MMA Handicapper Stats: DieHard MMAPodcast |
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DieHard MMAPodcast: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
6th Jun '20 |
UFC 250 |
11.45 |
-4.1 |
-35% |
-2.5 / 7.45 (-33%) |
-0.6 / 3 (-20%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
30th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
8.21 |
3.6 |
43% |
2.5 / 4.35 (59%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
2.0 / 2.86 (70%) |
10th May '20 |
UFC 249 |
5 |
2.7 |
55% |
-0.5 / 3 (-17%) |
|
3.2 / 2 (161%) |
2nd Nov '19 |
UFC 244 |
13.08 |
0.6 |
5% |
0.6 / 10.98 (6%) |
1.0 / 1.1 (91%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
26th Oct '19 |
Bellator 232 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
26th Oct '19 |
UFC Fight Night 162 |
6.91 |
0.4 |
6% |
1.6 / 5.71 (28%) |
-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) |
|
18th Oct '19 |
UFC ESPN 6 |
4.53 |
2.0 |
44% |
1.0 / 3.53 (28%) |
1.0 / 1 (100%) |
|
12th Oct '19 |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
7.51 |
1.6 |
21% |
1.3 / 3.5 (37%) |
0.3 / 2 (13%) |
0.0 / 2.01 (0%) |
5th Oct '19 |
UFC 243 |
9.1 |
1.4 |
15% |
-0.1 / 5.1 (-1%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
4.4 / 1 (444%) |
28th Sep '19 |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
9.85 |
-7.6 |
-77% |
-4.4 / 6.65 (-66%) |
-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%) |
|
21st Sep '19 |
UFC Fight Night 159 |
5.44 |
-1.2 |
-23% |
0.9 / 3.32 (27%) |
|
-2.1 / 2.12 (-100%) |
14th Sep '19 |
UFC Fight Night 158 |
5.13 |
2.2 |
42% |
2.2 / 5.13 (42%) |
|
|
7th Sep '19 |
UFC 242 |
7 |
2.6 |
38% |
3.6 / 6 (60%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
31st Aug '19 |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
4.8 |
-4.8 |
-100% |
-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%) |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
17th Aug '19 |
UFC 241 |
6.38 |
-4.3 |
-68% |
-5.4 / 5.38 (-100%) |
|
1.1 / 1 (106%) |
10th Aug '19 |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
7.85 |
3.9 |
49% |
2.8 / 6.85 (41%) |
1.1 / 1 (105%) |
|
3rd Aug '19 |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
10.17 |
-0.7 |
-7% |
-0.7 / 7.57 (-9%) |
1.0 / 1.6 (63%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
27th Jul '19 |
UFC 240 |
7.48 |
1.0 |
14% |
-1.2 / 5.48 (-22%) |
|
2.2 / 2 (111%) |
20th Jul '19 |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
10.05 |
-0.7 |
-6% |
0.3 / 9.05 (4%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
13th Jul '19 |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
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6th Jul '19 |
UFC 239 |
10.1 |
3.8 |
37% |
1.5 / 4 (36%) |
-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) |
3.4 / 5 (68%) |
29th Jun '19 |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
5.95 |
-1.0 |
-17% |
-0.0 / 2.25 (-0%) |
-1.0 / 3.7 (-27%) |
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22nd Jun '19 |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
5.42 |
-3.0 |
-55% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 3.42 (-29%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
14th Jun '19 |
Bellator 222 |
3.4 |
-1.1 |
-33% |
-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%) |
|
1.3 / 1 (129%) |
8th Jun '19 |
UFC 238 |
11.17 |
0.6 |
5% |
-1.6 / 7.02 (-23%) |
2.2 / 4.15 (53%) |
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1st Jun '19 |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
4.42 |
-0.8 |
-17% |
0.2 / 3.42 (7%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
18th May '19 |
UFC Fight Night 152 |
3 |
1.5 |
50% |
2.5 / 2 (125%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
11th May '19 |
UFC 237 |
8.49 |
-8.5 |
-100% |
-8.5 / 8.49 (-100%) |
|
|
4th May '19 |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
7 |
-5.4 |
-77% |
-5.4 / 7 (-77%) |
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Winning Events: 14 (48%) Losing Events: 15 (52%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.93 units Most Staked On One Event: 13.08 units Best Event: 3.85 units Worst Event: -8.49 units Average Event: -0.60 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 6.92 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.86 |
DieHard MMAPodcast: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2020 |
24.66 |
2.2 |
9% |
-0.4 / 14.8 (-3%) |
-1.6 / 4 (-40%) |
4.2 / 5.86 (72%) |
2 / 1 (67%) |
0.75 |
2019 |
176.23 |
-19.5 |
-11% |
-16.8 / 126.63 (-13%) |
-4.0 / 26.47 (-15%) |
1.3 / 23.13 (6%) |
12 / 14 (46%) |
-0.75 |
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DieHard MMAPodcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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DieHard MMAPodcast: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
196.49 |
-15.2 |
-8% |
-13.8 / 138.03 (-10%) |
-5.6 / 30.47 (-18%) |
4.2 / 27.99 (15%) |
Bellator |
4.4 |
-2.1 |
-48% |
-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%) |
|
1.3 / 1 (129%) |
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DieHard MMAPodcast: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
7 (6%) |
5 |
71 % |
14.20 |
-3.27 |
-0.47 |
-23% |
Slight Favorites |
49 (43%) |
26 |
53 % |
67.23 |
-2.74 |
-0.06 |
-4% |
Slight Underdogs |
45 (39%) |
17 |
38 % |
46.00 |
-7.10 |
-0.16 |
-15% |
Big Underdogs |
14 (12%) |
3 |
21 % |
14.00 |
-4.10 |
-0.29 |
-29% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (15%) |
6 |
35 % |
18.72 |
-3.05 |
-0.18 |
-16% |
Co-Main Event |
13 (11%) |
5 |
38 % |
14.60 |
-3.30 |
-0.25 |
-23% |
Position 3-5 |
29 (25%) |
11 |
38 % |
40.49 |
-11.06 |
-0.38 |
-27% |
6+ (Undercard) |
56 (49%) |
29 |
52 % |
67.62 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0% |
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DieHard MMAPodcast: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
11 (10%) |
5 |
45 % |
12.51 |
-2.09 |
-0.19 |
-17% |
Light Heavy |
12 (10%) |
6 |
50 % |
16.60 |
-1.83 |
-0.15 |
-11% |
Middleweight |
15 (13%) |
8 |
53 % |
17.51 |
1.56 |
0.10 |
9% |
Welterweight |
23 (20%) |
10 |
43 % |
27.93 |
-2.27 |
-0.10 |
-8% |
Lightweight |
9 (8%) |
5 |
56 % |
10.77 |
-0.13 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
12 (10%) |
3 |
25 % |
15.46 |
-7.56 |
-0.63 |
-49% |
Bantamweight |
6 (5%) |
|
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
7.91 |
0.82 |
0.12 |
10% |
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|
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Women's Fights |
20 (17%) |
10 |
50 % |
26.74 |
0.29 |
0.01 |
1% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.60 |
1.30 |
130% |
Flyweight |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
9.84 |
2.28 |
0.33 |
23% |
Strawweight |
11 (10%) |
4 |
36 % |
14.90 |
-4.59 |
-0.42 |
-31% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
32 (73%) |
25 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (25%) |
6 |
55 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
44 |
32 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
50-65% |
13 (38%) |
8 |
62 % |
35-50% |
10 (29%) |
4 |
40 % |
<35% chance |
8 (24%) |
1 |
13 % |
|
34 |
15 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail DieHard MMAPodcast's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.18% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
DieHard MMAPodcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '20 |
Chase Hooper |
Alex Caceres |
1.69 |
1.45 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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|
2. |
Jun '20 |
Brian Kelleher |
Cody Stamann |
3.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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|
3. |
Jun '20 |
Jussier Formiga |
Alex Perez |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:6) |
No |
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4. |
Jun '20 |
Raphael Assuncao |
Cody Garbrandt |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:59) |
No |
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5. |
May '20 |
Spike Carlyle |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
May '20 |
Charles Rosa |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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7. |
May '20 |
Niko Price |
Vicente Luque |
3.40 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:37) |
No |
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8. |
Nov '19 |
Chance Rencountre |
Lyman Good |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:3) |
No |
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9. |
Nov '19 |
Vicente Luque |
Stephen Thompson |
2.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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10. |
Nov '19 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Darren Till |
1.53 |
1.9 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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11. |
Nov '19 |
Nate Diaz |
Jorge Masvidal |
2.55 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
No |
|
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12. |
Oct '19 |
Rory MacDonald |
Douglas Lima |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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13. |
Oct '19 |
Enrique Barzola |
Movsar Evloev |
2.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '19 |
Laureano Staropoli |
Muslim Salikhov |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '19 |
Gillian Robertson |
Maycee Barber |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:4) |
No |
|
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16. |
Oct '19 |
Michelle Waterson |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
4.05 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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17. |
Oct '19 |
Justin Tafa |
Yorgan De Castro |
1.95 |
1.05 |
TKO, R1 (2:10) |
No |
|
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18. |
Oct '19 |
Bruno Silva |
Khalid Taha |
3.00 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:0) |
No |
|
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19. |
Sep '19 |
Nohelin Hernandez |
Jack Shore |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:51) |
No |
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20. |
Sep '19 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Ovince St Preux |
1.45 |
4.4 |
Sub, R2 (2:46) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
DieHard MMAPodcast: Progress Chart |
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