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MMA Handicapper Stats: Von Fluke

Von Fluke (VonFluke)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	68 (52%)	Right	55 (56%)	Right	8 (62%)	Right	5 (25%)
Wrong	63 (48%)	Wrong	43 (44%)	Wrong	5 (38%)	Wrong	15 (75%)
Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	2.44
Units Bet	538.8	Units Bet	426.3	Units Bet	33.0	Units Bet	79.5
Avg Bet	4.11	Avg Bet	4.35	Avg Bet	2.54	Avg Bet	3.98
Units Profit	-20.61	Units Profit	-9.85	Units Profit	8.87	Units Profit	-19.63
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	27%	ROI %	-25%

Von Fluke: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	17.5	-4.3	-25%	-4.3 / 17.5 (-25%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	12	0.0	0%	0.0 / 12 (0%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	21	-2.0	-9%	1.5 / 17.5 (9%)		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	11	6.7	61%	7.7 / 10 (77%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	10	-5.4	-54%	-0.4 / 5 (-8%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	8.5	5.6	66%			5.6 / 8.5 (66%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	15	4.0	26%	4.0 / 15 (26%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	3	1.0	32%	1.0 / 3 (32%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	5	3.1	62%	3.1 / 5 (62%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	10	4.1	41%	4.1 / 10 (41%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	16	15.2	95%	15.2 / 16 (95%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	10.5	-6.8	-65%	-4.3 / 8 (-54%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	Bellator 242	5	3.0	60%	3.0 / 5 (60%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	28.5	-22.1	-78%	-17.1 / 23.5 (-73%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	33	16.8	51%	7.6 / 25 (30%)	4.9 / 3 (165%)	4.3 / 5 (86%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	20	13.9	70%	13.9 / 20 (70%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	27	-0.8	-3%	-0.8 / 27 (-3%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	18.5	-11.8	-64%	-9.3 / 16 (-58%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	4	-4.0	-100%			-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	32.5	3.5	11%	3.5 / 32.5 (11%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	37	19.9	54%	7.7 / 30 (26%)	12.2 / 7 (174%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	10	6.0	60%			6.0 / 10 (60%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	8.5	-1.3	-16%	-1.3 / 8.5 (-16%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	47.5	-17.2	-36%	-13.2 / 37.5 (-35%)	-4.0 / 10 (-40%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	20	-1.7	-8%			-1.7 / 20 (-8%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	9	-5.0	-55%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	1.0 / 3 (34%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	19.5	1.5	8%	0.4 / 15 (3%)	0.5 / 3 (15%)	0.6 / 1.5 (42%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	10	8.3	83%	8.3 / 10 (83%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	5	-3.1	-63%	-3.1 / 5 (-63%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	6	1.7	29%	2.7 / 5 (55%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	7.5	-1.8	-24%	0.7 / 5 (14%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	1	0.3	26%		0.3 / 1 (26%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	9	-7.0	-77%	-7.0 / 9 (-77%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	12.25	-12.3	-100%	-7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Dec '18	PFL 11: Finals	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 18 (43%)
Losing Events: 24 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 47.50 units
Best Event: 19.87 units
Worst Event: -22.10 units
Average Event: -0.49 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 32.90
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -40.22

Von Fluke: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	354	30.4	9%	30.8 / 303 (10%)	14.2 / 13 (109%)	-14.5 / 38 (-38%)	13 / 11 (54%)	1.27
2019	183.75	-50.1	-27%	-40.7 / 123.25 (-33%)	-5.3 / 20 (-26%)	-4.1 / 40.5 (-10%)	5 / 12 (29%)	-2.94
2018	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-1.00

Von Fluke: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Von Fluke: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	532.75	-22.6	-4%	-12.8 / 421.25 (-3%)	8.9 / 33 (27%)	-18.6 / 78.5 (-24%)
Bellator	5	3.0	60%	3.0 / 5 (60%)
PFL	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Von Fluke: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	35 (36%)	28	80 %	177.75	19.47	0.56	11%
Slight Favorites	35 (36%)	18	51 %	154.50	-9.63	-0.28	-6%
Slight Underdogs	17 (17%)	5	29 %	58.00	-13.80	-0.81	-24%
Big Underdogs	11 (11%)	4	36 %	36.00	-5.90	-0.54	-16%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	25 (26%)	14	56 %	142.25	-11.02	-0.44	-8%
Co-Main Event	13 (13%)	9	69 %	43.50	9.45	0.73	22%
Position 3-5	33 (34%)	18	55 %	136.00	6.04	0.18	4%
6+ (Undercard)	27 (28%)	14	52 %	104.50	-14.33	-0.53	-14%

Von Fluke: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	16 (16%)	10	63 %	75.00	5.49	0.34	7%
Light Heavy	8 (8%)	4	50 %	23.50	-9.80	-1.22	-42%
Middleweight	12 (12%)	5	42 %	59.00	-26.16	-2.18	-44%
Welterweight	16 (16%)	9	56 %	94.50	-5.07	-0.32	-5%
Lightweight	17 (17%)	10	59 %	57.00	5.95	0.35	10%
Featherweight	8 (8%)	4	50 %	34.00	-5.00	-0.63	-15%
Bantamweight	9 (9%)	6	67 %	41.00	10.26	1.14	25%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	5.75	2.82	1.41	49%

Women's Fights	10 (10%)	6	60 %	36.50	11.65	1.17	32%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	10.00	1.70	1.70	17%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.50	2.08	2.08	83%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	4.50	-0.95	-0.32	-21%
Strawweight	5 (5%)	3	60 %	19.50	8.82	1.76	45%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	19 (48%)	14	74 %
Slight Favorites	10 (25%)	4	40 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (15%)	2	33 %
Big Underdogs	5 (13%)	3	60 %
	40	23	58 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	13 (62%)	10	77 %
50-65%	2 (10%)	1	50 %
35-50%	4 (19%)	3	75 %
<35% chance	2 (10%)	1	50 %
	21	15	71 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (19%)	4	100 %	1.30	1.57	1.12	1.3 (32%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (19%)	2	50 %	1.41	1.71	1.19	-1.5 (-37%)
Fight Starts Round X	7 (33%)	5	71 %	1.32	2.75	1.15	-1.0 (-14%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (5%)	1	100 %	2.80	2.80	2.80	1.8 (180%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (19%)	3	75 %	2.94	4.50	2.10	5.3 (131%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	1 (5%)	0	0 %	1.14	1.14	1.14	-1.0 (-100%)
	21	15	71 %	1.52			4.9 (23%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Von Fluke's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
31st Dec	PFL 11: Finals	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$990.00
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	12.25	-12.3	-100%		$9.90	$990.00	$868.73
9th Feb	UFC 234	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$8.69	$868.73	$864.38
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	9	-7.0	-77%		$8.64	$864.38	$804.27
2nd Mar	UFC 235	3	-3.0	-100%		$8.04	$804.27	$780.14
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	1	0.3	26%		$7.80	$780.14	$782.14
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	7.5	-1.8	-24%		$7.82	$782.14	$767.99
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	6	1.7	29%		$7.68	$767.99	$781.33
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	5	-3.1	-63%		$7.81	$781.33	$756.87
11th May	UFC 237	10	8.3	83%		$7.57	$756.87	$819.94
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	19.5	1.5	8%		$8.20	$819.94	$832.17
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	9	-5.0	-55%		$8.32	$832.17	$790.84
6th Jul	UFC 239	20	-1.7	-8%		$7.91	$790.84	$777.40
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	5	-5.0	-100%		$7.77	$777.40	$738.53
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	47.5	-17.2	-36%		$7.39	$738.53	$611.27
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	8.5	-1.3	-16%		$6.11	$611.27	$603.16
17th Aug	UFC 241	10	-10.0	-100%		$6.03	$603.16	$542.85
7th Sep	UFC 242	10	6.0	60%		$5.43	$542.85	$575.38
18th Jan	UFC 246	37	19.9	54%		$5.75	$575.38	$689.69
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	3	-3.0	-100%		$6.90	$689.69	$669.00
8th Mar	UFC 248	32.5	3.5	11%		$6.69	$669.00	$692.35
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	4	-4.0	-100%		$6.92	$692.35	$664.65
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	18.5	-11.8	-64%		$6.65	$664.65	$585.89
6th Jun	UFC 250	27	-0.8	-3%		$5.86	$585.89	$581.19
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	20	13.9	70%		$5.81	$581.19	$662.06
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	1	-1.0	-100%		$6.62	$662.06	$655.44
11th Jul	UFC 251	33	16.8	51%		$6.55	$655.44	$765.79
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	28.5	-22.1	-78%		$7.66	$765.79	$596.56
25th Jul	Bellator 242	5	3.0	60%		$5.97	$596.56	$614.42
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	10.5	-6.8	-65%		$6.14	$614.42	$572.51
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	16	15.2	95%		$5.73	$572.51	$659.27
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	10	4.1	41%		$6.59	$659.27	$686.34
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	5	3.1	62%		$6.86	$686.34	$707.52
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	3	1.0	32%		$7.08	$707.52	$714.26
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	15	4.0	26%		$7.14	$714.26	$742.58
26th Sep	UFC 253	8.5	5.6	66%		$7.43	$742.58	$784.42
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	10	-5.4	-54%		$7.84	$784.42	$741.93
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	11	6.7	61%		$7.42	$741.93	$791.58
24th Oct	UFC 254	21	-2.0	-9%		$7.92	$791.58	$775.80
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	12	0.0	0%		$7.76	$775.80	$776.12
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	17.5	-4.3	-25%		$7.76	$776.12	$742.70
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	5	-5.0	-100%		$7.43	$742.70	$705.57

ROI % from starting bank balance: -29.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Von Fluke: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '20	Alexander Romanov	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	1.32	10	Sub, R1 (4:48)
2.	Oct '20	Bryce Mitchell	Andre Fili	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '20	Dustin Jacoby	Justin Ledet	1.33	2	TKO, R1 (2:38)
4.	Oct '20	Greg Hardy	Maurice Greene	1.32	2	TKO, R2 (1:12)
5.	Oct '20	Sean Strickland	Jack Marshman	1.40	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '20	Casey Kenney	Nathaniel Wood	1.57	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '20	Magomed Ankalaev	Ion Cutelaba	1.37	5	TKO, R1 (4:19)
8.	Oct '20	Alexander Volkov	Walt Harris	1.65	5	TKO, R2 (1:15)
9.	Oct '20	Cory Sandhagen	Marlon Moraes	1.77	10	TKO, R2 (1:3)
10.	Oct '20	Holly Holm	Irene Aldana	1.83	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Sep '20	Khamzat Chimaev	Gerald Meerschaert	1.26	10	TKO, R1 (0:17)
12.	Sep '20	Colby Covington	Tyron Woodley	1.28	5	TKO, R5 (1:19)
13.	Sep '20	Jalin Turner	Brok Weaver	1.32	3	Sub, R2 (4:20)
14.	Sep '20	Alistair Overeem	Augusto Sakai	1.62	5	TKO, R5 (0:26)
15.	Aug '20	Neil Magny	Robbie Lawler	1.48	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Aug '20	Aleksandar Rakic	Anthony Smith	1.34	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '20	Bobby Green	Lando Vannata	2.34	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '20	Derek Brunson	Edmen Shahbazyan	3.43	2.5	TKO, R3 (0:26)
19.	Aug '20	Vicente Luque	Randy Brown	1.52	11	TKO, R2 (4:56)
20.	Jul '20	Sergio Pettis	Ricky Bandejas	1.60	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '20	Jack Hermansson	Marvin Vettori	2.17	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Nov '20	Tanner Boser	Andrei Arlovski	1.35	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Nov '20	Thiago Santos	Glover Teixeira	1.42	5	Sub, R3 (1:49)	No
4.	Oct '20	Bobby Green	Thiago Moises	1.42	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Oct '20	Jared Cannonier	Robert Whittaker	1.87	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '20	Court McGee	Carlos Condit	1.77	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '20	Darren Till	Robert Whittaker	2.05	7	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '20	Molly McCann	Taila Santos	1.72	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '20	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Mounir Lazzez	1.30	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '20	Dan Ige	Calvin Kattar	3.58	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '20	Maxim Grishin	Marcin Tybura	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '20	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	3.04	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '20	Evan Dunham	Herbert Burns	2.92	2	Sub, R1 (1:20)	No
14.	Jun '20	Cory Sandhagen	Aljamain Sterling	1.95	5	Sub, R1 (1:28)	No
15.	May '20	Tyron Woodley	Gilbert Burns	1.59	11	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '20	Jamall Emmers	Giga Chikadze	1.59	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '20	Jose Quinonez	Sean O'Malley	4.15	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:2)	No
18.	Mar '20	Yoel Romero	Israel Adesanya	3.40	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Jan '20	Anthony Pettis	Carlos Diego Ferreira	2.90	5	Sub, R2 (1:46)	No
20.	Jan '20	Donald Cerrone	Conor McGregor	3.80	5	TKO, R1 (0:40)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Von Fluke: Progress Chart

Chart

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