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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bernardo Oliveira

Bernardo Oliveira (Bernardo)


MMA MHandicapper - Bernardo Oliveira

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 77 (34%) Right 27 (53%) Right 20 (29%) Right 30 (29%)
Wrong 148 (66%) Wrong 24 (47%) Wrong 50 (71%) Wrong 74 (71%)
Avg Odds 2.76 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 4.06 Avg Odds 2.75
Units Bet 200.4 Units Bet 70.0 Units Bet 43.2 Units Bet 87.2
Avg Bet 0.89 Avg Bet 1.37 Avg Bet 0.62 Avg Bet 0.84
Units Profit -15.25 Units Profit 1.52 Units Profit 5.49 Units Profit -22.26
ROI % -8% ROI % 2% ROI % 13% ROI % -26%
View Handicapper's Profile

Bernardo Oliveira: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 6.62 2.8 43% 3.3 / 3 (110%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.5 / 2.62 (20%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 8.8 6.3 71% 2.1 / 3.95 (54%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 5.4 / 3.6 (150%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 9.78 -1.4 -15% 0.2 / 5 (4%) -1.6 / 4.78 (-34%)
28th Sep '19 Bellator 228 0.95 0.8 88% 0.8 / 0.95 (88%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 6.95 -2.8 -41% -2.8 / 4.7 (-60%) -0.0 / 2.25 (-2%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 6.13 -4.2 -69% -3.6 / 3.63 (-100%) -0.6 / 2.5 (-24%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 4.28 -1.7 -40% 1.1 / 1.5 (72%) -2.8 / 2.78 (-100%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 6.27 -0.7 -12% 1.2 / 2.05 (59%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.9 / 3.22 (-29%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 3.7 -3.7 -100% -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 7.55 -1.3 -17% 0.2 / 0.5 (33%) -2.6 / 3.16 (-81%) 1.1 / 3.89 (28%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 4.27 1.8 43% 1.8 / 4.27 (43%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 7.7 -1.0 -13% -0.9 / 4.5 (-20%) 0.7 / 0.8 (85%) -0.8 / 2.4 (-33%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 4 1.8 45% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 3.3 / 2.5 (133%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 11.72 -5.3 -45% -0.0 / 2.6 (-2%) -0.6 / 2.5 (-24%) -4.7 / 6.62 (-70%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 6.2 -1.0 -16% 0.4 / 4.8 (8%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 4.26 -4.3 -100% -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%) -4.1 / 4.11 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4.6 4.0 87% 0.3 / 0.5 (57%) 1.4 / 2.1 (68%) 2.3 / 2 (114%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 6.97 -5.7 -82% 0.4 / 0.9 (39%) -6.1 / 6.07 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 5.4 -0.1 -3% 1.5 / 3.8 (38%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 6.44 -3.9 -61% -0.5 / 3 (-17%) -3.4 / 3.44 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 2.46 -2.5 -100% -0.7 / 0.68 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.78 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 3.1 2.7 86% 1.2 / 1 (120%) 1.8 / 1.2 (150%) -0.3 / 0.9 (-37%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 4.05 -1.0 -25% -1.0 / 3 (-33%) -0.2 / 0.76 (-21%) 0.1 / 0.29 (45%)
27th Apr '19 Bellator 220 0.8 0.5 58% 0.5 / 0.8 (58%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 2.07 -2.1 -100% -0.7 / 0.67 (-100%) -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 10.3 9.5 93% 1.5 / 3 (50%) 8.0 / 7.3 (110%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 6.47 -6.5 -100% -5.4 / 5.41 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -0.7 / 0.66 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 3.44 6.0 174% 1.2 / 0.87 (134%) 4.8 / 2.57 (188%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 3.55 -1.9 -54% 0.9 / 0.75 (120%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 3.6 0.4 10% 1.5 / 2.45 (62%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5.02 -0.4 -8% 0.8 / 2.56 (30%) -1.2 / 2.46 (-47%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 6.35 -2.7 -42% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 0.1 / 3.6 (3%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 4.12 -1.2 -29% -1.2 / 4.12 (-29%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2.13 1.1 49% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%) 1.6 / 0.9 (178%) -0.2 / 0.88 (-22%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 3.85 0.8 20% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%) 2.3 / 2.3 (101%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 8.79 -3.0 -35% -1.5 / 3.95 (-37%) 1.3 / 1 (130%) -2.9 / 3.84 (-75%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 0.5 0.2 40% 0.2 / 0.5 (40%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.7 6.1 108% 4.6 / 3.5 (132%) 1.3 / 1.5 (90%) 0.2 / 0.7 (23%)


Winning Events: 15 (38%)
Losing Events: 25 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.01 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.72 units
Best Event: 9.53 units
Worst Event: -6.47 units
Average Event: -0.38 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.53
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -14.52

Bernardo Oliveira: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 200.39 -15.2 -8% 1.5 / 70.02 (2%) 5.5 / 43.19 (13%) -22.3 / 87.18 (-26%) 15 / 25 (38%) -0.38

Bernardo Oliveira: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bernardo Oliveira: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 196.64 -15.3 -8% 1.3 / 69.52 (2%) 6.5 / 42.19 (15%) -23.1 / 84.93 (-27%)
Bellator 3.75 0.0 0% 0.2 / 0.5 (40%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.8 / 2.25 (36%)

Bernardo Oliveira: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (14%) 6 86 % 9.88 0.66 0.09 7%
Slight Favorites 16 (31%) 6 38 % 21.41 -8.62 -0.54 -40%
Slight Underdogs 26 (51%) 14 54 % 36.68 8.27 0.32 23%
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.05 1.20 0.60 59%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (14%) 4 57 % 9.80 1.75 0.25 18%
Co-Main Event 4 (8%) 3 75 % 5.63 1.31 0.33 23%
Position 3-5 11 (22%) 5 45 % 14.41 0.06 0.01 0%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (57%) 15 52 % 40.18 -1.61 -0.06 -4%

Bernardo Oliveira: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (6%) 3 100 % 4.50 2.70 0.90 60%
Light Heavy 3 (6%) 1 33 % 4.23 -1.74 -0.58 -41%
Middleweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 4.20 2.78 0.93 66%
Welterweight 6 (12%) 2 33 % 9.60 -3.37 -0.56 -35%
Lightweight 9 (18%) 5 56 % 13.06 2.78 0.31 21%
Featherweight 6 (12%) 3 50 % 6.53 2.08 0.35 32%
Bantamweight 8 (16%) 3 38 % 9.27 -1.77 -0.22 -19%
Flyweight 3 (6%) 3 100 % 3.00 2.88 0.96 96%
               
Women's Fights 10 (20%) 5 50 % 15.63 -4.83 -0.48 -31%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.50 1.50 150%
Bantamweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 4.88 -0.21 -0.07 -4%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
Strawweight 4 (8%) 2 50 % 6.75 -3.12 -0.78 -46%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 139 (64%) 97 70 %
Slight Favorites 69 (32%) 29 42 %
Slight Underdogs 8 (4%) 6 75 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
216 132 61 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 58 (35%) 39 67 %
50-65% 27 (16%) 14 52 %
35-50% 29 (17%) 15 52 %
<35% chance 52 (31%) 6 12 %
166 74 45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 29 (17%) 17 59 % 1.36 2.00Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect -5.7 (-20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 21 (13%) 10 48 % 1.61 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was incorrect -5.4 (-26%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.57 1.57Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 0.6 (57%)
Does not go to Decision 20 (12%) 15 75 % 1.31 2.00Pick was correct 1.14Pick was incorrect -0.1 (-0%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.24 1.35Pick was correct 1.15Pick was incorrect 0.5 (25%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (6%) 3 30 % 2.49 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct -2.9 (-29%)
X Wins Inside Distance 11 (7%) 5 45 % 2.09 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -0.1 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X 35 (21%) 6 17 % 5.77 101.01Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -8.3 (-24%)
Others 37 (22%) 15 41 % 3.31 101.01Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was incorrect -6.1 (-17%)
166 74 45 % 2.12     -27.5 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bernardo Oliveira's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.7 6.1 108% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,061.44
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 0.5 0.2 40% $10.61 $1,061.44 $1,063.56
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 8.79 -3.0 -35% $10.64 $1,063.56 $1,031.22
9th Feb UFC 234 3.85 0.8 20% $10.31 $1,031.22 $1,039.19
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2.13 1.1 49% $10.39 $1,039.19 $1,050.12
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 4.12 -1.2 -29% $10.50 $1,050.12 $1,037.55
2nd Mar UFC 235 6.35 -2.7 -42% $10.38 $1,037.55 $1,009.98
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5.02 -0.4 -8% $10.10 $1,009.98 $1,006.08
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 3.6 0.4 10% $10.06 $1,006.08 $1,009.80
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 3.55 -1.9 -54% $5 $10.10 $1,009.80 $985.61
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 3.44 6.0 174% $9.86 $985.61 $1,044.70
13th Apr UFC 236 6.47 -6.5 -100% $10.45 $1,044.70 $977.10
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 10.3 9.5 93% $5 $9.77 $977.10 $1,065.22
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 2.07 -2.1 -100% $10.65 $1,065.22 $1,043.17
27th Apr Bellator 220 0.8 0.5 58% $10.43 $1,043.17 $1,048.01
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 4.05 -1.0 -25% $10.48 $1,048.01 $1,037.22
11th May Bellator 221 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.37 $1,037.22 $1,032.04
11th May UFC 237 3.1 2.7 86% $10.32 $1,032.04 $1,059.59
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 2.46 -2.5 -100% $10.60 $1,059.59 $1,033.53
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 6.44 -3.9 -61% $5 $10.34 $1,033.53 $987.81
8th Jun UFC 238 5.4 -0.1 -3% $9.88 $987.81 $986.43
22nd Jun Bellator London 1 -1.0 -100% $9.86 $986.43 $976.57
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 6.97 -5.7 -82% $9.77 $976.57 $920.71
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 4.6 4.0 87% $9.21 $920.71 $957.53
6th Jul UFC 239 4.26 -4.3 -100% $9.58 $957.53 $916.74
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 6.2 -1.0 -16% $9.17 $916.74 $907.57
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 11.72 -5.3 -45% $9.08 $907.57 $859.54
27th Jul UFC 240 4 1.8 45% $8.60 $859.54 $875.14
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 7.7 -1.0 -13% $8.75 $875.14 $866.23
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 4.27 1.8 43% $8.66 $866.23 $882.19
17th Aug UFC 241 7.55 -1.3 -17% $8.82 $882.19 $870.65
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 3.7 -3.7 -100% $8.71 $870.65 $838.44
7th Sep UFC 242 6.27 -0.7 -12% $8.38 $838.44 $832.19
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 4.28 -1.7 -40% $8.32 $832.19 $818.05
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 6.13 -4.2 -69% $8.18 $818.05 $783.44
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 6.95 -2.8 -41% $7.83 $783.44 $761.19
28th Sep Bellator 228 0.95 0.8 88% $7.61 $761.19 $767.59
5th Oct UFC 243 9.78 -1.4 -15% $7.68 $767.59 $756.52
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 8.8 6.3 71% $7.57 $756.52 $803.96
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 6.62 2.8 43% $8.04 $803.96 $826.72


ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bernardo Oliveira: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '19 Darren Stewart Deron Winn 2.10 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Cub Swanson Kron Gracie 2.60 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 Eryk Anders Gerald Meerschaert 1.52 0.45 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Tim Elliott 1.50 1 Sub, R1 (3:8) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Marc Diakiese Lando Vannata 1.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '19 Carlos Diego Ferreira Mairbek Taisumov 3.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Hannah Cifers Jodie Esquibel 1.33 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Chris Gutierrez Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 2.10 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Tecia Torres 2.37 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Matt Schnell Jordan Espinosa 2.40 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Alexander Hernandez Francisco Trinaldo 1.60 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Benito Lopez Vincent Morales 2.00 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.40 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Joseph Benavidez Jussier Formiga 1.57 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Henry Cejudo Marlon Moraes 2.20 1.25 TKO, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.62 1.55 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Bea Malecki Duda Santana 2.50 1 Sub, R2 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Alex Volkanovski Jose Aldo 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Arjan Bhullar Juan Adams 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Alistair Overeem Aleksei Oleinik 1.50 3 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '19 Luis Pena Matt Frevola 1.58 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Macy Chiasson Lina Lansberg 1.25 2.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Khalil Rountree Ion Cutelaba 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '19 Martin Bravo Steven Peterson 1.90 1.13 TKO, R2 (1:31) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Alexa Grasso Carla Esparza 1.80 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '19 Dustin Poirier Khabib Nurmagomedov 4.80 1.05 Sub, R3 (2:6) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Alexey Kunchenko Gilbert Burns 1.80 1.52 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Darko Stosic Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.72 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Salim Touahri Mickey Gall 2.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 2.10 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Rafael dos Anjos Leon Edwards 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Livia Renata Souza Brianna Van Buren 2.00 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '19 Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Paid Pick Nick Hein Frank Camacho 1.90 2 TKO, R2 (4:56) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Curtis Millender Belal Muhammad 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Lauren Mueller Poliana Botelho 2.30 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Jalin Turner Matt Frevola 1.80 1.91 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Tim Boetsch Omari Akhmedov 2.20 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bernardo Oliveira: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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