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MMA Handicapper Stats: Just Phael

Just Phael (justphael)


MMA MHandicapper - Just Phael

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 11 (39%) Right 6 (40%) Right 3 (50%) Right 2 (29%)
Wrong 17 (61%) Wrong 9 (60%) Wrong 3 (50%) Wrong 5 (71%)
Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 2.35 Avg Odds 2.01
Units Bet 47.5 Units Bet 27.5 Units Bet 8.0 Units Bet 12.0
Avg Bet 1.70 Avg Bet 1.83 Avg Bet 1.33 Avg Bet 1.71
Units Profit -4.88 Units Profit 0.33 Units Profit 0.60 Units Profit -5.81
ROI % -10% ROI % 1% ROI % 7% ROI % -48%
View Handicapper's Profile

Just Phael: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 5.5 -5.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 5 -5.0 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 11.5 1.7 14% 2.0 / 8.5 (23%) 0.7 / 2 (33%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 8 2.6 33% -0.6 / 4 (-14%) 1.4 / 2 (72%) 1.7 / 2 (86%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 14 4.9 35% 2.9 / 11 (26%) 0.5 / 2 (25%) 1.5 / 1 (146%)


Winning Events: 3 (43%)
Losing Events: 4 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.79 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.00 units
Best Event: 4.86 units
Worst Event: -5.50 units
Average Event: -0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 7.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.50

Just Phael: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 47.5 -4.9 -10% 0.3 / 27.5 (1%) 0.6 / 8 (7%) -5.8 / 12 (-48%) 3 / 4 (43%) -0.70

Just Phael: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Just Phael: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 45 -2.4 -5% 1.8 / 26 (7%) 0.6 / 8 (7%) -4.8 / 11 (-44%)
Bellator 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Just Phael: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (7%) 1 100 % 4.00 1.80 1.80 45%
Slight Favorites 7 (47%) 3 43 % 15.00 -2.47 -0.35 -16%
Slight Underdogs 4 (27%) 1 25 % 6.00 -1.00 -0.25 -17%
Big Underdogs 3 (20%) 1 33 % 2.50 2.00 0.67 80%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (13%) 1 50 % 2.50 2.50 1.25 100%
Co-Main Event 2 (13%) 0 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -1.75 -100%
Position 3-5 5 (33%) 3 60 % 11.00 1.84 0.37 17%
6+ (Undercard) 6 (40%) 2 33 % 10.50 -0.50 -0.08 -5%

Just Phael: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (13%) 1 50 % 3.50 1.50 0.75 43%
Light Heavy 3 (20%) 2 67 % 7.00 2.24 0.75 32%
Welterweight 2 (13%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%
Lightweight 1 (7%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.60 1.60 80%
Featherweight 1 (7%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (20%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -1.67 -100%
Flyweight 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.00 3.50 3.50 350%
               
Women's Fights 2 (13%) 1 50 % 5.50 -0.00 -0.00 -0%
Bantamweight 1 (7%) 1 100 % 3.50 2.00 2.00 57%
Strawweight 1 (7%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 11 (73%) 7 64 %
Slight Favorites 4 (27%) 2 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
15 9 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 2 (33%) 2 100 %
35-50% 3 (50%) 1 33 %
<35% chance 1 (17%) 0 0 %
6 3 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (17%) 1 100 % 1.72 1.72Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 0.7 (72%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (17%) 0 0 % 2.80 2.80Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (33%) 2 100 % 1.93 2.50Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 2.1 (104%)
X Wins by KO 1 (17%) 0 0 % 2.30 2.30Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (17%) 0 0 % 3.00 3.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
6 3 50 % 2.19     -0.2 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Just Phael's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 14 4.9 35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,048.65
9th Feb UFC 234 8 2.6 33% $10.49 $1,048.65 $1,075.95
16th Feb Bellator 216 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.76 $1,075.95 $1,049.06
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 11.5 1.7 14% $10.49 $1,049.06 $1,066.42
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 5 -5.0 -100% $10.66 $1,066.42 $1,013.10
2nd Mar UFC 235 5.5 -5.5 -100% $10.13 $1,013.10 $957.38
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 1 -1.0 -100% $9.57 $957.38 $947.80


ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Just Phael: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Andrea Lee Ashlee Evans-Smith 1.57 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Francis Ngannou Cain Velasquez 2.50 2 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Jim Crute Sam Alvey 1.72 2 TKO, R1 (2:49) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Rogerio Bontorin Magomed Bibulatov 4.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Charles Oliveira David Teymur 1.80 2 Sub, R2 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Johnny Walker Justin Ledet 1.45 4 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.90 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Klidson Farias de Abreu Magomed Ankalaev 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Paul Daley Michael Page 3.00 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Erick Silva Yaroslav Amosov 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Alexandra Albu Emily Whitmire 1.72 2 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Renan Barao Luke Sanders 2.50 1 TKO, R2 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Rani Yahya Ricky Simon 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov 1.90 2 TKO, R1 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Renato Moicano Jose Aldo 1.72 2 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Just Phael: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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