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MMA Handicapper Stats: alexei themage

alexei themage (Alexeithemage)


MMA MHandicapper - alexei themage

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 42 (69%) Right 10 (56%) Right 24 (83%) Right 8 (57%)
Wrong 19 (31%) Wrong 8 (44%) Wrong 5 (17%) Wrong 6 (43%)
Avg Odds 1.52 Avg Odds 1.55 Avg Odds 1.46 Avg Odds 1.63
Units Bet 91.5 Units Bet 27.5 Units Bet 49.5 Units Bet 14.5
Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 1.71 Avg Bet 1.04
Units Profit 4.17 Units Profit -5.10 Units Profit 11.53 Units Profit -2.26
ROI % 5% ROI % -19% ROI % 23% ROI % -16%
View Handicapper's Profile

alexei themage: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 3 1.3 44% 0.8 / 2 (38%) 0.6 / 1 (56%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 3.5 -0.9 -25% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.6 / 2 (31%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 3 1.7 58% 0.9 / 1.5 (58%) 0.9 / 1.5 (58%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 4.5 1.6 37% 1.6 / 4.5 (37%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 8 -2.3 -29% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 0.2 / 5.5 (3%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 3 1.1 35% 0.6 / 2 (30%) 0.5 / 1 (46%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 4.5 1.9 43% 0.6 / 2 (30%) 0.5 / 1.5 (35%) 0.8 / 1 (82%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 3 1.4 46% 0.4 / 1 (40%) 0.5 / 1 (50%) 0.5 / 1 (47%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 3.5 -0.8 -22% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.7 / 2 (37%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5.5 3.0 54% 1.7 / 2.5 (69%) 0.7 / 2 (36%) 0.6 / 1 (55%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 5 -2.1 -42% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.9 / 2 (46%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 2.5 1.5 61% 0.8 / 1 (78%) 0.7 / 1.5 (49%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 5.5 -0.2 -4% -0.2 / 5.5 (-4%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 3 0.1 5% 0.7 / 1.5 (50%) 0.4 / 0.5 (78%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 2 1.2 60% 1.2 / 2 (60%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 2.5 0.9 36% 0.9 / 2.5 (36%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 3 -3.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 4.5 1.7 37% 0.8 / 2 (40%) 0.9 / 2.5 (35%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 3.5 -0.6 -17% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.1 / 3 (-3%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 1.5 0.9 60% 0.9 / 1.5 (60%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 4.5 -1.0 -21% -1.0 / 4.5 (-21%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 0.0 1% 0.1 / 4.5 (2%) 0.9 / 1.5 (63%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 15 (56%)
Losing Events: 12 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.39 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.00 units
Best Event: 2.99 units
Worst Event: -3.00 units
Average Event: 0.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 4.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -3.00

alexei themage: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 91.5 4.2 5% -5.1 / 27.5 (-19%) 11.5 / 49.5 (23%) -2.3 / 14.5 (-16%) 15 / 12 (56%) 0.15

alexei themage: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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alexei themage: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 90.5 5.2 6% -5.1 / 27.5 (-19%) 11.5 / 49.5 (23%) -1.3 / 13.5 (-9%)
Bellator 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

alexei themage: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (61%) 6 55 % 19.00 -5.08 -0.46 -27%
Slight Favorites 4 (22%) 2 50 % 6.50 -1.58 -0.39 -24%
Slight Underdogs 2 (11%) 1 50 % 1.50 0.60 0.30 40%
Big Underdogs 1 (6%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.96 0.96 192%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -100%
Position 3-5 4 (22%) 2 50 % 8.00 -2.60 -0.65 -33%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (67%) 8 67 % 15.00 2.00 0.17 13%

alexei themage: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Welterweight 2 (11%) 2 100 % 3.00 1.92 0.96 64%
Lightweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.50 0.62 0.62 41%
Bantamweight 6 (33%) 2 33 % 10.00 -4.60 -0.77 -46%
Flyweight 1 (6%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 8 (44%) 5 63 % 11.00 -1.03 -0.13 -9%
Featherweight 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.40 0.40 40%
Bantamweight 1 (6%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 2.50 -1.04 -0.52 -42%
Strawweight 4 (22%) 3 75 % 6.00 1.11 0.28 18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 15 (94%) 11 73 %
Slight Favorites 1 (6%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
16 11 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 32 (78%) 27 84 %
50-65% 9 (22%) 6 67 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
41 33 80 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 13 (32%) 9 69 % 1.53 1.78Pick was incorrect 1.35Pick was correct 0.4 (3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.78 1.78Pick was correct 1.78Pick was correct 0.8 (78%)
Goes to Decision 27 (66%) 23 85 % 1.35 1.58Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 4.3 (16%)
41 33 80 % 1.41     5.5 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail alexei themage's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 0.0 1% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,000.45
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.45 $990.45
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 4.5 -1.0 -21% $9.90 $990.45 $981.04
9th Feb UFC 234 1.5 0.9 60% $9.81 $981.04 $989.87
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 3.5 -0.6 -17% $9.90 $989.87 $984.12
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 4.5 1.7 37% $9.84 $984.12 $1,000.61
2nd Mar UFC 235 3 -3.0 -100% $10.01 $1,000.61 $970.59
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 2.5 0.9 36% $9.71 $970.59 $979.33
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 2 1.2 60% $9.79 $979.33 $991.08
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 3 0.1 5% $9.91 $991.08 $992.46
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 5.5 -0.2 -4% $9.92 $992.46 $990.48
13th Apr UFC 236 2.5 1.5 61% $9.90 $990.48 $1,005.53
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 5 -2.1 -42% $10.06 $1,005.53 $984.62
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 5.5 3.0 54% $9.85 $984.62 $1,014.01
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.14 $1,014.01 $1,008.94
11th May UFC 237 3.5 -0.8 -22% $10.09 $1,008.94 $1,001.27
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 3 1.4 46% $10.01 $1,001.27 $1,015.01
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 1 -1.0 -100% $10.15 $1,015.01 $1,004.86
8th Jun UFC 238 4.5 1.9 43% $10.05 $1,004.86 $1,024.43
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 1 1.0 100% $10.24 $1,024.43 $1,034.67
6th Jul UFC 239 3 1.1 35% $10.35 $1,034.67 $1,045.65
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 8 -2.3 -29% $10.46 $1,045.65 $1,021.18
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 4.5 1.6 37% $10.21 $1,021.18 $1,038.03
27th Jul UFC 240 3 1.7 58% $10.38 $1,038.03 $1,056.07
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 2 -2.0 -100% $10.56 $1,056.07 $1,034.95
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 3.5 -0.9 -25% $10.35 $1,034.95 $1,025.85
17th Aug UFC 241 3 1.3 44% $10.26 $1,025.85 $1,039.40


ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

alexei themage: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '19 Hannah Cifers Jodie Esquibel 1.38 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Petr Yan Jimmie Rivera 1.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Gilbert Burns Mike Davis 1.41 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Carla Esparza Virna Jandiroba 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender 1.78 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Maycee Barber J.J. Aldrich 1.50 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:1) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Petr Yan John Dodson 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '19 Joanne Calderwood Ariane Lipski 2.92 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '19 Tecia Torres Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.64 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Ricky Simon Urijah Faber 1.30 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Tonya Evinger Lina Lansberg 1.41 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Talita Bernardo Viviane Araujo 1.31 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:48) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Antonina Shevchenko Roxanne Modafferi 1.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.60 2 TKO, R1 (4:52) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Renan Barao Luke Sanders 2.56 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:1) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

alexei themage: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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