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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mr Blue

Mr Blue (Willow)


MMA MHandicapper - Mr Blue

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 79 (39%) Right 37 (47%) Right 42 (34%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 122 (61%) Wrong 42 (53%) Wrong 80 (66%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.95 Avg Odds 2.24 Avg Odds 3.70 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 231.0 Units Bet 117.3 Units Bet 113.8 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 1.15 Avg Bet 1.48 Avg Bet 0.93 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 64.27 Units Profit -9.38 Units Profit 73.65 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 28% ROI % -8% ROI % 65% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mr Blue : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 6.5 -2.0 -30% -2.4 / 5 (-47%) 0.4 / 1.5 (25%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 3.75 2.1 55% 1.0 / 2.5 (41%) 1.0 / 1.25 (82%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 2.5 1.7 68% 0.7 / 1 (69%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 3 -1.3 -42% 0.7 / 1 (74%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 4.5 0.7 16% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.7 / 3.5 (49%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 4.5 5.9 131% 0.4 / 1 (40%) 5.5 / 3.5 (157%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 7.5 1.7 22% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.7 / 6.5 (41%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 0.5 0.5 100% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 3.5 2.2 64% 2.1 / 1.5 (140%) 0.1 / 2 (6%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 1.75 -0.5 -28% -0.2 / 1.5 (-16%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 4 0.2 5% 2.2 / 2 (110%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 2.25 -2.3 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 1.25 0.3 22% 0.3 / 1.25 (22%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 2 4.0 200% 4.0 / 2 (200%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 4 1.2 29% 2.2 / 3 (72%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 4.5 5.7 127% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 6.7 / 3.5 (191%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 5.5 0.8 15% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.8 / 3.5 (80%)
24th Aug '19 Bellator 225 2.5 2.8 110% 2.8 / 2.5 (110%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 9 0.6 7% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 6.6 / 3 (220%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 4 2.6 65% 2.6 / 4 (65%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 4 0.9 22% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.9 / 3 (63%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 3 -1.4 -47% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.6 / 1 (58%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 16 -4.2 -26% -2.4 / 5 (-48%) -1.8 / 11 (-16%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 6.25 -6.3 -100% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 5 3.9 78% 2.6 / 2.5 (104%) 1.3 / 2.5 (53%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 16.25 -8.4 -52% -1.2 / 9 (-13%) -7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 5 22.3 446% 3.5 / 2 (175%) 18.8 / 3 (626%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 3.5 1.7 50% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 4.7 / 0.5 (950%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 12 3.5 29% 3.6 / 5 (71%) -0.1 / 7 (-1%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 8.5 1.4 17% 2.0 / 6 (33%) -0.6 / 2.5 (-24%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5 -1.6 -32% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.4 / 2 (71%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 3 -0.6 -20% -0.6 / 3 (-20%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 9 7.6 84% -0.3 / 3 (-10%) 7.9 / 6 (131%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 10 0.8 8% 2.0 / 5.5 (36%) -1.2 / 4.5 (-27%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 3 3.9 132% 1.7 / 2.5 (68%) 2.2 / 0.5 (450%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 14.5 2.1 15% -2.3 / 8 (-29%) 4.4 / 6.5 (68%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 5 -5.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 6.5 3.4 52% 3.9 / 6 (65%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 2 0.8 40% 0.8 / 2 (40%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 24.0 480% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 27.0 / 2 (1,350%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 29 (62%)
Losing Events: 18 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.25 units
Best Event: 24.00 units
Worst Event: -8.43 units
Average Event: 1.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 28.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -14.85

Mr Blue : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 25.75 6.1 24% -0.5 / 11.5 (-4%) 6.6 / 14.25 (46%) 4 / 3 (57%) 0.88
2019 203.25 60.1 30% -8.9 / 105.75 (-8%) 69.0 / 97.5 (71%) 25 / 14 (64%) 1.54
2018 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -2.00

Mr Blue : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mr Blue : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 228.5 61.5 27% -12.1 / 114.75 (-11%) 73.7 / 113.75 (65%)
Bellator 2.5 2.8 110% 2.8 / 2.5 (110%)

Mr Blue : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (10%) 7 88 % 12.50 3.50 0.44 28%
Slight Favorites 15 (19%) 7 47 % 29.50 -14.45 -0.96 -49%
Slight Underdogs 36 (46%) 16 44 % 50.00 -0.94 -0.03 -2%
Big Underdogs 20 (25%) 7 35 % 25.25 2.50 0.13 10%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 16 (20%) 10 63 % 29.50 4.11 0.26 14%
Co-Main Event 9 (11%) 4 44 % 11.00 1.30 0.14 12%
Position 3-5 27 (34%) 11 41 % 37.50 -11.87 -0.44 -32%
6+ (Undercard) 27 (34%) 12 44 % 39.25 -2.92 -0.11 -7%

Mr Blue : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (13%) 5 50 % 18.50 1.45 0.14 8%
Light Heavy 5 (6%) 2 40 % 5.75 0.55 0.11 10%
Middleweight 8 (10%) 5 63 % 11.50 5.30 0.66 46%
Welterweight 15 (19%) 6 40 % 21.50 -6.69 -0.45 -31%
Lightweight 16 (20%) 7 44 % 25.50 -9.39 -0.59 -37%
Featherweight 6 (8%) 5 83 % 7.50 3.22 0.54 43%
Bantamweight 6 (8%) 2 33 % 11.00 0.10 0.02 1%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
               
Women's Fights 11 (14%) 5 45 % 13.00 -0.94 -0.09 -7%
Featherweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.56 -0.28 -28%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 2 100 % 3.00 3.11 1.55 104%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 5 (6%) 2 40 % 6.00 -1.49 -0.30 -25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (5%) 6 100 %
50-65% 12 (10%) 7 58 %
35-50% 28 (23%) 13 46 %
<35% chance 76 (62%) 16 21 %
122 42 34 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (3%) 2 50 % 1.79 2.10Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct -0.6 (-15%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.58 1.58Pick was correct 1.58Pick was correct 0.6 (58%)
Goes to Decision 4 (3%) 2 50 % 2.02 2.25Pick was incorrect 1.85Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
Does not go to Decision 11 (9%) 7 64 % 1.89 4.50Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 5.4 (49%)
Fight Starts Round X 3 (2%) 1 33 % 1.81 2.78Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was incorrect -1.8 (-59%)
X Wins by KO 6 (5%) 1 17 % 2.94 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -4.2 (-70%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (6%) 0 0 % 8.79 17.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -7.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (7%) 1 13 % 4.70 13.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.9 (23%)
X Wins Inside Distance 13 (11%) 4 31 % 3.30 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect 0.7 (5%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 3 (2%) 3 100 % 1.88 2.60Pick was correct 1.34Pick was correct 3.1 (103%)
X Wins in Round X 30 (25%) 4 13 % 14.87 42.99Pick was incorrect 4.33Pick was correct 58.3 (194%)
Others 32 (26%) 16 50 % 3.73 66.01Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was correct 19.0 (59%)
122 42 34 % 3.70     75.3 (62%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mr Blue 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Dec UFC 232 2 -2.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $980.00
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 24.0 480% $9.80 $980.00 $1,215.22
9th Feb UFC 234 2 0.8 40% $12.15 $1,215.22 $1,224.94
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 6.5 3.4 52% $12.25 $1,224.94 $1,266.59
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 2.5 -2.5 -100% $12.67 $1,266.59 $1,234.93
2nd Mar UFC 235 5 -5.0 -100% $12.35 $1,234.93 $1,173.18
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 14.5 2.1 15% $11.73 $1,173.18 $1,198.40
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 3 3.9 132% $5 $11.98 $1,198.40 $1,240.74
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 1 -1.0 -100% $12.41 $1,240.74 $1,228.33
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 10 0.8 8% $12.28 $1,228.33 $1,238.05
13th Apr UFC 236 9 7.6 84% $12.38 $1,238.05 $1,331.53
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 3 -0.6 -20% $13.32 $1,331.53 $1,323.54
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 5 -1.6 -32% $13.24 $1,323.54 $1,302.63
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 8.5 1.4 17% $13.03 $1,302.63 $1,320.98
11th May UFC 237 12 3.5 29% $13.21 $1,320.98 $1,366.69
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 3.5 1.7 50% $13.67 $1,366.69 $1,390.60
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 5 22.3 446% $13.91 $1,390.60 $1,700.37
8th Jun UFC 238 16.25 -8.4 -52% $17.00 $1,700.37 $1,557.03
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 5 3.9 78% $15.57 $1,557.03 $1,618.06
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 6.25 -6.3 -100% $16.18 $1,618.06 $1,516.93
6th Jul UFC 239 16 -4.2 -26% $15.17 $1,516.93 $1,453.53
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 3 -3.0 -100% $14.54 $1,453.53 $1,409.92
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 3 -1.4 -47% $14.10 $1,409.92 $1,389.90
27th Jul UFC 240 4 0.9 22% $13.90 $1,389.90 $1,402.27
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 1 -1.0 -100% $14.02 $1,402.27 $1,388.25
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 4 2.6 65% $13.88 $1,388.25 $1,424.34
17th Aug UFC 241 9 0.6 7% $14.24 $1,424.34 $1,432.89
24th Aug Bellator 225 2.5 2.8 110% $14.33 $1,432.89 $1,472.29
7th Sep UFC 242 5.5 0.8 15% $14.72 $1,472.29 $1,484.07
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 4.5 5.7 127% $14.84 $1,484.07 $1,568.70
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 4 1.2 29% $15.69 $1,568.70 $1,586.96
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 2 4.0 200% $15.87 $1,586.96 $1,650.44
5th Oct UFC 243 1.25 0.3 22% $16.50 $1,650.44 $1,654.98
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 2.25 -2.3 -100% $16.55 $1,654.98 $1,617.74
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 4 0.2 5% $16.18 $1,617.74 $1,620.98
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 1.75 -0.5 -28% $16.21 $1,620.98 $1,613.11
2nd Nov UFC 244 3.5 2.2 64% $16.13 $1,613.11 $1,649.01
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 0.5 0.5 100% $16.49 $1,649.01 $1,657.25
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 1 -1.0 -100% $16.57 $1,657.25 $1,640.68
15th Dec UFC 245 7.5 1.7 22% $16.41 $1,640.68 $1,668.08
18th Jan UFC 246 1 -1.0 -100% $16.68 $1,668.08 $1,651.40
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 4.5 5.9 131% $16.51 $1,651.40 $1,748.83
9th Feb UFC 247 4.5 0.7 16% $17.49 $1,748.83 $1,761.51
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 3 -1.3 -42% $17.62 $1,761.51 $1,739.31
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 2.5 1.7 68% $17.39 $1,739.31 $1,768.71
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 3.75 2.1 55% $17.69 $1,768.71 $1,804.97
8th Mar UFC 248 6.5 -2.0 -30% $18.05 $1,804.97 $1,769.32


ROI % from starting bank balance: 76.93% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mr Blue : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Neil Magny Li Jingliang 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Megan Anderson Norma Dumont 1.44 1 TKO, R1 (3:31) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Luis Pena Steve Garcia 1.39 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Daniel Hooker Paul Felder 1.69 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Scott Holtzman Jim Miller 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 Arnold Allen Nik Lentz 1.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 Wellington Turman Markus Perez 2.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '19 Darren Till Kelvin Gastelum 3.20 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '19 Derrick Lewis Blagoy Ivanov 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Demian Maia Ben Askren 2.53 0.5 Sub, R3 (3:54) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Darren Stewart Deron Winn 2.10 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '19 Jared Cannonier Jack Hermansson 3.00 2 TKO, R2 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '19 Angela Hill Ariane Carnelossi 1.71 1 TKO, R3 (1:56) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '19 Bethe Correia Sijara Eubanks 3.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Sergei Kharitonov Matt Mitrione 2.10 2.5 TKO, R2 (1:24) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Arnold Allen Gilbert Melendez 1.31 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Randy Brown Bryan Barberena 3.40 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.71 2 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '19 Blagoy Ivanov Tai Tuivasa 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '19 Frank Camacho Nick Hein 1.90 1 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Max Griffin Alex Oliveira 2.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Drakkar Klose Beneil Dariush 2.50 1 TKO, R2 (1:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.70 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 Yoel Romero Israel Adesanya 3.35 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Ilir Latifi Derrick Lewis 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '19 Ben Saunders Matt Brown 3.95 1 TKO, R2 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '19 Ricky Simon Rob Font 2.27 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Ashley Yoder Randa Markos 2.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Tim Elliott Deiveson Figueiredo 2.65 1 Sub, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 James Vick Niko Price 2.40 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:44) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '19 Marco Polo Reyes Kyle Nelson 2.12 1 TKO, R1 (1:36) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '19 Ryan MacDonald Louis Smolka 3.20 1 TKO, R1 (4:43) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '19 Dustin Poirier Khabib Nurmagomedov 4.80 2 Sub, R3 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.73 4 TKO, R4 (4:9) Yes MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Anthony Pettis Nate Diaz 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Seung Woo Choi Gavin Tucker 2.00 1 Sub, R3 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Juan Adams Greg Hardy 1.95 2 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Pingyuan Liu Jonathan Martinez 1.69 3 TKO, R3 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Randa Markos Claudia Gadelha 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Luke Rockhold Jan Blachowicz 1.44 1 TKO, R2 (1:39) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mr Blue : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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