MMA Handicapper Stats: Alpha Male |
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Alpha Male: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
2nd Mar '19 |
UFC 235 |
39 |
-14.6 |
-38% |
-23.7 / 27 (-88%) |
|
9.1 / 12 (75%) |
23rd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
18 |
-6.4 |
-35% |
-0.4 / 12 (-3%) |
|
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
17th Feb '19 |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
39 |
-1.7 |
-4% |
-4.9 / 34 (-14%) |
|
3.1 / 5 (62%) |
16th Feb '19 |
Bellator 216 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
9th Feb '19 |
UFC 234 |
24 |
17.3 |
72% |
3.8 / 4 (94%) |
1.0 / 5 (20%) |
12.5 / 15 (83%) |
2nd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
17 |
1.1 |
7% |
6.1 / 12 (51%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
19th Jan '19 |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
23 |
4.6 |
20% |
9.6 / 18 (54%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
29th Dec '18 |
UFC 232 |
24 |
-2.9 |
-12% |
2.1 / 19 (11%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 3 (38%) Losing Events: 5 (63%)
Average Staked Per Event: 23.75 units Most Staked On One Event: 39.00 units Best Event: 17.26 units Worst Event: -14.64 units Average Event: -1.08 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.03 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -28.74 |
Alpha Male: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
166 |
-5.7 |
-3% |
-9.4 / 107 (-9%) |
1.0 / 5 (20%) |
2.7 / 54 (5%) |
3 / 4 (43%) |
-0.82 |
2018 |
24 |
-2.9 |
-12% |
2.1 / 19 (11%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-2.94 |
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Alpha Male: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Alpha Male: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
184 |
-2.6 |
-1% |
-7.3 / 126 (-6%) |
1.0 / 5 (20%) |
3.7 / 53 (7%) |
Bellator |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
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Alpha Male: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
10.00 |
4.30 |
4.30 |
43% |
Slight Favorites |
15 (60%) |
7 |
47 % |
80.00 |
-20.20 |
-1.35 |
-25% |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (24%) |
3 |
50 % |
27.00 |
2.67 |
0.45 |
10% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (12%) |
2 |
67 % |
9.00 |
5.90 |
1.97 |
66% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
4 (16%) |
3 |
75 % |
26.00 |
11.54 |
2.89 |
44% |
Co-Main Event |
3 (12%) |
1 |
33 % |
16.00 |
-7.20 |
-2.40 |
-45% |
Position 3-5 |
7 (28%) |
3 |
43 % |
33.00 |
-10.03 |
-1.43 |
-30% |
6+ (Undercard) |
11 (44%) |
6 |
55 % |
51.00 |
-1.64 |
-0.15 |
-3% |
|
Alpha Male: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (8%) |
|
0 % |
12.00 |
-12.00 |
-6.00 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
5 (20%) |
3 |
60 % |
30.00 |
3.54 |
0.71 |
12% |
Welterweight |
3 (12%) |
2 |
67 % |
11.00 |
-0.94 |
-0.31 |
-9% |
Lightweight |
3 (12%) |
|
0 % |
15.00 |
-15.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
2 (8%) |
1 |
50 % |
8.00 |
0.80 |
0.40 |
10% |
Bantamweight |
5 (20%) |
4 |
80 % |
25.00 |
13.17 |
2.63 |
53% |
Flyweight |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
4.00 |
7.60 |
7.60 |
190% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
4 (16%) |
2 |
50 % |
21.00 |
-4.50 |
-1.13 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
2 (8%) |
2 |
100 % |
10.00 |
6.50 |
3.25 |
65% |
Strawweight |
2 (8%) |
|
0 % |
11.00 |
-11.00 |
-5.50 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
21 (91%) |
16 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
2 (9%) |
2 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
23 |
18 |
78 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Alpha Male's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
24 |
-2.9 |
-12% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$970.60 |
19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
23 |
4.6 |
20% |
|
$9.71 |
$970.60 |
$1,015.73 |
2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
17 |
1.1 |
7% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.73 |
$1,027.11 |
9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
24 |
17.3 |
72% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.11 |
$1,204.43 |
16th Feb |
Bellator 216 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.04 |
$1,204.43 |
$1,132.16 |
17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
39 |
-1.7 |
-4% |
|
$11.32 |
$1,132.16 |
$1,112.48 |
23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
18 |
-6.4 |
-35% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,112.48 |
$1,041.73 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
39 |
-14.6 |
-38% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,041.73 |
$889.21 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Alpha Male: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '19 |
Diego Sanchez |
Mickey Gall |
3.30 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
2. |
Feb '19 |
Thiago Santos |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.94 |
6 |
TKO, R3 (0:39) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '19 |
Andrea Lee |
Ashlee Evans-Smith |
1.61 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '19 |
Luke Sanders |
Renan Barao |
1.59 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (1:1) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '19 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Jimmie Rivera |
2.31 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
6. |
Feb '19 |
Ricky Simon |
Rani Yahya |
1.94 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Feb '19 |
Jose Aldo |
Renato Moicano |
2.20 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (0:44) |
|
|
8. |
Feb '19 |
Said Nurmagomedov |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.33 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (2:28) |
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|
9. |
Jan '19 |
Paige VanZant |
Rachael Ostovich |
1.69 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
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|
10. |
Jan '19 |
Glover Teixeira |
Karl Roberson |
1.90 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:21) |
|
|
11. |
Jan '19 |
Henry Cejudo |
T.J. Dillashaw |
2.90 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
|
|
12. |
Dec '18 |
Michael Chiesa |
Carlos Condit |
1.69 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (0:56) |
|
|
13. |
Dec '18 |
Jon Jones |
Alexander Gustafsson |
1.43 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (2:2) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Alpha Male: Progress Chart |
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