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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mir Theory

Mir Theory (MirTheory)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Mir Theory

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 26 (57%) Right 20 (56%) Right 0 (0%) Right 6 (60%)
Wrong 20 (43%) Wrong 16 (44%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 4 (40%)
Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 0.00 Avg Odds 1.94
Units Bet 171.0 Units Bet 133.5 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 37.5
Avg Bet 3.72 Avg Bet 3.71 Avg Bet 0.00 Avg Bet 3.75
Units Profit 13.32 Units Profit 8.93 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 4.38
ROI % 8% ROI % 7% ROI % 0% ROI % 12%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mir Theory: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 24.5 -9.9 -41% -7.4 / 22 (-34%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 17.5 4.2 24% 1.1 / 14.5 (8%) 3.1 / 3 (103%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 12 3.1 26% 4.7 / 3.5 (135%) -1.6 / 8.5 (-19%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 17 -3.0 -17% 1.0 / 13 (8%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 13.5 -7.4 -55% -3.9 / 10 (-39%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 7 0.9 13% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 3.9 / 4 (97%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 6.5 6.1 94% 6.1 / 6.5 (94%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 28 0.6 2% -5.3 / 21 (-25%) 5.9 / 7 (85%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 8 0.1 1% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 3.1 / 5 (61%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 17 13.8 81% 13.8 / 17 (81%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 20 4.7 24% 4.7 / 20 (24%)


Winning Events: 8 (73%)
Losing Events: 3 (27%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.55 units
Most Staked On One Event: 28.00 units
Best Event: 13.81 units
Worst Event: -9.93 units
Average Event: 1.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 26.26
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -10.34

Mir Theory: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 171 13.3 8% 8.9 / 133.5 (7%) 4.4 / 37.5 (12%) 8 / 3 (73%) 1.21

Mir Theory: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Mir Theory: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 171 13.3 8% 8.9 / 133.5 (7%) 4.4 / 37.5 (12%)

Mir Theory: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (14%) 3 60 % 24.00 -3.28 -0.66 -14%
Slight Favorites 18 (50%) 11 61 % 71.50 8.99 0.50 13%
Slight Underdogs 12 (33%) 6 50 % 35.50 5.72 0.48 16%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (17%) 3 50 % 26.00 -5.15 -0.86 -20%
Co-Main Event 6 (17%) 4 67 % 22.00 4.85 0.81 22%
Position 3-5 11 (31%) 8 73 % 40.00 14.79 1.34 37%
6+ (Undercard) 13 (36%) 5 38 % 45.50 -5.55 -0.43 -12%

Mir Theory: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 7.50 -2.50 -1.25 -33%
Light Heavy 6 (17%) 4 67 % 21.00 7.09 1.18 34%
Middleweight 2 (6%) 2 100 % 7.50 5.55 2.77 74%
Welterweight 6 (17%) 4 67 % 24.50 4.96 0.83 20%
Lightweight 6 (17%) 3 50 % 24.00 -4.03 -0.67 -17%
Featherweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 8.50 0.30 0.10 4%
Bantamweight 5 (14%) 3 60 % 18.50 3.94 0.79 21%
Flyweight 4 (11%) 2 50 % 16.00 -0.38 -0.09 -2%
               
Women's Fights 2 (6%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -3.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -3.50 -100%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 15 (75%) 13 87 %
Slight Favorites 5 (25%) 2 40 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
20 15 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 0 % 0.00     0.0 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mir Theory's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 20 4.7 24% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,047.50
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 17 13.8 81% $10.47 $1,047.50 $1,192.16
9th Feb UFC 234 8 0.1 1% $11.92 $1,192.16 $1,192.78
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 28 0.6 2% $11.93 $1,192.78 $1,200.04
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 6.5 6.1 94% $12.00 $1,200.04 $1,273.72
2nd Mar UFC 235 7 0.9 13% $12.74 $1,273.72 $1,285.13
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 13.5 -7.4 -55% $12.85 $1,285.13 $1,190.29
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 17 -3.0 -17% $11.90 $1,190.29 $1,155.06
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 12 3.1 26% $11.55 $1,155.06 $1,191.23
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 17.5 4.2 24% $11.91 $1,191.23 $1,241.25
13th Apr UFC 236 24.5 -9.9 -41% $12.41 $1,241.25 $1,117.99


ROI % from starting bank balance: 11.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mir Theory: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '19 Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender 1.73 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.70 4.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Paul Craig Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.50 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.80 3 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza 2.15 3 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Jussier Formiga Deiveson Figueiredo 2.35 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Claudio Silva Danny Roberts 1.71 4 Sub, R3 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Dominick Reyes Volkan Oezdemir 1.44 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Beneil Dariush Drew Dober 1.53 4 Sub, R2 (4:41) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Stefan Struve Marcos Rogerio de Lima 2.00 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:21) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Thiago Santos Jan Blachowicz 1.91 4 TKO, R3 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Aljamain Sterling Jimmie Rivera 2.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Luke Sanders Renan Barao 1.67 4 TKO, R2 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao 1.69 4 Sub, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Charles Oliveira David Teymur 1.85 4 Sub, R2 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Demian Maia Lyman Good 1.57 5 Sub, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Jose Aldo Renato Moicano 2.20 4 TKO, R2 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '19 Glover Teixeira Karl Roberson 1.90 5 Sub, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '19 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz 1.48 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '19 Boston Salmon Khalid Taha 1.73 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:25) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Ovince St Preux Nikita Krylov 2.00 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Wilson Reis Alexandre Pantoja 2.40 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Max Holloway Dustin Poirier 1.53 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Michelle Waterson 1.74 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Enrique Barzola Kevin Aguilar 1.83 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Sodiq Yusuff 2.30 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.30 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Marion Reneau Yana Kunitskaya 2.70 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Sergio Moraes Tony Martin 3.00 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.40 3 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Scott Holtzman Nik Lentz 1.56 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.96 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Cain Velasquez Francis Ngannou 1.57 5 TKO, R1 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Rani Yahya Ricky Simon 1.97 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mir Theory: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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