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MMA Handicapper Stats: Von Fluke

Von Fluke (VonFluke)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Von Fluke

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 17 (40%) Right 12 (41%) Right 3 (50%) Right 2 (29%)
Wrong 25 (60%) Wrong 17 (59%) Wrong 3 (50%) Wrong 5 (71%)
Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 1.43 Avg Odds 1.65
Units Bet 108.8 Units Bet 67.3 Units Bet 10.0 Units Bet 31.5
Avg Bet 2.59 Avg Bet 2.32 Avg Bet 1.67 Avg Bet 4.50
Units Profit -28.49 Units Profit -16.16 Units Profit -1.25 Units Profit -11.08
ROI % -26% ROI % -24% ROI % -13% ROI % -35%
View Handicapper's Profile

Von Fluke: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 20 -1.7 -8% -1.7 / 20 (-8%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 9 -5.0 -55% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 1.0 / 3 (34%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 19.5 1.5 8% 0.4 / 15 (3%) 0.5 / 3 (15%) 0.6 / 1.5 (42%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 10 8.3 83% 8.3 / 10 (83%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5 -3.1 -63% -3.1 / 5 (-63%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 6 1.7 29% 2.7 / 5 (55%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 7.5 -1.8 -24% 0.7 / 5 (14%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 1 0.3 26% 0.3 / 1 (26%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 9 -7.0 -77% -7.0 / 9 (-77%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 12.25 -12.3 -100% -7.3 / 7.25 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Dec '18 PFL 11: Finals 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 4 (29%)
Losing Events: 10 (71%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.77 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 8.33 units
Worst Event: -12.25 units
Average Event: -2.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.82
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -23.70

Von Fluke: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 107.75 -27.5 -26% -16.2 / 67.25 (-24%) -1.3 / 10 (-13%) -10.1 / 30.5 (-33%) 4 / 9 (31%) -2.11
2018 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -1.00

Von Fluke: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Von Fluke: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 107.75 -27.5 -26% -16.2 / 67.25 (-24%) -1.3 / 10 (-13%) -10.1 / 30.5 (-33%)
PFL 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Von Fluke: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (28%) 5 63 % 19.25 -6.95 -0.87 -36%
Slight Favorites 13 (45%) 5 38 % 35.50 -2.41 -0.19 -7%
Slight Underdogs 7 (24%) 1 14 % 11.50 -9.35 -1.34 -81%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.00 2.55 2.55 255%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (24%) 4 57 % 28.25 3.01 0.43 11%
Co-Main Event 4 (14%) 2 50 % 4.00 -0.86 -0.21 -21%
Position 3-5 9 (31%) 4 44 % 9.50 -0.62 -0.07 -7%
6+ (Undercard) 9 (31%) 2 22 % 25.50 -17.70 -1.97 -69%

Von Fluke: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (14%) 2 50 % 8.50 -5.66 -1.41 -67%
Light Heavy 3 (10%) 1 33 % 7.00 -5.13 -1.71 -73%
Middleweight 3 (10%) 1 33 % 7.00 -5.20 -1.73 -74%
Welterweight 3 (10%) 1 33 % 8.00 1.35 0.45 17%
Lightweight 6 (21%) 3 50 % 13.50 -3.94 -0.66 -29%
Featherweight 3 (10%) 1 33 % 7.00 -5.26 -1.75 -75%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -100%
               
Women's Fights 5 (17%) 3 60 % 14.50 9.43 1.89 65%
Bantamweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 2.00 1.55 0.78 78%
Strawweight 3 (10%) 2 67 % 12.50 7.88 2.63 63%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (82%) 6 67 %
Slight Favorites 1 (9%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (9%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
11 7 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 9 (90%) 6 67 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 1 (10%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
10 6 60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 2 (20%) 1 50 % 1.41 1.49Pick was incorrect 1.34Pick was correct -0.7 (-33%)
Fight Starts Round X 7 (70%) 5 71 % 1.32 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.15Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-14%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.14 1.14Pick was incorrect 1.14Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
10 6 60 % 1.32     -2.6 (-26%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Von Fluke's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
31st Dec PFL 11: Finals 1 -1.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $990.00
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 12.25 -12.3 -100% $9.90 $990.00 $868.73
9th Feb UFC 234 0.5 -0.5 -100% $8.69 $868.73 $864.38
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 9 -7.0 -77% $8.64 $864.38 $804.27
2nd Mar UFC 235 3 -3.0 -100% $8.04 $804.27 $780.14
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 1 0.3 26% $7.80 $780.14 $782.14
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 7.5 -1.8 -24% $7.82 $782.14 $767.99
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 6 1.7 29% $7.68 $767.99 $781.33
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 5 -3.1 -63% $7.81 $781.33 $756.87
11th May UFC 237 10 8.3 83% $7.57 $756.87 $819.94
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 19.5 1.5 8% $8.20 $819.94 $832.17
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 9 -5.0 -55% $8.32 $832.17 $790.84
6th Jul UFC 239 20 -1.7 -8% $7.91 $790.84 $777.40
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 5 -5.0 -100% $7.77 $777.40 $738.53


ROI % from starting bank balance: -26.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Von Fluke: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Rafael dos Anjos Kevin Lee 1.87 5 Sub, R4 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Davi Ramos Austin Hubbard 1.21 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas 1.83 10 TKO, R2 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba 1.87 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Alistair Overeem Aleksei Oleinik 1.43 1 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Islam Makhachev Arman Tsarukyan 1.34 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Sergey Pavlovich Marcelo Golm 1.42 1 TKO, R1 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Roxanne Modafferi Antonina Shevchenko 3.55 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.80 1 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza 2.15 1 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Cynthia Calvillo Cortney Casey 1.36 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Darren Elkins Ryan Hall 2.05 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Jimi Manuwa Aleksandar Rakic 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Alexander Gustafsson Anthony Smith 1.37 5 Sub, R4 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.63 5 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Court McGee Dhiego Lima 1.61 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Alex Oliveira Mike Perry 1.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Alen Amedovski Krzysztof Jotko 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Michael Johnson Josh Emmett 1.87 1 TKO, R3 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Michelle Waterson 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Cain Velasquez Francis Ngannou 1.63 5.5 TKO, R1 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '19 Te Edwards Dennis Bermudez 2.05 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.50 4 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '19 Rachael Ostovich Paige VanZant 2.35 1 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 0.75 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Von Fluke: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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