MMA Handicapper Stats: Game Changer |
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Game Changer: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 7 (64%)
Losing Events: 4 (36%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.50 units
Best Event: 10.83 units
Worst Event: -18.50 units
Average Event: 1.19 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 24.61
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -18.50 |
Game Changer: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
146 |
6.2 |
4% |
4.4 / 123.5 (4%) |
0.9 / 4 (22%) |
0.9 / 18.5 (5%) |
6 / 4 (60%) |
0.62 |
| 2018 |
18 |
6.8 |
38% |
7.6 / 8 (95%) |
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-0.8 / 10 (-8%) |
1 / (100%) |
6.85 |
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Game Changer: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Game Changer: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
158 |
10.4 |
7% |
9.3 / 125.5 (7%) |
0.9 / 4 (22%) |
0.2 / 28.5 (1%) |
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Bellator |
6 |
2.7 |
45% |
2.7 / 6 (45%) |
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Game Changer: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
4 (11%) |
3 |
75 % |
20.50 |
2.54 |
0.64 |
12% |
| Slight Favorites |
16 (46%) |
9 |
56 % |
65.50 |
-2.13 |
-0.13 |
-3% |
| Slight Underdogs |
11 (31%) |
6 |
55 % |
39.00 |
10.62 |
0.97 |
27% |
| Big Underdogs |
4 (11%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.50 |
1.00 |
0.25 |
15% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
7 (20%) |
5 |
71 % |
31.00 |
8.30 |
1.19 |
27% |
| Co-Main Event |
4 (11%) |
2 |
50 % |
17.50 |
0.50 |
0.13 |
3% |
| Position 3-5 |
9 (26%) |
2 |
22 % |
27.00 |
-11.24 |
-1.25 |
-42% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
15 (43%) |
10 |
67 % |
56.00 |
14.47 |
0.96 |
26% |
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Game Changer: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
8.50 |
-1.70 |
-0.85 |
-20% |
| Light Heavy |
4 (11%) |
4 |
100 % |
18.00 |
15.70 |
3.93 |
87% |
| Welterweight |
8 (23%) |
5 |
63 % |
30.00 |
10.48 |
1.31 |
35% |
| Lightweight |
5 (14%) |
2 |
40 % |
17.50 |
-4.13 |
-0.83 |
-24% |
| Featherweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.50 |
2.33 |
1.17 |
42% |
| Bantamweight |
6 (17%) |
4 |
67 % |
23.50 |
5.46 |
0.91 |
23% |
| Flyweight |
2 (6%) |
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0 % |
9.00 |
-9.00 |
-4.50 |
-100% |
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| Women's Fights |
6 (17%) |
2 |
33 % |
19.50 |
-7.11 |
-1.18 |
-36% |
| Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
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0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-4.00 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (6%) |
2 |
100 % |
7.50 |
4.89 |
2.45 |
65% |
| Strawweight |
3 (9%) |
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0 % |
8.00 |
-8.00 |
-2.67 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
13 (100%) |
10 |
77 % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
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13 |
10 |
77 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
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0 |
0 |
0 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
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0 |
0 |
0 % |
0.00 |
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0.0 (0%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Game Changer's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
18 |
6.8 |
38% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,068.48 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
19.5 |
7.8 |
40% |
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$10.68 |
$1,068.48 |
$1,151.45 |
| 2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
4 |
2.8 |
69% |
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$11.51 |
$1,151.45 |
$1,183.23 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
8 |
4.5 |
57% |
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$11.83 |
$1,183.23 |
$1,236.96 |
| 16th Feb |
Bellator 216 |
6 |
2.7 |
45% |
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$12.37 |
$1,236.96 |
$1,270.35 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
30.5 |
-9.3 |
-30% |
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$12.70 |
$1,270.35 |
$1,152.66 |
| 23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
10 |
7.1 |
71% |
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$11.53 |
$1,152.66 |
$1,234.49 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
10.5 |
-0.5 |
-5% |
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$12.34 |
$1,234.49 |
$1,228.32 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
16 |
-1.2 |
-8% |
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$12.28 |
$1,228.32 |
$1,213.52 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
23 |
10.8 |
47% |
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$12.14 |
$1,213.52 |
$1,344.95 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
18.5 |
-18.5 |
-100% |
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$13.45 |
$1,344.95 |
$1,096.14 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Game Changer: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Mar '19 |
Arnold Allen |
Jordan Rinaldi |
1.74 |
4.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Marc Diakiese |
Joseph Duffy |
2.70 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Darren Till |
3.00 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:5) |
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| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Junior dos Santos |
Derrick Lewis |
1.51 |
4.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:58) |
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| 5. |
Mar '19 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
Curtis Millender |
2.00 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (2:35) |
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| 6. |
Mar '19 |
Kamaru Usman |
Tyron Woodley |
2.50 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 7. |
Feb '19 |
Magomed Ankalaev |
Klidson Farias de Abreu |
1.51 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 8. |
Feb '19 |
Thiago Santos |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.91 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:39) |
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| 9. |
Feb '19 |
Michael Page |
Paul Daley |
1.45 |
6 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 10. |
Feb '19 |
Andrea Lee |
Ashlee Evans-Smith |
1.61 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Feb '19 |
Luke Sanders |
Renan Barao |
1.59 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (1:1) |
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| 12. |
Feb '19 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Jimmie Rivera |
2.31 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. |
Feb '19 |
Marlon Moraes |
Raphael Assuncao |
1.69 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:17) |
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| 14. |
Jan '19 |
Donald Cerrone |
Alexander Hernandez |
2.65 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:43) |
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| 15. |
Jan '19 |
Geoff Neal |
Belal Muhammad |
1.57 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. |
Jan '19 |
Paige VanZant |
Rachael Ostovich |
1.69 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
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| 17. |
Jan '19 |
Glover Teixeira |
Karl Roberson |
1.90 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:21) |
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| 18. |
Dec '18 |
Montel Jackson |
Brian Kelleher |
1.65 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (1:40) |
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| 19. |
Dec '18 |
Corey Anderson |
Ilir Latifi |
2.25 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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| 1. |
Mar '19 |
Frankie Saenz |
Marlon Vera |
2.45 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:25) |
No |
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| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Angela Hill |
Randa Markos |
1.69 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:24) |
No |
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| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Jussier Formiga |
1.71 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Danny Roberts |
Claudio Silva |
2.30 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (2:37) |
No |
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| 5. |
Mar '19 |
Gunnar Nelson |
Leon Edwards |
2.30 |
4.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 6. |
Mar '19 |
Marion Reneau |
Yana Kunitskaya |
2.70 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Drew Dober |
Beneil Dariush |
2.80 |
3.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:41) |
No |
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| 8. |
Mar '19 |
Robbie Lawler |
Ben Askren |
3.25 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (3:20) |
No |
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| 9. |
Mar '19 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.71 |
4.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:52) |
No |
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| 10. |
Feb '19 |
Alex Caceres |
Kron Gracie |
3.55 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:6) |
No |
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| 11. |
Feb '19 |
Scott Holtzman |
Nik Lentz |
1.59 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 12. |
Feb '19 |
Alexandra Albu |
Emily Whitmire |
1.83 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
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| 13. |
Feb '19 |
James Vick |
Paul Felder |
1.89 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 14. |
Feb '19 |
Cortney Casey |
Cynthia Calvillo |
3.95 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 15. |
Feb '19 |
Cain Velasquez |
Francis Ngannou |
1.63 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:26) |
No |
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| 16. |
Jan '19 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Henry Cejudo |
1.49 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Game Changer: Progress Chart |
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