MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: JustBet theDog

JustBet theDog (JustBettheDog)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	14 (37%)	Right	5 (36%)	Right	6 (33%)	Right	3 (50%)
Wrong	24 (63%)	Wrong	9 (64%)	Wrong	12 (67%)	Wrong	3 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.37	Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	2.40	Avg Odds	2.68
Units Bet	87.5	Units Bet	39.5	Units Bet	29.5	Units Bet	18.5
Avg Bet	2.30	Avg Bet	2.82	Avg Bet	1.64	Avg Bet	3.08
Units Profit	-11.05	Units Profit	-9.36	Units Profit	-10.17	Units Profit	8.48
ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-24%	ROI %	-35%	ROI %	46%

JustBet theDog: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Aug '20	DWCS 28	3.7	2.2	61%		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	3.4 / 2.5 (138%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	12	11.8	99%		5.0 / 4 (125%)	6.8 / 8 (85%)
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	5	3.0	59%	3.0 / 5 (59%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	5.2	-5.2	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	15	-6.0	-40%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	-5.5 / 8.25 (-67%)	0.2 / 6 (3%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	7	-7.0	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	10	-1.4	-14%	2.6 / 6 (44%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	5.3	-1.2	-23%		-1.2 / 5.3 (-23%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	8.25	-0.2	-2%	-0.2 / 8.25 (-2%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	14	-5.1	-37%	-3.6 / 9 (-40%)	-1.6 / 5 (-31%)

Winning Events: 3 (27%)
Losing Events: 8 (73%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.95 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units
Best Event: 11.84 units
Worst Event: -7.00 units
Average Event: -1.00 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 17.04
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -26.09

JustBet theDog: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	27.9	9.8	35%	-0.5 / 8.5 (-6%)	2.1 / 6.9 (30%)	8.3 / 12.5 (66%)	3 / 2 (60%)	1.97
2019	59.55	-20.9	-35%	-8.8 / 31 (-28%)	-12.3 / 22.55 (-54%)	0.2 / 6 (3%)	/ 6 (0%)	-3.48

JustBet theDog: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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JustBet theDog: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	78.75	-16.3	-21%	-12.3 / 34.5 (-36%)	-9.0 / 28.25 (-32%)	5.0 / 16 (31%)
Bellator	5	3.0	59%	3.0 / 5 (59%)
Other	3.7	2.2	61%		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	3.4 / 2.5 (138%)

JustBet theDog: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	6 (43%)	3	50 %	21.75	-6.55	-1.09	-30%
Slight Underdogs	5 (36%)	1	20 %	12.50	-3.86	-0.77	-31%
Big Underdogs	3 (21%)	1	33 %	5.25	1.05	0.35	20%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (14%)	2	100 %	7.00	7.26	3.63	104%
Co-Main Event	3 (21%)	1	33 %	6.25	-0.81	-0.27	-13%
Position 3-5	4 (29%)	0	0 %	14.25	-14.25	-3.56	-100%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (36%)	2	40 %	12.00	-1.56	-0.31	-13%

JustBet theDog: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	4.00	4.64	4.64	116%
Light Heavy	1 (7%)		0 %	2.75	-2.75	-2.75	-100%
Middleweight	2 (14%)	1	50 %	5.50	-0.06	-0.03	-1%
Welterweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.80	0.80	80%
Lightweight	3 (21%)	2	67 %	9.50	4.76	1.59	50%
Featherweight	4 (29%)		0 %	14.00	-14.00	-3.50	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (7%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Women's Fights	1 (7%)		0 %	0.75	-0.75	-0.75	-100%
Featherweight	1 (7%)		0 %	0.75	-0.75	-0.75	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (88%)	6	86 %
Slight Favorites	1 (13%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	8	6	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (8%)	2	100 %
50-65%	11 (46%)	5	45 %
35-50%	4 (17%)	1	25 %
<35% chance	7 (29%)	2	29 %
	24	10	42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (13%)	2	67 %	1.63	1.79	1.45	0.1 (4%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (54%)	4	31 %	2.07	4.02	1.71	-5.2 (-40%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (13%)	1	33 %	5.48	20.25	3.25	0.3 (8%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.05	2.05	2.05	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (13%)	2	67 %	2.88	5.50	1.77	4.3 (142%)
	24	10	42 %	2.20			-1.1 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail JustBet theDog's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	14	-5.1	-37%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$948.78
13th Apr	UFC 236	8.25	-0.2	-2%		$9.49	$948.78	$947.36
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	5.3	-1.2	-23%		$9.47	$947.36	$935.90
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	10	-1.4	-14%		$9.36	$935.90	$923.17
11th May	UFC 237	7	-7.0	-100%		$9.23	$923.17	$858.55
6th Jul	UFC 239	15	-6.0	-40%		$8.59	$858.55	$806.61
18th Jan	UFC 246	5.2	-5.2	-100%		$8.07	$806.61	$764.67
8th Aug	Bellator 243	5	3.0	59%		$7.65	$764.67	$787.29
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	12	11.8	99%		$7.87	$787.29	$880.48
12th Aug	DWCS 28	3.7	2.2	61%		$8.80	$880.48	$900.22
15th Aug	UFC 252	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.00	$900.22	$882.22

ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.78% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

JustBet theDog: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Michael Chandler	Benson Henderson	1.59	5	TKO, R1 (2:9)
2.	May '19	Arjan Bhullar	Juan Adams	2.16	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '19	Belal Muhammad	Curtis Millender	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '19	Jack Hermansson	David Branch	1.81	3	Sub, R1 (0:49)
5.	Apr '19	Dustin Poirier	Max Holloway	3.15	2	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '20	Anthony Pettis	Carlos Diego Ferreira	3.10	2.5	Sub, R2 (1:46)	No
2.	Jan '20	Andre Fili	Sodiq Yusuff	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '19	Holly Holm	Amanda Nunes	4.50	0.75	TKO, R1 (4:10)	Yes
4.	May '19	Jose Aldo	Alex Volkanovski	1.85	7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '19	Brad Katona	Merab Dvalishvili	2.65	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '19	Eryk Anders	Khalil Rountree	1.65	2.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '19	Kelvin Gastelum	Israel Adesanya	2.75	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '19	Enrique Barzola	Kevin Aguilar	1.85	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '19	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	Sodiq Yusuff	2.60	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

JustBet theDog: Progress Chart

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