MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1605
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 674

MMA Handicapper Stats: alexei themage

alexei themage (Alexeithemage)

MMA MHandicapper - alexei themage

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	17 (63%)	Right	5 (63%)	Right	12 (80%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	10 (37%)	Wrong	3 (38%)	Wrong	3 (20%)	Wrong	4 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.58	Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	1.50	Avg Odds	1.66
Units Bet	40.5	Units Bet	11.5	Units Bet	25.0	Units Bet	4.0
Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	1.44	Avg Bet	1.67	Avg Bet	1.00
Units Profit	0.65	Units Profit	-0.07	Units Profit	4.72	Units Profit	-4.00
ROI %	2%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	19%	ROI %	-100%

alexei themage: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	2.5	1.5	61%	0.8 / 1 (78%)	0.7 / 1.5 (49%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	5.5	-0.2	-4%		-0.2 / 5.5 (-4%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	3	0.1	5%	0.7 / 1.5 (50%)	0.4 / 0.5 (78%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	2	1.2	60%		1.2 / 2 (60%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	2.5	0.9	36%		0.9 / 2.5 (36%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	3	-3.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	4.5	1.7	37%	0.8 / 2 (40%)	0.9 / 2.5 (35%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	3.5	-0.6	-17%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.1 / 3 (-3%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	1.5	0.9	60%		0.9 / 1.5 (60%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	4.5	-1.0	-21%		-1.0 / 4.5 (-21%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7	0.0	1%	0.1 / 4.5 (2%)	0.9 / 1.5 (63%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 7 (58%)
Losing Events: 5 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.38 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.00 units
Best Event: 1.67 units
Worst Event: -3.00 units
Average Event: 0.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 2.24
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -3.00

alexei themage: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	40.5	0.6	2%	-0.1 / 11.5 (-1%)	4.7 / 25 (19%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	7 / 5 (58%)	0.05

alexei themage: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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alexei themage: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	39.5	1.6	4%	-0.1 / 11.5 (-1%)	4.7 / 25 (19%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Bellator	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

alexei themage: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (38%)	2	67 %	5.50	-0.45	-0.15	-8%
Slight Favorites	3 (38%)	2	67 %	5.00	-0.08	-0.03	-2%
Slight Underdogs	1 (13%)	0	0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Big Underdogs	1 (13%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.96	0.96	192%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (13%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	0 %	0.00	0.00	0.00	0%
Position 3-5	2 (25%)	1	50 %	4.00	-1.20	-0.60	-30%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (63%)	4	80 %	5.50	3.13	0.63	57%

alexei themage: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Welterweight	2 (25%)	2	100 %	3.00	1.92	0.96	64%
Bantamweight	3 (38%)	1	33 %	4.50	-1.70	-0.57	-38%
Flyweight	1 (13%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Women's Fights	2 (25%)	2	100 %	2.00	1.71	0.85	85%
Bantamweight	1 (13%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.96	0.96	192%
Strawweight	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.75	0.75	50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	4 (80%)	2	50 %
Slight Favorites	1 (20%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	5	2	40 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	12 (67%)	10	83 %
50-65%	6 (33%)	4	67 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	18	14	78 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	12 (67%)	9	75 %	1.51	1.74	1.35	1.4 (12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.78	1.78	1.78	0.8 (78%)
Goes to Decision	5 (28%)	4	80 %	1.30	1.34	1.25	0.2 (5%)
	18	14	78 %	1.46			2.4 (14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail alexei themage's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7	0.0	1%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,000.45
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.45	$990.45
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	4.5	-1.0	-21%		$9.90	$990.45	$981.04
9th Feb	UFC 234	1.5	0.9	60%		$9.81	$981.04	$989.87
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	3.5	-0.6	-17%		$9.90	$989.87	$984.12
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	4.5	1.7	37%		$9.84	$984.12	$1,000.61
2nd Mar	UFC 235	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.01	$1,000.61	$970.59
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	2.5	0.9	36%		$9.71	$970.59	$979.33
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	2	1.2	60%		$9.79	$979.33	$991.08
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	3	0.1	5%		$9.91	$991.08	$992.46
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	5.5	-0.2	-4%		$9.92	$992.46	$990.48
13th Apr	UFC 236	2.5	1.5	61%		$9.90	$990.48	$1,005.53

ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.55% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

alexei themage: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '19	Belal Muhammad	Curtis Millender	1.78	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '19	Maycee Barber	J.J. Aldrich	1.50	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:1)
3.	Feb '19	Petr Yan	John Dodson	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '19	Joanne Calderwood	Ariane Lipski	2.92	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '19	Cody Garbrandt	Pedro Munhoz	1.60	2	TKO, R1 (4:52)	No
2.	Feb '19	Renan Barao	Luke Sanders	2.56	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:1)	No
3.	Jan '19	T.J. Dillashaw	Henry Cejudo	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

alexei themage: Progress Chart

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