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MMA Handicapper Stats: alexei themage

alexei themage (Alexeithemage)


MMA MHandicapper - alexei themage

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 61 (69%) Right 19 (59%) Right 28 (85%) Right 14 (58%)
Wrong 28 (31%) Wrong 13 (41%) Wrong 5 (15%) Wrong 10 (42%)
Avg Odds 1.52 Avg Odds 1.50 Avg Odds 1.46 Avg Odds 1.65
Units Bet 128.0 Units Bet 49.0 Units Bet 54.5 Units Bet 24.5
Avg Bet 1.44 Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 1.65 Avg Bet 1.02
Units Profit 5.00 Units Profit -5.55 Units Profit 13.39 Units Profit -2.83
ROI % 4% ROI % -11% ROI % 25% ROI % -12%
View Handicapper's Profile

alexei themage: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 2.5 -0.4 -17% -0.4 / 2.5 (-17%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 4.5 2.1 46% 1.1 / 3 (38%) 0.9 / 1.5 (62%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 3 -0.2 -7% 0.8 / 2 (40%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 1 0.6 60% 0.6 / 1 (60%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 5 -2.9 -58% -1.9 / 4 (-48%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 1 0.7 70% 0.7 / 1 (70%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 1 0.6 56% 0.6 / 1 (56%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 2 0.6 30% 0.6 / 2 (30%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 1 0.9 86% 0.9 / 1 (86%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 1.5 1.0 66% 1.0 / 1.5 (66%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 1 0.7 66% 0.7 / 1 (66%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 3.5 0.6 16% -0.0 / 3 (-0%) 0.6 / 0.5 (111%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 4.5 -0.8 -19% 0.3 / 1.5 (22%) 0.3 / 1.5 (22%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 2 0.6 30% 0.6 / 2 (30%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 3 1.3 44% 0.8 / 2 (38%) 0.6 / 1 (56%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 3.5 -0.9 -25% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.6 / 2 (31%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 3 1.7 58% 0.9 / 1.5 (58%) 0.9 / 1.5 (58%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 4.5 1.6 37% 1.6 / 4.5 (37%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 8 -2.3 -29% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 0.2 / 5.5 (3%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 3 1.1 35% 0.6 / 2 (30%) 0.5 / 1 (46%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 4.5 1.9 43% 0.6 / 2 (30%) 0.5 / 1.5 (35%) 0.8 / 1 (82%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 3 1.4 46% 0.4 / 1 (40%) 0.5 / 1 (50%) 0.5 / 1 (47%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 3.5 -0.8 -22% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.7 / 2 (37%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5.5 3.0 54% 1.7 / 2.5 (69%) 0.7 / 2 (36%) 0.6 / 1 (55%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 5 -2.1 -42% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.9 / 2 (46%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 2.5 1.5 61% 0.8 / 1 (78%) 0.7 / 1.5 (49%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 5.5 -0.2 -4% -0.2 / 5.5 (-4%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 3 0.1 5% 0.7 / 1.5 (50%) 0.4 / 0.5 (78%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 2 1.2 60% 1.2 / 2 (60%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 2.5 0.9 36% 0.9 / 2.5 (36%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 3 -3.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 4.5 1.7 37% 0.8 / 2 (40%) 0.9 / 2.5 (35%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 3.5 -0.6 -17% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.1 / 3 (-3%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 1.5 0.9 60% 0.9 / 1.5 (60%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 4.5 -1.0 -21% -1.0 / 4.5 (-21%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 0.0 1% 0.1 / 4.5 (2%) 0.9 / 1.5 (63%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 25 (58%)
Losing Events: 18 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.00 units
Best Event: 2.99 units
Worst Event: -3.00 units
Average Event: 0.12 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 4.92
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -3.84

alexei themage: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 17 -0.1 -1% -0.4 / 11.5 (-3%) 0.9 / 1.5 (62%) -0.7 / 4 (-17%) 3 / 3 (50%) -0.02
2019 111 5.1 5% -5.2 / 37.5 (-14%) 12.5 / 53 (24%) -2.1 / 20.5 (-10%) 22 / 15 (59%) 0.14

alexei themage: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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alexei themage: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 127 6.0 5% -5.6 / 49 (-11%) 13.4 / 54.5 (25%) -1.8 / 23.5 (-8%)
Bellator 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

alexei themage: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 21 (66%) 14 67 % 36.00 -3.52 -0.17 -10%
Slight Favorites 8 (25%) 3 38 % 11.00 -3.59 -0.45 -33%
Slight Underdogs 2 (6%) 1 50 % 1.50 0.60 0.30 40%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.96 0.96 192%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (9%) 2 67 % 5.00 -0.82 -0.27 -16%
Co-Main Event 2 (6%) 0 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%
Position 3-5 8 (25%) 4 50 % 13.00 -3.56 -0.45 -27%
6+ (Undercard) 19 (59%) 13 68 % 27.00 2.82 0.15 10%

alexei themage: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.50 0.60 0.60 40%
Middleweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.50 0.59 0.59 39%
Welterweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 5.50 -0.58 -0.14 -11%
Lightweight 3 (9%) 3 100 % 5.50 1.92 0.64 35%
Bantamweight 6 (19%) 2 33 % 10.00 -4.60 -0.77 -46%
Flyweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 6.00 -0.20 -0.07 -3%
               
Women's Fights 14 (44%) 8 57 % 19.00 -3.27 -0.23 -17%
Featherweight 3 (9%) 3 100 % 3.50 1.17 0.39 33%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -1.75 -100%
Flyweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 5.00 -1.05 -0.26 -21%
Strawweight 5 (16%) 3 60 % 7.00 0.11 0.02 2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 25 (93%) 20 80 %
Slight Favorites 2 (7%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
27 21 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 44 (81%) 36 82 %
50-65% 10 (19%) 7 70 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
54 43 80 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 13 (24%) 9 69 % 1.53 1.78Pick was incorrect 1.35Pick was correct 0.4 (3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.78 1.78Pick was correct 1.78Pick was correct 0.8 (78%)
Goes to Decision 38 (70%) 31 82 % 1.34 1.58Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 3.9 (10%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.45 1.45Pick was correct 1.45Pick was correct 0.4 (45%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.96 1.96Pick was correct 1.96Pick was correct 1.0 (96%)
54 43 80 % 1.40     6.5 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail alexei themage's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 0.0 1% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,000.45
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.45 $990.45
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 4.5 -1.0 -21% $9.90 $990.45 $981.04
9th Feb UFC 234 1.5 0.9 60% $9.81 $981.04 $989.87
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 3.5 -0.6 -17% $9.90 $989.87 $984.12
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 4.5 1.7 37% $9.84 $984.12 $1,000.61
2nd Mar UFC 235 3 -3.0 -100% $10.01 $1,000.61 $970.59
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 2.5 0.9 36% $9.71 $970.59 $979.33
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 2 1.2 60% $9.79 $979.33 $991.08
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 3 0.1 5% $9.91 $991.08 $992.46
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 5.5 -0.2 -4% $9.92 $992.46 $990.48
13th Apr UFC 236 2.5 1.5 61% $9.90 $990.48 $1,005.53
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 5 -2.1 -42% $10.06 $1,005.53 $984.62
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 5.5 3.0 54% $9.85 $984.62 $1,014.01
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.14 $1,014.01 $1,008.94
11th May UFC 237 3.5 -0.8 -22% $10.09 $1,008.94 $1,001.27
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 3 1.4 46% $10.01 $1,001.27 $1,015.01
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 1 -1.0 -100% $10.15 $1,015.01 $1,004.86
8th Jun UFC 238 4.5 1.9 43% $10.05 $1,004.86 $1,024.43
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 1 1.0 100% $10.24 $1,024.43 $1,034.67
6th Jul UFC 239 3 1.1 35% $10.35 $1,034.67 $1,045.65
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 8 -2.3 -29% $10.46 $1,045.65 $1,021.18
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 4.5 1.6 37% $10.21 $1,021.18 $1,038.03
27th Jul UFC 240 3 1.7 58% $10.38 $1,038.03 $1,056.07
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 2 -2.0 -100% $10.56 $1,056.07 $1,034.95
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 3.5 -0.9 -25% $10.35 $1,034.95 $1,025.85
17th Aug UFC 241 3 1.3 44% $10.26 $1,025.85 $1,039.40
7th Sep UFC 242 2 0.6 30% $10.39 $1,039.40 $1,045.64
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 2 -2.0 -100% $10.46 $1,045.64 $1,024.73
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 1 -1.0 -100% $10.25 $1,024.73 $1,014.48
5th Oct UFC 243 4.5 -0.8 -19% $10.14 $1,014.48 $1,005.96
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 3.5 0.6 16% $10.06 $1,005.96 $1,011.52
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 1 0.7 66% $10.12 $1,011.52 $1,018.19
2nd Nov UFC 244 1.5 1.0 66% $10.18 $1,018.19 $1,028.27
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 1 0.9 86% $10.28 $1,028.27 $1,037.07
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 2 0.6 30% $10.37 $1,037.07 $1,043.29
15th Dec UFC 245 1 0.6 56% $10.43 $1,043.29 $1,049.15
18th Jan UFC 246 1 0.7 70% $10.49 $1,049.15 $1,056.52
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 5 -2.9 -58% $10.57 $1,056.52 $1,025.88
9th Feb UFC 247 1 0.6 60% $10.26 $1,025.88 $1,032.03
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 3 -0.2 -7% $10.32 $1,032.03 $1,029.96
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 4.5 2.1 46% $10.30 $1,029.96 $1,051.28
8th Mar UFC 248 2.5 -0.4 -17% $10.51 $1,051.28 $1,046.92


ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

alexei themage: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Israel Adesanya Yoel Romero 1.39 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Megan Anderson Norma Dumont 1.44 1 TKO, R1 (3:31) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Luis Pena Steve Garcia 1.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Kai Kara-France Tyson Nam 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Curtis Blaydes Junior dos Santos 1.40 1.5 TKO, R2 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '19 Charles Oliveira Jared Gordon 1.30 2 TKO, R1 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 Katlyn Chookagian Jennifer Maia 1.66 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Tim Elliott 1.50 2 Sub, R1 (3:8) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Megan Anderson Zara Fairn Dos Santos 1.22 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Hannah Cifers Jodie Esquibel 1.38 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Petr Yan Jimmie Rivera 1.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Gilbert Burns Mike Davis 1.41 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Carla Esparza Virna Jandiroba 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender 1.78 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Maycee Barber J.J. Aldrich 1.50 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:1) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Petr Yan John Dodson 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '19 Joanne Calderwood Ariane Lipski 2.92 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Li Jingliang Neil Magny 1.58 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '20 Rafael dos Anjos Michael Chiesa 1.39 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '20 Lucie Pudilova Justine Kish 1.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Mackenzie Dern Amanda Ribas 1.68 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Sijara Eubanks Bethe Correia 1.39 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Tecia Torres Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.64 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Ricky Simon Urijah Faber 1.30 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Tonya Evinger Lina Lansberg 1.41 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Talita Bernardo Viviane Araujo 1.31 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:48) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Antonina Shevchenko Roxanne Modafferi 1.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.60 2 TKO, R1 (4:52) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Renan Barao Luke Sanders 2.56 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:1) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

alexei themage: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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