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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3213
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1230

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Es Picks

Es Picks (EsMMAPicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Es Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 29 (37%) Right 8 (38%) Right 18 (39%) Right 3 (27%)
Wrong 49 (63%) Wrong 13 (62%) Wrong 28 (61%) Wrong 8 (73%)
Avg Odds 2.41 Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 2.48 Avg Odds 2.71
Units Bet 73.0 Units Bet 24.6 Units Bet 36.9 Units Bet 11.5
Avg Bet 0.94 Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 0.80 Avg Bet 1.05
Units Profit -9.38 Units Profit -1.14 Units Profit -2.73 Units Profit -5.52
ROI % -13% ROI % -5% ROI % -7% ROI % -48%
View Handicapper's Profile

Es Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 9 -4.0 -44% 0.5 / 1 (53%) -4.1 / 5.5 (-74%) -0.4 / 2.5 (-18%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 7.5 -0.8 -11% 3.7 / 3 (122%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 8.25 -3.4 -41% -3.0 / 4.85 (-62%) -0.4 / 3.4 (-11%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 4 -0.9 -21% -0.3 / 2 (-17%) -0.5 / 2 (-26%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 6 2.3 38% 0.7 / 1 (70%) 2.6 / 4 (65%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 7 -3.4 -49% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.4 / 5 (-29%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 3 -0.7 -23% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.3 / 1 (130%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 9 4.4 49% 0.4 / 5.5 (6%) 4.0 / 3.5 (116%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 6 2.3 38% 2.8 / 3 (94%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.4 / 1 (144%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 7 -1.4 -21% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.6 / 5 (11%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 0.2 -0.2 -100% -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 5 -2.5 -50% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.5 / 2 (25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (23%)
Losing Events: 10 (77%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.00 units
Best Event: 4.40 units
Worst Event: -3.98 units
Average Event: -0.72 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.66
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -9.05

Es Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 41.75 -10.2 -24% 0.9 / 10.85 (8%) -6.1 / 22.4 (-27%) -5.0 / 8.5 (-58%) 1 / 5 (17%) -1.70
2020 26 3.5 14% 0.2 / 11.5 (1%) 2.9 / 12.5 (23%) 0.4 / 2 (22%) 2 / 3 (40%) 0.71
2019 5.2 -2.7 -52% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) 0.5 / 2 (25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) / 2 (0%) -1.35

Es Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Es Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 72.95 -9.4 -13% -1.1 / 24.55 (-5%) -2.7 / 36.9 (-7%) -5.5 / 11.5 (-48%)

Es Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (9%) 2 100 % 2.35 1.03 0.52 44%
Slight Favorites 7 (32%) 2 29 % 7.50 -2.38 -0.34 -32%
Slight Underdogs 9 (41%) 2 22 % 9.20 -4.64 -0.52 -50%
Big Underdogs 4 (18%) 2 50 % 5.50 4.85 1.21 88%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (9%) 2 100 % 2.35 4.00 2.00 170%
Co-Main Event 1 (5%) 0 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Position 3-5 3 (14%) 0 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.00 -100%
6+ (Undercard) 15 (68%) 6 40 % 17.70 -0.64 -0.04 -4%

Es Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.00 3.50 3.50 350%
Light Heavy 2 (9%) 2 100 % 2.00 1.24 0.62 62%
Middleweight 3 (14%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.00 -100%
Welterweight 3 (14%) 1 33 % 4.35 -2.50 -0.83 -57%
Lightweight 2 (9%) 1 50 % 2.50 3.35 1.68 134%
Featherweight 6 (27%) 3 50 % 8.00 -0.02 -0.00 -0%
Bantamweight 2 (9%) 0 % 1.20 -1.20 -0.60 -100%
Flyweight 2 (9%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 1 (5%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Flyweight 1 (5%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 10 (50%) 6 60 %
Slight Favorites 8 (40%) 5 63 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (10%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
20 12 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (11%) 3 50 %
50-65% 14 (26%) 9 64 %
35-50% 17 (32%) 6 35 %
<35% chance 16 (30%) 2 13 %
53 20 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (9%) 2 40 % 2.36 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -0.3 (-6%)
Goes to Decision 8 (15%) 8 100 % 1.71 2.50Pick was correct 1.43Pick was correct 6.2 (77%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (4%) 1 50 % 1.57 2.00Pick was correct 1.29Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
X Wins by KO 8 (15%) 0 0 % 2.59 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.45Pick was incorrect -8.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (4%) 0 0 % 5.54 11.00Pick was incorrect 3.70Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 12 (23%) 6 50 % 2.31 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 0.6 (5%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (8%) 2 50 % 1.69 1.87Pick was correct 1.43Pick was correct -0.7 (-18%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (8%) 1 25 % 4.05 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.3 (32%)
Others 8 (15%) 0 0 % 2.84 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect -8.0 (-100%)
53 20 38 % 2.31     -10.9 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Es Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 5 -2.5 -50% $10.00 $1,000.00 $975.00
9th Feb UFC 234 0.2 -0.2 -100% $9.75 $975.00 $973.05
11th Jul UFC 251 7 -1.4 -21% $5 $9.73 $973.05 $954.08
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 6 2.3 38% $5 $9.54 $954.08 $970.67
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 9 4.4 49% $9.71 $970.67 $1,013.38
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 3 -0.7 -23% $10.13 $1,013.38 $1,006.28
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 1 -1.0 -100% $10.06 $1,006.28 $996.22
16th Jan UFC FN 7 -3.4 -49% $9.96 $996.22 $961.85
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 6 2.3 38% $9.62 $961.85 $983.89
24th Jan UFC 257 4 -0.9 -21% $9.84 $983.89 $975.52
14th Feb UFC 258 8.25 -3.4 -41% $9.76 $975.52 $942.50
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 7.5 -0.8 -11% $9.43 $942.50 $934.59
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 9 -4.0 -44% $9.35 $934.59 $897.43


ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.26% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Es Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Dustin Jacoby Maxim Grishin 1.53 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Derrick Lewis Curtis Blaydes 4.50 1 TKO, R2 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Jared Gordon Danny Chavez 2.16 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns 1.37 1.35 TKO, R3 (0:34) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Dalcha Lungiambula Markus Perez 1.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '20 Joel Alvarez Joseph Duffy 3.90 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:25) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '20 Lerone Murphy Ricardo Ramos 2.40 1 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '20 Paid Pick Jared Gordon Chris Fishgold 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.85 1 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 1.98 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Phil Rowe Gabriel Green 2.16 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Maki Pitolo Julian Marquez 2.44 1 Sub, R3 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Dusko Todorovic Punahele Soriano 1.62 1 TKO, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '20 Mike Grundy Movsar Evloev 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '20 John Castaneda Nathaniel Wood 4.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '20 Nad Narimani Grant Dawson 3.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '20 Malcolm Gordon Amir Albazi 2.43 1 Sub, R1 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '20 Malcolm Gordon Amir Albazi 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Muslim Salikhov 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.20 0.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 1.93 1 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Anthony Hernandez Markus Perez 1.63 1 Sub, R2 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Es Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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