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MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC tips

UFC tips (UFC_tips)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - UFC tips

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 34 (37%) Right 22 (45%) Right 12 (29%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 57 (63%) Wrong 27 (55%) Wrong 30 (71%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.47 Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 3.18 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 401.7 Units Bet 287.3 Units Bet 114.4 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 4.41 Avg Bet 5.86 Avg Bet 2.72 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit -12.24 Units Profit 10.42 Units Profit -22.66 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -3% ROI % 4% ROI % -20% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

UFC tips: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 40 11.9 30% 11.9 / 40 (30%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 30 -10.1 -34% -7.6 / 20 (-38%) -2.5 / 10 (-25%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 15 1.1 7% 1.1 / 15 (7%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 15 -1.0 -7% -1.0 / 15 (-7%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 45 -20.6 -46% 6.4 / 18 (36%) -27.0 / 27 (-100%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 50 -3.8 -8% -1.1 / 23 (-5%) -2.7 / 27 (-10%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 20 -7.1 -36% -6.6 / 14 (-47%) -0.5 / 6 (-8%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 13 14.5 112% 10.0 / 9 (112%) 4.5 / 4 (112%)
22nd Feb '20 Bellator 240 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Feb '20 Bellator 239 3 1.9 63% 1.9 / 3 (63%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 15.2 26.7 175% 26.3 / 5.8 (453%) 0.4 / 9.4 (4%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 40 -19.5 -49% -19.5 / 40 (-49%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 69.5 30.9 45% 14.7 / 54.5 (27%) 16.2 / 15 (108%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 30 -21.3 -71% -16.3 / 25 (-65%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 6 (38%)
Losing Events: 10 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 25.11 units
Most Staked On One Event: 69.50 units
Best Event: 30.95 units
Worst Event: -21.25 units
Average Event: -0.76 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 30.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -32.45

UFC tips: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 252.2 7.6 3% 36.5 / 162.8 (22%) -28.9 / 89.4 (-32%) 5 / 7 (42%) 0.63
2019 149.5 -19.8 -13% -26.1 / 124.5 (-21%) 6.2 / 25 (25%) 1 / 3 (25%) -4.95

UFC tips: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC tips: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 395.7 -11.1 -3% 13.4 / 284.3 (5%) -24.6 / 111.4 (-22%)
Bellator 6 -1.1 -19% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.9 / 3 (63%)

UFC tips: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (6%) 3 100 % 18.00 5.70 1.90 32%
Slight Favorites 19 (39%) 10 53 % 116.00 -5.05 -0.27 -4%
Slight Underdogs 20 (41%) 8 40 % 128.50 6.00 0.30 5%
Big Underdogs 7 (14%) 1 14 % 24.80 3.77 0.54 15%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (8%) 1 25 % 25.00 -11.00 -2.75 -44%
Co-Main Event 4 (8%) 2 50 % 26.00 -2.10 -0.52 -8%
Position 3-5 17 (35%) 7 41 % 112.00 -34.55 -2.03 -31%
6+ (Undercard) 24 (49%) 12 50 % 124.30 58.07 2.42 47%

UFC tips: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 20.00 6.00 3.00 30%
Light Heavy 4 (8%) 1 25 % 13.50 -7.20 -1.80 -53%
Middleweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 8.00 0.75 0.37 9%
Welterweight 9 (18%) 3 33 % 56.00 -2.93 -0.33 -5%
Lightweight 8 (16%) 5 63 % 49.50 -0.90 -0.11 -2%
Featherweight 7 (14%) 2 29 % 27.00 -8.45 -1.21 -31%
Bantamweight 6 (12%) 5 83 % 50.00 32.45 5.41 65%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 2 50 % 22.30 15.40 3.85 69%
               
Women's Fights 7 (14%) 2 29 % 41.00 -24.70 -3.53 -60%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -10.00 -100%
Strawweight 5 (10%) 2 40 % 26.00 -9.70 -1.94 -37%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 3 (7%) 1 33 %
35-50% 14 (33%) 7 50 %
<35% chance 25 (60%) 4 16 %
42 12 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.63 1.63Pick was correct 1.63Pick was correct 0.6 (63%)
Goes to Decision 3 (7%) 3 100 % 2.08 2.20Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 3.2 (108%)
X Wins by KO 8 (19%) 3 38 % 3.52 9.50Pick was correct 1.68Pick was incorrect 9.5 (119%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (17%) 2 29 % 4.70 9.20Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct 4.0 (57%)
X Wins by Decision 16 (38%) 1 6 % 3.32 20.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -14.0 (-88%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (7%) 1 33 % 2.56 4.60Pick was incorrect 1.60Pick was incorrect 0.0 (2%)
Others 4 (10%) 1 25 % 2.92 30.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -1.5 (-36%)
42 12 29 % 3.18     2.0 (5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC tips's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 30 -21.3 -71% $10.00 $1,000.00 $787.50
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 69.5 30.9 45% $2 $7.87 $787.50 $1,029.23
27th Jul UFC 240 40 -19.5 -49% $10.29 $1,029.23 $828.53
15th Dec UFC 245 10 -10.0 -100% $8.29 $828.53 $745.68
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 15.2 26.7 175% $2 $7.46 $745.68 $942.56
21st Feb Bellator 239 3 1.9 63% $2 $9.43 $942.56 $958.38
22nd Feb Bellator 240 3 -3.0 -100% $9.58 $958.38 $929.63
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 13 14.5 112% $9.30 $929.63 $1,064.88
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 20 -7.1 -36% $2 $10.65 $1,064.88 $987.28
8th Mar UFC 248 50 -3.8 -8% $2 $9.87 $987.28 $948.25
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 45 -20.6 -46% $9.48 $948.25 $752.91
10th May UFC 249 15 -1.0 -7% $7.53 $752.91 $745.38
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 15 1.1 7% $7.45 $745.38 $753.58
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 3 -3.0 -100% $7.54 $753.58 $730.98
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 30 -10.1 -34% $7.31 $730.98 $657.15
6th Jun UFC 250 40 11.9 30% $6.57 $657.15 $735.35


ROI % from starting bank balance: -26.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC tips: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '20 Neil Magny Tony Martin 1.71 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '20 Alex Perez Jussier Formiga 1.72 10 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '20 Cody Garbrandt Raphael Assuncao 1.76 10 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '20 Mackenzie Dern Hannah Cifers 1.24 10 Sub, R1 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '20 Omar Morales Gabriel Benitez 1.54 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '20 Ricky Simon Ray Borg 1.68 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '20 Justin Gaethje Tony Ferguson 2.80 5 TKO, R5 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '20 Amanda Ribas Randa Markos 1.30 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '20 David Dvorak Bruno Silva 2.05 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '20 Giga Chikadze Jamall Emmers 2.60 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '20 Danaa Batgerel Guido Cannetti 1.79 5 TKO, R1 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '20 Magomed Ankalaev Ion Cutelaba 1.48 5 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '20 Brad Riddell Magomed Mustafaev 2.40 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '20 Jim Crute Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.10 3 Sub, R1 (3:29) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '20 Zubaira Tukhugov Kevin Aguilar 1.85 3 TKO, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '20 Scott Holtzman Jim Miller 1.75 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '20 Daniel Rodriguez Tim Means 28.57 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Alexandre Pantoja 2.05 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Mario Bautista Jin Soo Son 2.70 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Alexander Hernandez Francisco Trinaldo 1.62 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '20 Cory Sandhagen Aljamain Sterling 1.96 10 Sub, R1 (1:28) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '20 Tyron Woodley Gilbert Burns 1.55 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '20 Anthony Smith Glover Teixeira 1.56 5 TKO, R5 (1:4) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '20 Michelle Waterson Carla Esparza 2.30 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '20 Donald Cerrone Anthony Pettis 2.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '20 Johnny Walker Nikita Krylov 1.71 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.75 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '20 Max Griffin Alex Oliveira 2.25 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '20 Li Jingliang Neil Magny 1.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '20 T.J. Brown Jordan Griffin 2.28 3 Sub, R2 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '20 Aalon Cruz Spike Carlyle 1.54 3 TKO, R1 (1:25) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '20 Tom Breese Brendan Allen 1.75 3 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '20 Frans Mlambo Ricky Bandejas 2.90 3 TKO, R2 (1:25) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '20 Dequan Townsend Devin Clark 4.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '20 Mark Delarosa Raulian Paiva 3.15 0.8 TKO, R2 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.30 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '19 Mike Perry Geoff Neal 3.20 5 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Arman Tsarukyan 2.75 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Niko Price Geoff Neal 3.89 10 TKO, R2 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 2.38 10 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC tips: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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