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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jake Thomas |
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Jake Thomas: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 28 (68%) Losing Events: 13 (32%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.24 units Most Staked On One Event: 72.30 units Best Event: 20.96 units Worst Event: -36.00 units Average Event: -0.07 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 45.55 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -58.33 |
Jake Thomas: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
665.75 |
-2.9 |
-0% |
-0.8 / 639.2 (-0%) |
-2.6 / 9.55 (-28%) |
0.5 / 17 (3%) |
28 / 13 (68%) |
-0.07 |
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Jake Thomas: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Jake Thomas: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
507.05 |
-1.4 |
-0% |
2.1 / 483.5 (0%) |
-4.0 / 6.55 (-61%) |
0.5 / 17 (3%) |
Bellator |
41.2 |
0.8 |
2% |
-0.6 / 38.2 (-1%) |
1.4 / 3 (45%) |
|
PFL |
59 |
-3.8 |
-6% |
-3.8 / 59 (-6%) |
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|
Other |
58.5 |
1.5 |
3% |
1.5 / 58.5 (3%) |
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Jake Thomas: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
98 (83%) |
78 |
80 % |
564.40 |
-10.21 |
-0.10 |
-2% |
Slight Favorites |
14 (12%) |
7 |
50 % |
55.30 |
-6.96 |
-0.50 |
-13% |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (5%) |
4 |
67 % |
19.50 |
16.37 |
2.73 |
84% |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (14%) |
12 |
71 % |
100.80 |
10.74 |
0.63 |
11% |
Co-Main Event |
15 (13%) |
12 |
80 % |
71.80 |
6.26 |
0.42 |
9% |
Position 3-5 |
38 (32%) |
26 |
68 % |
213.30 |
-25.99 |
-0.68 |
-12% |
6+ (Undercard) |
48 (41%) |
39 |
81 % |
253.30 |
8.19 |
0.17 |
3% |
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Jake Thomas: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
11 (9%) |
10 |
91 % |
48.10 |
13.76 |
1.25 |
29% |
Light Heavy |
10 (8%) |
7 |
70 % |
37.00 |
-5.28 |
-0.53 |
-14% |
Middleweight |
12 (10%) |
7 |
58 % |
75.60 |
-7.95 |
-0.66 |
-11% |
Welterweight |
13 (11%) |
11 |
85 % |
65.90 |
8.48 |
0.65 |
13% |
Lightweight |
24 (20%) |
20 |
83 % |
144.30 |
3.74 |
0.16 |
3% |
Featherweight |
12 (10%) |
9 |
75 % |
54.00 |
9.93 |
0.83 |
18% |
Bantamweight |
12 (10%) |
9 |
75 % |
79.00 |
2.91 |
0.24 |
4% |
Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
11.00 |
4.09 |
4.09 |
37% |
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|
|
|
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|
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Women's Fights |
23 (19%) |
15 |
65 % |
124.30 |
-30.46 |
-1.32 |
-25% |
Featherweight |
4 (3%) |
4 |
100 % |
30.00 |
5.60 |
1.40 |
19% |
Bantamweight |
8 (7%) |
4 |
50 % |
53.20 |
-32.56 |
-4.07 |
-61% |
Flyweight |
6 (5%) |
3 |
50 % |
23.10 |
-2.59 |
-0.43 |
-11% |
Strawweight |
5 (4%) |
4 |
80 % |
18.00 |
-0.92 |
-0.18 |
-5% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
9 (100%) |
7 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
9 |
7 |
78 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
50-65% |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
2 (100%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.54 |
1.65 |
1.45 |
1.1 (55%) |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
1.54 |
|
|
1.1 (55%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Jake Thomas's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
$5 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,020.00 |
20th Apr |
UFC Fight Night 149 |
2 |
0.7 |
36% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.00 |
$1,027.29 |
27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
4 |
1.3 |
33% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.29 |
$1,040.84 |
4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
4 |
0.7 |
18% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.84 |
$1,048.25 |
11th May |
UFC 237 |
8 |
-1.6 |
-20% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,048.25 |
$1,031.58 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night 152 |
11 |
2.8 |
25% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.58 |
$1,060.17 |
23rd May |
PFL 2019: Week 2 |
4 |
0.5 |
12% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.17 |
$1,065.47 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
15 |
1.5 |
10% |
|
$10.65 |
$1,065.47 |
$1,081.29 |
14th Jun |
Bellator 222 |
5.5 |
-1.0 |
-19% |
|
$10.81 |
$1,081.29 |
$1,070.26 |
19th Jun |
DWTNCS 17 |
6 |
-3.4 |
-56% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,070.26 |
$1,034.25 |
22nd Jun |
Bellator London |
8.6 |
-4.5 |
-52% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,034.25 |
$987.71 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
10.8 |
-3.0 |
-28% |
|
$9.88 |
$987.71 |
$957.69 |
26th Jun |
DWTNCS 18 |
9 |
2.0 |
22% |
|
$9.58 |
$957.69 |
$976.85 |
29th Jun |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
34.5 |
2.4 |
7% |
|
$9.77 |
$976.85 |
$1,000.35 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
16 |
5.4 |
33% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.35 |
$1,053.90 |
10th Jul |
DWTNCS 19 |
5 |
2.2 |
43% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.90 |
$1,076.81 |
11th Jul |
PFL 2019: Week 4 |
6 |
1.6 |
26% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.81 |
$1,093.60 |
12th Jul |
Bellator 224 |
7.1 |
2.4 |
33% |
|
$10.94 |
$1,093.60 |
$1,119.47 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
17.2 |
-17.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,119.47 |
$926.92 |
17th Jul |
DWCS 20 |
12 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$9.27 |
$926.92 |
$926.92 |
20th Jul |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
38.1 |
4.3 |
11% |
|
$9.27 |
$926.92 |
$966.64 |
24th Jul |
DWCS 21 |
7 |
2.0 |
29% |
|
$9.67 |
$966.64 |
$985.97 |
25th Jul |
PFL 2019: Week 5 |
24 |
-9.6 |
-40% |
|
$9.86 |
$985.97 |
$890.99 |
27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
72.3 |
21.0 |
29% |
|
$8.91 |
$890.99 |
$1,077.72 |
31st Jul |
DWCS 22 |
3 |
1.1 |
36% |
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$10.78 |
$1,077.72 |
$1,089.27 |
3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
20.05 |
8.4 |
42% |
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$10.89 |
$1,089.27 |
$1,180.57 |
7th Aug |
DWCS 23 |
7.7 |
2.4 |
31% |
|
$11.81 |
$1,180.57 |
$1,208.70 |
8th Aug |
PFL 2019: Week 6 |
25 |
3.8 |
15% |
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$12.09 |
$1,208.70 |
$1,254.20 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
20.1 |
4.5 |
22% |
|
$12.54 |
$1,254.20 |
$1,310.70 |
17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
29 |
2.1 |
7% |
|
$13.11 |
$1,310.70 |
$1,338.50 |
20th Aug |
DWCS 25 |
3.8 |
0.3 |
7% |
|
$13.39 |
$1,338.50 |
$1,341.88 |
24th Aug |
Bellator 225 |
9 |
2.1 |
24% |
|
$13.42 |
$1,341.88 |
$1,370.28 |
27th Aug |
DWCS 26 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.70 |
$1,370.28 |
$1,301.77 |
31st Aug |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
11 |
-6.8 |
-62% |
|
$13.02 |
$1,301.77 |
$1,212.65 |
7th Sep |
UFC 242 |
48 |
-2.2 |
-5% |
|
$12.13 |
$1,212.65 |
$1,185.90 |
14th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 158 |
51 |
-3.6 |
-7% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,185.90 |
$1,143.54 |
21st Sep |
UFC Fight Night 159 |
33 |
-4.7 |
-14% |
|
$11.44 |
$1,143.54 |
$1,089.67 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
36 |
-36.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.90 |
$1,089.67 |
$697.39 |
28th Sep |
Bellator 228 |
11 |
1.8 |
17% |
|
$6.97 |
$697.39 |
$710.17 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
10 |
12.0 |
120% |
|
$7.10 |
$710.17 |
$795.39 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
11 |
4.2 |
38% |
|
$7.95 |
$795.39 |
$829.04 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Jake Thomas: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Oct '19 |
Marvin Vettori |
Andrew Sanchez |
1.38 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
2. |
Sep '19 |
A.J. McKee |
Georgi Karakhanyan |
1.17 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (0:8) |
|
|
3. |
Sep '19 |
Irene Aldana |
Vanessa Melo |
1.20 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Sep '19 |
Sergio Pettis |
Tyson Nam |
1.37 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Sep '19 |
Austin Hubbard |
Kyle Prepolec |
1.48 |
7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Sep '19 |
Justin Gaethje |
Donald Cerrone |
1.53 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:18) |
|
|
7. |
Sep '19 |
Miles Johns |
Cole Smith |
1.84 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '19 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
1.31 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:22) |
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|
9. |
Sep '19 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
Dustin Poirier |
1.29 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (2:6) |
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|
10. |
Aug '19 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Thiago Moises |
1.38 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Aug '19 |
Nick Newell |
Corey Browning |
1.26 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:15) |
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12. |
Aug '19 |
Tyrell Fortune |
Rudy Schaffroth |
1.21 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (2:8) |
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|
13. |
Aug '19 |
Mallory Martin |
Micol DiSegni |
1.35 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Sep '19 |
Belal Muhammad |
Takashi Sato |
1.38 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (1:55) |
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|
15. |
Sep '19 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
1.35 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:22) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '19 |
Israel Adesanya |
Robert Whittaker |
2.20 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (3:33) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '19 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Raphael Assuncao |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '19 |
Hannah Cifers |
Jodie Esquibel |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '19 |
Umar Nurmagomedov |
Sidemar Honorio |
1.07 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
20. |
Aug '19 |
Vinny Magalhaes |
Rakim Cleveland |
1.30 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (1:56) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Jake Thomas: Progress Chart |
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