MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: Es Picks

Es Picks (EsMMAPicks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	69 (37%)	Right	20 (49%)	Right	43 (35%)	Right	6 (25%)
Wrong	118 (63%)	Wrong	21 (51%)	Wrong	79 (65%)	Wrong	18 (75%)
Avg Odds	2.65	Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	2.79	Avg Odds	3.19
Units Bet	187.1	Units Bet	52.6	Units Bet	109.1	Units Bet	25.5
Avg Bet	1.00	Avg Bet	1.28	Avg Bet	0.89	Avg Bet	1.06
Units Profit	-14.29	Units Profit	4.73	Units Profit	-11.66	Units Profit	-7.35
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-29%

Es Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	7.5	-4.9	-65%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.9 / 3.5 (-24%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	11.5	-9.4	-82%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-3.4 / 5.5 (-62%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	8.5	-1.7	-20%	-1.2 / 4 (-29%)	-0.5 / 4.5 (-12%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9.5	-6.9	-73%		-5.9 / 8.5 (-69%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	7.5	0.1	1%		3.1 / 4.5 (68%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	11.5	8.7	75%	6.1 / 7.5 (81%)	1.0 / 2 (50%)	1.6 / 2 (79%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	5.5	-3.9	-72%	0.6 / 1 (56%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	2	2.8	138%		2.8 / 2 (138%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	7.75	0.4	5%	-1.0 / 2 (-49%)	2.4 / 4.75 (50%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	4	-4.0	-100%		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	6.5	8.6	132%	1.4 / 1 (140%)	7.2 / 5.5 (130%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	4	-1.5	-38%	1.5 / 1 (150%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	10.9	-2.6	-24%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.1 / 10.4 (-21%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	4.5	-0.3	-7%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.7 / 2.5 (68%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	8	6.2	78%	2.3 / 2 (117%)	-0.2 / 4.5 (-4%)	4.1 / 1.5 (270%)
15th Jan '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5	3.6	73%	3.6 / 2 (180%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	2.5 / 0.5 (508%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	9	-4.0	-44%	0.5 / 1 (53%)	-4.1 / 5.5 (-74%)	-0.4 / 2.5 (-18%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	7.5	-0.8	-11%	3.7 / 3 (122%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	8.25	-3.4	-41%	-3.0 / 4.85 (-62%)	-0.4 / 3.4 (-11%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	4	-0.9	-21%		-0.3 / 2 (-17%)	-0.5 / 2 (-26%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	6	2.3	38%	0.7 / 1 (70%)	2.6 / 4 (65%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	7	-3.4	-49%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.4 / 5 (-29%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	3	-0.7	-23%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.3 / 1 (130%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	9	4.4	49%	0.4 / 5.5 (6%)	4.0 / 3.5 (116%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	6	2.3	38%	2.8 / 3 (94%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.4 / 1 (144%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	7	-1.4	-21%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.6 / 5 (11%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	0.2	-0.2	-100%	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	5	-2.5	-50%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.5 / 2 (25%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 10 (34%)
Losing Events: 19 (66%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.50 units
Best Event: 8.65 units
Worst Event: -9.40 units
Average Event: -0.49 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.86
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -22.84

Es Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	56	-14.1	-25%	-1.1 / 17.5 (-6%)	-6.6 / 28.5 (-23%)	-6.4 / 10 (-64%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-2.35
2022	58.15	9.2	16%	6.9 / 10.5 (66%)	-2.3 / 43.65 (-5%)	4.6 / 4 (115%)	5 / 5 (50%)	0.92
2021	41.75	-10.2	-24%	0.9 / 10.85 (8%)	-6.1 / 22.4 (-27%)	-5.0 / 8.5 (-58%)	1 / 5 (17%)	-1.70
2020	26	3.5	14%	0.2 / 11.5 (1%)	2.9 / 12.5 (23%)	0.4 / 2 (22%)	2 / 3 (40%)	0.71
2019	5.2	-2.7	-52%	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)	0.5 / 2 (25%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	/ 2 (0%)	-1.35

Es Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Es Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	187.1	-14.3	-8%	4.7 / 52.55 (9%)	-11.7 / 109.05 (-11%)	-7.4 / 25.5 (-29%)

Es Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (7%)	3	100 %	6.35	3.03	1.01	48%
Slight Favorites	12 (29%)	4	33 %	17.50	-8.97	-0.75	-51%
Slight Underdogs	21 (50%)	11	52 %	22.20	6.82	0.32	31%
Big Underdogs	6 (14%)	2	33 %	6.50	3.85	0.64	59%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (12%)	4	80 %	9.85	5.13	1.03	52%
Co-Main Event	3 (7%)	1	33 %	2.00	0.50	0.17	25%
Position 3-5	9 (21%)	5	56 %	12.00	2.14	0.24	18%
6+ (Undercard)	25 (60%)	10	40 %	28.70	-3.04	-0.12	-11%

Es Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	3.50	3.50	350%
Light Heavy	2 (5%)	2	100 %	2.00	1.24	0.62	62%
Middleweight	8 (19%)	4	50 %	8.00	0.23	0.03	3%
Welterweight	5 (12%)	2	40 %	6.35	-1.65	-0.33	-26%
Lightweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	5.50	0.35	0.12	6%
Featherweight	8 (19%)	5	63 %	14.00	5.58	0.70	40%
Bantamweight	5 (12%)	1	20 %	3.70	-1.48	-0.30	-40%
Flyweight	4 (10%)	1	25 %	4.00	-1.50	-0.38	-38%

Women's Fights	6 (14%)	3	50 %	8.00	-1.54	-0.26	-19%
Bantamweight	3 (7%)	2	67 %	6.00	-1.94	-0.65	-32%
Flyweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	2.00	0.40	0.13	20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	16 (50%)	10	63 %
Slight Favorites	12 (38%)	8	67 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (13%)	3	75 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	32	21	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	15 (10%)	9	60 %
50-65%	42 (28%)	21	50 %
35-50%	38 (25%)	16	42 %
<35% chance	57 (38%)	9	16 %
	152	55	36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (3%)	4	80 %	1.85	2.20	1.61	2.8 (56%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	21 (14%)	8	38 %	1.90	3.00	1.42	-5.7 (-27%)
Goes to Decision	10 (7%)	10	100 %	1.75	2.60	1.43	8.3 (83%)
Does not go to Decision	18 (12%)	7	39 %	1.66	2.32	1.29	-6.8 (-38%)
X Wins by KO	20 (13%)	3	15 %	3.00	7.00	1.45	-8.4 (-42%)
X Wins by Sub	20 (13%)	3	15 %	5.69	21.00	2.50	0.2 (1%)
X Wins by Decision	16 (11%)	9	56 %	2.28	5.00	1.67	2.5 (15%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (5%)	2	29 %	2.16	4.30	1.43	-3.7 (-53%)
X Wins in Round X	11 (7%)	3	27 %	6.11	26.00	2.00	3.3 (30%)
Others	24 (16%)	6	25 %	2.56	11.00	1.42	-11.6 (-48%)
	152	55	36 %	2.45			-19.1 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Es Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	5	-2.5	-50%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$975.00
9th Feb	UFC 234	0.2	-0.2	-100%		$9.75	$975.00	$973.05
11th Jul	UFC 251	7	-1.4	-21%	$5	$9.73	$973.05	$954.08
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	6	2.3	38%	$5	$9.54	$954.08	$970.67
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	9	4.4	49%		$9.71	$970.67	$1,013.38
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	3	-0.7	-23%		$10.13	$1,013.38	$1,006.28
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.06	$1,006.28	$996.22
16th Jan	UFC FN	7	-3.4	-49%		$9.96	$996.22	$961.85
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	6	2.3	38%		$9.62	$961.85	$983.89
24th Jan	UFC 257	4	-0.9	-21%		$9.84	$983.89	$975.52
13th Feb	UFC 258	8.25	-3.4	-41%		$9.76	$975.52	$942.50
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	7.5	-0.8	-11%		$9.43	$942.50	$934.59
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	9	-4.0	-44%		$9.35	$934.59	$897.43
15th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze	5	3.6	73%		$8.97	$897.43	$930.10
22nd Jan	UFC 270	8	6.2	78%		$9.30	$930.10	$987.99
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	4.5	-0.3	-7%		$9.88	$987.99	$985.02
12th Feb	UFC 271	10.9	-2.6	-24%		$9.85	$985.02	$958.97
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	4	-1.5	-38%		$9.59	$958.97	$944.58
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	6.5	8.6	132%		$9.45	$944.58	$1,025.49
5th Mar	UFC 272	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.25	$1,025.49	$984.47
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	7.75	0.4	5%		$9.84	$984.47	$988.47
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	2	2.8	138%		$9.88	$988.47	$1,015.75
10th Sep	UFC 279	5.5	-3.9	-72%		$10.16	$1,015.75	$975.75
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	11.5	8.7	75%		$9.76	$975.75	$1,060.20
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	7.5	0.1	1%		$10.60	$1,060.20	$1,060.94
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9.5	-6.9	-73%		$10.61	$1,060.94	$987.74
8th Jul	UFC 290	8.5	-1.7	-20%		$9.88	$987.74	$971.03
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	11.5	-9.4	-82%		$9.71	$971.03	$879.76
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	7.5	-4.9	-65%		$8.80	$879.76	$837.09

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Es Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '23	Robbie Lawler	Niko Price	2.85	1	TKO, R1 (0:38)
2.	Jun '23	Pat Sabatini	Lucas Almeida	1.50	4	Sub, R2 (1:48)
3.	Jun '23	Armen Petrosyan	Christian Duncan	2.33	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jun '23	Jared Cannonier	Marvin Vettori	2.02	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Jun '23	Kyung Ho Kang	Christian Quinonez	2.22	1	Sub, R1 (2:25)
6.	Sep '22	Irene Aldana	Macy Chiasson	1.56	1	TKO, R3 (2:21)
7.	Mar '22	Cody Brundage	Dalcha Lungiambula	2.05	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:41)
8.	Feb '22	Priscila Cachoeira	Ji Yeon Kim	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '22	Stephanie Egger	Jessica-Rose Clark	2.50	1	Sub, R1 (3:44)
10.	Jan '22	Michael Morales	Trevin Giles	1.85	1	TKO, R1 (4:6)
11.	Jan '22	Deiveson Figueiredo	Brandon Moreno	2.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jan '22	Calvin Kattar	Giga Chikadze	2.80	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Feb '21	Dustin Jacoby	Maxim Grishin	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '21	Derrick Lewis	Curtis Blaydes	4.50	1	TKO, R2 (1:26)
15.	Feb '21	Jared Gordon	Danny Chavez	2.16	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '21	Kamaru Usman	Gilbert Burns	1.37	1.35	TKO, R3 (0:34)
17.	Jan '21	Dalcha Lungiambula	Markus Perez	1.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jul '20	Joel Alvarez	Joseph Duffy	3.90	1.5	Sub, R1 (2:25)
19.	Jul '20	Lerone Murphy	Ricardo Ramos	2.40	1	TKO, R1 (4:18)
20.	Jul '20	Jared Gordon	Chris Fishgold	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '23	Davey Grant	Daniel Marcos	2.22	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '23	Daniel Barez	Jafel Filho	2.00	1	Sub, R1 (3:26)	No
3.	Jul '23	Holly Holm	Mayra Bueno Silva	1.58	4	Sub, R2 (0:38)	No
4.	Jul '23	Kamuela Kirk	Esteban Ribovics	1.63	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '22	A.J. Fletcher	Matt Semelsberger	2.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '22	Marlon Moraes	Yadong Song	3.20	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:6)	No
7.	Feb '22	Roxanne Modafferi	Casey O'Neill	4.10	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '22	Tresean Gore	Bryan Battle	1.66	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '21	Nate Landwehr	Julian Erosa	1.85	1	TKO, R1 (0:56)	No
10.	Feb '21	Maycee Barber	Alexa Grasso	1.98	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '21	Phil Rowe	Gabriel Green	2.16	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Feb '21	Maki Pitolo	Julian Marquez	2.44	1	Sub, R3 (4:17)	No
13.	Jan '21	Dusko Todorovic	Punahele Soriano	1.62	1	TKO, R1 (4:48)	No
14.	Jul '20	Mike Grundy	Movsar Evloev	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '20	John Castaneda	Nathaniel Wood	4.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '20	Nad Narimani	Grant Dawson	3.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '20	Malcolm Gordon	Amir Albazi	2.43	1	Sub, R1 (4:42)	No
18.	Jul '20	Malcolm Gordon	Amir Albazi	2.50	1	Sub, R1 (4:42)	No
19.	Jul '20	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Muslim Salikhov	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '19	Wuliji Buren	Jonathan Martinez	2.20	0.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Es Picks: Progress Chart

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