MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 2194
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 886

MMA Handicapper Stats: alexei themage

alexei themage (Alexeithemage)

MMA MHandicapper - alexei themage

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	61 (69%)	Right	19 (59%)	Right	28 (85%)	Right	14 (58%)
Wrong	28 (31%)	Wrong	13 (41%)	Wrong	5 (15%)	Wrong	10 (42%)
Avg Odds	1.52	Avg Odds	1.50	Avg Odds	1.46	Avg Odds	1.65
Units Bet	128.0	Units Bet	49.0	Units Bet	54.5	Units Bet	24.5
Avg Bet	1.44	Avg Bet	1.53	Avg Bet	1.65	Avg Bet	1.02
Units Profit	5.00	Units Profit	-5.55	Units Profit	13.39	Units Profit	-2.83
ROI %	4%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	25%	ROI %	-12%

alexei themage: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	2.5	-0.4	-17%	-0.4 / 2.5 (-17%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	4.5	2.1	46%	1.1 / 3 (38%)	0.9 / 1.5 (62%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	3	-0.2	-7%	0.8 / 2 (40%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	1	0.6	60%			0.6 / 1 (60%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	5	-2.9	-58%	-1.9 / 4 (-48%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	1	0.7	70%			0.7 / 1 (70%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	1	0.6	56%			0.6 / 1 (56%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	2	0.6	30%	0.6 / 2 (30%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	1	0.9	86%			0.9 / 1 (86%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	1.5	1.0	66%	1.0 / 1.5 (66%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	1	0.7	66%			0.7 / 1 (66%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	3.5	0.6	16%	-0.0 / 3 (-0%)		0.6 / 0.5 (111%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	4.5	-0.8	-19%	0.3 / 1.5 (22%)	0.3 / 1.5 (22%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	2	0.6	30%		0.6 / 2 (30%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	3	1.3	44%	0.8 / 2 (38%)		0.6 / 1 (56%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	3.5	-0.9	-25%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	0.6 / 2 (31%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	3	1.7	58%		0.9 / 1.5 (58%)	0.9 / 1.5 (58%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	4.5	1.6	37%		1.6 / 4.5 (37%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	8	-2.3	-29%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	0.2 / 5.5 (3%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	3	1.1	35%		0.6 / 2 (30%)	0.5 / 1 (46%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	1	1.0	100%			1.0 / 1 (100%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	4.5	1.9	43%	0.6 / 2 (30%)	0.5 / 1.5 (35%)	0.8 / 1 (82%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	3	1.4	46%	0.4 / 1 (40%)	0.5 / 1 (50%)	0.5 / 1 (47%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	3.5	-0.8	-22%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	0.7 / 2 (37%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	5.5	3.0	54%	1.7 / 2.5 (69%)	0.7 / 2 (36%)	0.6 / 1 (55%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	5	-2.1	-42%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.9 / 2 (46%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	2.5	1.5	61%	0.8 / 1 (78%)	0.7 / 1.5 (49%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	5.5	-0.2	-4%		-0.2 / 5.5 (-4%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	3	0.1	5%	0.7 / 1.5 (50%)	0.4 / 0.5 (78%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	2	1.2	60%		1.2 / 2 (60%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	2.5	0.9	36%		0.9 / 2.5 (36%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	3	-3.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	4.5	1.7	37%	0.8 / 2 (40%)	0.9 / 2.5 (35%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	3.5	-0.6	-17%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 3 (-3%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	1.5	0.9	60%		0.9 / 1.5 (60%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	4.5	-1.0	-21%		-1.0 / 4.5 (-21%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7	0.0	1%	0.1 / 4.5 (2%)	0.9 / 1.5 (63%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 25 (58%)
Losing Events: 18 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.00 units
Best Event: 2.99 units
Worst Event: -3.00 units
Average Event: 0.12 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 4.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -3.84

alexei themage: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	17	-0.1	-1%	-0.4 / 11.5 (-3%)	0.9 / 1.5 (62%)	-0.7 / 4 (-17%)	3 / 3 (50%)	-0.02
2019	111	5.1	5%	-5.2 / 37.5 (-14%)	12.5 / 53 (24%)	-2.1 / 20.5 (-10%)	22 / 15 (59%)	0.14

alexei themage: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

alexei themage: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	127	6.0	5%	-5.6 / 49 (-11%)	13.4 / 54.5 (25%)	-1.8 / 23.5 (-8%)
Bellator	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

alexei themage: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	21 (66%)	14	67 %	36.00	-3.52	-0.17	-10%
Slight Favorites	8 (25%)	3	38 %	11.00	-3.59	-0.45	-33%
Slight Underdogs	2 (6%)	1	50 %	1.50	0.60	0.30	40%
Big Underdogs	1 (3%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.96	0.96	192%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (9%)	2	67 %	5.00	-0.82	-0.27	-16%
Co-Main Event	2 (6%)	0	0 %	4.00	-4.00	-2.00	-100%
Position 3-5	8 (25%)	4	50 %	13.00	-3.56	-0.45	-27%
6+ (Undercard)	19 (59%)	13	68 %	27.00	2.82	0.15	10%

alexei themage: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.60	0.60	40%
Middleweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.59	0.59	39%
Welterweight	4 (13%)	2	50 %	5.50	-0.58	-0.14	-11%
Lightweight	3 (9%)	3	100 %	5.50	1.92	0.64	35%
Bantamweight	6 (19%)	2	33 %	10.00	-4.60	-0.77	-46%
Flyweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	6.00	-0.20	-0.07	-3%

Women's Fights	14 (44%)	8	57 %	19.00	-3.27	-0.23	-17%
Featherweight	3 (9%)	3	100 %	3.50	1.17	0.39	33%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-1.75	-100%
Flyweight	4 (13%)	2	50 %	5.00	-1.05	-0.26	-21%
Strawweight	5 (16%)	3	60 %	7.00	0.11	0.02	2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	25 (93%)	20	80 %
Slight Favorites	2 (7%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	27	21	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	44 (81%)	36	82 %
50-65%	10 (19%)	7	70 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	54	43	80 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (24%)	9	69 %	1.53	1.78	1.35	0.4 (3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.78	1.78	1.78	0.8 (78%)
Goes to Decision	38 (70%)	31	82 %	1.34	1.58	1.22	3.9 (10%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.45	1.45	1.45	0.4 (45%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.96	1.96	1.96	1.0 (96%)
	54	43	80 %	1.40			6.5 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail alexei themage's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7	0.0	1%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,000.45
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.45	$990.45
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	4.5	-1.0	-21%		$9.90	$990.45	$981.04
9th Feb	UFC 234	1.5	0.9	60%		$9.81	$981.04	$989.87
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	3.5	-0.6	-17%		$9.90	$989.87	$984.12
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	4.5	1.7	37%		$9.84	$984.12	$1,000.61
2nd Mar	UFC 235	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.01	$1,000.61	$970.59
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	2.5	0.9	36%		$9.71	$970.59	$979.33
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	2	1.2	60%		$9.79	$979.33	$991.08
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	3	0.1	5%		$9.91	$991.08	$992.46
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	5.5	-0.2	-4%		$9.92	$992.46	$990.48
13th Apr	UFC 236	2.5	1.5	61%		$9.90	$990.48	$1,005.53
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	5	-2.1	-42%		$10.06	$1,005.53	$984.62
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	5.5	3.0	54%		$9.85	$984.62	$1,014.01
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.14	$1,014.01	$1,008.94
11th May	UFC 237	3.5	-0.8	-22%		$10.09	$1,008.94	$1,001.27
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	3	1.4	46%		$10.01	$1,001.27	$1,015.01
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.15	$1,015.01	$1,004.86
8th Jun	UFC 238	4.5	1.9	43%		$10.05	$1,004.86	$1,024.43
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	1	1.0	100%		$10.24	$1,024.43	$1,034.67
6th Jul	UFC 239	3	1.1	35%		$10.35	$1,034.67	$1,045.65
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	8	-2.3	-29%		$10.46	$1,045.65	$1,021.18
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	4.5	1.6	37%		$10.21	$1,021.18	$1,038.03
27th Jul	UFC 240	3	1.7	58%		$10.38	$1,038.03	$1,056.07
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.56	$1,056.07	$1,034.95
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	3.5	-0.9	-25%		$10.35	$1,034.95	$1,025.85
17th Aug	UFC 241	3	1.3	44%		$10.26	$1,025.85	$1,039.40
7th Sep	UFC 242	2	0.6	30%		$10.39	$1,039.40	$1,045.64
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.46	$1,045.64	$1,024.73
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.25	$1,024.73	$1,014.48
5th Oct	UFC 243	4.5	-0.8	-19%		$10.14	$1,014.48	$1,005.96
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	3.5	0.6	16%		$10.06	$1,005.96	$1,011.52
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	1	0.7	66%		$10.12	$1,011.52	$1,018.19
2nd Nov	UFC 244	1.5	1.0	66%		$10.18	$1,018.19	$1,028.27
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	1	0.9	86%		$10.28	$1,028.27	$1,037.07
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	2	0.6	30%		$10.37	$1,037.07	$1,043.29
15th Dec	UFC 245	1	0.6	56%		$10.43	$1,043.29	$1,049.15
18th Jan	UFC 246	1	0.7	70%		$10.49	$1,049.15	$1,056.52
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	5	-2.9	-58%		$10.57	$1,056.52	$1,025.88
9th Feb	UFC 247	1	0.6	60%		$10.26	$1,025.88	$1,032.03
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	3	-0.2	-7%		$10.32	$1,032.03	$1,029.96
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	4.5	2.1	46%		$10.30	$1,029.96	$1,051.28
8th Mar	UFC 248	2.5	-0.4	-17%		$10.51	$1,051.28	$1,046.92

ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

alexei themage: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '20	Israel Adesanya	Yoel Romero	1.39	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Feb '20	Megan Anderson	Norma Dumont	1.44	1	TKO, R1 (3:31)
3.	Feb '20	Luis Pena	Steve Garcia	1.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '20	Kai Kara-France	Tyson Nam	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jan '20	Curtis Blaydes	Junior dos Santos	1.40	1.5	TKO, R2 (1:6)
6.	Nov '19	Charles Oliveira	Jared Gordon	1.30	2	TKO, R1 (1:26)
7.	Nov '19	Katlyn Chookagian	Jennifer Maia	1.66	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '19	Deiveson Figueiredo	Tim Elliott	1.50	2	Sub, R1 (3:8)
9.	Oct '19	Megan Anderson	Zara Fairn Dos Santos	1.22	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:57)
10.	Aug '19	Hannah Cifers	Jodie Esquibel	1.38	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '19	Petr Yan	Jimmie Rivera	1.30	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	May '19	Aspen Ladd	Sijara Eubanks	1.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '19	Gilbert Burns	Mike Davis	1.41	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:15)
14.	Apr '19	Carla Esparza	Virna Jandiroba	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '19	Belal Muhammad	Curtis Millender	1.78	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '19	Maycee Barber	J.J. Aldrich	1.50	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:1)
17.	Feb '19	Petr Yan	John Dodson	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jan '19	Joanne Calderwood	Ariane Lipski	2.92	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '20	Li Jingliang	Neil Magny	1.58	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '20	Rafael dos Anjos	Michael Chiesa	1.39	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '20	Lucie Pudilova	Justine Kish	1.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Oct '19	Mackenzie Dern	Amanda Ribas	1.68	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Sep '19	Sijara Eubanks	Bethe Correia	1.39	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '19	Tecia Torres	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.64	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '19	Ricky Simon	Urijah Faber	1.30	2.5	TKO, R1 (0:46)	No
8.	Jun '19	Tonya Evinger	Lina Lansberg	1.41	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '19	Talita Bernardo	Viviane Araujo	1.31	1.5	TKO, R3 (0:48)	No
10.	Apr '19	Antonina Shevchenko	Roxanne Modafferi	1.30	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '19	Cody Garbrandt	Pedro Munhoz	1.60	2	TKO, R1 (4:52)	No
12.	Feb '19	Renan Barao	Luke Sanders	2.56	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:1)	No
13.	Jan '19	T.J. Dillashaw	Henry Cejudo	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

alexei themage: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event