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MMA Handicapper Stats: Gabe Killian

Gabe Killian (GabeKillianMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - Gabe Killian

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 19 (45%) Right 14 (47%) Right 3 (50%) Right 2 (33%)
Wrong 23 (55%) Wrong 16 (53%) Wrong 3 (50%) Wrong 4 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.22 Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 3.63 Avg Odds 5.55
Units Bet 224.2 Units Bet 184.9 Units Bet 9.3 Units Bet 30.0
Avg Bet 5.34 Avg Bet 6.16 Avg Bet 1.55 Avg Bet 5.00
Units Profit -5.42 Units Profit -25.58 Units Profit 6.00 Units Profit 14.16
ROI % -2% ROI % -14% ROI % 65% ROI % 47%
View Handicapper's Profile

Gabe Killian: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 15 -3.7 -25% 1.3 / 10 (13%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 44.5 -33.3 -75% -23.3 / 34.5 (-67%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Mar '19 Bellator 219 5 11.3 225% 11.3 / 5 (225%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 56 0.3 1% 1.2 / 50 (2%) 1.1 / 4 (27%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 50.1 16.5 33% 6.0 / 45.1 (13%) 2.9 / 2 (145%) 7.5 / 3 (251%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 21.05 -11.8 -56% -13.8 / 17.75 (-78%) 2.0 / 3.3 (61%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 10 23.6 236% 23.6 / 10 (236%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 17.5 -3.3 -19% -3.3 / 17.5 (-19%)


Winning Events: 4 (44%)
Losing Events: 5 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 24.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 56.00 units
Best Event: 23.63 units
Worst Event: -33.25 units
Average Event: -0.60 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 27.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -42.00

Gabe Killian: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 224.15 -5.4 -2% -25.6 / 184.85 (-14%) 6.0 / 9.3 (65%) 14.2 / 30 (47%) 4 / 5 (44%) -0.60

Gabe Killian: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Gabe Killian: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 219.15 -16.7 -8% -36.8 / 179.85 (-20%) 6.0 / 9.3 (65%) 14.2 / 30 (47%)
Bellator 5 11.3 225% 11.3 / 5 (225%)

Gabe Killian: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (32%) 9 90 % 77.10 14.92 1.49 19%
Slight Favorites 6 (19%) 2 33 % 38.25 -14.75 -2.46 -39%
Slight Underdogs 12 (39%) 3 25 % 54.50 -27.00 -2.25 -50%
Big Underdogs 3 (10%) 1 33 % 15.00 1.25 0.42 8%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (13%) 3 75 % 12.75 7.49 1.87 59%
Co-Main Event 7 (23%) 2 29 % 34.25 -12.25 -1.75 -36%
Position 3-5 8 (26%) 5 63 % 65.50 -2.21 -0.28 -3%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (39%) 5 42 % 72.35 -18.61 -1.55 -26%

Gabe Killian: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (16%) 3 60 % 15.75 -1.01 -0.20 -6%
Light Heavy 3 (10%) 1 33 % 27.00 -11.77 -3.92 -44%
Middleweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 11.25 -0.00 -0.00 -0%
Welterweight 2 (6%) 0 % 8.00 -8.00 -4.00 -100%
Lightweight 5 (16%) 3 60 % 31.00 11.23 2.25 36%
Featherweight 5 (16%) 3 60 % 40.50 1.62 0.32 4%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 7.50 -4.04 -2.02 -54%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 6 (19%) 3 50 % 39.85 -9.61 -1.60 -24%
Flyweight 3 (10%) 2 67 % 13.35 1.00 0.33 7%
Strawweight 3 (10%) 1 33 % 26.50 -10.61 -3.54 -40%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (43%) 7 78 %
Slight Favorites 7 (33%) 3 43 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (19%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (5%) 0 0 %
21 12 57 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 1 (17%) 1 100 %
35-50% 1 (17%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 4 (67%) 1 25 %
6 3 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (33%) 2 100 % 1.94 2.45Pick was correct 1.61Pick was correct 2.1 (103%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (33%) 1 50 % 4.51 5.10Pick was correct 4.05Pick was incorrect 3.1 (155%)
X Wins by KO 1 (17%) 0 0 % 14.90 14.90Pick was incorrect 14.90Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (17%) 0 0 % 9.00 9.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
6 3 50 % 3.63     3.2 (53%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Gabe Killian's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 17.5 -3.3 -19% $55 $10.00 $1,000.00 $912.11
2nd Mar UFC 235 10 23.6 236% $55 $9.12 $912.11 $1,072.67
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 21.05 -11.8 -56% $55 $10.73 $1,072.67 $891.51
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 50.1 16.5 33% $55 $8.92 $891.51 $983.18
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 56 0.3 1% $55 $9.83 $983.18 $931.05
29th Mar Bellator 219 5 11.3 225% $55 $9.31 $931.05 $980.79
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 44.5 -33.3 -75% $55 $9.81 $980.79 $599.68
13th Apr UFC 236 15 -3.7 -25% $55 $6.00 $599.68 $522.19
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 5 -5.0 -100% $55 $5.22 $522.19 $441.08


ROI % from starting bank balance: -55.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Gabe Killian: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '19 Paid Pick Matt Frevola Jalin Turner 2.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Paid Pick Brandon Girtz Saad Awad 3.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Paid Pick Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.80 6.25 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Paid Pick Jennifer Maia Alexis Davis 2.20 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Paid Pick John Makdessi Jesus Pinedo 1.34 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Paid Pick Maycee Barber J.J. Aldrich 1.44 11 TKO, R2 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Paid Pick Luis Pena Steven Peterson 1.37 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Paid Pick Nathaniel Wood Jose Quinonez 1.34 11 Sub, R2 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Paid Pick Dan Ige Danny Henry 1.69 7.25 Sub, R1 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Paid Pick Junior dos Santos Derrick Lewis 1.48 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:58) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Paid Pick Molly McCann Priscila Cachoeira 1.51 5.85 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Paid Pick Dominick Reyes Volkan Oezdemir 1.38 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Paid Pick Junior dos Santos Derrick Lewis 1.44 2.25 TKO, R2 (1:58) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Paid Pick Stefan Struve Marcos Rogerio de Lima 2.15 5 Sub, R2 (2:21) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Paid Pick Petr Yan John Dodson 1.38 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '19 Paid Pick Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 3.65 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Paid Pick Kelvin Gastelum Israel Adesanya 2.75 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Paid Pick Enrique Barzola Kevin Aguilar 1.80 6.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Paid Pick Kennedy Nzechukwu Paul Craig 1.43 11 Sub, R3 (4:20) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Paid Pick Sabina Mazo Maryna Moroz 1.56 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Paid Pick Angela Hill Randa Markos 1.67 4.5 Sub, R1 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Paid Pick Frankie Saenz Marlon Vera 2.35 5 TKO, R1 (1:25) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Paid Pick Justin Willis Curtis Blaydes 3.35 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Paid Pick Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.10 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Paid Pick Jordan Rinaldi Arnold Allen 2.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Paid Pick Dan Moret Alex White 2.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Paid Pick Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov 2.05 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Paid Pick Louis Smolka Matt Schnell 2.00 4 Sub, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Paid Pick Curtis Millender Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.83 3 Sub, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Paid Pick Lucie Pudilova Liz Carmouche 2.20 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos 2.10 5 TKO, R3 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Gabe Killian: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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