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MMA Handicapper Stats: FadeKeltonFund

FadeKeltonFund (FadeKeltonFund)


MMA MHandicapper - FadeKeltonFund

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 15 (39%) Right 14 (42%) Right 1 (50%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 23 (61%) Wrong 19 (58%) Wrong 1 (50%) Wrong 3 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 13.14
Units Bet 105.1 Units Bet 93.1 Units Bet 3.5 Units Bet 8.5
Avg Bet 2.76 Avg Bet 2.82 Avg Bet 1.75 Avg Bet 2.83
Units Profit -34.68 Units Profit -24.25 Units Profit -1.93 Units Profit -8.50
ROI % -33% ROI % -26% ROI % -55% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

FadeKeltonFund : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 6.4 2.2 35% 2.2 / 6.4 (35%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 8.5 -5.1 -60% -5.1 / 8.5 (-60%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 9.9 -5.8 -59% -5.8 / 9.9 (-59%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 13.7 -9.0 -66% -7.1 / 10.2 (-70%) -1.9 / 3.5 (-55%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 9.8 -9.8 -100% -7.3 / 7.3 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 5.6 0.4 7% 3.0 / 3 (100%) -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 1.5 0.6 42% 0.6 / 1.5 (42%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 7.15 -7.2 -100% -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%) -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 10.5 3.1 29% 3.1 / 10.5 (29%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 12 -5.5 -46% -5.5 / 12 (-46%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 20 1.4 7% 1.4 / 20 (7%)


Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.55 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 3.05 units
Worst Event: -9.80 units
Average Event: -3.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 3.05
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -29.72

FadeKeltonFund : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 85.05 -36.1 -42% -25.7 / 73.05 (-35%) -1.9 / 3.5 (-55%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%) 4 / 6 (40%) -3.61
2018 20 1.4 7% 1.4 / 20 (7%) 1 / (100%) 1.40

FadeKeltonFund : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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FadeKeltonFund : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 103.55 -35.3 -34% -24.9 / 91.55 (-27%) -1.9 / 3.5 (-55%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
Bellator 1.5 0.6 42% 0.6 / 1.5 (42%)

FadeKeltonFund : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (18%) 2 33 % 9.50 -4.47 -0.74 -47%
Slight Favorites 7 (21%) 5 71 % 15.50 2.23 0.32 14%
Slight Underdogs 17 (52%) 7 41 % 54.30 -8.26 -0.49 -15%
Big Underdogs 3 (9%) 0 0 % 13.75 -13.75 -4.58 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (15%) 1 20 % 11.50 -9.37 -1.87 -82%
Co-Main Event 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 3.00 3.00 100%
Position 3-5 9 (27%) 2 22 % 36.00 -19.59 -2.18 -54%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (55%) 10 56 % 42.55 1.72 0.10 4%

FadeKeltonFund : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 3 (9%) 1 33 % 14.80 -1.30 -0.43 -9%
Middleweight 5 (15%) 3 60 % 12.90 -1.57 -0.31 -12%
Welterweight 6 (18%) 1 17 % 14.25 -12.12 -2.02 -85%
Lightweight 5 (15%) 3 60 % 14.00 -1.53 -0.31 -11%
Featherweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 9.40 -0.75 -0.25 -8%
Bantamweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 7.00 -3.92 -1.31 -56%
Flyweight 4 (12%) 1 25 % 7.50 -3.40 -0.85 -45%
               
Women's Fights 4 (12%) 2 50 % 13.20 0.35 0.09 3%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 2 100 % 5.25 8.30 4.15 158%
Strawweight 2 (6%) 0 % 7.95 -7.95 -3.98 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 6 (100%) 0 0 %
6 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 1 (50%) 1 100 %
35-50% 1 (50%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
2 1 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (50%) 1 100 % 1.57 1.57Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 0.6 (57%)
Goes to Decision 1 (50%) 0 0 % 2.35 2.35Pick was incorrect 2.35Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
2 1 50 % 1.88     -0.4 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail FadeKeltonFund 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Dec UFC 232 20 1.4 7% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,014.02
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 12 -5.5 -46% $10.14 $1,014.02 $957.91
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 10.5 3.1 29% $9.58 $957.91 $987.15
9th Feb UFC 234 7.15 -7.2 -100% $9.87 $987.15 $916.57
16th Feb Bellator 216 1.5 0.6 42% $9.17 $916.57 $922.30
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 5.6 0.4 7% $9.22 $922.30 $925.99
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 9.8 -9.8 -100% $9.26 $925.99 $835.24
2nd Mar UFC 235 13.7 -9.0 -66% $8.35 $835.24 $759.67
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 9.9 -5.8 -59% $7.60 $759.67 $715.61
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 8.5 -5.1 -60% $7.16 $715.61 $679.32
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 6.4 2.2 35% $6.79 $679.32 $694.57


ROI % from starting bank balance: -30.54% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

FadeKeltonFund : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Bryce Mitchell Bobby Moffett 2.39 2.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Luis Pena Steven Peterson 1.45 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Jack Marshman John Phillips 1.71 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Matt Schnell Louis Smolka 2.05 2 Sub, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Cody Stamann Alejandro Perez 1.54 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Paul Felder James Vick 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Michael Page Paul Daley 1.42 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Mara Romero Borella Taila Santos 2.65 2.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Mara Romero Borella Taila Santos 2.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '19 Dennis Bermudez Te Edwards 1.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '19 Dennis Bermudez Te Edwards 1.85 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Urijah Hall Bevon Lewis 2.10 1.5 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Corey Anderson Ilir Latifi 2.25 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Urijah Hall Bevon Lewis 1.90 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Jussier Formiga 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Jose Quinonez Nathaniel Wood 3.55 5 Sub, R2 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Darren Till Jorge Masvidal 1.47 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Drew Dober Beneil Dariush 2.80 4 Sub, R2 (4:41) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Tim Boetsch Omari Akhmedov 2.40 3.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Charles Byrd Edmen Shahbazyan 2.37 3 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Mickey Gall Diego Sanchez 1.47 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Tecia Torres Weili Zhang 2.26 4.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Gian Villante Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.75 3.8 TKO, R1 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Marco Polo Reyes Damir Hadzovic 1.95 3.5 TKO, R2 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Nadia Kassem Montana De La Rosa 3.15 3.75 Sub, R2 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Lyman Good Demian Maia 2.61 5.25 Sub, R1 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 1 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.49 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '19 Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '19 Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal 2.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Brian Kelleher Montel Jackson 2.45 1 Sub, R1 (1:40) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Brian Kelleher Montel Jackson 2.28 4 Sub, R1 (1:40) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Alexander Gustafsson Jon Jones 3.55 5 TKO, R3 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

FadeKeltonFund : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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