MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: FadeKeltonFund

FadeKeltonFund (FadeKeltonFund)

MMA MHandicapper - FadeKeltonFund

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	36 (44%)	Right	31 (52%)	Right	5 (63%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	45 (56%)	Wrong	29 (48%)	Wrong	3 (38%)	Wrong	13 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.27	Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	1.53	Avg Odds	15.71
Units Bet	237.6	Units Bet	193.6	Units Bet	11.0	Units Bet	33.0
Avg Bet	2.93	Avg Bet	3.23	Avg Bet	1.38	Avg Bet	2.54
Units Profit	-36.45	Units Profit	-0.01	Units Profit	-3.44	Units Profit	-33.00
ROI %	-15%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	-31%	ROI %	-100%

FadeKeltonFund : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	15	21.4	143%	25.4 / 11 (231%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	Bellator London	1	0.2	24%	0.2 / 1 (24%)
14th Jun '19	Bellator 222	1.1	1.3	122%	1.3 / 1.1 (122%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	15	-11.5	-77%	-8.5 / 12 (-71%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	11	12.0	109%	11.9 / 10 (119%)	0.1 / 1 (10%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	14	-8.8	-63%	-3.8 / 9 (-42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	14	-5.0	-35%	2.0 / 7 (29%)		-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	15	-7.4	-49%	-5.4 / 13 (-42%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	11.4	-4.4	-38%	-2.1 / 5.4 (-38%)	0.2 / 3.5 (5%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	8	-2.8	-35%	-2.8 / 8 (-35%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	13	8.6	66%	8.6 / 13 (66%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	14	-5.6	-40%	-2.8 / 10 (-28%)	0.2 / 1 (20%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	6.4	2.2	35%	2.2 / 6.4 (35%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	8.5	-5.1	-60%	-5.1 / 8.5 (-60%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	9.9	-5.8	-59%	-5.8 / 9.9 (-59%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	13.7	-9.0	-66%	-7.1 / 10.2 (-70%)	-1.9 / 3.5 (-55%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	9.8	-9.8	-100%	-7.3 / 7.3 (-100%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	5.6	0.4	7%	3.0 / 3 (100%)		-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
16th Feb '19	Bellator 216	1.5	0.6	42%	0.6 / 1.5 (42%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	7.15	-7.2	-100%	-3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)		-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	10.5	3.1	29%	3.1 / 10.5 (29%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	12	-5.5	-46%	-5.5 / 12 (-46%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	20	1.4	7%	1.4 / 20 (7%)

Winning Events: 10 (43%)
Losing Events: 13 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.33 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 21.45 units
Worst Event: -11.52 units
Average Event: -1.58 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.03
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.72

FadeKeltonFund : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	217.55	-37.9	-17%	-1.4 / 173.55 (-1%)	-3.4 / 11 (-31%)	-33.0 / 33 (-100%)	9 / 13 (41%)	-1.72
2018	20	1.4	7%	1.4 / 20 (7%)			1 / (100%)	1.40

FadeKeltonFund : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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FadeKeltonFund : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	233.95	-38.7	-17%	-2.2 / 189.95 (-1%)	-3.4 / 11 (-31%)	-33.0 / 33 (-100%)
Bellator	3.6	2.2	61%	2.2 / 3.6 (61%)

FadeKeltonFund : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (13%)	4	44 %	17.50	-6.88	-0.76	-39%
Slight Favorites	19 (28%)	13	68 %	44.50	6.68	0.35	15%
Slight Underdogs	33 (49%)	16	48 %	98.40	-3.12	-0.09	-3%
Big Underdogs	7 (10%)	2	29 %	33.15	3.30	0.47	10%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (10%)	2	29 %	16.50	-10.72	-1.53	-65%
Co-Main Event	5 (7%)	3	60 %	19.60	16.21	3.24	83%
Position 3-5	15 (22%)	5	33 %	54.10	-23.81	-1.59	-44%
6+ (Undercard)	41 (60%)	25	61 %	103.35	18.31	0.45	18%

FadeKeltonFund : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.33	1.33	67%
Light Heavy	5 (7%)	2	40 %	22.80	-3.57	-0.71	-16%
Middleweight	10 (15%)	6	60 %	25.50	-2.31	-0.23	-9%
Welterweight	12 (18%)	4	33 %	33.65	4.36	0.36	13%
Lightweight	9 (13%)	7	78 %	27.00	13.79	1.53	51%
Featherweight	10 (15%)	5	50 %	28.90	-12.22	-1.22	-42%
Bantamweight	8 (12%)	4	50 %	17.00	-3.24	-0.40	-19%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	7.50	-3.40	-0.85	-45%

Women's Fights	9 (13%)	5	56 %	29.20	5.26	0.58	18%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%
Flyweight	3 (4%)	3	100 %	8.25	15.35	5.12	186%
Strawweight	5 (7%)	2	40 %	16.95	-6.10	-1.22	-36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	4 (15%)	2	50 %
Big Underdogs	23 (85%)	1	4 %
	27	3	11 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (33%)	3	100 %
50-65%	2 (22%)	1	50 %
35-50%	3 (33%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	1 (11%)	0	0 %
	9	5	56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (11%)	1	100 %	1.57	1.57	1.57	0.6 (57%)
Goes to Decision	2 (22%)	0	0 %	2.27	2.35	2.20	-2.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub	1 (11%)	1	100 %	1.04	1.04	1.04	0.0 (4%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision	1 (11%)	0	0 %	1.57	1.57	1.57	-1.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	4 (44%)	3	75 %	1.66	3.25	1.17	0.8 (21%)
	9	5	56 %	1.63			-1.6 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail FadeKeltonFund 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
29th Dec	UFC 232	20	1.4	7%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,014.02
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	12	-5.5	-46%		$10.14	$1,014.02	$957.91
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	10.5	3.1	29%		$9.58	$957.91	$987.15
9th Feb	UFC 234	7.15	-7.2	-100%		$9.87	$987.15	$916.57
16th Feb	Bellator 216	1.5	0.6	42%		$9.17	$916.57	$922.30
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	5.6	0.4	7%		$9.22	$922.30	$925.99
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	9.8	-9.8	-100%		$9.26	$925.99	$835.24
2nd Mar	UFC 235	13.7	-9.0	-66%		$8.35	$835.24	$759.67
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	9.9	-5.8	-59%		$7.60	$759.67	$715.61
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	8.5	-5.1	-60%		$7.16	$715.61	$679.32
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	6.4	2.2	35%		$6.79	$679.32	$694.57
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	14	-5.6	-40%		$6.95	$694.57	$655.65
13th Apr	UFC 236	13	8.6	66%		$6.56	$655.65	$712.09
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	8	-2.8	-35%		$7.12	$712.09	$692.31
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	11.4	-4.4	-38%		$6.92	$692.31	$662.01
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	15	-7.4	-49%		$6.62	$662.01	$613.03
11th May	UFC 237	14	-5.0	-35%		$6.13	$613.03	$582.58
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	14	-8.8	-63%		$5.83	$582.58	$531.32
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	11	12.0	109%		$5.31	$531.32	$595.23
8th Jun	UFC 238	15	-11.5	-77%		$5.95	$595.23	$526.67
14th Jun	Bellator 222	1.1	1.3	122%		$5.27	$526.67	$533.74
22nd Jun	Bellator London	1	0.2	24%		$5.34	$533.74	$535.01
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	15	21.4	143%		$5.35	$535.01	$649.77

ROI % from starting bank balance: -35.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

FadeKeltonFund : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '19	James Gallagher	Jeremiah Labiano	1.24	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jun '19	Molly McCann	Ariane Lipski	3.35	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jun '19	Randy Brown	Bryan Barberena	3.30	8	TKO, R3 (2:54)
4.	Jun '19	Patrick Mix	Ricky Bandejas	2.22	1.1	Sub, R1 (1:6)
5.	Jun '19	Aljamain Sterling	Pedro Munhoz	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '19	Joel Alvarez	Danilo Belluardo	2.00	3	TKO, R2 (2:22)
7.	Jun '19	Devin Clark	Darko Stosic	1.91	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '19	Christos Giagos	Damir Hadzovic	2.55	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	May '19	Zak Cummings	Trevin Giles	2.60	2	Sub, R3 (4:1)
10.	May '19	Warlley Alves	Sergio Moraes	1.79	3	TKO, R3 (4:13)
11.	May '19	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	1.83	2	TKO, R2 (2:58)
12.	May '19	Matt Sayles	Kyle Nelson	1.45	3	Sub, R3 (3:16)
13.	May '19	Andrew Sanchez	Marc-Andre Barriault	1.63	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Apr '19	Augusto Sakai	Andrei Arlovski	1.67	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '19	Alexander Yakovlev	Alex da Silva	1.74	3	Sub, R2 (3:10)
16.	Apr '19	Khalid Taha	Boston Salmon	2.40	1	TKO, R1 (0:25)
17.	Apr '19	Khalid Taha	Boston Salmon	2.40	2	TKO, R1 (0:25)
18.	Apr '19	Max Griffin	Zelim Imadaev	2.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '19	Matt Frevola	Jalin Turner	2.30	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '19	Israel Adesanya	Kelvin Gastelum	1.70	2	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '19	Angela Hill	Yan Xiaonan	2.80	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jun '19	Ricardo Lamas	Calvin Kattar	2.30	3	TKO, R1 (4:6)	No
3.	Jun '19	Marlon Moraes	Henry Cejudo	1.67	3	TKO, R3 (4:51)	No
4.	May '19	Megan Anderson	Felicia Spencer	1.51	4	Sub, R1 (3:24)	No
5.	May '19	Antonio Carlos Junior	Ian Heinisch	1.61	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '19	Jose Aldo	Alex Volkanovski	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '19	Aiemann Zahabi	Vincent Morales	1.69	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '19	Cub Swanson	Shane Burgos	2.40	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '19	Ben Saunders	Takashi Sato	2.90	3.4	TKO, R2 (1:18)	No
10.	Apr '19	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	Michal Oleksiejczuk	2.90	5	TKO, R1 (0:44)	No
11.	Apr '19	Curtis Millender	Belal Muhammad	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '19	Curtis Millender	Belal Muhammad	2.45	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '19	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	Sodiq Yusuff	2.30	3.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '19	David Branch	Jack Hermansson	2.15	3.6	Sub, R1 (0:49)	No
15.	Mar '19	Deiveson Figueiredo	Jussier Formiga	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '19	Jose Quinonez	Nathaniel Wood	3.55	5	Sub, R2 (2:46)	No
17.	Mar '19	Darren Till	Jorge Masvidal	1.47	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:5)	No
18.	Mar '19	Drew Dober	Beneil Dariush	2.80	4	Sub, R2 (4:41)	No
19.	Mar '19	Tim Boetsch	Omari Akhmedov	2.40	3.9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '19	Charles Byrd	Edmen Shahbazyan	2.37	3	TKO, R1 (0:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

FadeKeltonFund : Progress Chart

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