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MMA Handicapper Stats: ncow

ncow (ncow)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - ncow

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 94 (50%) Right 64 (52%) Right 22 (51%) Right 8 (38%)
Wrong 93 (50%) Wrong 59 (48%) Wrong 21 (49%) Wrong 13 (62%)
Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 1.95
Units Bet 212.9 Units Bet 151.0 Units Bet 38.1 Units Bet 23.9
Avg Bet 1.14 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 0.89 Avg Bet 1.14
Units Profit 4.90 Units Profit 6.46 Units Profit 3.85 Units Profit -5.41
ROI % 2% ROI % 4% ROI % 10% ROI % -23%
View Handicapper's Profile

ncow : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 6.5 1.4 22% 1.4 / 6.5 (22%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 7.05 -5.3 -75% -2.5 / 4.3 (-59%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 1.25 1.0 82% 1.0 / 1.25 (82%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 7.1 -2.1 -29% -0.6 / 5.6 (-10%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 5.8 1.9 32% 1.9 / 4.8 (39%) 0.0 / 1 (1%)
1st Jan '20 PFL 2019: Week 10 2 0.8 38% 0.8 / 2 (38%)
29th Dec '19 Bellator 237 1.83 0.2 9% 0.2 / 1.83 (9%)
22nd Dec '19 Bellator Hawaii 1 0.5 45% 0.5 / 1 (45%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 7.5 -2.3 -31% -0.8 / 6 (-13%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 Bellator STT 1.5 1.1 74% 1.1 / 1.5 (74%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 8.5 -3.5 -41% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 4 (25%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 6 1.7 28% 0.1 / 2.5 (2%) 1.6 / 3.5 (47%)
23rd Nov '19 Bellator London 0.66 -0.7 -100% -0.7 / 0.66 (-100%)
23rd Nov '19 Combate 50 1.6 1.3 80% 1.3 / 1.6 (80%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 6.85 0.6 8% -0.9 / 5.25 (-17%) 1.5 / 1.6 (91%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 6 4.0 67% 3.0 / 4 (76%) 1.0 / 2 (50%)
9th Nov '19 Combate 49 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 7.5 1.2 16% 0.4 / 7 (6%) 0.8 / 0.5 (155%)
26th Oct '19 Bellator 232 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 8.5 2.3 28% 3.3 / 7.5 (45%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 13.3 -10.5 -79% -8.0 / 10.8 (-74%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 10.5 -2.8 -26% -2.7 / 9 (-30%) -0.0 / 1.5 (-2%)
12th Oct '19 Combate 46 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 7 2.0 28% 4.0 / 5 (80%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 Bellator 228 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 12.66 8.5 67% 7.3 / 9 (81%) 1.2 / 3.66 (32%)
27th Sep '19 Bellator Dublin 2.5 -2.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 8.25 3.9 47% 2.9 / 6.5 (44%) 0.0 / 0.25 (0%) 1.0 / 1.5 (68%)
20th Sep '19 Combate 43 0.5 0.7 147% 0.7 / 0.5 (147%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 6.5 -1.2 -18% -0.1 / 3.5 (-2%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (89%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 11.91 6.7 57% 6.5 / 5.66 (115%) -0.5 / 3.25 (-15%) 0.7 / 3 (24%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 4.5 0.2 4% 0.2 / 4.5 (4%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Aug '19 Bellator 225 1 1.1 115% 1.1 / 1 (115%)
23rd Aug '19 Combate 42 0.5 1.6 323% 1.6 / 0.5 (323%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 4.1 -1.5 -37% -0.9 / 3.5 (-26%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 10 -1.8 -18% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) 2.5 / 3 (83%) 1.2 / 1.5 (81%)
14th Aug '19 DWCS 24 2.5 0.2 8% 1.2 / 1.5 (80%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 9.33 2.0 21% 2.3 / 6.5 (35%) -0.3 / 2.83 (-10%)
8th Aug '19 PFL 2019: Week 6 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 4 0.3 8% -0.8 / 3 (-25%) 1.1 / 1 (107%)
2nd Aug '19 Combate 41 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 8 2.8 35% -0.8 / 3.5 (-24%) 2.9 / 3.5 (82%) 0.8 / 1 (80%)
27th Jul '19 LFA 72 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 25 (54%)
Losing Events: 21 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.63 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.30 units
Best Event: 8.47 units
Worst Event: -10.50 units
Average Event: 0.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.25

ncow : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 29.7 -2.3 -8% 1.0 / 23.2 (4%) -1.7 / 2.75 (-63%) -1.5 / 3.75 (-39%) 4 / 2 (67%) -0.38
2019 183.49 7.2 4% 5.5 / 127.8 (4%) 5.6 / 35.59 (16%) -3.9 / 20.1 (-20%) 21 / 19 (53%) 0.18

ncow : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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ncow : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 183.25 10.1 6% 6.0 / 130.41 (5%) 3.8 / 38.34 (10%) 0.2 / 14.5 (1%)
Bellator 11.24 -0.8 -7% -0.2 / 6.99 (-3%) -0.5 / 4.25 (-12%)
PFL 4 -1.2 -31% -0.2 / 3 (-8%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other 14.7 -3.2 -22% 0.9 / 10.6 (9%) -4.1 / 4.1 (-100%)

ncow : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (2%) 2 100 % 4.00 2.07 1.04 52%
Slight Favorites 61 (50%) 39 64 % 93.16 9.12 0.15 10%
Slight Underdogs 51 (41%) 20 39 % 48.76 -7.44 -0.15 -15%
Big Underdogs 9 (7%) 3 33 % 5.08 2.71 0.30 53%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (9%) 4 36 % 9.00 -0.97 -0.09 -11%
Co-Main Event 11 (9%) 8 73 % 12.05 4.79 0.44 40%
Position 3-5 30 (24%) 13 43 % 34.76 -3.27 -0.11 -9%
6+ (Undercard) 71 (58%) 39 55 % 95.19 5.91 0.08 6%

ncow : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (4%) 2 40 % 4.50 0.66 0.13 15%
Light Heavy 11 (9%) 2 18 % 13.50 -9.87 -0.90 -73%
Middleweight 16 (13%) 9 56 % 20.75 3.24 0.20 16%
Welterweight 11 (9%) 7 64 % 13.75 2.85 0.26 21%
Lightweight 18 (15%) 12 67 % 20.20 8.60 0.48 43%
Featherweight 15 (12%) 4 27 % 18.10 -8.20 -0.55 -45%
Bantamweight 18 (15%) 9 50 % 22.80 -0.20 -0.01 -1%
Flyweight 8 (7%) 4 50 % 9.00 0.12 0.02 1%
               
Women's Fights 21 (17%) 15 71 % 28.40 9.26 0.44 33%
Bantamweight 4 (3%) 4 100 % 5.80 5.08 1.27 88%
Flyweight 8 (7%) 5 63 % 11.50 1.12 0.14 10%
Strawweight 9 (7%) 6 67 % 11.10 3.05 0.34 28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 38 (90%) 21 55 %
Slight Favorites 4 (10%) 3 75 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
42 24 57 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (7%) 2 67 %
50-65% 21 (47%) 11 52 %
35-50% 15 (33%) 6 40 %
<35% chance 6 (13%) 3 50 %
45 22 49 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (24%) 7 64 % 1.79 2.28Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct 1.3 (12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.55 2.55Pick was correct 2.55Pick was correct 1.5 (155%)
Goes to Decision 13 (29%) 8 62 % 1.94 2.96Pick was correct 1.54Pick was correct 2.1 (16%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (4%) 0 0 % 2.10 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.68Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 6 (13%) 2 33 % 1.96 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.66Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-16%)
X Wins by KO 3 (7%) 0 0 % 2.02 3.30Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (9%) 2 50 % 4.80 11.00Pick was correct 3.10Pick was incorrect 10.6 (265%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (9%) 2 50 % 2.28 2.45Pick was correct 1.91Pick was incorrect 0.9 (21%)
Others 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.87 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
45 22 49 % 2.06     9.5 (21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail ncow 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th Jul LFA 72 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $995.00
27th Jul UFC 240 8 2.8 35% $9.95 $995.00 $1,023.06
31st Jul DWCS 22 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.23 $1,023.06 $1,017.94
2nd Aug Combate 41 1 -1.0 -100% $10.18 $1,017.94 $1,007.76
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 4 0.3 8% $10.08 $1,007.76 $1,010.86
7th Aug DWCS 23 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.11 $1,010.86 $1,005.80
8th Aug PFL 2019: Week 6 2 -2.0 -100% $10.06 $1,005.80 $985.69
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 9.33 2.0 21% $9.86 $985.69 $1,005.30
14th Aug DWCS 24 2.5 0.2 8% $10.05 $1,005.30 $1,007.31
17th Aug UFC 241 10 -1.8 -18% $10.07 $1,007.31 $989.19
20th Aug DWCS 25 4.1 -1.5 -37% $9.89 $989.19 $974.14
23rd Aug Combate 42 0.5 1.6 323% $5 $9.74 $974.14 $984.87
24th Aug Bellator 225 1 1.1 115% $9.85 $984.87 $996.20
27th Aug DWCS 26 1 -1.0 -100% $9.96 $996.20 $986.24
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 4.5 0.2 4% $9.86 $986.24 $988.05
7th Sep UFC 242 11.91 6.7 57% $9.88 $988.05 $1,054.54
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 6.5 -1.2 -18% $10.55 $1,054.54 $1,041.96
20th Sep Combate 43 0.5 0.7 147% $5 $10.42 $1,041.96 $1,044.62
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 8.25 3.9 47% $10.45 $1,044.62 $1,085.14
27th Sep Bellator Dublin 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.85 $1,085.14 $1,058.01
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 12.66 8.5 67% $10.58 $1,058.01 $1,147.61
28th Sep Bellator 228 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.48 $1,147.61 $1,141.87
5th Oct UFC 243 7 2.0 28% $11.42 $1,141.87 $1,164.52
12th Oct Combate 46 1 -1.0 -100% $5 $11.65 $1,164.52 $1,147.88
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 10.5 -2.8 -26% $11.48 $1,147.88 $1,116.29
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 13.3 -10.5 -79% $11.16 $1,116.29 $999.13
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 8.5 2.3 28% $9.99 $999.13 $1,022.60
26th Oct Bellator 232 1 -1.0 -100% $10.23 $1,022.60 $1,012.37
2nd Nov UFC 244 7.5 1.2 16% $10.12 $1,012.37 $1,024.31
9th Nov Combate 49 1 -1.0 -100% $10.24 $1,024.31 $1,014.06
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 6 4.0 67% $10.14 $1,014.06 $1,054.87
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 6.85 0.6 8% $10.55 $1,054.87 $1,060.79
23rd Nov Combate 50 1.6 1.3 80% $10.61 $1,060.79 $1,074.37
23rd Nov Bellator London 0.66 -0.7 -100% $10.74 $1,074.37 $1,067.27
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 6 1.7 28% $10.67 $1,067.27 $1,085.42
15th Dec UFC 245 8.5 -3.5 -41% $10.85 $1,085.42 $1,047.44
21st Dec Bellator STT 1.5 1.1 74% $10.47 $1,047.44 $1,058.99
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 7.5 -2.3 -31% $10.59 $1,058.99 $1,034.56
22nd Dec Bellator Hawaii 1 0.5 45% $10.35 $1,034.56 $1,039.26
29th Dec Bellator 237 1.83 0.2 9% $10.39 $1,039.26 $1,041.03
1st Jan PFL 2019: Week 10 2 0.8 38% $10.41 $1,041.03 $1,048.99
18th Jan UFC 246 5.8 1.9 32% $10.49 $1,048.99 $1,068.69
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 7.1 -2.1 -29% $10.69 $1,068.69 $1,046.56
26th Jan Bellator 238 1.25 1.0 82% $10.47 $1,046.56 $1,057.26
9th Feb UFC 247 7.05 -5.3 -75% $10.57 $1,057.26 $1,001.24
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 6.5 1.4 22% $10.01 $1,001.24 $1,015.71


ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

ncow : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '20 Scott Holtzman Jim Miller 1.71 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Lando Vannata Yancy Medeiros 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Andre Ewell Jonathan Martinez 1.75 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Merab Dvalishvili Casey Kenney 1.56 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Angela Hill Hannah Cifers 1.61 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 Sara McMann Lina Lansberg 1.75 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Askar Askarov Tim Elliott 1.82 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Holly Holm Raquel Pennington 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Ray Cooper III David Michaud 1.71 1 TKO, R2 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '20 Emiliano Sordi Jordan Johnson 2.10 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '20 Sodiq Yusuff Andre Fili 1.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Kana Watanabe Ilara Joanne 2.00 1 TKO, R3 (4:39) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Alejandra Lara Veta Arteaga 1.74 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '19 Heili Alateng Ryan Benoit 2.05 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '19 Omar Morales Dong Hyun Ma 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '19 Aspen Ladd Yana Kunitskaya 1.70 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:33) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '19 Caroline Gallardo Corina Herrera 2.05 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '19 Salvador Becerra Ignacio Bahamondes 1.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '19 Francisco Trinaldo Bobby Green 1.77 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '19 Wellington Turman Markus Perez 2.14 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '20 Nathaniel Wood John Dodson 1.70 1 TKO, R3 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.24 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Domingo Pilarte Journey Newson 1.77 1.3 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Ilir Latifi Derrick Lewis 3.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige 1.83 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 Lucie Pudilova Justine Kish 1.63 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Nate Landwehr Herbert Burns 1.91 1.1 TKO, R1 (2:43) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Justin Ledet Aleksa Camur 2.18 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Loik Radzhabov Natan Schulte 2.90 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Daron Cruickshank Goiti Yamauchi 4.30 0.33 Sub, R1 (3:11) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Quinton Jackson Fedor Emelianenko 2.10 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Aleksandar Rakic Volkan Oezdemir 1.70 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Marc-Andre Barriault Jun Yong Park 1.87 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '19 Kai Kara-France Brandon Moreno 1.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '19 Terry Brazier Soren Bak 2.25 0.66 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '19 Daniel Teymur Chase Hooper 2.14 1 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '19 Ricky Simon Rob Font 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '19 Viviane Araujo Jessica Eye 1.68 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '19 Antonio Arroyo Andre Muniz 2.14 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '19 Warlley Alves Randy Brown 1.87 2 Sub, R2 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

ncow : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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