MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bernardo Oliveira

Bernardo Oliveira (Bernardo)

MMA MHandicapper - Bernardo Oliveira

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	37 (31%)	Right	13 (52%)	Right	10 (26%)	Right	14 (24%)
Wrong	84 (69%)	Wrong	12 (48%)	Wrong	28 (74%)	Wrong	44 (76%)
Avg Odds	3.08	Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	5.55	Avg Odds	2.96
Units Bet	88.6	Units Bet	34.0	Units Bet	19.1	Units Bet	35.5
Avg Bet	0.73	Avg Bet	1.36	Avg Bet	0.50	Avg Bet	0.61
Units Profit	1.41	Units Profit	1.06	Units Profit	11.19	Units Profit	-10.84
ROI %	2%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	59%	ROI %	-31%

Bernardo Oliveira: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	5.4	-0.1	-3%	1.5 / 3.8 (38%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	6.44	-3.9	-61%	-0.5 / 3 (-17%)		-3.4 / 3.44 (-100%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	2.46	-2.5	-100%		-0.7 / 0.68 (-100%)	-1.8 / 1.78 (-100%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	3.1	2.7	86%	1.2 / 1 (120%)	1.8 / 1.2 (150%)	-0.3 / 0.9 (-37%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	4.05	-1.0	-25%	-1.0 / 3 (-33%)	-0.2 / 0.76 (-21%)	0.1 / 0.29 (45%)
27th Apr '19	Bellator 220	0.8	0.5	58%			0.5 / 0.8 (58%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	2.07	-2.1	-100%		-0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	10.3	9.5	93%	1.5 / 3 (50%)	8.0 / 7.3 (110%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	6.47	-6.5	-100%	-5.4 / 5.41 (-100%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)	-0.7 / 0.66 (-100%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	3.44	6.0	174%		1.2 / 0.87 (134%)	4.8 / 2.57 (188%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	3.55	-1.9	-54%		0.9 / 0.75 (120%)	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	3.6	0.4	10%	1.5 / 2.45 (62%)		-1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	5.02	-0.4	-8%	0.8 / 2.56 (30%)		-1.2 / 2.46 (-47%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	6.35	-2.7	-42%		-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	0.1 / 3.6 (3%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	4.12	-1.2	-29%			-1.2 / 4.12 (-29%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	2.13	1.1	49%	-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)	1.6 / 0.9 (178%)	-0.2 / 0.88 (-22%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	3.85	0.8	20%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)	2.3 / 2.3 (101%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	8.79	-3.0	-35%	-1.5 / 3.95 (-37%)	1.3 / 1 (130%)	-2.9 / 3.84 (-75%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.2	40%	0.2 / 0.5 (40%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.7	6.1	108%	4.6 / 3.5 (132%)	1.3 / 1.5 (90%)	0.2 / 0.7 (23%)

Winning Events: 9 (43%)
Losing Events: 12 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.22 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.30 units
Best Event: 9.53 units
Worst Event: -6.47 units
Average Event: 0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.53
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.54

Bernardo Oliveira: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	88.64	1.4	2%	1.1 / 34.02 (3%)	11.2 / 19.08 (59%)	-10.8 / 35.54 (-31%)	9 / 12 (43%)	0.07

Bernardo Oliveira: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bernardo Oliveira: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	86.84	1.2	1%	0.9 / 33.52 (3%)	11.2 / 19.08 (59%)	-10.8 / 34.24 (-32%)
Bellator	1.8	0.2	9%	0.2 / 0.5 (40%)		-0.0 / 1.3 (-3%)

Bernardo Oliveira: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (12%)	3	100 %	5.23	2.46	0.82	47%
Slight Favorites	7 (28%)	3	43 %	9.66	-2.11	-0.30	-22%
Slight Underdogs	15 (60%)	7	47 %	19.13	0.71	0.05	4%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %	0.00	0.00	0.00	0%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (16%)	3	75 %	6.25	1.70	0.42	27%
Co-Main Event	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.13	1.13	1.13	100%
Position 3-5	6 (24%)	3	50 %	8.68	-0.02	-0.00	-0%
6+ (Undercard)	14 (56%)	6	43 %	17.96	-1.75	-0.13	-10%

Bernardo Oliveira: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (12%)	3	100 %	4.50	2.70	0.90	60%
Light Heavy	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.73	0.76	0.76	44%
Middleweight	1 (4%)		0 %	0.75	-0.75	-0.75	-100%
Welterweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	5.58	0.65	0.22	12%
Lightweight	4 (16%)	2	50 %	7.41	0.72	0.18	10%
Featherweight	4 (16%)	2	50 %	3.90	0.81	0.20	21%
Bantamweight	6 (24%)	1	17 %	6.97	-4.22	-0.70	-61%

Women's Fights	3 (12%)	2	67 %	3.18	0.39	0.13	12%
Featherweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.50	1.50	150%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	0.68	0.39	0.39	57%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	77 (62%)	53	69 %
Slight Favorites	40 (32%)	17	43 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (6%)	5	71 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	124	75	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	28 (30%)	18	64 %
50-65%	10 (11%)	4	40 %
35-50%	20 (22%)	11	55 %
<35% chance	34 (37%)	6	18 %
	92	39	42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	10 (11%)	4	40 %	1.32	1.72	1.20	-5.1 (-51%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (10%)	5	56 %	1.67	2.80	1.22	-0.7 (-8%)
Does not go to Decision	12 (13%)	9	75 %	1.31	2.00	1.14	0.1 (1%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (2%)	2	100 %	1.24	1.35	1.15	0.5 (25%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (9%)	3	38 %	2.49	4.00	1.83	-0.9 (-11%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (7%)	4	67 %	2.01	2.30	1.61	3.2 (53%)
X Wins in Round X	22 (24%)	4	18 %	6.47	101.01	2.25	-0.0 (-0%)
Others	23 (25%)	8	35 %	3.53	101.01	1.33	-4.2 (-18%)
	92	39	42 %	2.31			-7.0 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bernardo Oliveira's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.7	6.1	108%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,061.44
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.2	40%		$10.61	$1,061.44	$1,063.56
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	8.79	-3.0	-35%		$10.64	$1,063.56	$1,031.22
9th Feb	UFC 234	3.85	0.8	20%		$10.31	$1,031.22	$1,039.19
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	2.13	1.1	49%		$10.39	$1,039.19	$1,050.12
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	4.12	-1.2	-29%		$10.50	$1,050.12	$1,037.55
2nd Mar	UFC 235	6.35	-2.7	-42%		$10.38	$1,037.55	$1,009.98
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	5.02	-0.4	-8%		$10.10	$1,009.98	$1,006.08
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	3.6	0.4	10%		$10.06	$1,006.08	$1,009.80
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	3.55	-1.9	-54%	$5	$10.10	$1,009.80	$985.61
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	3.44	6.0	174%		$9.86	$985.61	$1,044.70
13th Apr	UFC 236	6.47	-6.5	-100%		$10.45	$1,044.70	$977.10
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	10.3	9.5	93%	$5	$9.77	$977.10	$1,065.22
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	2.07	-2.1	-100%		$10.65	$1,065.22	$1,043.17
27th Apr	Bellator 220	0.8	0.5	58%		$10.43	$1,043.17	$1,048.01
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	4.05	-1.0	-25%		$10.48	$1,048.01	$1,037.22
11th May	Bellator 221	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.37	$1,037.22	$1,032.04
11th May	UFC 237	3.1	2.7	86%		$10.32	$1,032.04	$1,059.59
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	2.46	-2.5	-100%		$10.60	$1,059.59	$1,033.53
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	6.44	-3.9	-61%	$5	$10.34	$1,033.53	$987.81
8th Jun	UFC 238	5.4	-0.1	-3%		$9.88	$987.81	$986.43

ROI % from starting bank balance: -1.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bernardo Oliveira: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '19	Henry Cejudo	Marlon Moraes	2.20	1.25	TKO, R3 (4:51)
2.	Jun '19	Calvin Kattar	Ricardo Lamas	1.62	1.55	TKO, R1 (4:6)
3.	Jun '19	Bea Malecki	Duda Santana	2.50	1	Sub, R2 (1:59)
4.	May '19	Alex Volkanovski	Jose Aldo	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '19	Arjan Bhullar	Juan Adams	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Apr '19	Alistair Overeem	Aleksei Oleinik	1.50	3	TKO, R1 (4:45)
7.	Mar '19	Claudio Silva	Danny Roberts	1.62	2.45	Sub, R3 (2:37)
8.	Mar '19	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Curtis Millender	2.00	1.13	Sub, R1 (2:35)
9.	Mar '19	Yana Kunitskaya	Marion Reneau	1.57	0.68	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '19	Johnny Walker	Justin Ledet	1.44	1.73	TKO, R1 (0:15)
11.	Jan '19	Ryan Bader	Fedor Emelianenko	1.40	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:35)
12.	Jan '19	Dennis Bermudez	Te Edwards	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jan '19	Donald Cerrone	Alexander Hernandez	2.62	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '19	Pedro Munhoz	Aljamain Sterling	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jun '19	Nick Hein	Frank Camacho	1.90	2	TKO, R2 (4:56)	No
3.	May '19	Cub Swanson	Shane Burgos	2.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '19	Brad Katona	Merab Dvalishvili	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '19	Curtis Millender	Belal Muhammad	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '19	Lauren Mueller	Poliana Botelho	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '19	Jalin Turner	Matt Frevola	1.80	1.91	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '19	Tim Boetsch	Omari Akhmedov	2.20	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '19	Myles Jury	Andre Fili	1.66	0.35	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '19	Rani Yahya	Ricky Simon	2.10	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '19	Ricardo Ramos	Said Nurmagomedov	1.90	0.72	TKO, R1 (2:28)	No
12.	Feb '19	Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	2.80	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:17)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bernardo Oliveira: Progress Chart

Chart

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