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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dane Downey Jr

Dane Downey Jr (DDj)


MMA MHandicapper - Dane Downey Jr

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 45 (47%) Right 14 (44%) Right 4 (40%) Right 27 (50%)
Wrong 51 (53%) Wrong 18 (56%) Wrong 6 (60%) Wrong 27 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 2.78
Units Bet 285.0 Units Bet 145.1 Units Bet 20.3 Units Bet 119.7
Avg Bet 2.97 Avg Bet 4.53 Avg Bet 2.03 Avg Bet 2.22
Units Profit 7.01 Units Profit -30.24 Units Profit -2.73 Units Profit 39.99
ROI % 2% ROI % -21% ROI % -14% ROI % 33%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dane Downey Jr: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 4.5 3.2 71% 3.2 / 4.5 (71%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 5.25 3.3 62% 1.3 / 1.5 (83%) 2.0 / 3.75 (54%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 6 6.9 115% 4.2 / 5 (83%) 2.7 / 1 (275%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 2 2.4 121% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.4 / 1 (342%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 1 1.2 122% 1.2 / 1 (122%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 5.8 -5.8 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.2 -3.2 -100% -3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 2.2 1.3 60% 1.3 / 2.2 (60%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 9.7 -9.7 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -7.2 / 7.2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 2 2.0 101% 2.0 / 2 (101%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 3 1.9 65% 1.9 / 3 (65%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 5 4.5 91% 4.5 / 5 (91%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 7.5 -3.2 -43% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.8 / 3.5 (22%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 2.5 2.5 98% 2.5 / 2.5 (98%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 5 -5.0 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 4.1 3.9 96% 3.9 / 4.1 (96%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 2.5 2.5 100% 2.5 / 2.5 (100%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 5.25 10.2 193% 10.2 / 5.25 (193%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 3 3.0 100% 3.0 / 3 (100%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 2.2 -2.2 -100% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 5.5 -2.1 -38% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.1 / 4.5 (-24%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 2.5 2.5 100% 2.5 / 2.5 (100%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 6 5.1 85% 5.1 / 6 (85%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 2 2.9 147% 2.9 / 2 (147%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 8 4.9 61% 0.5 / 4 (12%) 4.4 / 4 (110%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 13.5 -0.3 -2% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 6.7 / 6.5 (104%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 6.8 -6.8 -100% -6.3 / 6.3 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 15 2.1 14% 2.1 / 15 (14%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 8 -8.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 8.5 1.4 16% 3.9 / 6 (65%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 5.5 3.8 70% 4.3 / 5 (87%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 10 5.2 52% 4.2 / 8 (52%) 1.1 / 2 (53%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 3.5 2.0 56% 2.0 / 3.5 (56%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 12.6 -12.6 -100% -12.6 / 12.6 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 5 2.3 47% 2.3 / 5 (47%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 5 2.2 43% 2.2 / 5 (43%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 7.5 5.0 66% 5.0 / 7.5 (66%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 3 5.0 166% 5.0 / 3 (166%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 11.5 -11.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 11.5 -3.2 -28% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 2.8 / 5.5 (50%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 4 3.3 83% 3.3 / 4 (83%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 11.5 10.6 92% 6.0 / 10 (60%) 4.5 / 1.5 (302%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 2.15 8.2 383% 2.7 / 1.15 (235%) 5.5 / 1 (554%)


Winning Events: 30 (55%)
Losing Events: 25 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units
Best Event: 10.57 units
Worst Event: -12.60 units
Average Event: 0.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 22.14
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.73

Dane Downey Jr: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 7.5 0.2 3% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 3.2 / 4.5 (71%) 1 / 1 (50%) 0.10
2021 25.75 2.3 9% 0.4 / 11.5 (4%) 1.3 / 8.25 (15%) 0.6 / 6 (11%) 4 / 4 (50%) 0.29
2020 99.45 3.6 4% -14.0 / 34 (-41%) -2.1 / 7 (-29%) 19.6 / 58.45 (34%) 13 / 12 (52%) 0.14
2019 151.05 2.1 1% -16.7 / 99.55 (-17%) 1.1 / 2 (53%) 17.8 / 49.5 (36%) 12 / 8 (60%) 0.11

Dane Downey Jr: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dane Downey Jr: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 283.75 8.3 3% -30.2 / 145.05 (-21%) -2.7 / 20.25 (-14%) 41.2 / 118.45 (35%)

Dane Downey Jr: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (16%) 5 83 % 22.00 9.16 1.53 42%
Slight Favorites 22 (58%) 11 50 % 96.40 -22.60 -1.03 -23%
Slight Underdogs 3 (8%) 1 33 % 7.50 -1.50 -0.50 -20%
Big Underdogs 7 (18%) 1 14 % 19.15 -15.30 -2.19 -80%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (47%) 9 50 % 73.25 -7.05 -0.39 -10%
Co-Main Event 8 (21%) 2 25 % 32.00 -21.92 -2.74 -69%
Position 3-5 10 (26%) 7 70 % 34.80 3.73 0.37 11%
6+ (Undercard) 2 (5%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%

Dane Downey Jr: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 0 % 8.60 -8.60 -4.30 -100%
Light Heavy 6 (16%) 2 33 % 21.15 -7.43 -1.24 -35%
Middleweight 4 (11%) 3 75 % 17.50 10.56 2.64 60%
Welterweight 10 (26%) 5 50 % 47.30 -11.22 -1.12 -24%
Lightweight 8 (21%) 6 75 % 24.00 4.19 0.52 17%
Featherweight 6 (16%) 1 17 % 24.00 -18.00 -3.00 -75%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.25 1.25 83%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.25 1.25 83%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 77 (58%) 61 79 %
Slight Favorites 29 (22%) 15 52 %
Slight Underdogs 13 (10%) 7 54 %
Big Underdogs 13 (10%) 2 15 %
132 85 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 4 (44%) 3 75 %
35-50% 3 (33%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 2 (22%) 1 50 %
9 4 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (33%) 3 100 % 1.60 1.65Pick was correct 1.54Pick was correct 1.8 (60%)
X Wins by KO 2 (22%) 1 50 % 2.57 3.75Pick was correct 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.7 (87%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (22%) 0 0 % 2.05 2.10Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 2 (22%) 0 0 % 4.11 9.75Pick was incorrect 2.60Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
9 4 44 % 2.18     -0.5 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dane Downey Jr's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 2.15 8.2 383% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,082.43
8th Jun UFC 238 11.5 10.6 92% $10.82 $1,082.43 $1,196.81
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 4 3.3 83% $11.97 $1,196.81 $1,236.61
6th Jul UFC 239 11.5 -3.2 -28% $12.37 $1,236.61 $1,196.61
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 11.5 -11.5 -100% $11.97 $1,196.61 $1,059.00
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 3 5.0 166% $10.59 $1,059.00 $1,111.65
27th Jul UFC 240 7.5 5.0 66% $11.12 $1,111.65 $1,166.69
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 5 2.2 43% $11.67 $1,166.69 $1,192.05
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 5 2.3 47% $11.92 $1,192.05 $1,219.77
17th Aug UFC 241 12.6 -12.6 -100% $12.20 $1,219.77 $1,066.08
7th Sep UFC 242 3.5 2.0 56% $10.66 $1,066.08 $1,087.14
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 10 5.2 52% $10.87 $1,087.14 $1,143.78
5th Oct UFC 243 5.5 3.8 70% $11.44 $1,143.78 $1,187.79
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 5.5 -5.5 -100% $11.88 $1,187.79 $1,122.46
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 8.5 1.4 16% $11.22 $1,122.46 $1,137.85
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 8 -8.0 -100% $11.38 $1,137.85 $1,046.82
2nd Nov UFC 244 15 2.1 14% $10.47 $1,046.82 $1,068.63
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 6.8 -6.8 -100% $10.69 $1,068.63 $995.97
15th Dec UFC 245 13.5 -0.3 -2% $9.96 $995.97 $993.34
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 1 -1.0 -100% $9.93 $993.34 $983.41
18th Jan UFC 246 8 4.9 61% $9.83 $983.41 $1,031.64
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.32 $1,031.64 $1,026.48
9th Feb UFC 247 4 -4.0 -100% $10.26 $1,026.48 $985.42
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 2 2.9 147% $9.85 $985.42 $1,014.49
8th Mar UFC 248 6 5.1 85% $10.14 $1,014.49 $1,066.02
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 2.5 2.5 100% $10.66 $1,066.02 $1,092.67
10th May UFC 249 5.5 -2.1 -38% $10.93 $1,092.67 $1,069.97
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 2.2 -2.2 -100% $10.70 $1,069.97 $1,046.43
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 3 3.0 100% $10.46 $1,046.43 $1,077.82
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 5.25 10.2 193% $10.78 $1,077.82 $1,187.23
6th Jun UFC 250 2.5 2.5 100% $11.87 $1,187.23 $1,216.93
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 4.1 3.9 96% $12.17 $1,216.93 $1,264.68
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 5 -5.0 -100% $12.65 $1,264.68 $1,201.44
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 2.5 2.5 98% $12.01 $1,201.44 $1,230.99
11th Jul UFC 251 7.5 -3.2 -43% $12.31 $1,230.99 $1,191.27
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 4 -4.0 -100% $11.91 $1,191.27 $1,143.62
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 5 4.5 91% $11.44 $1,143.62 $1,195.61
15th Aug UFC 252 3.5 -3.5 -100% $11.96 $1,195.61 $1,153.76
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 3 1.9 65% $11.54 $1,153.76 $1,176.09
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 2 2.0 101% $11.76 $1,176.09 $1,199.78
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 0.5 -0.5 -100% $12.00 $1,199.78 $1,193.78
26th Sep UFC 253 9.7 -9.7 -100% $11.94 $1,193.78 $1,077.98
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 2.2 1.3 60% $10.78 $1,077.98 $1,092.16
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.2 -3.2 -100% $10.92 $1,092.16 $1,057.21
24th Oct UFC 254 5.8 -5.8 -100% $10.57 $1,057.21 $995.89
24th Jan UFC 257 3 -3.0 -100% $9.96 $995.89 $966.01
1st May UFC FN 1 1.2 122% $9.66 $966.01 $977.76
15th May UFC 262 1 -1.0 -100% $9.78 $977.76 $967.98
12th Jun UFC 263 2 2.4 121% $9.68 $967.98 $991.37
10th Jul UFC 264 5 -5.0 -100% $9.91 $991.37 $941.81
25th Sep UFC 266 6 6.9 115% $9.42 $941.81 $1,006.95
6th Nov UFC 268 5.25 3.3 62% $10.07 $1,006.95 $1,039.95
13th Nov UFC FN 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.40 $1,039.95 $1,013.95
5th Mar UFC 272 4.5 3.2 71% $10.14 $1,013.95 $1,046.47
9th Apr UFC 273 3 -3.0 -100% $10.46 $1,046.47 $1,015.08


ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dane Downey Jr: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 1.83 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '21 Robbie Lawler Nick Diaz 1.83 5 TKO, R3 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '20 Robert Whittaker Darren Till 1.91 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '20 Dan Ige Edson Barboza 2.00 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Conor McGregor Donald Cerrone 1.50 3 TKO, R1 (0:40) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '19 Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque 1.83 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 Jorge Masvidal Nate Diaz 1.63 6 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Dominick Reyes Chris Weidman 1.65 6 TKO, R1 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker 1.87 5 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '19 Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '19 Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone 1.53 6 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Vicente Luque Mike Perry 1.47 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Colby Covington Robbie Lawler 1.43 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.65 3 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.67 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.57 1.7 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Anthony Smith Alexander Gustafsson 3.35 1.15 Sub, R4 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.57 4.3 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '21 Stephen Thompson Gilbert Burns 1.63 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '20 Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.85 5 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '20 Paulo Costa Israel Adesanya 2.40 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:59) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '20 Cody Stamann Jimmie Rivera 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '20 Volkan Oezdemir Jiri Prochazka 1.65 4 TKO, R2 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '20 Shane Burgos Josh Emmett 1.74 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '20 Dominick Cruz Henry Cejudo 3.00 1 TKO, R2 (4:58) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Dominick Reyes Jon Jones 4.25 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Nasrat Haqparast Drew Dober 1.33 1 TKO, R1 (1:10) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 1.63 7 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '19 Ramazan Emeev Tony Martin 1.65 4.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '19 Calvin Kattar Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '19 Kelvin Gastelum Darren Till 1.63 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '19 Ben Askren Demian Maia 1.63 6 Sub, R3 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Anthony Pettis Nate Diaz 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.67 3 TKO, R4 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Mirsad Bektic Josh Emmett 1.57 6.5 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Thiago Santos Jon Jones 5.25 2.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '19 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.67 5.6 TKO, R4 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Thiago Santos Jon Jones 5.35 3.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dane Downey Jr: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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