MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bernardo Oliveira

Bernardo Oliveira (Bernardo)

MMA MHandicapper - Bernardo Oliveira

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	12 (39%)	Right	4 (50%)	Right	3 (38%)	Right	5 (33%)
Wrong	19 (61%)	Wrong	4 (50%)	Wrong	5 (63%)	Wrong	10 (67%)
Avg Odds	2.97	Avg Odds	1.89	Avg Odds	5.93	Avg Odds	3.09
Units Bet	21.0	Units Bet	9.8	Units Bet	3.5	Units Bet	7.7
Avg Bet	0.68	Avg Bet	1.23	Avg Bet	0.43	Avg Bet	0.51
Units Profit	5.13	Units Profit	1.52	Units Profit	4.20	Units Profit	-0.59
ROI %	24%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	122%	ROI %	-8%

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	2.13	1.1	49%	-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)	1.6 / 0.9 (178%)	-0.2 / 0.88 (-22%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	3.85	0.8	20%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)	2.3 / 2.3 (101%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	8.79	-3.0	-35%	-1.5 / 3.95 (-37%)	1.3 / 1 (130%)	-2.9 / 3.84 (-75%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.2	40%	0.2 / 0.5 (40%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.7	6.1	108%	4.6 / 3.5 (132%)	1.3 / 1.5 (90%)	0.2 / 0.7 (23%)

Winning Events: 4 (80%)
Losing Events: 1 (20%)

Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	20.97	5.1	24%	1.5 / 9.8 (16%)	4.2 / 3.45 (122%)	-0.6 / 7.72 (-8%)	4 / 1 (80%)	1.03

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	20.47	4.9	24%	1.3 / 9.3 (14%)	4.2 / 3.45 (122%)	-0.6 / 7.72 (-8%)
Bellator	0.5	0.2	40%	0.2 / 0.5 (40%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (25%)	2	100 %	2.23	0.96	0.48	43%
Slight Favorites	2 (25%)	0	0 %	1.07	-1.07	-0.54	-100%
Slight Underdogs	4 (50%)	2	50 %	6.50	1.63	0.41	25%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %	0.00	0.00	0.00	0%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (25%)	1	50 %	2.00	-1.30	-0.65	-65%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	0 %	0.00	0.00	0.00	0%
Position 3-5	2 (25%)	1	50 %	3.23	-0.74	-0.37	-23%
6+ (Undercard)	4 (50%)	2	50 %	4.57	3.56	0.89	78%

by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (13%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.20	0.20	40%
Light Heavy	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.73	0.76	0.76	44%
Lightweight	2 (25%)	2	100 %	3.50	4.63	2.31	132%
Featherweight	1 (13%)		0 %	0.35	-0.35	-0.35	-100%
Bantamweight	3 (38%)		0 %	3.72	-3.72	-1.24	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	21 (68%)	19	90 %
Slight Favorites	8 (26%)	2	25 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (6%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	31	22	71 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (5%)	1	100 %
50-65%	1 (5%)	1	100 %
35-50%	8 (42%)	5	63 %
<35% chance	9 (47%)	2	22 %
	19	9	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (16%)	1	33 %	2.21	2.80	1.90	-1.1 (-37%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (11%)	2	100 %	1.50	2.00	1.20	1.2 (60%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (5%)	0	0 %	2.60	2.60	2.60	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (21%)	4	100 %	2.30	2.30	2.30	5.2 (130%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (21%)	1	25 %	10.25	26.00	4.50	0.5 (13%)
Others	5 (26%)	1	20 %	14.32	101.01	5.00	0.0 (0%)
	19	9	47 %	3.42			4.8 (25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.7	6.1	108%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,061.44
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.2	40%		$10.61	$1,061.44	$1,063.56
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	8.79	-3.0	-35%		$10.64	$1,063.56	$1,031.22
9th Feb	UFC 234	3.85	0.8	20%		$10.31	$1,031.22	$1,039.19
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	2.13	1.1	49%		$10.39	$1,039.19	$1,050.12

ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '19	Johnny Walker	Justin Ledet	1.44	1.73	TKO, R1 (0:15)
2.	Jan '19	Ryan Bader	Fedor Emelianenko	1.40	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:35)
3.	Jan '19	Dennis Bermudez	Te Edwards	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '19	Donald Cerrone	Alexander Hernandez	2.62	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '19	Myles Jury	Andre Fili	1.66	0.35	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '19	Rani Yahya	Ricky Simon	2.10	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '19	Ricardo Ramos	Said Nurmagomedov	1.90	0.72	TKO, R1 (2:28)	No
4.	Feb '19	Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	2.80	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:17)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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