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MMA Handicapper Stats: HumbleMMA

HumbleMMA (HumbleMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - HumbleMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 46 (34%) Right 23 (49%) Right 5 (29%) Right 18 (25%)
Wrong 90 (66%) Wrong 24 (51%) Wrong 12 (71%) Wrong 54 (75%)
Avg Odds 2.61 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 3.19 Avg Odds 3.18
Units Bet 317.9 Units Bet 125.6 Units Bet 20.9 Units Bet 171.4
Avg Bet 2.34 Avg Bet 2.67 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 2.38
Units Profit -18.35 Units Profit -0.77 Units Profit 0.51 Units Profit -18.09
ROI % -6% ROI % -1% ROI % 2% ROI % -11%
View Handicapper's Profile

HumbleMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 6 1.7 29% 1.7 / 6 (29%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 8 7.1 88% 4.0 / 4 (100%) 3.1 / 4 (77%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 9.5 -6.6 -70% -1.1 / 4 (-28%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 3 -0.9 -30% 0.1 / 2 (5%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 8 -4.0 -50% 0.0 / 4 (0%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 19 -15.0 -79% 1.0 / 3 (33%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 20 5.6 28% -2.0 / 6 (-33%) 7.6 / 14 (54%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 10 -10.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 24.6 7.1 29% -0.2 / 11 (-2%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) 9.0 / 12 (75%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 12.5 -0.5 -4% 4.0 / 8 (50%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 10 9.3 93% 3.2 / 6 (53%) 6.1 / 4 (152%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 20 1.6 8% 1.1 / 16 (7%) 0.5 / 4 (13%)
24th Jul '19 DWCS 21 6 -2.7 -45% -0.7 / 4 (-17%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 30 40.1 134% 5.2 / 12 (44%) 0.7 / 2 (36%) 34.2 / 16 (214%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 23 -8.2 -36% -1.0 / 5 (-20%) 3.8 / 7 (54%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 24 -13.1 -55% -3.1 / 14 (-22%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 25.5 -7.3 -29% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -4.8 / 23 (-21%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 26 0.7 3% 1.6 / 6 (27%) 3.1 / 4.8 (65%) -4.1 / 15.2 (-27%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 14.6 -8.4 -58% -9.6 / 9.6 (-100%) 1.2 / 5 (24%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 10.2 -4.8 -47% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.8 / 8.2 (-34%)


Winning Events: 8 (38%)
Losing Events: 13 (62%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 40.12 units
Worst Event: -15.00 units
Average Event: -0.87 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 40.12
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -36.53

HumbleMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 36.5 -8.7 -24% 4.7 / 16 (29%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -10.9 / 18 (-61%) 2 / 3 (40%) -1.74
2019 283.4 -9.6 -3% -5.5 / 109.6 (-5%) 3.0 / 18.4 (16%) -7.2 / 155.4 (-5%) 6 / 10 (38%) -0.60

HumbleMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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HumbleMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 255.3 6.6 3% 11.4 / 90 (13%) 0.5 / 20.9 (2%) -5.4 / 144.4 (-4%)
Bellator 14.6 -8.4 -58% -9.6 / 9.6 (-100%) 1.2 / 5 (24%)
Other 50 -16.5 -33% -2.6 / 26 (-10%) -13.9 / 24 (-58%)

HumbleMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (13%) 4 67 % 28.00 -2.76 -0.46 -10%
Slight Favorites 19 (40%) 11 58 % 57.00 12.12 0.64 21%
Slight Underdogs 17 (36%) 7 41 % 31.60 -4.00 -0.24 -13%
Big Underdogs 5 (11%) 1 20 % 9.00 -6.13 -1.23 -68%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (15%) 4 57 % 22.60 1.41 0.20 6%
Co-Main Event 5 (11%) 3 60 % 16.00 3.08 0.62 19%
Position 3-5 16 (34%) 9 56 % 38.00 5.82 0.36 15%
6+ (Undercard) 19 (40%) 7 37 % 49.00 -11.08 -0.58 -23%

HumbleMMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 18.00 6.88 1.38 38%
Light Heavy 5 (11%) 3 60 % 9.00 1.01 0.20 11%
Middleweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 7.00 -3.00 -1.00 -43%
Welterweight 8 (17%) 5 63 % 23.60 4.28 0.54 18%
Lightweight 5 (11%) 5 100 % 18.00 11.08 2.22 62%
Featherweight 9 (19%) 4 44 % 21.00 -3.26 -0.36 -16%
Bantamweight 5 (11%) 0 % 13.00 -13.00 -2.60 -100%
Flyweight 5 (11%) 1 20 % 11.00 -3.36 -0.67 -31%
               
Women's Fights 2 (4%) 1 50 % 5.00 -1.40 -0.70 -28%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.60 1.60 80%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 98 (62%) 69 70 %
Slight Favorites 34 (22%) 21 62 %
Slight Underdogs 21 (13%) 8 38 %
Big Underdogs 5 (3%) 0 0 %
158 98 62 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 22 (34%) 16 73 %
50-65% 13 (20%) 8 62 %
35-50% 4 (6%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 26 (40%) 6 23 %
65 30 46 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 22 (34%) 15 68 % 1.45 2.37Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -0.5 (-2%)
Does not go to Decision 7 (11%) 3 43 % 1.46 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct -3.0 (-43%)
X Wins by KO 16 (25%) 8 50 % 2.77 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct 5.5 (34%)
X Wins by Sub 15 (23%) 4 27 % 4.60 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.73Pick was correct 12.7 (85%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (6%) 0 0 % 3.16 6.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 13.00 13.00Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
65 30 46 % 2.14     9.8 (15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail HumbleMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Jun UFC 238 10.2 -4.8 -47% $10.00 $1,000.00 $951.95
14th Jun Bellator 222 14.6 -8.4 -58% $9.52 $951.95 $871.81
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 26 0.7 3% $8.72 $871.81 $877.81
6th Jul UFC 239 25.5 -7.3 -29% $8.78 $877.81 $813.73
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 24 -13.1 -55% $8.14 $813.73 $706.97
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 23 -8.2 -36% $7.07 $706.97 $648.71
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 30 40.1 134% $6.49 $648.71 $909.01
24th Jul DWCS 21 6 -2.7 -45% $9.09 $909.01 $884.64
27th Jul UFC 240 20 1.6 8% $8.85 $884.64 $898.64
31st Jul DWCS 22 10 9.3 93% $8.99 $898.64 $982.03
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 12.5 -0.5 -4% $9.82 $982.03 $977.12
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 24.6 7.1 29% $9.77 $977.12 $1,046.83
20th Aug DWCS 25 10 -10.0 -100% $10.47 $1,046.83 $942.15
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 20 5.6 28% $5 $9.42 $942.15 $990.04
15th Dec UFC 245 19 -15.0 -79% $5 $9.90 $990.04 $836.54
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 8 -4.0 -50% $5 $8.37 $836.54 $798.08
18th Jan UFC 246 10 -10.0 -100% $5 $7.98 $798.08 $713.27
9th Feb UFC 247 3 -0.9 -30% $5 $7.13 $713.27 $701.85
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 9.5 -6.6 -70% $7.02 $701.85 $655.32
8th Mar UFC 248 8 7.1 88% $6.55 $655.32 $701.69
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 6 1.7 29% $7.02 $701.69 $713.90


ROI % from starting bank balance: -28.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

HumbleMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Gilbert Burns Demian Maia 1.62 2 TKO, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Charles Oliveira Kevin Lee 2.25 2 Sub, R3 (0:28) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Jan Blachowicz Corey Anderson 2.87 1 TKO, R1 (3:8) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 Neil Magny Li Jingliang 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '20 Mark O. Madsen Austin Hubbard 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Dan Ige Mirsad Bektic 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '19 Paid Pick Da Un Jung Mike Rodriguez 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (1:4) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '19 Paid Pick Punahele Soriano Oskar Piechota 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '19 Paid Pick Bryce Mitchell Matt Sayles 2.00 2 Sub, R1 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Rogerio Bontorin Raulian Paiva 1.91 4 TKO, R1 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Volkan Oezdemir Ilir Latifi 1.57 2 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Jim Miller Clay Guida 1.56 4 Sub, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Colby Covington Robbie Lawler 1.44 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Daniel Rodriguez Rico Farrington 1.40 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Tracy Cortez Mariya Agapova 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Gavin Tucker Seung Woo Choi 1.91 4 Sub, R3 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Arman Tsarukyan Olivier Aubin-Mercier 1.57 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 J.J. Okanovich Christian Lohsen 1.66 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Walt Harris Aleksei Oleinik 1.60 6 TKO, R1 (0:12) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 1.91 4 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '20 Casey Kenney Merab Dvalishvili 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Jussier Formiga Brandon Moreno 1.73 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Nathaniel Wood John Dodson 1.67 2 TKO, R3 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Paid Pick Miles Johns Mario Bautista 1.73 1 TKO, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '19 Paid Pick Matt Schnell Alexandre Pantoja 2.75 2 TKO, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '19 Paid Pick Urijah Faber Petr Yan 4.33 1 TKO, R3 (0:43) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '19 Paid Pick Stefan Struve Ben Rothwell 2.20 2 TKO, R2 (4:57) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '19 Paid Pick Alistair Overeem Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.91 2 TKO, R5 (4:56) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Desmond Torres Steve Garcia 1.74 1 TKO, R1 (4:35) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Phil Caracappa Ricky Steele 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Tecia Torres Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Mike Perry Vicente Luque 2.75 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Alexandre Pantoja Deiveson Figueiredo 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Alexander Poppeck Jamahal Hill 3.00 2 TKO, R2 (4:29) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Steven Peterson Alex Caceres 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Andre Fili 2.00 3 TKO, R1 (3:7) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Kenneth Bergh Antonio Trocoli 1.50 2 Sub, R1 (3:57) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Justin Sumter Maki Pitolo 1.61 4 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Jack Marshman Edmen Shahbazyan 5.00 1 Sub, R1 (1:12) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Frankie Edgar Max Holloway 4.00 4 U Decision (5 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

HumbleMMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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