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MMA Handicapper Stats: MannysPicks

MannysPicks (MannysPicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MannysPicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 41 (52%) Right 27 (56%) Right 6 (43%) Right 8 (47%)
Wrong 38 (48%) Wrong 21 (44%) Wrong 8 (57%) Wrong 9 (53%)
Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 2.03
Units Bet 98.9 Units Bet 62.4 Units Bet 16.0 Units Bet 20.5
Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 1.30 Avg Bet 1.14 Avg Bet 1.21
Units Profit 8.13 Units Profit 10.62 Units Profit -1.98 Units Profit -0.50
ROI % 8% ROI % 17% ROI % -12% ROI % -2%
View Handicapper's Profile

MannysPicks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Mar '20 Cage Warriors 113 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 1 1.4 140% 1.4 / 1 (140%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 1 1.3 125% 1.3 / 1 (125%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 2 2.3 115% 2.3 / 2 (115%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 5 2.8 56% 2.8 / 5 (56%)
21st Feb '20 Bellator 239 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 3 -1.3 -44% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.7 / 1 (67%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 4.2 -1.0 -23% 0.2 / 3 (7%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 3.05 -1.1 -35% -2.1 / 2.05 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (97%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 2.85 1.5 53% -0.3 / 2.6 (-10%) 1.8 / 0.25 (700%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 1 1.2 120% 1.2 / 1 (120%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 4.8 -0.6 -13% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.7 / 2.5 (67%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 1.2 1.0 83% 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 3 2.2 74% 2.2 / 3 (74%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 3.6 -1.0 -28% 1.0 / 1.6 (63%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 3.55 -1.6 -44% -0.6 / 2.55 (-22%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
14th Aug '19 DWCS 24 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 6.65 2.9 44% 1.9 / 3.5 (55%) 1.0 / 3.15 (32%)
8th Aug '19 PFL 2019: Week 6 2.25 0.4 18% 0.4 / 2.25 (18%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 1.85 0.5 26% 1.0 / 1.35 (73%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 1 0.8 78% 0.8 / 1 (78%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 3.55 -1.0 -28% 1.0 / 1.55 (65%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
24th Jul '19 DWCS 21 1.27 1.0 79% 1.0 / 1.27 (79%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 5.19 -0.3 -7% 0.3 / 2 (15%) 1.0 / 1.55 (65%) -1.6 / 1.64 (-100%)
17th Jul '19 DWCS 20 1.09 1.0 92% 1.0 / 1.09 (92%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 2 0.6 30% 0.6 / 2 (30%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 3 2.4 79% 2.4 / 3 (79%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Jun '19 DWTNCS 18 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 3 2.5 82% 2.0 / 1.5 (135%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.4 / 0.5 (286%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 2 0.7 35% 0.7 / 2 (35%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 1.75 -0.7 -40% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 0.6 / 0.5 (110%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 10.5 4.9 46% 4.9 / 10.5 (46%)


Winning Events: 19 (51%)
Losing Events: 18 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.67 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.50 units
Best Event: 4.86 units
Worst Event: -3.50 units
Average Event: 0.22 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 7.77
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -9.06

MannysPicks : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 24.6 3.4 14% 2.2 / 20.15 (11%) 1.2 / 2.45 (50%) -0.0 / 2 (-1%) 5 / 6 (45%) 0.31
2019 74.25 4.8 6% 8.4 / 42.2 (20%) -3.2 / 13.55 (-24%) -0.5 / 18.5 (-3%) 14 / 12 (54%) 0.18

MannysPicks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MannysPicks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 77.44 15.0 19% 15.1 / 48.8 (31%) 0.5 / 12.5 (4%) -0.5 / 16.14 (-3%)
Bellator 3.25 -2.2 -68% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 0.6 / 0.5 (110%)
PFL 2.25 0.4 18% 0.4 / 2.25 (18%)
Other 15.91 -5.1 -32% -2.1 / 8.55 (-24%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 0.0 / 4.36 (0%)

MannysPicks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (15%) 5 71 % 11.55 1.36 0.19 12%
Slight Favorites 18 (38%) 10 56 % 29.80 4.60 0.26 15%
Slight Underdogs 23 (48%) 12 52 % 21.00 4.66 0.20 22%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (10%) 3 60 % 5.75 0.57 0.11 10%
Co-Main Event 3 (6%) 0 0 % 3.55 -3.55 -1.18 -100%
Position 3-5 15 (31%) 9 60 % 20.30 2.49 0.17 12%
6+ (Undercard) 25 (52%) 15 60 % 32.75 11.11 0.44 34%

MannysPicks : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 5 (10%) 3 60 % 4.00 -0.14 -0.03 -3%
Middleweight 9 (19%) 6 67 % 11.05 4.03 0.45 36%
Welterweight 5 (10%) 2 40 % 6.05 -1.70 -0.34 -28%
Lightweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 3.00 1.65 0.55 55%
Featherweight 8 (17%) 5 63 % 9.65 3.57 0.45 37%
Bantamweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 8.75 2.59 0.52 30%
Flyweight 3 (6%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 10 (21%) 6 60 % 16.85 3.61 0.36 21%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.30 0.15 15%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 2 50 % 3.10 -0.20 -0.05 -7%
Strawweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 11.75 3.51 0.88 30%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 22 (79%) 17 77 %
Slight Favorites 6 (21%) 4 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
28 21 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (38%) 3 38 %
50-65% 8 (38%) 4 50 %
35-50% 3 (14%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 2 (10%) 1 50 %
21 10 48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (24%) 2 40 % 1.59 1.80Pick was incorrect 1.32Pick was correct -2.0 (-40%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (10%) 1 50 % 2.34 2.65Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was correct 0.1 (5%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (29%) 4 67 % 1.49 1.77Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.3 (4%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.25 1.25Pick was correct 1.25Pick was incorrect 0.3 (25%)
X Wins by KO 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.83 1.83Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (29%) 2 33 % 2.14 8.00Pick was correct 1.34Pick was incorrect 4.6 (77%)
21 10 48 % 1.72     2.2 (11%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MannysPicks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Jun UFC 238 10.5 4.9 46% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,048.65
14th Jun Bellator 222 1.75 -0.7 -40% $10.49 $1,048.65 $1,041.31
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 2 0.7 35% $10.41 $1,041.31 $1,048.61
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 3 2.5 82% $10.49 $1,048.61 $1,074.36
26th Jun DWTNCS 18 2 -2.0 -100% $10.74 $1,074.36 $1,052.87
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.53 $1,052.87 $1,026.55
6th Jul UFC 239 3 2.4 79% $10.27 $1,026.55 $1,050.80
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 2 0.6 30% $10.51 $1,050.80 $1,057.10
17th Jul DWCS 20 1.09 1.0 92% $10.57 $1,057.10 $1,067.66
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 5.19 -0.3 -7% $10.68 $1,067.66 $1,064.03
24th Jul DWCS 21 1.27 1.0 79% $10.64 $1,064.03 $1,074.70
27th Jul UFC 240 3.55 -1.0 -28% $10.75 $1,074.70 $1,063.95
31st Jul DWCS 22 1 0.8 78% $10.64 $1,063.95 $1,072.26
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 1.85 0.5 26% $10.72 $1,072.26 $1,077.47
7th Aug DWCS 23 1 -1.0 -100% $10.77 $1,077.47 $1,066.69
8th Aug PFL 2019: Week 6 2.25 0.4 18% $10.67 $1,066.69 $1,070.89
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 6.65 2.9 44% $10.71 $1,070.89 $1,102.23
14th Aug DWCS 24 1 -1.0 -100% $11.02 $1,102.23 $1,091.21
17th Aug UFC 241 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.91 $1,091.21 $1,053.02
20th Aug DWCS 25 3.55 -1.6 -44% $10.53 $1,053.02 $1,036.61
27th Aug DWCS 26 2 -2.0 -100% $10.37 $1,036.61 $1,015.88
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 3.6 -1.0 -28% $10.16 $1,015.88 $1,005.72
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 3 2.2 74% $10.06 $1,005.72 $1,027.90
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 1.2 1.0 83% $10.28 $1,027.90 $1,038.18
15th Dec UFC 245 4.8 -0.6 -13% $10.38 $1,038.18 $1,031.70
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 1 1.2 120% $10.32 $1,031.70 $1,044.04
18th Jan UFC 246 2.85 1.5 53% $10.44 $1,044.04 $1,059.70
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 3.05 -1.1 -35% $10.60 $1,059.70 $1,048.27
26th Jan Bellator 238 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.48 $1,048.27 $1,043.03
9th Feb UFC 247 4.2 -1.0 -23% $10.43 $1,043.03 $1,032.86
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 3 -1.3 -44% $10.33 $1,032.86 $1,019.09
21st Feb Bellator 239 1 -1.0 -100% $10.19 $1,019.09 $1,008.90
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 5 2.8 56% $10.09 $1,008.90 $1,037.33
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 2 2.3 115% $10.37 $1,037.33 $1,061.19
8th Mar UFC 248 1 1.3 125% $10.61 $1,061.19 $1,074.46
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 1 1.4 140% $10.74 $1,074.46 $1,089.50
20th Mar Cage Warriors 113 1 -1.0 -100% $10.89 $1,089.50 $1,078.60


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.86% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MannysPicks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Charles Oliveira Kevin Lee 2.40 1 Sub, R3 (0:28) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Gerald Meerschaert Deron Winn 2.25 1 Sub, R3 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Brendan Allen Tom Breese 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Sean Brady Ismail Naurdiev 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Brad Riddell Magomed Mustafaev 2.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Yan Xiaonan Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.39 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Dan Ige Mirsad Bektic 2.15 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Sodiq Yusuff Andre Fili 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '19 Andre Muniz Antonio Arroyo 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '19 Miles Johns Cole Smith 1.74 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Mallory Martin Micol DiSegni 1.33 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Maxim Grishin Mikhail Mokhnatkin 1.38 1 TKO, R1 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Jordan Johnson Sigi Pesaleli 1.27 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Gilbert Burns Alexey Kunchenko 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Antonina Shevchenko Lucie Pudilova 1.73 1.35 Sub, R2 (1:20) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Rodolfo Vieira Oskar Piechota 1.59 2 Sub, R2 (4:26) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Tracy Cortez Mariya Agapova 2.25 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Aleksa Camur Fabio Cherant 1.63 0.75 TKO, R2 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Krzysztof Jotko Marc-Andre Barriault 1.65 1.55 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Raquel Pennington Irene Aldana 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Darren O'Gorman Coner Hignett 2.05 1 TKO, R3 (2:12) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Ed Ruth Yaroslav Amosov 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Jonathan Martinez Andre Ewell 2.15 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Rafael dos Anjos Michael Chiesa 1.48 1.05 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 Darko Stosic Jamahal Hill 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Adam Borics Darrion Caldwell 2.10 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:20) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 J.J. Aldrich Sabina Mazo 1.95 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '19 Ian Heinisch Omari Akhmedov 1.77 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Ian Heinisch Omari Akhmedov 1.77 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Phil Caracappa Ricky Steele 1.95 1.05 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Anthony Pettis Nate Diaz 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Manny Bermudez Casey Kenney 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Shanna Young Sarah Alpar 1.70 1 Sub, R2 (2:55) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Polyana Viana Veronica Macedo 2.25 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Ezekiel Wily Alex Nicholson 2.60 0.25 TKO, R1 (3:7) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Harvey Park Omar Morales 1.38 1 TKO, R2 (1:6) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Roxanne Modafferi Jennifer Maia 2.28 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Cezar Ferreira Marvin Vettori 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '19 Ricky Bandejas Patrick Mix 1.80 1.25 Sub, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MannysPicks : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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