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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bernardo Oliveira

Bernardo Oliveira (Bernardo)


MMA MHandicapper - Bernardo Oliveira

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 27 (35%) Right 8 (50%) Right 8 (36%) Right 11 (28%)
Wrong 51 (65%) Wrong 8 (50%) Wrong 14 (64%) Wrong 29 (73%)
Avg Odds 3.00 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 4.95 Avg Odds 3.08
Units Bet 63.8 Units Bet 23.2 Units Bet 15.5 Units Bet 25.1
Avg Bet 0.82 Avg Bet 1.45 Avg Bet 0.71 Avg Bet 0.63
Units Profit 8.41 Units Profit -0.10 Units Profit 11.15 Units Profit -2.64
ROI % 13% ROI % -0% ROI % 72% ROI % -11%
View Handicapper's Profile

Bernardo Oliveira: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 10.3 9.5 93% 1.5 / 3 (50%) 8.0 / 7.3 (110%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 6.47 -6.5 -100% -5.4 / 5.41 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -0.7 / 0.66 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 3.44 6.0 174% 1.2 / 0.87 (134%) 4.8 / 2.57 (188%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 3.55 -1.9 -54% 0.9 / 0.75 (120%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 3.6 0.4 10% 1.5 / 2.45 (62%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5.02 -0.4 -8% 0.8 / 2.56 (30%) -1.2 / 2.46 (-47%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 6.35 -2.7 -42% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 0.1 / 3.6 (3%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 4.12 -1.2 -29% -1.2 / 4.12 (-29%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2.13 1.1 49% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%) 1.6 / 0.9 (178%) -0.2 / 0.88 (-22%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 3.85 0.8 20% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%) 2.3 / 2.3 (101%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 8.79 -3.0 -35% -1.5 / 3.95 (-37%) 1.3 / 1 (130%) -2.9 / 3.84 (-75%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 0.5 0.2 40% 0.2 / 0.5 (40%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.7 6.1 108% 4.6 / 3.5 (132%) 1.3 / 1.5 (90%) 0.2 / 0.7 (23%)


Winning Events: 7 (54%)
Losing Events: 6 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.30 units
Best Event: 9.53 units
Worst Event: -6.47 units
Average Event: 0.65 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.53
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.47

Bernardo Oliveira: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 63.82 8.4 13% -0.1 / 23.22 (-0%) 11.1 / 15.52 (72%) -2.6 / 25.08 (-11%) 7 / 6 (54%) 0.65

Bernardo Oliveira: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bernardo Oliveira: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 63.32 8.2 13% -0.3 / 22.72 (-1%) 11.1 / 15.52 (72%) -2.6 / 25.08 (-11%)
Bellator 0.5 0.2 40% 0.2 / 0.5 (40%)

Bernardo Oliveira: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (19%) 3 100 % 5.23 2.46 0.82 47%
Slight Favorites 5 (31%) 2 40 % 6.11 -1.07 -0.21 -18%
Slight Underdogs 8 (50%) 3 38 % 11.88 -1.49 -0.19 -13%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (19%) 2 67 % 5.00 0.20 0.07 4%
Co-Main Event 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.13 1.13 1.13 100%
Position 3-5 3 (19%) 2 67 % 5.68 0.78 0.26 14%
6+ (Undercard) 9 (56%) 3 33 % 11.41 -2.21 -0.25 -19%

Bernardo Oliveira: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (13%) 2 100 % 3.50 1.70 0.85 49%
Light Heavy 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.73 0.76 0.76 44%
Middleweight 1 (6%) 0 % 0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -100%
Welterweight 3 (19%) 2 67 % 5.58 0.65 0.22 12%
Lightweight 3 (19%) 2 67 % 5.41 2.72 0.91 50%
Featherweight 1 (6%) 0 % 0.35 -0.35 -0.35 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (19%) 0 % 3.72 -3.72 -1.24 -100%
               
Women's Fights 2 (13%) 1 50 % 2.18 -1.11 -0.56 -51%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 0.68 0.39 0.39 57%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 55 (63%) 43 78 %
Slight Favorites 27 (31%) 13 48 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (7%) 5 83 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
88 61 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 13 (23%) 8 62 %
50-65% 6 (11%) 3 50 %
35-50% 15 (27%) 10 67 %
<35% chance 22 (39%) 5 23 %
56 26 46 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (7%) 1 25 % 1.22 1.25Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect -2.8 (-69%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (13%) 4 57 % 1.73 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -0.6 (-8%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (11%) 6 100 % 1.29 2.00Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 2.0 (33%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (9%) 2 40 % 2.59 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct -0.3 (-6%)
X Wins Inside Distance 5 (9%) 4 80 % 2.12 2.30Pick was correct 1.61Pick was incorrect 4.2 (84%)
X Wins in Round X 14 (25%) 3 21 % 7.27 26.00Pick was incorrect 3.60Pick was incorrect 2.0 (14%)
Others 15 (27%) 6 40 % 2.96 101.01Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was incorrect 0.9 (6%)
56 26 46 % 2.41     5.5 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bernardo Oliveira's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.7 6.1 108% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,061.44
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 0.5 0.2 40% $10.61 $1,061.44 $1,063.56
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 8.79 -3.0 -35% $10.64 $1,063.56 $1,031.22
9th Feb UFC 234 3.85 0.8 20% $10.31 $1,031.22 $1,039.19
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2.13 1.1 49% $10.39 $1,039.19 $1,050.12
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 4.12 -1.2 -29% $10.50 $1,050.12 $1,037.55
2nd Mar UFC 235 6.35 -2.7 -42% $10.38 $1,037.55 $1,009.98
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5.02 -0.4 -8% $10.10 $1,009.98 $1,006.08
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 3.6 0.4 10% $10.06 $1,006.08 $1,009.80
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 3.55 -1.9 -54% $5 $10.10 $1,009.80 $985.61
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 3.44 6.0 174% $9.86 $985.61 $1,044.70
13th Apr UFC 236 6.47 -6.5 -100% $10.45 $1,044.70 $977.10
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 10.3 9.5 93% $5 $9.77 $977.10 $1,065.22


ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.52% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bernardo Oliveira: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '19 Alistair Overeem Aleksei Oleinik 1.50 3 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Claudio Silva Danny Roberts 1.62 2.45 Sub, R3 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Curtis Millender 2.00 1.13 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Yana Kunitskaya Marion Reneau 1.57 0.68 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Johnny Walker Justin Ledet 1.44 1.73 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '19 Ryan Bader Fedor Emelianenko 1.40 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:35) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '19 Dennis Bermudez Te Edwards 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.62 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '19 Curtis Millender Belal Muhammad 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Lauren Mueller Poliana Botelho 2.30 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Jalin Turner Matt Frevola 1.80 1.91 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Tim Boetsch Omari Akhmedov 2.20 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Myles Jury Andre Fili 1.66 0.35 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Rani Yahya Ricky Simon 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov 1.90 0.72 TKO, R1 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.80 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bernardo Oliveira: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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