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MMA Handicapper Stats: Nick’s Fight Picks

Nick’s Fight Picks (NicksFightPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - Nick’s  Fight Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 18 (42%) Right 17 (53%) Right 0 (0%) Right 1 (14%)
Wrong 25 (58%) Wrong 15 (47%) Wrong 4 (100%) Wrong 6 (86%)
Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 2.21 Avg Odds 3.39
Units Bet 77.5 Units Bet 61.5 Units Bet 6.0 Units Bet 10.0
Avg Bet 1.80 Avg Bet 1.92 Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 1.43
Units Profit -9.28 Units Profit 1.50 Units Profit -6.00 Units Profit -4.78
ROI % -12% ROI % 2% ROI % -100% ROI % -48%
View Handicapper's Profile

Nick’s Fight Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 13 -3.4 -26% -4.6 / 9 (-51%) 1.2 / 4 (31%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 21 1.2 6% 2.2 / 20 (11%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 23.5 -5.6 -24% 1.9 / 16 (12%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 13 -7.8 -60% -4.3 / 9.5 (-45%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 7 6.3 90% 6.3 / 7 (90%)


Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.50 units
Best Event: 6.28 units
Worst Event: -7.77 units
Average Event: -1.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.28
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -13.38

Nick’s Fight Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 77.5 -9.3 -12% 1.5 / 61.5 (2%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -4.8 / 10 (-48%) 2 / 3 (40%) -1.86

Nick’s Fight Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Nick’s Fight Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 77.5 -9.3 -12% 1.5 / 61.5 (2%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -4.8 / 10 (-48%)

Nick’s Fight Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (3%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 17 (53%) 7 41 % 39.50 -10.05 -0.59 -25%
Slight Underdogs 10 (31%) 7 70 % 15.50 8.62 0.86 56%
Big Underdogs 4 (13%) 3 75 % 4.50 4.93 1.23 110%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (13%) 4 100 % 4.00 6.87 1.72 172%
Co-Main Event 4 (13%) 3 75 % 10.50 4.69 1.17 45%
Position 3-5 7 (22%) 1 14 % 12.50 -10.42 -1.49 -83%
6+ (Undercard) 17 (53%) 9 53 % 34.50 0.36 0.02 1%

Nick’s Fight Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Light Heavy 1 (3%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Middleweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 8.50 3.35 1.12 39%
Welterweight 6 (19%) 4 67 % 8.50 1.84 0.31 22%
Lightweight 7 (22%) 5 71 % 11.00 6.04 0.86 55%
Featherweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 9.50 -0.83 -0.21 -9%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 4.50 -1.25 -0.62 -28%
Flyweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 6.00 -2.33 -0.78 -39%
               
Women's Fights 5 (16%) 2 40 % 8.50 -0.32 -0.06 -4%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 3.00 0.18 0.09 6%
Strawweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 5.50 -0.50 -0.17 -9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 14 (64%) 13 93 %
Slight Favorites 8 (36%) 1 13 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
22 14 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 4 (100%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
4 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (100%) 0 0 % 2.21 2.45Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
4 0 0 % 2.21     -4.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Nick’s Fight Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 7 6.3 90% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,062.83
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 13 -7.8 -60% $10.63 $1,062.83 $980.25
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 23.5 -5.6 -24% $9.80 $980.25 $925.28
13th Apr UFC 236 21 1.2 6% $9.25 $925.28 $936.34
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 13 -3.4 -26% $9.36 $936.34 $904.70


ROI % from starting bank balance: -9.53% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Nick’s Fight Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '19 Magomed Mustafaev Rafael Fiziev 2.20 2 TKO, R1 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Poliana Botelho Lauren Mueller 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Matt Frevola Jalin Turner 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Dwight Grant Alan Jouban 2.08 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Alexandre Pantoja Wilson Reis 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Dustin Poirier Max Holloway 2.72 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.59 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza 2.15 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.67 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.83 3 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Maryna Moroz Sabina Mazo 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Anthony Pettis Stephen Thompson 3.96 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Marlon Vera Frankie Saenz 1.63 2 TKO, R1 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Jorge Masvidal Darren Till 2.95 1 TKO, R2 (3:5) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Marc Diakiese Joseph Duffy 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Leon Edwards Gunnar Nelson 1.67 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Mike Grundy Nad Narimani 3.00 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '19 Marcin Tybura Shamil Abdurakhimov 1.83 2 TKO, R2 (3:15) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Alex da Silva Alexander Yakovlev 2.20 2 Sub, R2 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Alen Amedovski Krzysztof Jotko 2.60 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 3.60 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Boston Salmon Khalid Taha 1.71 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:25) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Zelim Imadaev Max Griffin 1.91 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Eryk Anders Khalil Rountree 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Michelle Waterson 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Enrique Barzola Kevin Aguilar 1.95 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Michael Johnson Josh Emmett 1.95 2 TKO, R3 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Angela Hill Randa Markos 1.71 2 Sub, R1 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Alexis Davis Jennifer Maia 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Jussier Formiga 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Eric Shelton Jordan Espinosa 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Danny Roberts Claudio Silva 2.35 1.5 Sub, R3 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Nick’s Fight Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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