.06 0.01 0%
Bantamweight 7 (12%) 5 71 % 10.50 4.08 0.58 39%
Flyweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 8.70 -6.50 -1.62 -75%
               
Women's Fights 10 (18%) 5 50 % 14.25 -0.55 -0.05 -4%
Flyweight 6 (11%) 4 67 % 7.75 3.30 0.55 43%
Strawweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 6.50 -3.85 -0.96 -59%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 67 (94%) 51 76 %
Slight Favorites 4 (6%) 4 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
71 55 77 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (12%) 8 67 %
50-65% 36 (37%) 25 69 %
35-50% 25 (26%) 9 36 %
<35% chance 25 (26%) 6 24 %
98 48 49 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (4%) 3 75 % 1.70 1.95Pick was correct 1.59Pick was incorrect 1.3 (32%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 18 (18%) 12 67 % 1.92 2.90Pick was correct 1.65Pick was correct 4.9 (27%)
Goes to Decision 2 (2%) 1 50 % 1.94 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.85Pick was correct -0.2 (-8%)
Does not go to Decision 15 (15%) 9 60 % 1.68 2.55Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct 0.3 (2%)
X Wins by KO 9 (9%) 2 22 % 3.91 8.50Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was correct -3.3 (-37%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (5%) 0 0 % 6.22 17.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (10%) 4 40 % 2.36 5.60Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.6 (16%)
X Wins Inside Distance 27 (28%) 15 56 % 1.84 4.00Pick was correct 1.27Pick was incorrect 3.9 (14%)
X Wins in Round X 7 (7%) 1 14 % 7.75 19.00Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-29%)
Others 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.44 1.44Pick was correct 1.44Pick was correct 0.4 (44%)
98 48 49 % 2.16     1.9 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail DFS BY THE NUMBERS's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 3.5 3.0 87% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,025.38
7th Aug DWCS 23 3 -3.0 -100% $10.25 $1,025.38 $994.62
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 2 1.7 83% $9.95 $994.62 $1,011.19
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 5 4.9 98% $10.11 $1,011.19 $1,060.95
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 5.5 -1.4 -25% $10.61 $1,060.95 $1,046.57
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 6 -3.0 -50% $10.47 $1,046.57 $1,015.18
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 10.25 5.1 50% $10.15 $1,015.18 $1,067.37
11th Jul UFC 251 8.75 2.6 29% $10.67 $1,067.37 $1,094.69
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 10.75 7.2 67% $10.95 $1,094.69 $1,173.38
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 11.5 1.2 10% $11.73 $1,173.38 $1,187.52
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 12 3.1 25% $11.88 $1,187.52 $1,223.86
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 5.5 -2.4 -44% $12.24 $1,223.86 $1,194.12
5th Aug DWCS 27 1 -1.0 -100% $11.94 $1,194.12 $1,182.18
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 6.5 4.2 65% $11.82 $1,182.18 $1,232.39
15th Aug UFC 252 7.25 1.3 17% $12.32 $1,232.39 $1,247.99
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 3.5 1.0 28% $12.48 $1,247.99 $1,260.07
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 5 2.9 58% $12.60 $1,260.07 $1,296.82
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 3.5 -1.1 -31% $12.97 $1,296.82 $1,282.56
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 4.2 3.7 89% $12.83 $1,282.56 $1,330.55
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 7.7 -2.6 -33% $13.31 $1,330.55 $1,296.37
26th Sep UFC 253 7.5 -2.4 -32% $12.96 $1,296.37 $1,265.29
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 5 1.8 37% $12.65 $1,265.29 $1,288.69
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 9.25 1.5 16% $12.89 $1,288.69 $1,307.69
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 5.5 -5.5 -100% $5 $13.08 $1,307.69 $1,230.77
24th Oct UFC 254 8.65 5.8 67% $5 $12.31 $1,230.77 $1,297.05
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 8 0.4 4% $5 $12.97 $1,297.05 $1,296.71
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 5.2 2.9 55% $5 $12.97 $1,296.71 $1,329.13
11th Nov DWCS 35 1 -1.0 -100% $5 $13.29 $1,329.13 $1,310.84
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 6.45 -3.8 -59% $5 $13.11 $1,310.84 $1,255.62
21st Nov UFC 255 6.5 -1.3 -20% $5 $12.56 $1,255.62 $1,234.67
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 6.5 3.9 59% $5 $12.35 $1,234.67 $1,277.35
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 5.3 5.3 100% $5 $12.77 $1,277.35 $1,339.96
13th Dec UFC 256 5.9 -1.4 -24% $5 $13.40 $1,339.96 $1,316.21
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 6.2 -1.4 -23% $5 $13.16 $1,316.21 $1,292.12
16th Jan UFC FN 4 -0.7 -19% $5 $12.92 $1,292.12 $1,277.43
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 8.85 1.3 15% $5 $12.77 $1,277.43 $1,289.22
24th Jan UFC 257 7 -4.5 -64% $5 $12.89 $1,289.22 $1,226.83
6th Feb UFC FN 10.4 3.7 35% $5 $12.27 $1,226.83 $1,266.82
14th Feb UFC 258 5.2 -2.3 -44% $5 $12.67 $1,266.82 $1,232.68
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 7 -1.6 -22% $5 $12.33 $1,232.68 $1,208.45
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 4 -4.0 -100% $5 $12.08 $1,208.45 $1,155.11


ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '21 Paid Pick Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.70 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Paid Pick Dalcha Lungiambula Markus Perez 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Paid Pick Manon Fiorot Victoria Leonardo 1.60 2 TKO, R2 (4:8) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Paid Pick Rob Font Marlon Moraes 2.25 1 TKO, R1 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Paid Pick Roman Dolidze John Allan 1.57 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '20 Paid Pick Tim Means Mike Perry 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Paid Pick Tony Gravely Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 1.75 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Paid Pick Jason Witt Cole Williams 1.71 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '20 Paid Pick Shavkat Rakhmonov Alex Oliveira 2.35 1 Sub, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '20 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes 1.71 2 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Ilia Topuria Youssef Zalal 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Nassourdine Imavov Jordan Williams 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Loma Lookboonmee Jinh Yu Frey 1.77 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '20 Ludovit Klein Shane Young 2.05 1 TKO, R1 (1:16) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '20 Andre Ewell Irwin Rivera 1.54 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '20 Andre Muniz Bartosz Fabinski 2.40 1 Sub, R1 (2:42) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Junior dos Santos 1.67 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 Andrew Sanchez Wellington Turman 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz 1.69 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Kevin Croom Alex Caceres 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '21 Paid Pick Antonio Carlos Junior Brad Tavares 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '20 Paid Pick Alex Morono Anthony Pettis 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '20 Paid Pick Antonio Arroyo Deron Winn 1.71 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Paid Pick Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 1.81 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '20 Paid Pick Luke Sanders Nathan Maness 1.77 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:29) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '20 Paid Pick Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz Mario Sousa 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Paid Pick Miranda Granger Ashley Yoder 1.93 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Paid Pick Kevin Natividad Miles Johns 2.55 1 TKO, R3 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '20 Chan Sung Jung Brian Ortega 1.56 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '20 Omar Morales Giga Chikadze 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Stephanie Egger Tracy Cortez 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '20 Augusto Sakai Alistair Overeem 2.55 1 TKO, R5 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '20 Alonzo Menifield Ovince St Preux 1.77 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Jim Miller Vinc Pichel 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Jose Flores Jordan Leavitt 2.02 1 Sub, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Joanne Calderwood Jennifer Maia 1.63 2.5 Sub, R1 (4:29) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '20 Jai Herbert Francisco Trinaldo 2.50 1.5 TKO, R3 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Carla Esparza 1.63 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

DFS BY THE NUMBERS: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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