MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1938
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 777

MMA Handicapper Stats: Bernardo Oliveira

Bernardo Oliveira (Bernardo)

MMA MHandicapper - Bernardo Oliveira

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	77 (34%)	Right	27 (53%)	Right	20 (29%)	Right	30 (29%)
Wrong	148 (66%)	Wrong	24 (47%)	Wrong	50 (71%)	Wrong	74 (71%)
Avg Odds	2.76	Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	4.06	Avg Odds	2.75
Units Bet	200.4	Units Bet	70.0	Units Bet	43.2	Units Bet	87.2
Avg Bet	0.89	Avg Bet	1.37	Avg Bet	0.62	Avg Bet	0.84
Units Profit	-15.25	Units Profit	1.52	Units Profit	5.49	Units Profit	-22.26
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	-26%

Bernardo Oliveira: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	6.62	2.8	43%	3.3 / 3 (110%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.5 / 2.62 (20%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	8.8	6.3	71%	2.1 / 3.95 (54%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	5.4 / 3.6 (150%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	9.78	-1.4	-15%		0.2 / 5 (4%)	-1.6 / 4.78 (-34%)
28th Sep '19	Bellator 228	0.95	0.8	88%			0.8 / 0.95 (88%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	6.95	-2.8	-41%	-2.8 / 4.7 (-60%)		-0.0 / 2.25 (-2%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	6.13	-4.2	-69%	-3.6 / 3.63 (-100%)	-0.6 / 2.5 (-24%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	4.28	-1.7	-40%		1.1 / 1.5 (72%)	-2.8 / 2.78 (-100%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	6.27	-0.7	-12%	1.2 / 2.05 (59%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.9 / 3.22 (-29%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	3.7	-3.7	-100%			-3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	7.55	-1.3	-17%	0.2 / 0.5 (33%)	-2.6 / 3.16 (-81%)	1.1 / 3.89 (28%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	4.27	1.8	43%	1.8 / 4.27 (43%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	7.7	-1.0	-13%	-0.9 / 4.5 (-20%)	0.7 / 0.8 (85%)	-0.8 / 2.4 (-33%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	4	1.8	45%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		3.3 / 2.5 (133%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	11.72	-5.3	-45%	-0.0 / 2.6 (-2%)	-0.6 / 2.5 (-24%)	-4.7 / 6.62 (-70%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	6.2	-1.0	-16%	0.4 / 4.8 (8%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	4.26	-4.3	-100%		-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)	-4.1 / 4.11 (-100%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	4.6	4.0	87%	0.3 / 0.5 (57%)	1.4 / 2.1 (68%)	2.3 / 2 (114%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	6.97	-5.7	-82%		0.4 / 0.9 (39%)	-6.1 / 6.07 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	Bellator London	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	5.4	-0.1	-3%	1.5 / 3.8 (38%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	6.44	-3.9	-61%	-0.5 / 3 (-17%)		-3.4 / 3.44 (-100%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	2.46	-2.5	-100%		-0.7 / 0.68 (-100%)	-1.8 / 1.78 (-100%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	3.1	2.7	86%	1.2 / 1 (120%)	1.8 / 1.2 (150%)	-0.3 / 0.9 (-37%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	4.05	-1.0	-25%	-1.0 / 3 (-33%)	-0.2 / 0.76 (-21%)	0.1 / 0.29 (45%)
27th Apr '19	Bellator 220	0.8	0.5	58%			0.5 / 0.8 (58%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	2.07	-2.1	-100%		-0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	10.3	9.5	93%	1.5 / 3 (50%)	8.0 / 7.3 (110%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	6.47	-6.5	-100%	-5.4 / 5.41 (-100%)	-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)	-0.7 / 0.66 (-100%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	3.44	6.0	174%		1.2 / 0.87 (134%)	4.8 / 2.57 (188%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	3.55	-1.9	-54%		0.9 / 0.75 (120%)	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	3.6	0.4	10%	1.5 / 2.45 (62%)		-1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	5.02	-0.4	-8%	0.8 / 2.56 (30%)		-1.2 / 2.46 (-47%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	6.35	-2.7	-42%		-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	0.1 / 3.6 (3%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	4.12	-1.2	-29%			-1.2 / 4.12 (-29%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	2.13	1.1	49%	-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)	1.6 / 0.9 (178%)	-0.2 / 0.88 (-22%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	3.85	0.8	20%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)	2.3 / 2.3 (101%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	8.79	-3.0	-35%	-1.5 / 3.95 (-37%)	1.3 / 1 (130%)	-2.9 / 3.84 (-75%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.2	40%	0.2 / 0.5 (40%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.7	6.1	108%	4.6 / 3.5 (132%)	1.3 / 1.5 (90%)	0.2 / 0.7 (23%)

Winning Events: 15 (38%)
Losing Events: 25 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.01 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.72 units
Best Event: 9.53 units
Worst Event: -6.47 units
Average Event: -0.38 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.53
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -14.52

Bernardo Oliveira: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	200.39	-15.2	-8%	1.5 / 70.02 (2%)	5.5 / 43.19 (13%)	-22.3 / 87.18 (-26%)	15 / 25 (38%)	-0.38

Bernardo Oliveira: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bernardo Oliveira: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	196.64	-15.3	-8%	1.3 / 69.52 (2%)	6.5 / 42.19 (15%)	-23.1 / 84.93 (-27%)
Bellator	3.75	0.0	0%	0.2 / 0.5 (40%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.8 / 2.25 (36%)

Bernardo Oliveira: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (14%)	6	86 %	9.88	0.66	0.09	7%
Slight Favorites	16 (31%)	6	38 %	21.41	-8.62	-0.54	-40%
Slight Underdogs	26 (51%)	14	54 %	36.68	8.27	0.32	23%
Big Underdogs	2 (4%)	1	50 %	2.05	1.20	0.60	59%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (14%)	4	57 %	9.80	1.75	0.25	18%
Co-Main Event	4 (8%)	3	75 %	5.63	1.31	0.33	23%
Position 3-5	11 (22%)	5	45 %	14.41	0.06	0.01	0%
6+ (Undercard)	29 (57%)	15	52 %	40.18	-1.61	-0.06	-4%

Bernardo Oliveira: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (6%)	3	100 %	4.50	2.70	0.90	60%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	1	33 %	4.23	-1.74	-0.58	-41%
Middleweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	4.20	2.78	0.93	66%
Welterweight	6 (12%)	2	33 %	9.60	-3.37	-0.56	-35%
Lightweight	9 (18%)	5	56 %	13.06	2.78	0.31	21%
Featherweight	6 (12%)	3	50 %	6.53	2.08	0.35	32%
Bantamweight	8 (16%)	3	38 %	9.27	-1.77	-0.22	-19%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	3	100 %	3.00	2.88	0.96	96%

Women's Fights	10 (20%)	5	50 %	15.63	-4.83	-0.48	-31%
Featherweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.50	1.50	150%
Bantamweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	4.88	-0.21	-0.07	-4%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	6.75	-3.12	-0.78	-46%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	139 (64%)	97	70 %
Slight Favorites	69 (32%)	29	42 %
Slight Underdogs	8 (4%)	6	75 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	216	132	61 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	58 (35%)	39	67 %
50-65%	27 (16%)	14	52 %
35-50%	29 (17%)	15	52 %
<35% chance	52 (31%)	6	12 %
	166	74	45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	29 (17%)	17	59 %	1.36	2.00	1.20	-5.7 (-20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	21 (13%)	10	48 %	1.61	2.80	1.22	-5.4 (-26%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.57	1.57	1.57	0.6 (57%)
Does not go to Decision	20 (12%)	15	75 %	1.31	2.00	1.14	-0.1 (-0%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.24	1.35	1.15	0.5 (25%)
X Wins by Decision	10 (6%)	3	30 %	2.49	4.00	1.83	-2.9 (-29%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (7%)	5	45 %	2.09	3.00	1.61	-0.1 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X	35 (21%)	6	17 %	5.77	101.01	2.00	-8.3 (-24%)
Others	37 (22%)	15	41 %	3.31	101.01	1.33	-6.1 (-17%)
	166	74	45 %	2.12			-27.5 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bernardo Oliveira's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.7	6.1	108%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,061.44
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	0.5	0.2	40%		$10.61	$1,061.44	$1,063.56
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	8.79	-3.0	-35%		$10.64	$1,063.56	$1,031.22
9th Feb	UFC 234	3.85	0.8	20%		$10.31	$1,031.22	$1,039.19
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	2.13	1.1	49%		$10.39	$1,039.19	$1,050.12
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	4.12	-1.2	-29%		$10.50	$1,050.12	$1,037.55
2nd Mar	UFC 235	6.35	-2.7	-42%		$10.38	$1,037.55	$1,009.98
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	5.02	-0.4	-8%		$10.10	$1,009.98	$1,006.08
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	3.6	0.4	10%		$10.06	$1,006.08	$1,009.80
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	3.55	-1.9	-54%	$5	$10.10	$1,009.80	$985.61
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	3.44	6.0	174%		$9.86	$985.61	$1,044.70
13th Apr	UFC 236	6.47	-6.5	-100%		$10.45	$1,044.70	$977.10
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	10.3	9.5	93%	$5	$9.77	$977.10	$1,065.22
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	2.07	-2.1	-100%		$10.65	$1,065.22	$1,043.17
27th Apr	Bellator 220	0.8	0.5	58%		$10.43	$1,043.17	$1,048.01
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	4.05	-1.0	-25%		$10.48	$1,048.01	$1,037.22
11th May	Bellator 221	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.37	$1,037.22	$1,032.04
11th May	UFC 237	3.1	2.7	86%		$10.32	$1,032.04	$1,059.59
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	2.46	-2.5	-100%		$10.60	$1,059.59	$1,033.53
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	6.44	-3.9	-61%	$5	$10.34	$1,033.53	$987.81
8th Jun	UFC 238	5.4	-0.1	-3%		$9.88	$987.81	$986.43
22nd Jun	Bellator London	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.86	$986.43	$976.57
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	6.97	-5.7	-82%		$9.77	$976.57	$920.71
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	4.6	4.0	87%		$9.21	$920.71	$957.53
6th Jul	UFC 239	4.26	-4.3	-100%		$9.58	$957.53	$916.74
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	6.2	-1.0	-16%		$9.17	$916.74	$907.57
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	11.72	-5.3	-45%		$9.08	$907.57	$859.54
27th Jul	UFC 240	4	1.8	45%		$8.60	$859.54	$875.14
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	7.7	-1.0	-13%		$8.75	$875.14	$866.23
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	4.27	1.8	43%		$8.66	$866.23	$882.19
17th Aug	UFC 241	7.55	-1.3	-17%		$8.82	$882.19	$870.65
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	3.7	-3.7	-100%		$8.71	$870.65	$838.44
7th Sep	UFC 242	6.27	-0.7	-12%		$8.38	$838.44	$832.19
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	4.28	-1.7	-40%		$8.32	$832.19	$818.05
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	6.13	-4.2	-69%		$8.18	$818.05	$783.44
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	6.95	-2.8	-41%		$7.83	$783.44	$761.19
28th Sep	Bellator 228	0.95	0.8	88%		$7.61	$761.19	$767.59
5th Oct	UFC 243	9.78	-1.4	-15%		$7.68	$767.59	$756.52
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	8.8	6.3	71%		$7.57	$756.52	$803.96
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	6.62	2.8	43%		$8.04	$803.96	$826.72

ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bernardo Oliveira: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '19	Darren Stewart	Deron Winn	2.10	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Oct '19	Cub Swanson	Kron Gracie	2.60	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '19	Eryk Anders	Gerald Meerschaert	1.52	0.45	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Oct '19	Deiveson Figueiredo	Tim Elliott	1.50	1	Sub, R1 (3:8)
5.	Sep '19	Marc Diakiese	Lando Vannata	1.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '19	Carlos Diego Ferreira	Mairbek Taisumov	3.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '19	Hannah Cifers	Jodie Esquibel	1.33	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '19	Chris Gutierrez	Geraldo De Freitas Jr.	2.10	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '19	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Tecia Torres	2.37	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Aug '19	Matt Schnell	Jordan Espinosa	2.40	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:23)
11.	Jul '19	Alexander Hernandez	Francisco Trinaldo	1.60	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jul '19	Benito Lopez	Vincent Morales	2.00	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jul '19	Germaine de Randamie	Aspen Ladd	2.40	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:16)
14.	Jun '19	Joseph Benavidez	Jussier Formiga	1.57	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:47)
15.	Jun '19	Henry Cejudo	Marlon Moraes	2.20	1.25	TKO, R3 (4:51)
16.	Jun '19	Calvin Kattar	Ricardo Lamas	1.62	1.55	TKO, R1 (4:6)
17.	Jun '19	Bea Malecki	Duda Santana	2.50	1	Sub, R2 (1:59)
18.	May '19	Alex Volkanovski	Jose Aldo	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	May '19	Arjan Bhullar	Juan Adams	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '19	Alistair Overeem	Aleksei Oleinik	1.50	3	TKO, R1 (4:45)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '19	Luis Pena	Matt Frevola	1.58	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '19	Macy Chiasson	Lina Lansberg	1.25	2.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '19	Khalil Rountree	Ion Cutelaba	1.80	1	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
4.	Sep '19	Martin Bravo	Steven Peterson	1.90	1.13	TKO, R2 (1:31)	No
5.	Sep '19	Alexa Grasso	Carla Esparza	1.80	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '19	Dustin Poirier	Khabib Nurmagomedov	4.80	1.05	Sub, R3 (2:6)	Yes
7.	Aug '19	Alexey Kunchenko	Gilbert Burns	1.80	1.52	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '19	Darko Stosic	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1.72	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '19	Salim Touahri	Mickey Gall	2.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '19	Sarah Frota	Gillian Robertson	2.10	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:13)	No
11.	Jul '19	Rafael dos Anjos	Leon Edwards	2.10	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '19	Livia Renata Souza	Brianna Van Buren	2.00	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '19	Pedro Munhoz	Aljamain Sterling	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '19	Nick Hein	Frank Camacho	1.90	2	TKO, R2 (4:56)	No
15.	May '19	Cub Swanson	Shane Burgos	2.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '19	Brad Katona	Merab Dvalishvili	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '19	Curtis Millender	Belal Muhammad	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '19	Lauren Mueller	Poliana Botelho	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '19	Jalin Turner	Matt Frevola	1.80	1.91	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '19	Tim Boetsch	Omari Akhmedov	2.20	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bernardo Oliveira: Progress Chart

Chart

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