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MMA Handicapper Stats: Diaz beat Condit

Diaz beat Condit (cinnabonpapi)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	8 (50%)	Right	5 (71%)	Right	1 (25%)	Right	2 (40%)
Wrong	8 (50%)	Wrong	2 (29%)	Wrong	3 (75%)	Wrong	3 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.41	Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	2.41	Avg Odds	3.25
Units Bet	26.6	Units Bet	12.0	Units Bet	6.0	Units Bet	8.6
Avg Bet	1.66	Avg Bet	1.71	Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	1.72
Units Profit	10.66	Units Profit	8.00	Units Profit	-3.25	Units Profit	5.91
ROI %	40%	ROI %	67%	ROI %	-54%	ROI %	69%

Diaz beat Condit : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 170	4	-4.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	6	4.7	79%		-0.3 / 3 (-8%)	5.0 / 3 (167%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	2.1	-2.1	-100%			-2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	7	11.5	164%	6.0 / 6 (100%)		5.5 / 1 (551%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	2	2.2	110%	2.2 / 2 (110%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	2.5	-0.6	-24%	0.9 / 1 (90%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	2	-0.1	-5%	-0.1 / 2 (-5%)

Winning Events: 3 (38%)
Losing Events: 5 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.33 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.00 units
Best Event: 11.51 units
Worst Event: -4.00 units
Average Event: 1.33 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 11.51
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.00

Diaz beat Condit : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	26.6	10.7	40%	8.0 / 12 (67%)	-3.3 / 6 (-54%)	5.9 / 8.6 (69%)	3 / 5 (38%)	1.33

Diaz beat Condit : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Diaz beat Condit : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	26.6	10.7	40%	8.0 / 12 (67%)	-3.3 / 6 (-54%)	5.9 / 8.6 (69%)

Diaz beat Condit : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	2 (29%)	2	100 %	2.00	1.80	0.90	90%
Slight Underdogs	5 (71%)	3	60 %	10.00	6.20	1.24	62%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	3 (43%)	2	67 %	7.00	5.20	1.73	74%
6+ (Undercard)	4 (57%)	3	75 %	5.00	2.80	0.70	56%

Diaz beat Condit : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Lightweight	1 (14%)	1	100 %	4.00	4.00	4.00	100%
Featherweight	3 (43%)	2	67 %	5.00	3.20	1.07	64%
Bantamweight	1 (14%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.90	0.90	90%
Flyweight	1 (14%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Women's Fights	1 (14%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.90	0.90	90%
Strawweight	1 (14%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.90	0.90	90%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	10 (63%)	9	90 %
Slight Favorites	5 (31%)	4	80 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (6%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	16	14	88 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (43%)	2	67 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	4 (57%)	1	25 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	7	3	43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (29%)	0	0 %	1.57	2.20	1.22	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (14%)	0	0 %	2.37	2.37	2.37	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (43%)	2	67 %	1.97	2.75	1.36	1.1 (37%)
Others	1 (14%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
	7	3	43 %	1.78			-1.5 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Diaz beat Condit 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
18th Jan	UFC 246	2	-0.1	-5%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$999.00
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	2.5	-0.6	-24%		$9.99	$999.00	$993.01
9th Feb	UFC 247	2	2.2	110%		$9.93	$993.01	$1,014.85
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.15	$1,014.85	$1,004.70
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	7	11.5	164%		$10.05	$1,004.70	$1,120.33
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	2.1	-2.1	-100%		$11.20	$1,120.33	$1,096.80
8th Mar	UFC 248	6	4.7	79%		$10.97	$1,096.80	$1,148.86
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 170	4	-4.0	-100%		$11.49	$1,148.86	$1,102.91

ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Diaz beat Condit : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '20	Zubaira Tukhugov	Kevin Aguilar	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (3:21)
2.	Feb '20	Brad Riddell	Magomed Mustafaev	2.00	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '20	Dan Ige	Mirsad Bektic	2.10	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '20	Brett Johns	Tony Gravely	1.90	1	Sub, R3 (2:53)
5.	Jan '20	Sabina Mazo	J.J. Aldrich	1.90	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '20	Rogerio Bontorin	Ray Borg	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '20	Andre Fili	Sodiq Yusuff	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Diaz beat Condit : Progress Chart

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