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MMA Handicapper Stats: Tailing MagicM

Tailing MagicM (Tailing MagicM)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Tailing MagicM

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 42 (22%) Right 11 (52%) Right 24 (17%) Right 7 (28%)
Wrong 145 (78%) Wrong 10 (48%) Wrong 117 (83%) Wrong 18 (72%)
Avg Odds 3.79 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 4.63 Avg Odds 2.98
Units Bet 291.9 Units Bet 61.9 Units Bet 174.3 Units Bet 55.8
Avg Bet 1.56 Avg Bet 2.95 Avg Bet 1.24 Avg Bet 2.23
Units Profit 5.64 Units Profit 4.41 Units Profit -16.65 Units Profit 17.88
ROI % 2% ROI % 7% ROI % -10% ROI % 32%
View Handicapper's Profile

Tailing MagicM : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 17 -6.5 -38% 0.5 / 10 (5%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 12.2 -10.1 -83% -5.6 / 7.7 (-73%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 19.05 -19.1 -100% -16.1 / 16.05 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 12 -12.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 12.5 31.0 248% 18.8 / 10 (188%) 12.2 / 2.5 (488%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 8.5 1.7 20% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 6.2 / 4 (155%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 -0.8 -6% -2.1 / 10 (-21%) 1.3 / 3.5 (37%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 10.3 -5.6 -55% -0.3 / 5 (-6%) -5.3 / 5.3 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 14.15 -11.0 -78% -11.0 / 14.15 (-78%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 17.25 9.7 56% 5.6 / 13.25 (42%) 4.1 / 4 (103%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 13.38 1.9 14% 6.9 / 8.38 (83%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 1.65 -1.7 -100% -1.7 / 1.65 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 11.75 10.3 87% 2.3 / 3 (77%) 4.0 / 5.75 (70%) 4.0 / 3 (132%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 13.25 10.6 80% 12.1 / 11.75 (103%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 14.45 24.4 169% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.3 / 8 (16%) 26.2 / 3.45 (758%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 14.5 -14.5 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -9.5 / 9.5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 13.5 -2.2 -16% 5.3 / 6 (89%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 10 -3.0 -30% 1.0 / 6 (16%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 17 -13.0 -76% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -8.4 / 8.35 (-100%) 0.4 / 3.65 (10%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 25.5 3.1 12% 0.1 / 10.5 (1%) 7.0 / 11 (64%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 22.45 12.4 55% 5.2 / 6 (87%) 9.7 / 13.95 (69%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 9 (43%)
Losing Events: 12 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.99 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.50 units
Best Event: 31.01 units
Worst Event: -19.05 units
Average Event: 0.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 45.26
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -47.62

Tailing MagicM : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 293.88 5.6 2% 4.4 / 61.88 (7%) -16.6 / 176.25 (-9%) 17.9 / 55.75 (32%) 9 / 12 (43%) 0.27

Tailing MagicM : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Tailing MagicM : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 292.23 7.3 2% 4.4 / 61.88 (7%) -16.6 / 176.25 (-9%) 19.5 / 54.1 (36%)
Bellator 1.65 -1.7 -100% -1.7 / 1.65 (-100%)

Tailing MagicM : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (10%) 1 50 % 4.00 -1.38 -0.69 -35%
Slight Favorites 9 (43%) 7 78 % 29.88 10.20 1.13 34%
Slight Underdogs 6 (29%) 2 33 % 18.00 -3.10 -0.52 -17%
Big Underdogs 4 (19%) 1 25 % 10.00 -1.30 -0.33 -13%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (10%) 2 100 % 7.00 10.30 5.15 147%
Co-Main Event 4 (19%) 2 50 % 11.00 1.65 0.41 15%
Position 3-5 5 (24%) 3 60 % 16.38 3.13 0.63 19%
6+ (Undercard) 10 (48%) 4 40 % 27.50 -10.67 -1.07 -39%

Tailing MagicM : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (10%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Middleweight 2 (10%) 2 100 % 7.00 5.65 2.83 81%
Welterweight 2 (10%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -3.00 -100%
Lightweight 4 (19%) 2 50 % 14.00 2.50 0.62 18%
Featherweight 3 (14%) 2 67 % 9.00 4.71 1.57 52%
Bantamweight 5 (24%) 2 40 % 13.38 -1.47 -0.29 -11%
Flyweight 2 (10%) 2 100 % 4.50 2.34 1.17 52%
               
Women's Fights 1 (5%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.68 1.68 56%
Bantamweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.68 1.68 56%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 5 (45%) 4 80 %
Slight Favorites 6 (55%) 4 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
11 8 73 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 23 (12%) 16 70 %
50-65% 27 (14%) 13 48 %
35-50% 29 (15%) 12 41 %
<35% chance 118 (60%) 18 15 %
197 59 30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.62 2.62Pick was incorrect 2.62Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 46 (23%) 28 61 % 1.59 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct 2.2 (5%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.65 1.65Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 30 (15%) 7 23 % 4.39 12.85Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was correct 1.6 (5%)
X Wins by Sub 30 (15%) 3 10 % 5.61 10.50Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was incorrect -16.5 (-55%)
X Wins by Decision 6 (3%) 2 33 % 6.53 19.50Pick was incorrect 3.15Pick was correct 6.9 (115%)
X Wins Inside Distance 49 (25%) 15 31 % 2.57 8.55Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was correct -12.9 (-26%)
X Wins in Round X 32 (16%) 4 13 % 10.45 34.00Pick was incorrect 4.33Pick was correct -11.3 (-35%)
Others 2 (1%) 0 0 % 17.29 23.00Pick was incorrect 13.85Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
197 59 30 % 3.02     -34.1 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Tailing MagicM 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 22.45 12.4 55% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,123.90
13th Apr UFC 236 25.5 3.1 12% $11.24 $1,123.90 $1,158.50
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 17 -13.0 -76% $11.59 $1,158.50 $1,008.14
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 10 -3.0 -30% $10.08 $1,008.14 $977.44
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 13.5 -2.2 -16% $9.77 $977.44 $956.03
11th May UFC 237 14.5 -14.5 -100% $9.56 $956.03 $817.41
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 14.45 24.4 169% $100 $8.17 $817.41 $917.11
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 13.25 10.6 80% $100 $9.17 $917.11 $913.89
8th Jun UFC 238 11.75 10.3 87% $100 $9.14 $913.89 $907.77
14th Jun Bellator 222 1.65 -1.7 -100% $9.08 $907.77 $892.79
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 13.38 1.9 14% $100 $8.93 $892.79 $809.93
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 17.25 9.7 56% $100 $8.10 $809.93 $788.38
6th Jul UFC 239 14.15 -11.0 -78% $100 $7.88 $788.38 $601.58
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 10.3 -5.6 -55% $100 $6.02 $601.58 $467.77
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 -0.8 -6% $100 $4.68 $467.77 $364.03
27th Jul UFC 240 8.5 1.7 20% $100 $3.64 $364.03 $270.27
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 12.5 31.0 248% $100 $2.70 $270.27 $254.08
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 12 -12.0 -100% $100 $2.54 $254.08 $123.59
17th Aug UFC 241 19.05 -19.1 -100% $100 $1.24 $123.59 $0.05
7th Sep UFC 242 12.2 -10.1 -83% $100 $0.00 $0.05 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 17 -6.5 -38% $100 $10.00 $1,000.00 $835.30


ROI % from starting bank balance: -116.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Tailing MagicM : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Paid Pick Alexander Hernandez Francisco Trinaldo 1.58 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Paid Pick Julianna Pena Nicco Montano 1.56 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Paid Pick Andre Ewell Anderson dos Santos 1.95 3.38 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Paid Pick Chan Sung Jung Renato Moicano 2.90 3 TKO, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Paid Pick Eddie Wineland Grigory Popov 1.77 3 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Shane Burgos Cub Swanson 1.67 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 2.10 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Alexandre Pantoja Wilson Reis 1.69 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.59 4 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza 2.15 4 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Alex Perez Mark Delarosa 1.31 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Paid Pick Ben Rothwell Andrei Arlovski 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Paid Pick Gabriel Silva Ray Borg 2.75 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Paid Pick Ricky Simon Urijah Faber 1.48 2 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Paid Pick Anderson dos Santos Andre Ewell 3.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Paid Pick Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 2.45 3 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Kurt Holobaugh Thiago Moises 2.10 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Sergio Moraes Warlley Alves 2.25 2 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Marcelo Golm Sergey Pavlovich 3.40 3 TKO, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 4.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Zelim Imadaev Max Griffin 1.90 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Tailing MagicM : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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