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Total MMA Handicappers: 1747
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 724

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC Prophet

UFC Prophet (TheRealUfcGuru)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - UFC Prophet

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 23 (37%) Right 15 (41%) Right 5 (38%) Right 3 (25%)
Wrong 39 (63%) Wrong 22 (59%) Wrong 8 (62%) Wrong 9 (75%)
Avg Odds 2.45 Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 3.26 Avg Odds 2.37
Units Bet 177.5 Units Bet 118.0 Units Bet 22.5 Units Bet 37.0
Avg Bet 2.86 Avg Bet 3.19 Avg Bet 1.73 Avg Bet 3.08
Units Profit -6.24 Units Profit 7.81 Units Profit 2.99 Units Profit -17.04
ROI % -4% ROI % 7% ROI % 13% ROI % -46%
View Handicapper's Profile

UFC Prophet: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 21 0.8 4% 0.4 / 17 (3%) 3.4 / 1 (340%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 17 -4.8 -28% 4.2 / 8 (52%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 18.5 10.4 56% 5.9 / 8.5 (70%) -0.3 / 7 (-5%) 4.8 / 3 (160%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 11 17.3 157% 17.3 / 11 (157%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 10.5 -2.6 -25% -2.6 / 10.5 (-25%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 27 0.0 0% -4.7 / 21.5 (-22%) 4.7 / 5.5 (85%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 5.5 -5.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 7 -7.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 12.5 -12.5 -100% -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 16.5 0.3 2% 3.3 / 13.5 (25%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 14 -2.0 -14% 0.4 / 6.5 (6%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.9 / 6 (-15%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 14 2.3 16% 0.0 / 5 (0%) 0.2 / 4 (6%) 2.1 / 5 (42%)


Winning Events: 6 (46%)
Losing Events: 7 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 27.00 units
Best Event: 17.30 units
Worst Event: -12.50 units
Average Event: -0.48 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 27.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -25.00

UFC Prophet: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 177.5 -6.2 -4% 7.8 / 118 (7%) 3.0 / 22.5 (13%) -17.0 / 37 (-46%) 6 / 7 (46%) -0.48

UFC Prophet: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC Prophet: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 164 -0.6 -0% 10.4 / 107.5 (10%) 3.0 / 22.5 (13%) -14.0 / 34 (-41%)
Bellator 13.5 -5.6 -42% -2.6 / 10.5 (-25%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

UFC Prophet: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Slight Favorites 12 (32%) 6 50 % 51.00 -4.49 -0.37 -9%
Slight Underdogs 17 (46%) 7 41 % 49.50 11.09 0.65 22%
Big Underdogs 8 (22%) 2 25 % 17.50 1.20 0.15 7%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (16%) 4 67 % 24.00 17.22 2.87 72%
Co-Main Event 3 (8%) 1 33 % 9.00 -1.19 -0.40 -13%
Position 3-5 12 (32%) 5 42 % 39.50 2.37 0.20 6%
6+ (Undercard) 16 (43%) 5 31 % 45.50 -10.60 -0.66 -23%

UFC Prophet: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Light Heavy 4 (11%) 1 25 % 8.50 -1.60 -0.40 -19%
Middleweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 9.00 -1.19 -0.40 -13%
Welterweight 6 (16%) 2 33 % 20.00 0.14 0.02 1%
Lightweight 6 (16%) 4 67 % 18.00 10.87 1.81 60%
Featherweight 7 (19%) 3 43 % 28.00 -0.02 -0.00 -0%
Bantamweight 5 (14%) 2 40 % 15.50 0.86 0.17 6%
               
Women's Fights 5 (14%) 2 40 % 14.00 3.75 0.75 27%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 4.95 4.95 99%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 4.80 4.80 160%
Strawweight 3 (8%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -2.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 11 (44%) 9 82 %
Slight Favorites 12 (48%) 5 42 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (8%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
25 15 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 2 (17%) 2 100 %
35-50% 1 (8%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 9 (75%) 2 22 %
12 4 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (25%) 2 67 % 1.83 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 0.5 (16%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (8%) 1 100 % 4.40 4.40Pick was correct 4.40Pick was correct 3.4 (340%)
X Wins by KO 3 (25%) 1 33 % 3.71 4.40Pick was correct 3.30Pick was incorrect 1.4 (47%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (25%) 0 0 % 5.87 7.00Pick was incorrect 4.90Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (8%) 0 0 % 4.90 4.90Pick was incorrect 4.90Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (8%) 0 0 % 8.00 8.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
12 4 33 % 3.41     0.3 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC Prophet's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 14 2.3 16% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,023.03
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 14 -2.0 -14% $10.23 $1,023.03 $1,002.38
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 16.5 0.3 2% $10.02 $1,002.38 $1,005.88
11th May UFC 237 12.5 -12.5 -100% $10.06 $1,005.88 $880.15
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 7 -7.0 -100% $8.80 $880.15 $818.54
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 5.5 -5.5 -100% $8.19 $818.54 $773.52
8th Jun UFC 238 27 0.0 0% $7.74 $773.52 $773.62
14th Jun Bellator 222 10.5 -2.6 -25% $7.74 $773.62 $753.31
22nd Jun Bellator London 3 -3.0 -100% $7.53 $753.31 $730.72
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 11 17.3 157% $7.31 $730.72 $857.13
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 18.5 10.4 56% $8.57 $857.13 $946.33
6th Jul UFC 239 17 -4.8 -28% $9.46 $946.33 $900.91
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 21 0.8 4% $9.01 $900.91 $908.38


ROI % from starting bank balance: -9.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC Prophet: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Ryan Hall Darren Elkins 1.87 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 1.99 5 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren 3.05 4 TKO, R1 (0:5) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Vinc Pichel Roosevelt Roberts 3.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Demian Maia Tony Martin 1.59 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Dan Ige Kevin Aguilar 2.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Kyoji Horiguchi Darrion Caldwell 2.25 3.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Molly McCann Ariane Lipski 2.60 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Chan Sung Jung Renato Moicano 2.75 5 TKO, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.67 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Henry Cejudo Marlon Moraes 2.12 4 TKO, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 1.95 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.26 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba 2.30 3 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Alexander Yakovlev Alex da Silva 1.67 3 Sub, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Darren Elkins Ryan Hall 1.87 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Randa Markos Claudia Gadelha 2.98 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Diego Sanchez Michael Chiesa 3.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Paul Craig Alonzo Menifield 3.60 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Neiman Gracie Rory MacDonald 2.95 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Ricky Bandejas Patrick Mix 1.67 3 Sub, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Chael Sonnen Lyoto Machida 3.60 2 TKO, R2 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Jimmie Rivera Petr Yan 3.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov 1.67 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Angela Hill Yan Xiaonan 2.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling 2.20 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Darko Stosic Devin Clark 1.98 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 2.15 2 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.98 4 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Thiago Alves Laureano Staropoli 1.91 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.50 3 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Kurt Holobaugh Thiago Moises 2.30 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.45 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.54 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Jason Gonzalez Jim Miller 2.20 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC Prophet: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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