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MMA Handicapper Stats: Predictions UFC

Predictions UFC (Killbot2000)


MMA MHandicapper - Predictions UFC

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 199 (52%) Right 89 (44%) Right 106 (61%) Right 4 (67%)
Wrong 185 (48%) Wrong 115 (56%) Wrong 68 (39%) Wrong 2 (33%)
Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.20 Avg Odds 1.75 Avg Odds 2.29
Units Bet 1,909.0 Units Bet 731.0 Units Bet 1,134.0 Units Bet 44.0
Avg Bet 4.97 Avg Bet 3.58 Avg Bet 6.52 Avg Bet 7.33
Units Profit 152.49 Units Profit -5.47 Units Profit 127.25 Units Profit 30.72
ROI % 8% ROI % -1% ROI % 11% ROI % 70%
View Handicapper's Profile

Predictions UFC: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 18 -15.7 -87% 0.3 / 2 (14%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 69 -5.9 -8% -1.9 / 5 (-39%) -3.9 / 64 (-6%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 61 4.2 7% 0.4 / 5 (8%) 3.8 / 56 (7%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 69 22.9 33% -2.2 / 5 (-44%) 25.1 / 64 (39%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 59 8.8 15% 1.3 / 3 (44%) 7.4 / 56 (13%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 62 30.6 49% 0.8 / 6 (14%) 29.8 / 56 (53%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 62 -13.2 -21% 2.6 / 4 (64%) -15.8 / 58 (-27%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 69 -18.1 -26% 2.1 / 5 (43%) -20.2 / 64 (-32%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 41 27.4 67% -1.8 / 3 (-58%) 29.2 / 38 (77%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 40 38.3 96% 0.2 / 3 (6%) 38.1 / 37 (103%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 54 12.5 23% -0.5 / 2 (-23%) 12.9 / 52 (25%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 63 -7.6 -12% -1.1 / 6 (-18%) -6.5 / 57 (-11%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 29 -0.4 -1% -0.4 / 29 (-1%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 48 2.0 4% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 5.0 / 45 (11%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 61 -6.7 -11% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.7 / 59 (-8%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 59 10.7 18% 10.7 / 59 (18%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 44 -9.8 -22% -0.5 / 5 (-10%) -9.3 / 39 (-24%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 62 42.6 69% 2.8 / 2 (140%) 39.8 / 60 (66%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 58 2.2 4% 1.3 / 1 (125%) 1.0 / 57 (2%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 27 -13.3 -49% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -11.3 / 25 (-45%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 70 -11.8 -17% 0.7 / 8 (9%) -12.6 / 62 (-20%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 49 10.2 21% 5.3 / 5 (105%) 5.0 / 44 (11%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 27 18.6 69% 0.9 / 4 (23%) 17.7 / 23 (77%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 58 27.4 47% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 2.7 / 8 (34%) 34.7 / 40 (87%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 12 -1.1 -9% 0.5 / 9 (5%) -1.6 / 3 (-53%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 13 -10.6 -82% -6.6 / 9 (-74%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 18 -18.0 -100% -18.0 / 18 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 12 7.6 63% 7.6 / 12 (63%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 32 -22.5 -70% -22.5 / 32 (-70%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 27 8.4 31% 8.4 / 27 (31%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 19 2.6 14% 2.6 / 19 (14%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 42 -8.5 -20% -8.5 / 42 (-20%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 15 0.8 5% 0.8 / 15 (5%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 44 14.1 32% 14.1 / 44 (32%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 24 -2.4 -10% -2.4 / 24 (-10%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 42 -24.5 -58% -24.5 / 42 (-58%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 31 5.2 17% 5.2 / 31 (17%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 34 -9.5 -28% -9.5 / 34 (-28%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 35 5.2 15% 5.2 / 35 (15%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 28 -1.6 -6% -1.6 / 28 (-6%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 31 6.8 22% 6.8 / 31 (22%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 24 5.9 25% 5.9 / 24 (25%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 39 2.9 7% 2.9 / 39 (7%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 27 -14.5 -54% -14.5 / 27 (-54%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 26 23.9 92% 23.9 / 26 (92%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 17 29.2 172% 29.2 / 17 (172%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 25 1.6 6% 1.6 / 25 (6%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 25 -0.6 -2% -1.7 / 23 (-7%) 1.1 / 2 (53%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 8 -3.8 -47% -4.1 / 7 (-58%) 0.3 / 1 (33%)


Winning Events: 27 (55%)
Losing Events: 22 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 38.96 units
Most Staked On One Event: 70.00 units
Best Event: 42.57 units
Worst Event: -24.50 units
Average Event: 3.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 78.24
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -31.33

Predictions UFC: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 400 31.7 8% 1.3 / 30 (4%) 30.4 / 370 (8%) 4 / 3 (57%) 4.53
2020 1476 125.2 8% -1.0 / 671 (-0%) 95.5 / 761 (13%) 30.7 / 44 (70%) 23 / 17 (58%) 3.13
2019 33 -4.4 -13% -5.8 / 30 (-19%) 1.4 / 3 (46%) / 2 (0%) -2.18

Predictions UFC: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Predictions UFC: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1909 152.5 8% -5.5 / 731 (-1%) 127.2 / 1134 (11%) 30.7 / 44 (70%)

Predictions UFC: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 19 (9%) 13 68 % 36.00 -4.86 -0.26 -13%
Slight Favorites 30 (14%) 13 43 % 55.00 -5.97 -0.20 -11%
Slight Underdogs 125 (60%) 58 46 % 516.00 59.67 0.48 12%
Big Underdogs 33 (16%) 5 15 % 124.00 -54.32 -1.65 -44%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 20 (10%) 10 50 % 64.00 28.80 1.44 45%
Co-Main Event 22 (11%) 12 55 % 76.00 3.57 0.16 5%
Position 3-5 59 (29%) 20 34 % 207.00 -56.54 -0.96 -27%
6+ (Undercard) 106 (51%) 47 44 % 384.00 18.69 0.18 5%

Predictions UFC: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 18 (9%) 9 50 % 73.00 6.88 0.38 9%
Light Heavy 16 (8%) 6 38 % 51.00 10.91 0.68 21%
Middleweight 19 (9%) 7 37 % 72.00 -8.39 -0.44 -12%
Welterweight 25 (12%) 13 52 % 83.00 6.63 0.27 8%
Lightweight 20 (10%) 9 45 % 66.00 9.40 0.47 14%
Featherweight 25 (12%) 9 36 % 84.00 -21.28 -0.85 -25%
Bantamweight 26 (13%) 10 38 % 89.00 -9.82 -0.38 -11%
Flyweight 15 (7%) 9 60 % 65.00 11.49 0.77 18%
               
Women's Fights 43 (21%) 17 40 % 148.00 -11.29 -0.26 -8%
Featherweight 1 (0%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Bantamweight 7 (3%) 3 43 % 19.00 -3.05 -0.44 -16%
Flyweight 20 (10%) 8 40 % 65.00 7.49 0.37 12%
Strawweight 15 (7%) 6 40 % 60.00 -11.73 -0.78 -20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 6 (86%) 6 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 1 (14%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
7 7 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 59 (33%) 40 68 %
50-65% 63 (35%) 43 68 %
35-50% 47 (26%) 22 47 %
<35% chance 10 (6%) 4 40 %
179 109 61 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (1%) 1 50 % 1.51 1.77Pick was correct 1.31Pick was incorrect -0.2 (-11%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (1%) 1 50 % 1.82 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct -0.6 (-30%)
Goes to Decision 89 (50%) 52 58 % 1.85 4.33Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was correct 9.4 (11%)
Does not go to Decision 86 (48%) 55 64 % 1.65 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct 6.0 (7%)
179 109 61 % 1.74     14.6 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Predictions UFC's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 8 -3.8 -47% $10.00 $1,000.00 $962.50
8th Jun UFC 238 25 -0.6 -2% $9.62 $962.50 $956.58
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 25 1.6 6% $9.57 $956.58 $971.41
9th Feb UFC 247 17 29.2 172% $9.71 $971.41 $1,255.16
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 26 23.9 92% $5 $12.55 $1,255.16 $1,550.27
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 27 -14.5 -54% $5 $15.50 $1,550.27 $1,320.48
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 39 2.9 7% $5 $13.20 $1,320.48 $1,353.77
8th Mar UFC 248 24 5.9 25% $5 $13.54 $1,353.77 $1,428.91
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 31 6.8 22% $5 $14.29 $1,428.91 $1,521.50
10th May UFC 249 28 -1.6 -6% $5 $15.22 $1,521.50 $1,492.16
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 35 5.2 15% $5 $14.92 $1,492.16 $1,565.35
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 34 -9.5 -28% $5 $15.65 $1,565.35 $1,411.01
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 31 5.2 17% $5 $14.11 $1,411.01 $1,478.68
6th Jun UFC 250 42 -24.5 -58% $5 $14.79 $1,478.68 $1,111.40
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 24 -2.4 -10% $5 $11.11 $1,111.40 $1,079.73
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 44 14.1 32% $5 $10.80 $1,079.73 $1,226.54
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 15 0.8 5% $12.27 $1,226.54 $1,236.11
11th Jul UFC 251 42 -8.5 -20% $5 $12.36 $1,236.11 $1,126.42
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 19 2.6 14% $5 $11.26 $1,126.42 $1,150.70
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 27 8.4 31% $5 $11.51 $1,150.70 $1,242.59
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 32 -22.5 -70% $5 $12.43 $1,242.59 $958.26
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 12 7.6 63% $9.58 $958.26 $1,031.08
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 18 -18.0 -100% $5 $10.31 $1,031.08 $840.49
15th Aug UFC 252 13 -10.6 -82% $8.40 $840.49 $751.15
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 12 -1.1 -9% $5 $7.51 $751.15 $737.73
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 58 27.4 47% $7.38 $737.73 $940.15
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 27 18.6 69% $5 $9.40 $940.15 $1,109.65
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 49 10.2 21% $5 $11.10 $1,109.65 $1,217.94
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 70 -11.8 -17% $5 $12.18 $1,217.94 $1,068.73
26th Sep UFC 253 27 -13.3 -49% $5 $10.69 $1,068.73 $921.38
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 58 2.2 4% $5 $9.21 $921.38 $936.74
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 62 42.6 69% $5 $9.37 $936.74 $1,330.50
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 44 -9.8 -22% $5 $13.31 $1,330.50 $1,195.52
24th Oct UFC 254 59 10.7 18% $5 $11.96 $1,195.52 $1,318.44
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 61 -6.7 -11% $5 $13.18 $1,318.44 $1,224.97
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 48 2.0 4% $5 $12.25 $1,224.97 $1,245.08
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 29 -0.4 -1% $5 $12.45 $1,245.08 $1,235.47
21st Nov UFC 255 63 -7.6 -12% $5 $12.35 $1,235.47 $1,136.45
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 54 12.5 23% $5 $11.36 $1,136.45 $1,273.28
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 40 38.3 96% $5 $12.73 $1,273.28 $1,756.20
13th Dec UFC 256 41 27.4 67% $5 $17.56 $1,756.20 $2,233.10
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 69 -18.1 -26% $5 $22.33 $2,233.10 $1,823.68
16th Jan UFC FN 62 -13.2 -21% $5 $18.24 $1,823.68 $1,577.59
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 62 30.6 49% $5 $15.78 $1,577.59 $2,055.33
24th Jan UFC 257 59 8.8 15% $5 $20.55 $2,055.33 $2,230.38
6th Feb UFC FN 69 22.9 33% $5 $22.30 $2,230.38 $2,737.03
14th Feb UFC 258 61 4.2 7% $5 $27.37 $2,737.03 $2,846.44
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 69 -5.9 -8% $5 $28.46 $2,846.44 $2,674.63
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 18 -15.7 -87% $5 $26.75 $2,674.63 $2,249.18


ROI % from starting bank balance: 124.92% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Predictions UFC: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Jimmie Rivera 2.28 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Casey O'Neill Shana Dobson 1.67 1 TKO, R2 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Paid Pick Tom Aspinall Andrei Arlovski 1.40 1 Sub, R2 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Paid Pick Gabriel Green Phil Rowe 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Paid Pick Polyana Viana Mallory Martin 2.12 1 Sub, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Paid Pick Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch 1.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Paid Pick Ode Osbourne Jerome Rivera 1.53 1 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Paid Pick Cory Sandhagen Frankie Edgar 1.29 1 TKO, R1 (0:28) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Paid Pick Amir Albazi Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Paid Pick Michael Chandler Daniel Hooker 2.37 1 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Paid Pick Mike Davis Mason Jones 2.42 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Paid Pick Matt Schnell Tyson Nam 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '21 Paid Pick Michael Chiesa Neil Magny 2.27 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '21 Paid Pick Vanessa Melo Sarah Moras 2.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '21 Paid Pick Joselyne Edwards Yanan Wu 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '21 Paid Pick Carlos Condit Matt Brown 1.61 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '20 Paid Pick Jimmy Flick Cody Durden 1.69 1 Sub, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '20 Paid Pick Anthony Pettis Alex Morono 1.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '20 Paid Pick Taila Santos Gillian Robertson 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '20 Paid Pick Michel Pereira Kalinn Williams 1.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.58 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Drako Rodriguez Aiemann Zahabi 1.56 1 TKO, R1 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Paid Pick Charles Rosa Darrick Minner 1.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Paid Pick Curtis Blaydes Derrick Lewis 1.30 1 TKO, R2 (1:26) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Paid Pick Andre Ewell Chris Gutierrez 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.40 1 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Paid Pick Molly McCann Lara Fritzen Procopio 1.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Paid Pick Mike Rodriguez Danilo Marques 1.44 1 Sub, R2 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '21 Paid Pick Carlos Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush 1.98 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Paid Pick Jessica Eye Joanne Calderwood 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Paid Pick Victoria Leonardo Manon Fiorot 1.54 1 TKO, R2 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Paid Pick Roxanne Modafferi Viviane Araujo 3.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '21 Paid Pick Vinicius Moreira Ike Villanueva 2.12 1 TKO, R2 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '21 Paid Pick Dusko Todorovic Punahele Soriano 1.66 1 TKO, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '20 Sijara Eubanks Pannie Kianzad 1.69 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '20 Paid Pick Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 1.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '20 Paid Pick Ronaldo Souza Kevin Holland 1.89 1 TKO, R1 (1:45) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '20 Paid Pick Gian Villante Jake Collier 1.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Paid Pick Spike Carlyle Bill Algeo 1.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Paid Pick Louis Cosce Sasha Palatnikov 1.21 2 TKO, R3 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Predictions UFC: Progress Chart

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