MMA Handicapper Stats: Just Phael |
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Just Phael: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
3rd Aug '19 |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
4 |
6.1 |
153% |
6.1 / 4 (153%) |
|
|
27th Apr '19 |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
2nd Mar '19 |
UFC 235 |
5.5 |
-5.5 |
-100% |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
23rd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
|
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
17th Feb '19 |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
11.5 |
1.7 |
14% |
2.0 / 8.5 (23%) |
0.7 / 2 (33%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
16th Feb '19 |
Bellator 216 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
9th Feb '19 |
UFC 234 |
8 |
2.6 |
33% |
-0.6 / 4 (-14%) |
1.4 / 2 (72%) |
1.7 / 2 (86%) |
2nd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
14 |
4.9 |
35% |
2.9 / 11 (26%) |
0.5 / 2 (25%) |
1.5 / 1 (146%) |
Winning Events: 4 (50%) Losing Events: 4 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.44 units Most Staked On One Event: 14.00 units Best Event: 6.10 units Worst Event: -5.50 units Average Event: 0.15 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 7.47 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.50 |
Just Phael: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
51.5 |
1.2 |
2% |
6.4 / 31.5 (20%) |
0.6 / 8 (7%) |
-5.8 / 12 (-48%) |
4 / 4 (50%) |
0.15 |
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Just Phael: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Just Phael: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
49 |
3.7 |
8% |
7.9 / 30 (26%) |
0.6 / 8 (7%) |
-4.8 / 11 (-44%) |
Bellator |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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Just Phael: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
4.00 |
1.80 |
1.80 |
45% |
Slight Favorites |
7 (39%) |
3 |
43 % |
15.00 |
-2.47 |
-0.35 |
-16% |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (33%) |
3 |
50 % |
8.00 |
1.10 |
0.18 |
14% |
Big Underdogs |
4 (22%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.50 |
6.00 |
1.50 |
133% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
3 (17%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.50 |
6.50 |
2.17 |
144% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (11%) |
0 |
0 % |
3.50 |
-3.50 |
-1.75 |
-100% |
Position 3-5 |
5 (28%) |
3 |
60 % |
11.00 |
1.84 |
0.37 |
17% |
6+ (Undercard) |
8 (44%) |
4 |
50 % |
12.50 |
1.60 |
0.20 |
13% |
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Just Phael: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (11%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.50 |
1.50 |
0.75 |
43% |
Light Heavy |
3 (17%) |
2 |
67 % |
7.00 |
2.24 |
0.75 |
32% |
Welterweight |
4 (22%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.50 |
3.50 |
0.88 |
78% |
Lightweight |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.60 |
1.60 |
80% |
Featherweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (17%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-1.67 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
3.50 |
3.50 |
350% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
3 (17%) |
2 |
67 % |
6.50 |
1.10 |
0.37 |
17% |
Flyweight |
2 (11%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.50 |
3.10 |
1.55 |
69% |
Strawweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
11 (73%) |
7 |
64 % |
Slight Favorites |
4 (27%) |
2 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
15 |
9 |
60 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
2 (33%) |
2 |
100 % |
35-50% |
3 (50%) |
1 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
1 (17%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
6 |
3 |
50 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Just Phael's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
14 |
4.9 |
35% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,048.65 |
9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
8 |
2.6 |
33% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,048.65 |
$1,075.95 |
16th Feb |
Bellator 216 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,075.95 |
$1,049.06 |
17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
11.5 |
1.7 |
14% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.06 |
$1,066.42 |
23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.42 |
$1,013.10 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
5.5 |
-5.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.13 |
$1,013.10 |
$957.38 |
27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.57 |
$957.38 |
$947.80 |
3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
4 |
6.1 |
153% |
|
$9.48 |
$947.80 |
$1,005.62 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.56% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Just Phael: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Just Phael: Progress Chart |
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