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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alex eXpLoRuH

Alex eXpLoRuH (eXpLoRuH)


MMA MHandicapper - Alex eXpLoRuH

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 59 (49%) Right 24 (39%) Right 15 (63%) Right 20 (56%)
Wrong 62 (51%) Wrong 37 (61%) Wrong 9 (38%) Wrong 16 (44%)
Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 2.37 Avg Odds 1.96
Units Bet 214.3 Units Bet 118.9 Units Bet 29.5 Units Bet 65.9
Avg Bet 1.77 Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 1.83
Units Profit 0.06 Units Profit -21.81 Units Profit 18.07 Units Profit 3.80
ROI % 0% ROI % -18% ROI % 61% ROI % 6%
View Handicapper's Profile

Alex eXpLoRuH: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 8 2.1 26% 2.7 / 2 (135%) -0.6 / 6 (-10%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 6 3.0 50% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 8.0 / 1 (800%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 2.5 -0.1 -4% -0.1 / 2.5 (-4%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 10 -2.8 -28% -0.6 / 5 (-12%) 0.8 / 2 (40%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 8 1.8 22% 4.8 / 5 (95%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 6 -1.5 -25% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 3.5 / 1 (350%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 7 1.0 14% 1.0 / 7 (14%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 2 1.0 48% 1.0 / 2 (48%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 2.5 -0.8 -31% -0.8 / 2.5 (-31%)
26th Oct '19 Bellator 232 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 3 3.4 115% 3.4 / 3 (115%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 5.5 4.8 87% 3.5 / 4 (87%) 1.3 / 1.5 (86%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 10 -1.2 -12% -1.2 / 10 (-12%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 3.5 -3.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 2 2.8 142% 2.8 / 2 (142%)
8th Sep '19 Bellator 226 1 0.8 79% 0.8 / 1 (79%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 12.5 -3.5 -28% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1.5 / 2 (77%) -1.1 / 6.5 (-16%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 9.5 -3.4 -36% -2.4 / 8.5 (-29%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 4 3.5 87% 3.5 / 4 (87%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 8.5 6.0 71% 2.0 / 5 (40%) 0.9 / 0.5 (185%) 3.1 / 3 (104%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 12 4.4 37% 0.9 / 4 (22%) 1.4 / 3 (48%) 2.1 / 5 (42%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 5.1 -3.3 -64% -0.2 / 2 (-8%) -3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 6 3.7 61% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (91%) 3.7 / 4 (94%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 7.5 5.0 66% 1.9 / 4 (46%) 3.1 / 3.5 (89%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 4 -1.4 -35% 1.6 / 1 (161%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 1 0.8 83% 0.8 / 1 (83%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 4.33 2.1 48% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.1 / 1 (110%) 2.0 / 2.33 (84%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 3 -0.8 -27% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.2 / 1 (118%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 2.5 0.0 2% 0.0 / 2.5 (2%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 3.85 0.7 17% -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.5 (81%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 3 -1.1 -38% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.1 / 2 (-7%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 3 1.9 65% 1.4 / 1 (140%) 0.5 / 2 (27%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 1 1.1 110% 1.1 / 1 (110%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 3 2.1 71% 2.1 / 3 (71%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2 2.3 117% 2.3 / 2 (117%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 2 1.7 83% 1.7 / 2 (83%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 3 0.2 5% 0.2 / 3 (5%)


Winning Events: 24 (50%)
Losing Events: 24 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.50 units
Best Event: 6.04 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -0.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 13.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.98

Alex eXpLoRuH: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 48 -5.0 -11% -13.4 / 30 (-45%) 15.0 / 6 (250%) -6.6 / 12 (-55%) 3 / 5 (38%) -0.63
2019 164.28 3.3 2% -8.4 / 88.85 (-9%) 3.1 / 23.5 (13%) 8.6 / 51.93 (17%) 21 / 19 (53%) 0.08

Alex eXpLoRuH: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alex eXpLoRuH: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 209.28 -2.4 -1% -21.6 / 116.85 (-18%) 18.1 / 29.5 (61%) 1.1 / 62.93 (2%)
Bellator 3 0.6 21% -0.2 / 2 (-11%) 0.8 / 1 (83%)

Alex eXpLoRuH: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (5%) 2 67 % 10.00 -0.05 -0.02 -0%
Slight Favorites 35 (57%) 14 40 % 78.85 -18.01 -0.51 -23%
Slight Underdogs 19 (31%) 8 42 % 27.00 -0.75 -0.04 -3%
Big Underdogs 4 (7%) 0 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -0.75 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 19 (31%) 7 37 % 41.00 -8.92 -0.47 -22%
Co-Main Event 8 (13%) 4 50 % 16.00 -2.81 -0.35 -18%
Position 3-5 19 (31%) 7 37 % 34.85 -10.67 -0.56 -31%
6+ (Undercard) 15 (25%) 6 40 % 27.00 0.59 0.04 2%

Alex eXpLoRuH: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (11%) 2 29 % 16.00 -8.27 -1.18 -52%
Light Heavy 10 (16%) 4 40 % 15.50 -5.30 -0.53 -34%
Middleweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 8.00 -2.39 -0.60 -30%
Welterweight 12 (20%) 8 67 % 26.00 12.37 1.03 48%
Lightweight 5 (8%) 1 20 % 6.00 -3.90 -0.78 -65%
Featherweight 10 (16%) 5 50 % 13.35 2.64 0.26 20%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 8.50 3.67 1.22 43%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 7 (11%) 1 14 % 19.50 -14.62 -2.09 -75%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 6.00 -1.12 -0.56 -19%
Strawweight 5 (8%) 0 % 13.50 -13.50 -2.70 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 33 (66%) 24 73 %
Slight Favorites 11 (22%) 7 64 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (12%) 4 67 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50 35 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 41 (64%) 34 83 %
50-65% 8 (13%) 5 63 %
35-50% 9 (14%) 8 89 %
<35% chance 6 (9%) 2 33 %
64 49 77 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.83 1.83Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 0.8 (83%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.10 2.10Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 1.1 (110%)
Goes to Decision 5 (8%) 5 100 % 2.03 2.85Pick was correct 1.32Pick was correct 6.0 (120%)
Does not go to Decision 11 (17%) 9 82 % 1.37 2.35Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct 2.1 (19%)
Fight Starts Round X 19 (30%) 16 84 % 1.28 2.55Pick was correct 1.10Pick was incorrect 2.3 (12%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.95 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (2%) 1 100 % 9.00 9.00Pick was correct 9.00Pick was correct 8.0 (800%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (8%) 3 60 % 2.51 4.50Pick was correct 1.77Pick was incorrect 3.7 (73%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 4 (6%) 3 75 % 1.22 1.28Pick was incorrect 1.13Pick was correct -0.4 (-10%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (6%) 1 25 % 2.34 3.25Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-35%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 8 (13%) 7 88 % 1.15 1.24Pick was correct 1.06Pick was correct 0.1 (2%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (3%) 0 0 % 3.84 4.00Pick was incorrect 3.70Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.05 1.08Pick was correct 1.03Pick was correct 0.1 (5%)
64 49 77 % 1.48     19.5 (30%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alex eXpLoRuH's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 3 0.2 5% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,001.63
9th Feb UFC 234 2 1.7 83% $10.02 $1,001.63 $1,018.32
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2 2.3 117% $10.18 $1,018.32 $1,042.15
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 1 -1.0 -100% $10.42 $1,042.15 $1,031.73
2nd Mar UFC 235 4 -4.0 -100% $10.32 $1,031.73 $990.46
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 2 -2.0 -100% $9.90 $990.46 $970.65
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 3 2.1 71% $9.71 $970.65 $991.45
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 1 1.1 110% $9.91 $991.45 $1,002.36
13th Apr UFC 236 1 -1.0 -100% $10.02 $1,002.36 $992.33
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 3 1.9 65% $9.92 $992.33 $1,011.68
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 3 -1.1 -38% $10.12 $1,011.68 $1,000.12
11th May UFC 237 3.85 0.7 17% $10.00 $1,000.12 $1,006.79
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 2.5 0.0 2% $10.07 $1,006.79 $1,007.22
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 3 -0.8 -27% $10.07 $1,007.22 $998.95
8th Jun UFC 238 4.33 2.1 48% $9.99 $998.95 $1,019.61
14th Jun Bellator 222 1 0.8 83% $10.20 $1,019.61 $1,028.11
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 4 -1.4 -35% $10.28 $1,028.11 $1,013.82
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 7.5 5.0 66% $10.14 $1,013.82 $1,064.15
6th Jul UFC 239 6 3.7 61% $10.64 $1,064.15 $1,103.01
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 5.1 -3.3 -64% $11.03 $1,103.01 $1,066.97
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 2 -2.0 -100% $10.67 $1,066.97 $1,045.63
27th Jul UFC 240 12 4.4 37% $10.46 $1,045.63 $1,091.64
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 8.5 6.0 71% $10.92 $1,091.64 $1,157.53
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 4 3.5 87% $11.58 $1,157.53 $1,197.99
17th Aug UFC 241 9.5 -3.4 -36% $11.98 $1,197.99 $1,156.66
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 10 -10.0 -100% $11.57 $1,156.66 $1,040.99
7th Sep UFC 242 12.5 -3.5 -28% $10.41 $1,040.99 $1,004.28
8th Sep Bellator 226 1 0.8 79% $10.04 $1,004.28 $1,012.19
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 2 2.8 142% $10.12 $1,012.19 $1,041.04
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.41 $1,041.04 $1,004.60
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 10 -1.2 -12% $10.05 $1,004.60 $993.01
5th Oct UFC 243 5.5 4.8 87% $9.93 $993.01 $1,040.30
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 3 -3.0 -100% $10.40 $1,040.30 $1,009.09
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 2 -2.0 -100% $10.09 $1,009.09 $988.91
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 3 3.4 115% $9.89 $988.91 $1,023.03
26th Oct Bellator 232 1 -1.0 -100% $10.23 $1,023.03 $1,012.80
2nd Nov UFC 244 2.5 -0.8 -31% $10.13 $1,012.80 $1,004.84
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 2 1.0 48% $10.05 $1,004.84 $1,014.41
15th Dec UFC 245 1 -1.0 -100% $10.14 $1,014.41 $1,004.27
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 7 1.0 14% $10.04 $1,004.27 $1,013.99
18th Jan UFC 246 6 -1.5 -25% $10.14 $1,013.99 $998.78
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 8 1.8 22% $9.99 $998.78 $1,016.37
9th Feb UFC 247 10 -2.8 -28% $10.16 $1,016.37 $987.92
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 2.5 -0.1 -4% $9.88 $987.92 $987.02
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.87 $987.02 $962.34
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 6 3.0 50% $9.62 $962.34 $991.21
8th Mar UFC 248 5 -5.0 -100% $9.91 $991.21 $941.65
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 8 2.1 26% $9.42 $941.65 $961.26


ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alex eXpLoRuH: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '20 Merab Dvalishvili Casey Kenney 1.61 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Dan Ige Mirsad Bektic 2.20 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '20 Brett Johns Tony Gravely 1.95 5 Sub, R3 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '19 Chan Sung Jung Frankie Edgar 1.59 3.5 TKO, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '19 Chan Sung Jung Frankie Edgar 1.61 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '19 Jan Blachowicz Ronaldo Souza 1.48 2 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Demian Maia Ben Askren 2.15 3 Sub, R3 (3:54) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker 1.87 3 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Yorgan De Castro Justin Tafa 1.87 1 TKO, R1 (2:10) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '19 Gilbert Burns Gunnar Nelson 1.77 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '19 Glover Teixeira Nikita Krylov 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '19 Emmanuel Sanchez Tywan Claxton 1.79 1 Sub, R2 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '19 Misha Cirkunov Jim Crute 2.85 1 Sub, R1 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Colby Covington Robbie Lawler 1.40 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Viviane Araujo Alexis Davis 1.63 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Ryan Hall Darren Elkins 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '19 Maurice Greene Junior Albini 1.95 3 TKO, R1 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '19 Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '20 Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 1.67 3.5 TKO, R2 (1:54) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 1.77 1.5 TKO, R2 (1:54) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Michal Oleksiejczuk Jim Crute 1.71 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:29) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 James Krause Trevin Giles 1.95 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Yan Xiaonan 2.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.25 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Maurice Greene Aleksei Oleinik 1.95 5 Sub, R2 (4:38) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '19 Marc-Andre Barriault Jun Yong Park 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Aleksandar Rakic Volkan Oezdemir 1.91 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Daniel Teymur Chase Hooper 2.15 1 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '19 Makwan Amirkhani Shane Burgos 3.10 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Rory MacDonald Douglas Lima 2.60 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '19 Kyle Bochniak Sean Woodson 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '19 Nate Diaz Jorge Masvidal 2.50 1 TKO, R3 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '19 Khalil Rountree Ion Cutelaba 1.83 5 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '19 Alexa Grasso Carla Esparza 1.77 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '19 Andrea Lee Joanne Calderwood 1.45 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '19 Jessica Andrade Weili Zhang 1.54 5 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '19 Nordine Taleb Muslim Salikhov 1.91 1 TKO, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alex eXpLoRuH: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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