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MMA Handicapper Stats: Kapper

Kapper (kapper)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Kapper

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 80 (49%) Right 54 (53%) Right 16 (36%) Right 10 (59%)
Wrong 82 (51%) Wrong 47 (47%) Wrong 28 (64%) Wrong 7 (41%)
Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 2.37 Avg Odds 1.87
Units Bet 368.1 Units Bet 242.9 Units Bet 62.5 Units Bet 62.7
Avg Bet 2.27 Avg Bet 2.40 Avg Bet 1.42 Avg Bet 3.69
Units Profit -2.53 Units Profit 0.63 Units Profit -8.23 Units Profit 5.07
ROI % -1% ROI % 0% ROI % -13% ROI % 8%
View Handicapper's Profile

Kapper : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 5 2.7 54% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.7 / 4 (92%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 7.5 -4.8 -64% -2.8 / 5.5 (-51%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 8.5 -1.1 -13% -1.1 / 8.5 (-13%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 2.75 2.0 73% 2.0 / 2.75 (73%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 10.6 -2.8 -26% -2.8 / 10.6 (-26%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 13.7 -4.1 -30% -5.6 / 10.2 (-55%) 1.5 / 3.5 (44%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 6.8 0.4 6% -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 3.2 / 4 (80%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 5.2 1.4 27% 3.1 / 3.5 (89%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 11.15 0.5 5% 6.5 / 5.15 (127%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 6 3.2 54% 3.2 / 6 (54%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 6.25 -3.2 -52% -0.2 / 3.25 (-8%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 7 -7.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 11.75 10.4 89% 2.2 / 2.5 (89%) 0.6 / 0.75 (75%) 7.6 / 8.5 (90%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 12 0.2 1% -0.4 / 9.5 (-4%) 0.6 / 2.5 (22%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 8.5 -2.0 -24% -1.0 / 7.5 (-14%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 10 4.9 49% 4.9 / 10 (49%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 11 9.6 87% 5.5 / 7 (79%) 4.0 / 4 (101%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 8.5 -1.6 -19% 1.4 / 5.5 (25%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 6.5 -0.8 -12% -0.8 / 6.5 (-12%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 9.5 2.5 26% 0.5 / 4.5 (11%) 2.0 / 5 (39%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 6.75 4.4 65% 4.4 / 6.75 (65%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 5.5 3.7 67% 3.7 / 5.5 (67%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 7.5 -1.0 -13% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 2.5 / 4 (63%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 10 -4.7 -47% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 0.3 / 5 (7%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 18.35 -2.9 -16% 0.9 / 10.1 (9%) 1.2 / 3.25 (38%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 10.5 8.2 78% 2.6 / 3.5 (75%) 5.6 / 7 (80%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 11.75 -7.1 -60% -5.6 / 10.25 (-55%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 3.5 1.0 29% 1.0 / 3.5 (29%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 7 0.6 9% 0.6 / 7 (9%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 19 -6.6 -35% 1.4 / 11 (12%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 25.5 7.0 28% 6.6 / 13 (51%) 0.4 / 12.5 (3%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 27.5 4.1 15% 2.9 / 17 (17%) 1.2 / 10.5 (12%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 14 -6.0 -43% -4.6 / 7 (-66%) -1.4 / 7 (-20%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 12.5 0.2 2% -0.3 / 5.5 (-5%) 0.5 / 7 (7%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 11.5 -4.7 -41% -4.7 / 11.5 (-41%)


Winning Events: 19 (51%)
Losing Events: 18 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.95 units
Most Staked On One Event: 27.50 units
Best Event: 10.40 units
Worst Event: -7.10 units
Average Event: -0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 14.43
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.90

Kapper : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 29.75 -7.2 -24% -8.9 / 23.75 (-38%) 1.7 / 6 (28%) 2 / 3 (40%) -1.44
2020 192.55 11.0 6% 12.7 / 126.85 (10%) -2.6 / 11.5 (-23%) 1.0 / 54.2 (2%) 11 / 10 (52%) 0.52
2019 145.75 -6.3 -4% -3.1 / 92.25 (-3%) -7.3 / 45 (-16%) 4.1 / 8.5 (48%) 6 / 5 (55%) -0.58

Kapper : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Kapper : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 360.55 -1.5 -0% 4.1 / 239.35 (2%) -8.2 / 62.5 (-13%) 2.6 / 58.7 (4%)
Bellator 7.5 -1.0 -13% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 2.5 / 4 (63%)

Kapper : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 18 (18%) 11 61 % 66.50 -14.29 -0.79 -21%
Slight Favorites 49 (48%) 28 57 % 131.80 3.70 0.08 3%
Slight Underdogs 27 (26%) 12 44 % 35.05 -3.70 -0.14 -11%
Big Underdogs 8 (8%) 4 50 % 9.50 14.92 1.87 157%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 19 (19%) 13 68 % 61.25 12.37 0.65 20%
Co-Main Event 24 (24%) 11 46 % 75.30 -21.38 -0.89 -28%
Position 3-5 27 (26%) 13 48 % 56.85 -2.89 -0.11 -5%
6+ (Undercard) 32 (31%) 18 56 % 49.45 12.52 0.39 25%

Kapper : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (10%) 6 60 % 17.75 -0.47 -0.05 -3%
Light Heavy 8 (8%) 5 63 % 16.30 6.99 0.87 43%
Middleweight 10 (10%) 3 30 % 25.20 -9.74 -0.97 -39%
Welterweight 13 (13%) 6 46 % 34.15 -1.12 -0.09 -3%
Lightweight 13 (13%) 7 54 % 36.25 -0.02 -0.00 -0%
Featherweight 12 (12%) 5 42 % 33.50 -12.61 -1.05 -38%
Bantamweight 11 (11%) 3 27 % 20.00 -12.91 -1.17 -65%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 2.00 1.85 0.92 92%
               
Women's Fights 23 (23%) 18 78 % 57.70 28.66 1.25 50%
Bantamweight 7 (7%) 5 71 % 20.25 5.69 0.81 28%
Flyweight 5 (5%) 4 80 % 12.60 11.20 2.24 89%
Strawweight 11 (11%) 9 82 % 24.85 11.78 1.07 47%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 38 (93%) 29 76 %
Slight Favorites 3 (7%) 2 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
41 31 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (19%) 7 88 %
50-65% 7 (16%) 4 57 %
35-50% 9 (21%) 3 33 %
<35% chance 19 (44%) 1 5 %
43 15 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (9%) 2 50 % 1.66 1.95Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct -0.7 (-16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.20 2.20Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.08 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was correct -0.5 (-25%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (12%) 4 80 % 1.34 1.44Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct 0.3 (6%)
X Wins by KO 14 (33%) 2 14 % 3.18 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.90Pick was correct -10.2 (-73%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (7%) 0 0 % 7.60 11.00Pick was incorrect 6.22Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (12%) 1 20 % 2.87 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.66Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-32%)
Others 9 (21%) 5 56 % 2.40 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was correct 1.1 (12%)
43 15 35 % 2.41     -15.5 (-36%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Kapper 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 11.5 -4.7 -41% $10.00 $1,000.00 $953.00
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 12.5 0.2 2% $9.53 $953.00 $954.81
13th Apr UFC 236 14 -6.0 -43% $9.55 $954.81 $897.09
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 27.5 4.1 15% $8.97 $897.09 $934.10
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 25.5 7.0 28% $9.34 $934.10 $999.90
11th May UFC 237 19 -6.6 -35% $10.00 $999.90 $933.41
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 7 0.6 9% $9.33 $933.41 $939.01
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 3.5 1.0 29% $9.39 $939.01 $948.40
2nd Nov UFC 244 3 -3.0 -100% $9.48 $948.40 $919.95
15th Dec UFC 245 11.75 -7.1 -60% $9.20 $919.95 $854.63
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 10.5 8.2 78% $8.55 $854.63 $924.66
18th Jan UFC 246 18.35 -2.9 -16% $9.25 $924.66 $898.12
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 10 -4.7 -47% $8.98 $898.12 $856.25
26th Jan Bellator 238 7.5 -1.0 -13% $8.56 $856.25 $847.69
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 5.5 3.7 67% $8.48 $847.69 $878.77
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 6.75 4.4 65% $8.79 $878.77 $917.57
6th Jun UFC 250 9.5 2.5 26% $9.18 $917.57 $940.05
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 6.5 -0.8 -12% $9.40 $940.05 $932.41
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 8.5 -1.6 -19% $9.32 $932.41 $917.35
26th Sep UFC 253 11 9.6 87% $9.17 $917.35 $1,005.04
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 10 4.9 49% $10.05 $1,005.04 $1,053.98
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 8.5 -2.0 -24% $10.54 $1,053.98 $1,032.69
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 12 0.2 1% $10.33 $1,032.69 $1,034.55
24th Oct UFC 254 11.75 10.4 89% $10.35 $1,034.55 $1,142.14
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 7 -7.0 -100% $11.42 $1,142.14 $1,062.19
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 6.25 -3.2 -52% $10.62 $1,062.19 $1,027.67
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 6 3.2 54% $10.28 $1,027.67 $1,061.00
21st Nov UFC 255 11.15 0.5 5% $10.61 $1,061.00 $1,066.57
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 5.2 1.4 27% $10.67 $1,066.57 $1,081.50
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 6.8 0.4 6% $10.81 $1,081.50 $1,085.82
13th Dec UFC 256 13.7 -4.1 -30% $10.86 $1,085.82 $1,041.62
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 10.6 -2.8 -26% $10.42 $1,041.62 $1,012.55
14th Feb UFC 258 2.75 2.0 73% $10.13 $1,012.55 $1,032.75
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% $10.33 $1,032.75 $970.78
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 8.5 -1.1 -13% $9.71 $970.78 $960.07
6th Mar UFC 259 7.5 -4.8 -64% $9.60 $960.07 $913.99
28th Mar UFC 260 5 2.7 54% $9.14 $913.99 $938.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Kapper : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Askar Askarov Joseph Benavidez 1.80 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Magomed Ankalaev Nikita Krylov 1.34 5.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Alexa Grasso Maycee Barber 1.83 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Polyana Viana Mallory Martin 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '20 Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal 1.95 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Mackenzie Dern Virna Jandiroba 1.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '20 Nathan Maness Luke Sanders 2.30 1 Sub, R2 (2:29) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '20 Anthony Smith Devin Clark 1.72 2.5 Sub, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Tim Means Mike Perry 1.83 1.15 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo 3.19 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Rafael dos Anjos Paul Felder 1.54 6 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Glover Teixeira Thiago Santos 3.00 1 Sub, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Tai Tuivasa Stefan Struve 1.83 1.25 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier 1.95 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian 1.66 5.5 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Germaine de Randamie Julianna Pena 1.61 2.5 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Holly Holm Irene Aldana 1.83 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Loma Lookboonmee Jinh Yu Frey 1.62 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Edson Barboza Makwan Amirkhani 1.44 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 Jan Blachowicz Dominick Reyes 3.10 1 TKO, R2 (4:36) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Khama Worthy Jamie Mullarkey 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.80 4 No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz 1.71 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Aleksei Oleinik Chris Daukaus 2.75 1 TKO, R1 (1:55) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Ketlen Vieira Yana Kunitskaya 1.38 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Dhiego Lima Belal Muhammad 4.33 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Greg Hardy Marcin Tybura 1.87 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Alex Morono Anthony Pettis 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Gillian Robertson Taila Santos 1.90 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Marlon Vera Jose Aldo 2.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Ronaldo Souza Kevin Holland 1.83 2.2 TKO, R1 (1:45) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira 1.61 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori 2.25 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Ovince St Preux Jamahal Hill 2.55 1.3 TKO, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Mauricio Rua Paul Craig 2.55 1 TKO, R2 (3:36) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Bevon Lewis Trevin Giles 1.83 1.25 TKO, R3 (1:26) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Ramiz Brahimaj Max Griffin 2.20 1 TKO, R3 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell 2.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Chan Sung Jung Brian Ortega 1.53 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Ben Rothwell Marcin Tybura 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Kapper : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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