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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dane Downey Jr |
|
Dane Downey Jr: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 30 (55%) Losing Events: 25 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.16 units Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units Best Event: 10.57 units Worst Event: -12.60 units Average Event: 0.15 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 22.14 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.73 |
Dane Downey Jr: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
7.5 |
0.2 |
3% |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
3.2 / 4.5 (71%) |
1 / 1 (50%) |
0.10 |
2021 |
25.75 |
2.3 |
9% |
0.4 / 11.5 (4%) |
1.3 / 8.25 (15%) |
0.6 / 6 (11%) |
4 / 4 (50%) |
0.29 |
2020 |
99.45 |
3.6 |
4% |
-14.0 / 34 (-41%) |
-2.1 / 7 (-29%) |
19.6 / 58.45 (34%) |
13 / 12 (52%) |
0.14 |
2019 |
151.05 |
2.1 |
1% |
-16.7 / 99.55 (-17%) |
1.1 / 2 (53%) |
17.8 / 49.5 (36%) |
12 / 8 (60%) |
0.11 |
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Dane Downey Jr: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Dane Downey Jr: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
283.75 |
8.3 |
3% |
-30.2 / 145.05 (-21%) |
-2.7 / 20.25 (-14%) |
41.2 / 118.45 (35%) |
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Dane Downey Jr: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (16%) |
5 |
83 % |
22.00 |
9.16 |
1.53 |
42% |
Slight Favorites |
22 (58%) |
11 |
50 % |
96.40 |
-22.60 |
-1.03 |
-23% |
Slight Underdogs |
3 (8%) |
1 |
33 % |
7.50 |
-1.50 |
-0.50 |
-20% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (18%) |
1 |
14 % |
19.15 |
-15.30 |
-2.19 |
-80% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
18 (47%) |
9 |
50 % |
73.25 |
-7.05 |
-0.39 |
-10% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (21%) |
2 |
25 % |
32.00 |
-21.92 |
-2.74 |
-69% |
Position 3-5 |
10 (26%) |
7 |
70 % |
34.80 |
3.73 |
0.37 |
11% |
6+ (Undercard) |
2 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-2.50 |
-100% |
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Dane Downey Jr: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (5%) |
|
0 % |
8.60 |
-8.60 |
-4.30 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
6 (16%) |
2 |
33 % |
21.15 |
-7.43 |
-1.24 |
-35% |
Middleweight |
4 (11%) |
3 |
75 % |
17.50 |
10.56 |
2.64 |
60% |
Welterweight |
10 (26%) |
5 |
50 % |
47.30 |
-11.22 |
-1.12 |
-24% |
Lightweight |
8 (21%) |
6 |
75 % |
24.00 |
4.19 |
0.52 |
17% |
Featherweight |
6 (16%) |
1 |
17 % |
24.00 |
-18.00 |
-3.00 |
-75% |
Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.25 |
1.25 |
83% |
Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.25 |
1.25 |
83% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
77 (58%) |
61 |
79 % |
Slight Favorites |
29 (22%) |
15 |
52 % |
Slight Underdogs |
13 (10%) |
7 |
54 % |
Big Underdogs |
13 (10%) |
2 |
15 % |
|
132 |
85 |
64 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
4 (44%) |
3 |
75 % |
35-50% |
3 (33%) |
0 |
0 % |
<35% chance |
2 (22%) |
1 |
50 % |
|
9 |
4 |
44 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
3 (33%) |
3 |
100 % |
1.60 |
1.65 |
1.54 |
1.8 (60%) |
X Wins by KO |
2 (22%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.57 |
3.75 |
1.95 |
1.7 (87%) |
X Wins Inside Distance |
2 (22%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.05 |
2.10 |
2.00 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
Others |
2 (22%) |
0 |
0 % |
4.11 |
9.75 |
2.60 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
|
9 |
4 |
44 % |
2.18 |
|
|
-0.5 (-5%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Dane Downey Jr's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
2.15 |
8.2 |
383% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,082.43 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
11.5 |
10.6 |
92% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,082.43 |
$1,196.81 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
4 |
3.3 |
83% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,196.81 |
$1,236.61 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
11.5 |
-3.2 |
-28% |
|
$12.37 |
$1,236.61 |
$1,196.61 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
11.5 |
-11.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,196.61 |
$1,059.00 |
20th Jul |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
3 |
5.0 |
166% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,059.00 |
$1,111.65 |
27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
7.5 |
5.0 |
66% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,111.65 |
$1,166.69 |
3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
5 |
2.2 |
43% |
|
$11.67 |
$1,166.69 |
$1,192.05 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
5 |
2.3 |
47% |
|
$11.92 |
$1,192.05 |
$1,219.77 |
17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
12.6 |
-12.6 |
-100% |
|
$12.20 |
$1,219.77 |
$1,066.08 |
7th Sep |
UFC 242 |
3.5 |
2.0 |
56% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.08 |
$1,087.14 |
14th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 158 |
10 |
5.2 |
52% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,087.14 |
$1,143.78 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
70% |
|
$11.44 |
$1,143.78 |
$1,187.79 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
5.5 |
-5.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.88 |
$1,187.79 |
$1,122.46 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
8.5 |
1.4 |
16% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,122.46 |
$1,137.85 |
26th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 162 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.38 |
$1,137.85 |
$1,046.82 |
2nd Nov |
UFC 244 |
15 |
2.1 |
14% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.82 |
$1,068.63 |
9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 163 |
6.8 |
-6.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.63 |
$995.97 |
15th Dec |
UFC 245 |
13.5 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.97 |
$993.34 |
21st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 165 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.34 |
$983.41 |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
8 |
4.9 |
61% |
|
$9.83 |
$983.41 |
$1,031.64 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.64 |
$1,026.48 |
9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,026.48 |
$985.42 |
29th Feb |
UFC Fight Night |
2 |
2.9 |
147% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.42 |
$1,014.49 |
8th Mar |
UFC 248 |
6 |
5.1 |
85% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,014.49 |
$1,066.02 |
14th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
100% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.02 |
$1,092.67 |
10th May |
UFC 249 |
5.5 |
-2.1 |
-38% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,092.67 |
$1,069.97 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
2.2 |
-2.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.97 |
$1,046.43 |
16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
3 |
3.0 |
100% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,046.43 |
$1,077.82 |
30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
5.25 |
10.2 |
193% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,077.82 |
$1,187.23 |
6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
100% |
|
$11.87 |
$1,187.23 |
$1,216.93 |
13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
96% |
|
$12.17 |
$1,216.93 |
$1,264.68 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.65 |
$1,264.68 |
$1,201.44 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
98% |
|
$12.01 |
$1,201.44 |
$1,230.99 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
7.5 |
-3.2 |
-43% |
|
$12.31 |
$1,230.99 |
$1,191.27 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,191.27 |
$1,143.62 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
5 |
4.5 |
91% |
|
$11.44 |
$1,143.62 |
$1,195.61 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.96 |
$1,195.61 |
$1,153.76 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
3 |
1.9 |
65% |
|
$11.54 |
$1,153.76 |
$1,176.09 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
2 |
2.0 |
101% |
|
$11.76 |
$1,176.09 |
$1,199.78 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.00 |
$1,199.78 |
$1,193.78 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
9.7 |
-9.7 |
-100% |
|
$11.94 |
$1,193.78 |
$1,077.98 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
2.2 |
1.3 |
60% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,077.98 |
$1,092.16 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
3.2 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,092.16 |
$1,057.21 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
5.8 |
-5.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,057.21 |
$995.89 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.89 |
$966.01 |
1st May |
UFC FN |
1 |
1.2 |
122% |
|
$9.66 |
$966.01 |
$977.76 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.78 |
$977.76 |
$967.98 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
2 |
2.4 |
121% |
|
$9.68 |
$967.98 |
$991.37 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.91 |
$991.37 |
$941.81 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
6 |
6.9 |
115% |
|
$9.42 |
$941.81 |
$1,006.95 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
5.25 |
3.3 |
62% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.95 |
$1,039.95 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.95 |
$1,013.95 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
71% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.95 |
$1,046.47 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,046.47 |
$1,015.08 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Dane Downey Jr: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '21 |
Rose Namajunas |
Weili Zhang |
1.83 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Sep '21 |
Robbie Lawler |
Nick Diaz |
1.83 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:44) |
|
|
3. |
Jul '20 |
Robert Whittaker |
Darren Till |
1.91 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
May '20 |
Dan Ige |
Edson Barboza |
2.00 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Jan '20 |
Conor McGregor |
Donald Cerrone |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:40) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '19 |
Stephen Thompson |
Vicente Luque |
1.83 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Nov '19 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Nate Diaz |
1.63 |
6 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '19 |
Dominick Reyes |
Chris Weidman |
1.65 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '19 |
Israel Adesanya |
Robert Whittaker |
1.87 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:33) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '19 |
Justin Gaethje |
Donald Cerrone |
1.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:18) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '19 |
Justin Gaethje |
Donald Cerrone |
1.53 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (4:18) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '19 |
Vicente Luque |
Mike Perry |
1.47 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '19 |
Colby Covington |
Robbie Lawler |
1.43 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Jun '19 |
Tony Ferguson |
Donald Cerrone |
1.65 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
15. |
Jun '19 |
Tony Ferguson |
Donald Cerrone |
1.67 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
16. |
Jun '19 |
Tony Ferguson |
Donald Cerrone |
1.57 |
1.7 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
17. |
Jun '19 |
Anthony Smith |
Alexander Gustafsson |
3.35 |
1.15 |
Sub, R4 (2:38) |
|
|
18. |
Jun '19 |
Tony Ferguson |
Donald Cerrone |
1.57 |
4.3 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Dane Downey Jr: Progress Chart |
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