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Total MMA Handicappers: 1820
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MMA Handicapper Stats: ncow

ncow (ncow)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - ncow

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 13 (46%) Right 6 (43%) Right 5 (63%) Right 2 (33%)
Wrong 15 (54%) Wrong 8 (57%) Wrong 3 (38%) Wrong 4 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 2.06
Units Bet 28.3 Units Bet 16.5 Units Bet 6.3 Units Bet 5.5
Avg Bet 1.01 Avg Bet 1.18 Avg Bet 0.79 Avg Bet 0.92
Units Profit 0.82 Units Profit -0.13 Units Profit 2.58 Units Profit -1.63
ROI % 3% ROI % -1% ROI % 41% ROI % -30%
View Handicapper's Profile

ncow : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Aug '19 DWCS 24 2.5 0.2 8% 1.2 / 1.5 (80%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 9.33 2.0 21% 2.3 / 6.5 (35%) -0.3 / 2.83 (-10%)
8th Aug '19 PFL 2019: Week 6 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 4 0.3 8% -0.8 / 3 (-25%) 1.1 / 1 (107%)
2nd Aug '19 Combate 41 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 8 2.8 35% -0.8 / 3.5 (-24%) 2.9 / 3.5 (82%) 0.8 / 1 (80%)
27th Jul '19 LFA 72 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 4 (44%)
Losing Events: 5 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.15 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.33 units
Best Event: 2.82 units
Worst Event: -2.00 units
Average Event: 0.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 2.82
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -2.50

ncow : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 28.33 0.8 3% -0.1 / 16.5 (-1%) 2.6 / 6.33 (41%) -1.6 / 5.5 (-30%) 4 / 5 (44%) 0.09

ncow : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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ncow : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 21.33 5.1 24% 0.7 / 13 (5%) 2.6 / 6.33 (41%) 1.9 / 2 (93%)
PFL 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other 5 -2.3 -46% 0.2 / 2.5 (8%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)

ncow : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Slight Favorites 3 (21%) 2 67 % 5.00 0.35 0.12 7%
Slight Underdogs 11 (79%) 4 36 % 11.50 -0.48 -0.04 -4%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (7%) 0 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Co-Main Event 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.20 1.20 80%
Position 3-5 3 (21%) 0 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -0.83 -100%
6+ (Undercard) 9 (64%) 5 56 % 12.00 1.67 0.19 14%

ncow : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (7%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Light Heavy 3 (21%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.33 -100%
Middleweight 2 (14%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%
Welterweight 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.20 1.20 80%
Featherweight 2 (14%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.20 1.20 120%
Flyweight 2 (14%) 2 100 % 2.00 2.24 1.12 112%
               
Women's Fights 2 (14%) 2 100 % 3.50 3.73 1.87 107%
Bantamweight 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.15 1.15 77%
Strawweight 1 (7%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.58 2.58 129%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (75%) 5 56 %
Slight Favorites 3 (25%) 2 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
12 7 58 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 5 (56%) 3 60 %
35-50% 2 (22%) 2 100 %
<35% chance 2 (22%) 1 50 %
9 6 67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (33%) 3 100 % 1.67 1.79Pick was correct 1.60Pick was correct 2.0 (68%)
Goes to Decision 1 (11%) 1 100 % 2.96 2.96Pick was correct 2.96Pick was correct 2.0 (196%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (11%) 0 0 % 1.68 1.68Pick was incorrect 1.68Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (11%) 1 100 % 2.12 2.12Pick was correct 2.12Pick was incorrect 1.1 (112%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (11%) 0 0 % 7.00 7.00Pick was incorrect 7.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (11%) 1 100 % 2.45 2.45Pick was correct 2.45Pick was correct 1.5 (145%)
Others 1 (11%) 0 0 % 1.87 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
9 6 67 % 2.10     3.6 (40%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail ncow 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th Jul LFA 72 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $995.00
27th Jul UFC 240 8 2.8 35% $9.95 $995.00 $1,023.06
31st Jul DWCS 22 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.23 $1,023.06 $1,017.94
2nd Aug Combate 41 1 -1.0 -100% $10.18 $1,017.94 $1,007.76
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 4 0.3 8% $10.08 $1,007.76 $1,010.86
7th Aug DWCS 23 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.11 $1,010.86 $1,005.80
8th Aug PFL 2019: Week 6 2 -2.0 -100% $10.06 $1,005.80 $985.69
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 9.33 2.0 21% $9.86 $985.69 $1,005.30
14th Aug DWCS 24 2.5 0.2 8% $10.05 $1,005.30 $1,007.31


ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

ncow : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '19 Brok Weaver Devin Smyth 1.80 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Chris Gutierrez Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Rogerio Bontorin Raulian Paiva 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Tecia Torres 2.29 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Matt Schnell Jordan Espinosa 2.24 1 Sub, R1 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Gillian Robertson Sarah Frota 1.77 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '19 Ezekiel Wily Alex Nicholson 2.50 1 TKO, R1 (3:7) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Michal Martinek Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 2.20 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Darko Stosic Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Bobby Moffett Enrique Barzola 2.61 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Ilir Latifi Volkan Oezdemir 2.22 1 TKO, R2 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Seung Woo Choi Gavin Tucker 2.10 1 Sub, R3 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Chris Harris Daniel Madrid 2.25 0.5 Sub, R1 (0:51) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Marc-Andre Barriault Krzysztof Jotko 2.46 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

ncow : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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