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MMA Handicapper Stats: NorCalMMA

NorCalMMA (NorCalMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - NorCalMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 76 (51%) Right 53 (46%) Right 10 (56%) Right 13 (72%)
Wrong 74 (49%) Wrong 61 (54%) Wrong 8 (44%) Wrong 5 (28%)
Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 1.86
Units Bet 255.1 Units Bet 179.7 Units Bet 16.4 Units Bet 59.0
Avg Bet 1.70 Avg Bet 1.58 Avg Bet 0.91 Avg Bet 3.28
Units Profit 9.59 Units Profit -10.47 Units Profit 2.63 Units Profit 17.43
ROI % 4% ROI % -6% ROI % 16% ROI % 30%
View Handicapper's Profile

NorCalMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 3 1.8 61% 1.8 / 3 (61%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 6.65 0.8 12% -1.4 / 3.65 (-38%) 2.2 / 3 (74%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 5.4 -1.6 -29% -1.9 / 4.9 (-39%) 0.3 / 0.5 (67%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 3.8 1.1 29% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 2.4 / 2.5 (96%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 6.55 0.9 14% 0.9 / 4.5 (20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.05 (95%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 4.5 1.0 22% 1.0 / 4.5 (22%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 5.9 2.9 49% 2.9 / 5.9 (49%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 5.9 -2.6 -44% -2.6 / 5.9 (-44%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 4.5 3.3 73% 3.3 / 4.5 (73%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 3.8 -0.9 -24% -0.9 / 3.8 (-24%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 5.69 -1.6 -29% -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.04 (99%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 4.45 -3.4 -76% -0.2 / 1.25 (-16%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 6 -3.9 -64% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 1.1 / 1 (115%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 8 -4.9 -62% -5.7 / 7.25 (-79%) 0.8 / 0.75 (105%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 5 0.4 7% 0.0 / 3 (0%) 0.4 / 2 (18%)
8th Sep '19 Bellator 226 2.3 1.0 43% 1.0 / 1.3 (77%) 0.0 / 1 (0%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 1.25 -1.3 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 1 0.4 42% 0.4 / 1 (42%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 5.25 2.8 54% 1.0 / 3.75 (27%) 1.8 / 1.5 (123%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 4.5 0.6 14% 0.6 / 4.5 (14%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 3.5 -1.7 -50% -1.7 / 3.5 (-50%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 6 4.7 78% 2.4 / 2.5 (96%) 2.3 / 3.5 (65%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 3 -3.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 6.25 3.1 50% 2.6 / 5.5 (47%) 0.6 / 0.75 (74%)
17th Jul '19 DWCS 20 1.6 1.3 80% 0.0 / 0.6 (3%) 1.3 / 1 (127%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 9.5 -7.0 -74% -2.0 / 4.5 (-46%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 0.4 0.5 130% 0.5 / 0.4 (130%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 4.2 0.9 22% 2.0 / 1 (200%) 1.1 / 1 (112%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 6.5 3.8 58% 0.2 / 1.5 (15%) 3.6 / 5 (71%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 4.5 5.7 126% 3.4 / 2 (170%) 2.3 / 2.5 (90%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 2.5 0.2 8% 0.2 / 2.5 (8%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 7.5 0.8 10% -0.9 / 6 (-14%) 1.6 / 1.5 (108%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 5 2.6 52% 2.6 / 5 (52%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 10 6.1 61% 6.1 / 10 (61%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 8.2 0.0 0% 0.0 / 8.2 (0%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4.3 -4.3 -100% -4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 5 2.4 49% 2.4 / 5 (49%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 6.5 -4.2 -65% -4.2 / 6.5 (-65%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 2.3 3.2 140% 3.2 / 2.3 (140%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 3.2 3.9 121% 2.3 / 1.5 (150%) 1.6 / 1.7 (95%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 9.4 -1.3 -14% -2.3 / 8.4 (-27%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5 2.6 53% 2.6 / 5 (53%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 4.3 1.2 27% 0.2 / 2.5 (6%) 1.0 / 1.8 (56%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 5 2.6 53% 2.6 / 5 (53%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 8.5 0.8 9% -2.0 / 3.5 (-56%) 2.7 / 5 (55%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 8 5.7 72% 2.2 / 3 (74%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 4 0.6 16% 0.6 / 4 (16%)


Winning Events: 33 (63%)
Losing Events: 19 (37%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.00 units
Best Event: 6.12 units
Worst Event: -7.05 units
Average Event: 0.18 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 14.48
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -14.73

NorCalMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 41.7 4.4 10% 0.7 / 32.35 (2%) -2.0 / 2.8 (-70%) 5.6 / 6.55 (86%) 6 / 2 (75%) 0.55
2019 214.39 5.2 2% -11.2 / 147.35 (-8%) 4.6 / 14.6 (31%) 11.8 / 52.44 (23%) 27 / 17 (61%) 0.12

NorCalMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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NorCalMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 242.04 10.7 4% -9.9 / 170 (-6%) 3.4 / 15.05 (22%) 17.2 / 56.99 (30%)
Bellator 5.3 0.7 13% 0.7 / 4.3 (16%) 0.0 / 1 (0%)
Other 8.75 -1.8 -20% -1.3 / 5.4 (-24%) -0.7 / 1.35 (-54%) 0.3 / 2 (14%)

NorCalMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (11%) 6 50 % 44.20 -11.80 -0.98 -27%
Slight Favorites 29 (25%) 12 41 % 66.80 -13.24 -0.46 -20%
Slight Underdogs 56 (49%) 27 48 % 57.20 5.71 0.10 10%
Big Underdogs 17 (15%) 8 47 % 11.50 8.85 0.52 77%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 15 (13%) 9 60 % 20.05 4.40 0.29 22%
Co-Main Event 8 (7%) 4 50 % 12.65 1.85 0.23 15%
Position 3-5 40 (35%) 22 55 % 64.95 7.39 0.18 11%
6+ (Undercard) 51 (45%) 18 35 % 82.05 -24.10 -0.47 -29%

NorCalMMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (7%) 7 88 % 9.90 6.70 0.84 68%
Light Heavy 12 (11%) 9 75 % 30.75 10.98 0.91 36%
Middleweight 14 (12%) 8 57 % 15.45 1.31 0.09 8%
Welterweight 14 (12%) 6 43 % 26.55 -2.97 -0.21 -11%
Lightweight 21 (18%) 6 29 % 31.80 -12.28 -0.58 -39%
Featherweight 11 (10%) 8 73 % 16.30 11.32 1.03 69%
Bantamweight 16 (14%) 4 25 % 27.40 -18.20 -1.14 -66%
Flyweight 7 (6%) 2 29 % 6.90 -1.78 -0.25 -26%
               
Women's Fights 11 (10%) 3 27 % 14.65 -5.55 -0.50 -38%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -2.00 -100%
Flyweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 5.50 3.60 0.72 65%
Strawweight 3 (3%) 0 % 3.15 -3.15 -1.05 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 33 (89%) 29 88 %
Slight Favorites 4 (11%) 3 75 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
37 32 86 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (5%) 1 100 %
50-65% 8 (40%) 4 50 %
35-50% 9 (45%) 6 67 %
<35% chance 2 (10%) 0 0 %
20 11 55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (10%) 2 100 % 2.03 2.12Pick was correct 1.95Pick was correct 2.1 (104%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 17 (85%) 8 47 % 2.01 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was correct -0.4 (-3%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.27 1.27Pick was correct 1.27Pick was correct 0.3 (27%)
20 11 55 % 1.96     1.9 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail NorCalMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 4 0.6 16% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,006.25
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.06 $1,006.25 $1,001.22
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 7 -7.0 -100% $10.01 $1,001.22 $931.13
9th Feb UFC 234 8 5.7 72% $9.31 $931.13 $984.42
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 8.5 0.8 9% $9.84 $984.42 $991.94
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 5 2.6 53% $9.92 $991.94 $1,018.04
2nd Mar UFC 235 4.3 1.2 27% $10.18 $1,018.04 $1,029.79
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5 2.6 53% $10.30 $1,029.79 $1,056.89
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 9.4 -1.3 -14% $10.57 $1,056.89 $1,043.36
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 3.2 3.9 121% $10.43 $1,043.36 $1,083.73
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 2.3 3.2 140% $10.84 $1,083.73 $1,118.62
13th Apr UFC 236 6.5 -4.2 -65% $11.19 $1,118.62 $1,071.08
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 5 2.4 49% $10.71 $1,071.08 $1,097.21
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 4.3 -4.3 -100% $10.97 $1,097.21 $1,050.03
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 8.2 0.0 0% $10.50 $1,050.03 $1,050.30
11th May UFC 237 10 6.1 61% $10.50 $1,050.30 $1,114.53
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 5 -5.0 -100% $11.15 $1,114.53 $1,058.81
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 5 2.6 52% $10.59 $1,058.81 $1,086.43
8th Jun UFC 238 7.5 0.8 10% $10.86 $1,086.43 $1,094.79
14th Jun Bellator 222 2.5 0.2 8% $10.95 $1,094.79 $1,096.98
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 4.5 5.7 126% $10.97 $1,096.98 $1,159.07
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 6.5 3.8 58% $11.59 $1,159.07 $1,203.08
6th Jul UFC 239 4.2 0.9 22% $12.03 $1,203.08 $1,214.15
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 0.4 0.5 130% $12.14 $1,214.15 $1,220.46
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 9.5 -7.0 -74% $12.20 $1,220.46 $1,134.42
17th Jul DWCS 20 1.6 1.3 80% $11.34 $1,134.42 $1,149.02
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 6.25 3.1 50% $11.49 $1,149.02 $1,185.05
27th Jul UFC 240 3 -3.0 -100% $11.85 $1,185.05 $1,149.49
31st Jul DWCS 22 1 -1.0 -100% $11.49 $1,149.49 $1,138.00
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 6 4.7 78% $11.38 $1,138.00 $1,191.23
7th Aug DWCS 23 3.5 -1.7 -50% $11.91 $1,191.23 $1,170.39
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 4.5 0.6 14% $11.70 $1,170.39 $1,177.91
17th Aug UFC 241 5.25 2.8 54% $11.78 $1,177.91 $1,211.37
20th Aug DWCS 25 1 0.4 42% $12.11 $1,211.37 $1,216.52
27th Aug DWCS 26 1.25 -1.3 -100% $12.17 $1,216.52 $1,201.31
8th Sep Bellator 226 2.3 1.0 43% $12.01 $1,201.31 $1,213.32
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 5 0.4 7% $12.13 $1,213.32 $1,217.57
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 8 -4.9 -62% $12.18 $1,217.57 $1,157.60
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 6 -3.9 -64% $11.58 $1,157.60 $1,113.04
5th Oct UFC 243 4.45 -3.4 -76% $11.13 $1,113.04 $1,075.19
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 5.69 -1.6 -29% $10.75 $1,075.19 $1,057.56
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 3.8 -0.9 -24% $10.58 $1,057.56 $1,047.91
15th Dec UFC 245 4.5 3.3 73% $10.48 $1,047.91 $1,082.49
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 5 -5.0 -100% $10.82 $1,082.49 $1,028.36
18th Jan UFC 246 5.9 -2.6 -44% $10.28 $1,028.36 $1,001.63
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 5.9 2.9 49% $10.02 $1,001.63 $1,030.67
9th Feb UFC 247 4.5 1.0 22% $10.31 $1,030.67 $1,040.98
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 6.55 0.9 14% $10.41 $1,040.98 $1,050.35
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 3.8 1.1 29% $10.50 $1,050.35 $1,061.90
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 5.4 -1.6 -29% $10.62 $1,061.90 $1,045.26
8th Mar UFC 248 6.65 0.8 12% $10.45 $1,045.26 $1,053.75
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 3 1.8 61% $10.54 $1,053.75 $1,072.91


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

NorCalMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Francisco Trinaldo John Makdessi 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Gerald Meerschaert Deron Winn 2.25 1 Sub, R3 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Magomed Ankalaev Ion Cutelaba 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Diego Sanchez Michel Pereira 2.40 1 MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Jan Blachowicz Corey Anderson 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:8) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Mario Bautista Miles Johns 2.20 1.5 TKO, R2 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Dan Ige Mirsad Bektic 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Jamahal Hill Darko Stosic 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Curtis Blaydes Junior dos Santos 1.42 2.4 TKO, R2 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '20 Carlos Diego Ferreira Anthony Pettis 1.43 2.3 Sub, R2 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Alex Volkanovski Max Holloway 2.60 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Punahele Soriano Oskar Piechota 2.00 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Omari Akhmedov Ian Heinisch 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '19 Randy Costa Boston Salmon 2.40 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '19 Darren Stewart Deron Winn 2.25 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '19 Yorgan De Castro Justin Tafa 2.10 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:10) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '19 Paul Craig Vinicius Moreira 2.05 0.75 Sub, R1 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '19 Augusto Sakai Marcin Tybura 2.00 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '19 Emmanuel Sanchez Tywan Claxton 1.77 1.3 Sub, R2 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '19 Phil Rowe Leon Shahbazyan 2.85 0.5 TKO, R3 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Li Jingliang Neil Magny 1.61 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Drakkar Klose Beneil Dariush 2.50 1 TKO, R2 (1:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Sergey Spivak Marcin Tybura 1.87 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Steve Garcia Luis Pena 3.45 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 1.71 1.4 TKO, R2 (1:54) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Jim Miller Scott Holtzman 2.35 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 James Krause Trevin Giles 1.91 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '20 Jonathan Martinez Andre Ewell 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '20 Lina Lansberg Sara McMann 2.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '20 Ode Osbourne Brian Kelleher 1.77 2.6 Sub, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '20 Nasrat Haqparast Drew Dober 1.33 1 TKO, R1 (1:10) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Miranda Granger Amanda Oliveira de Lemos 1.54 5 Sub, R1 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '19 Colby Covington Kamaru Usman 2.60 1 TKO, R5 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '19 Court McGee Sean Brady 2.95 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '19 Kevin Holland Brendan Allen 1.65 1.55 Sub, R2 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '19 Gillian Robertson Maycee Barber 2.40 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:4) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '19 Mackenzie Dern Amanda Ribas 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '19 James Vick Niko Price 2.55 2 TKO, R1 (1:44) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '19 Jamie Mullarkey Brad Riddell 2.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

NorCalMMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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