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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jake Thomas

Jake Thomas (Jusworkin)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Jake Thomas

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 80 (81%) Right 75 (82%) Right 2 (67%) Right 3 (75%)
Wrong 19 (19%) Wrong 17 (18%) Wrong 1 (33%) Wrong 1 (25%)
Avg Odds 1.36 Avg Odds 1.35 Avg Odds 1.60 Avg Odds 1.52
Units Bet 449.8 Units Bet 423.2 Units Bet 9.6 Units Bet 17.0
Avg Bet 4.54 Avg Bet 4.60 Avg Bet 3.18 Avg Bet 4.25
Units Profit 37.35 Units Profit 39.48 Units Profit -2.64 Units Profit 0.51
ROI % 8% ROI % 9% ROI % -28% ROI % 3%
View Handicapper's Profile

Jake Thomas: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
24th Aug '19 Bellator 225 9 2.1 24% 2.1 / 9 (24%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 3.8 0.3 7% 0.3 / 3.8 (7%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 29 2.1 7% 2.1 / 29 (7%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 20.1 4.5 22% 4.5 / 20.1 (22%)
8th Aug '19 PFL 2019: Week 6 25 3.8 15% 3.8 / 25 (15%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 7.7 2.4 31% 2.4 / 7.7 (31%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 20.05 8.4 42% 7.4 / 18.5 (40%) 1.0 / 1.55 (65%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 72.3 21.0 29% 21.0 / 72.3 (29%)
25th Jul '19 PFL 2019: Week 5 24 -9.6 -40% -9.6 / 24 (-40%)
24th Jul '19 DWCS 21 7 2.0 29% 2.0 / 7 (29%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 38.1 4.3 11% 4.3 / 38.1 (11%)
17th Jul '19 DWCS 20 12 0.0 0% 0.0 / 12 (0%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 17.2 -17.2 -100% -12.2 / 12.2 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Jul '19 Bellator 224 7.1 2.4 33% 1.0 / 4.1 (24%) 1.4 / 3 (45%)
11th Jul '19 PFL 2019: Week 4 6 1.6 26% 1.6 / 6 (26%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 5 2.2 43% 2.2 / 5 (43%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 16 5.4 33% 4.4 / 14 (31%) 1.0 / 2 (49%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 34.5 2.4 7% 3.9 / 24.5 (16%) -1.5 / 10 (-15%)
26th Jun '19 DWTNCS 18 9 2.0 22% 2.0 / 9 (22%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 10.8 -3.0 -28% -3.0 / 10.8 (-28%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 8.6 -4.5 -52% -4.5 / 8.6 (-52%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 6 -3.4 -56% -3.4 / 6 (-56%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 5.5 -1.0 -19% -1.0 / 5.5 (-19%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 15 1.5 10% 0.5 / 10 (5%) 1.0 / 5 (20%)
23rd May '19 PFL 2019: Week 2 4 0.5 12% 0.5 / 4 (12%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 11 2.8 25% 2.8 / 11 (25%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 8 -1.6 -20% -1.6 / 8 (-20%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 4 0.7 18% 0.7 / 4 (18%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 2 0.7 36% 0.7 / 2 (36%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 5 2.5 50% 2.5 / 5 (50%)


Winning Events: 25 (78%)
Losing Events: 7 (22%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 72.30 units
Best Event: 20.96 units
Worst Event: -17.20 units
Average Event: 1.17 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 45.55
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -17.20

Jake Thomas: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 449.75 37.4 8% 39.5 / 423.2 (9%) -2.6 / 9.55 (-28%) 0.5 / 17 (3%) 25 / 7 (78%) 1.17

Jake Thomas: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Jake Thomas: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 307.05 35.7 12% 39.2 / 283.5 (14%) -4.0 / 6.55 (-61%) 0.5 / 17 (3%)
Bellator 30.2 -1.0 -3% -2.4 / 27.2 (-9%) 1.4 / 3 (45%)
PFL 59 -3.8 -6% -3.8 / 59 (-6%)
Other 53.5 6.5 12% 6.5 / 53.5 (12%)

Jake Thomas: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 77 (84%) 66 86 % 387.40 33.31 0.43 9%
Slight Favorites 10 (11%) 6 60 % 26.30 1.80 0.18 7%
Slight Underdogs 5 (5%) 3 60 % 9.50 4.37 0.87 46%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (12%) 8 73 % 49.80 -0.29 -0.03 -1%
Co-Main Event 14 (15%) 12 86 % 66.80 11.26 0.80 17%
Position 3-5 30 (33%) 22 73 % 137.30 5.49 0.18 4%
6+ (Undercard) 37 (40%) 33 89 % 169.30 23.01 0.62 14%

Jake Thomas: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (10%) 8 89 % 34.10 9.27 1.03 27%
Light Heavy 8 (9%) 7 88 % 27.00 4.72 0.59 17%
Middleweight 7 (8%) 5 71 % 31.60 -1.18 -0.17 -4%
Welterweight 10 (11%) 9 90 % 46.90 13.34 1.33 28%
Lightweight 19 (21%) 16 84 % 99.30 4.23 0.22 4%
Featherweight 11 (12%) 8 73 % 43.00 8.10 0.74 19%
Bantamweight 11 (12%) 8 73 % 68.00 -6.33 -0.58 -9%
               
Women's Fights 17 (18%) 14 82 % 73.30 7.34 0.43 10%
Featherweight 4 (4%) 4 100 % 30.00 5.60 1.40 19%
Bantamweight 4 (4%) 3 75 % 9.20 -1.76 -0.44 -19%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 3 60 % 21.10 -0.59 -0.12 -3%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 4 100 % 13.00 4.08 1.02 31%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (100%) 7 78 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
9 7 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (50%) 1 100 %
50-65% 1 (50%) 1 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
2 2 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (100%) 2 100 % 1.54 1.65Pick was correct 1.45Pick was correct 1.1 (55%)
2 2 100 % 1.54     1.1 (55%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Jake Thomas's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Apr UFC 236 5 2.5 50% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,020.00
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 2 0.7 36% $10.20 $1,020.00 $1,027.29
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 4 1.3 33% $10.27 $1,027.29 $1,040.84
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 4 0.7 18% $10.41 $1,040.84 $1,048.25
11th May UFC 237 8 -1.6 -20% $10.48 $1,048.25 $1,031.58
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 11 2.8 25% $10.32 $1,031.58 $1,060.17
23rd May PFL 2019: Week 2 4 0.5 12% $10.60 $1,060.17 $1,065.47
8th Jun UFC 238 15 1.5 10% $10.65 $1,065.47 $1,081.29
14th Jun Bellator 222 5.5 -1.0 -19% $10.81 $1,081.29 $1,070.26
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 6 -3.4 -56% $10.70 $1,070.26 $1,034.25
22nd Jun Bellator London 8.6 -4.5 -52% $10.34 $1,034.25 $987.71
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 10.8 -3.0 -28% $9.88 $987.71 $957.69
26th Jun DWTNCS 18 9 2.0 22% $9.58 $957.69 $976.85
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 34.5 2.4 7% $9.77 $976.85 $1,000.35
6th Jul UFC 239 16 5.4 33% $10.00 $1,000.35 $1,053.90
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 5 2.2 43% $10.54 $1,053.90 $1,076.81
11th Jul PFL 2019: Week 4 6 1.6 26% $10.77 $1,076.81 $1,093.60
12th Jul Bellator 224 7.1 2.4 33% $10.94 $1,093.60 $1,119.47
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 17.2 -17.2 -100% $11.19 $1,119.47 $926.92
17th Jul DWCS 20 12 0.0 0% $9.27 $926.92 $926.92
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 38.1 4.3 11% $9.27 $926.92 $966.64
24th Jul DWCS 21 7 2.0 29% $9.67 $966.64 $985.97
25th Jul PFL 2019: Week 5 24 -9.6 -40% $9.86 $985.97 $890.99
27th Jul UFC 240 72.3 21.0 29% $8.91 $890.99 $1,077.72
31st Jul DWCS 22 3 1.1 36% $10.78 $1,077.72 $1,089.27
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 20.05 8.4 42% $10.89 $1,089.27 $1,180.57
7th Aug DWCS 23 7.7 2.4 31% $11.81 $1,180.57 $1,208.70
8th Aug PFL 2019: Week 6 25 3.8 15% $12.09 $1,208.70 $1,254.20
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 20.1 4.5 22% $12.54 $1,254.20 $1,310.70
17th Aug UFC 241 29 2.1 7% $13.11 $1,310.70 $1,338.50
20th Aug DWCS 25 3.8 0.3 7% $13.39 $1,338.50 $1,341.88
24th Aug Bellator 225 9 2.1 24% $13.42 $1,341.88 $1,370.28


ROI % from starting bank balance: 37.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Jake Thomas: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '19 Nick Newell Corey Browning 1.26 4 Sub, R1 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Tyrell Fortune Rudy Schaffroth 1.21 5 Sub, R2 (2:8) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Mallory Martin Micol DiSegni 1.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Hannah Cifers Jodie Esquibel 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Umar Nurmagomedov Sidemar Honorio 1.07 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Vinny Magalhaes Rakim Cleveland 1.30 4 Sub, R1 (1:56) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Ali Isaev Carl Seumanutafa 1.18 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Herbert Burns Darrick Minner 1.19 7 Sub, R1 (2:29) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Dwight Joseph Jay Perrin 2.50 0.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Alex da Silva Rodrigo Vargas 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Volkan Oezdemir Ilir Latifi 1.67 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Ciryl Gane Raphael Pessoa 1.25 6 Sub, R1 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Valentina Shevchenko Liz Carmouche 1.10 10.1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Sodiq Yusuff Gabriel Benitez 1.30 7 TKO, R1 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Claudio Silva Cole Williams 1.23 4.5 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Kennedy Nzechukwu Darko Stosic 2.12 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '19 Nasrat Haqparast Joaquim Silva 1.38 5 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Aleksa Camur Fabio Cherant 1.36 3 TKO, R2 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '19 Colby Covington Robbie Lawler 1.45 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '19 Phil Caracappa Ricky Steele 2.35 0.8 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Devonte Smith Khama Worthy 1.14 7 TKO, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Ian Heinisch Derek Brunson 1.52 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Rashid Magomedov Nate Andrews 1.15 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Ricardo Prasel Don'tale Mayes 2.35 2 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Domingo Pilarte Felipe Colares 1.34 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Aspen Ladd Germaine de Randamie 1.63 3.2 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Ricky Simon Urijah Faber 1.36 9 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Gegard Mousasi Rafael Lovato 1.18 5.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Alton Meeks Yorgan De Castro 1.18 4 TKO, R1 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Roosevelt Roberts Vinc Pichel 1.43 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Ricky Bandejas Patrick Mix 1.87 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '19 Ariane Lipski Molly McCann 1.43 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Bryan Barberena Randy Brown 1.43 1 TKO, R3 (2:54) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Ariane Lipski Molly McCann 1.48 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.90 2 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.71 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Jake Thomas: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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