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MMA Handicapper Stats: FadeKeltonFund

FadeKeltonFund (FadeKeltonFund)


MMA MHandicapper - FadeKeltonFund

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 40 (45%) Right 35 (51%) Right 5 (63%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 49 (55%) Wrong 33 (49%) Wrong 3 (38%) Wrong 13 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 2.04 Avg Odds 1.53 Avg Odds 15.71
Units Bet 237.6 Units Bet 193.6 Units Bet 11.0 Units Bet 33.0
Avg Bet 2.67 Avg Bet 2.85 Avg Bet 1.38 Avg Bet 2.54
Units Profit -36.45 Units Profit -0.01 Units Profit -3.44 Units Profit -33.00
ROI % -15% ROI % -0% ROI % -31% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

FadeKeltonFund : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 15 21.4 143% 25.4 / 11 (231%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 1 0.2 24% 0.2 / 1 (24%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 1.1 1.3 122% 1.3 / 1.1 (122%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 15 -11.5 -77% -8.5 / 12 (-71%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 11 12.0 109% 11.9 / 10 (119%) 0.1 / 1 (10%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 14 -8.8 -63% -3.8 / 9 (-42%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 14 -5.0 -35% 2.0 / 7 (29%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 15 -7.4 -49% -5.4 / 13 (-42%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 11.4 -4.4 -38% -2.1 / 5.4 (-38%) 0.2 / 3.5 (5%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 8 -2.8 -35% -2.8 / 8 (-35%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 13 8.6 66% 8.6 / 13 (66%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 14 -5.6 -40% -2.8 / 10 (-28%) 0.2 / 1 (20%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 6.4 2.2 35% 2.2 / 6.4 (35%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 8.5 -5.1 -60% -5.1 / 8.5 (-60%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 9.9 -5.8 -59% -5.8 / 9.9 (-59%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 13.7 -9.0 -66% -7.1 / 10.2 (-70%) -1.9 / 3.5 (-55%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 9.8 -9.8 -100% -7.3 / 7.3 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 5.6 0.4 7% 3.0 / 3 (100%) -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 1.5 0.6 42% 0.6 / 1.5 (42%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 7.15 -7.2 -100% -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%) -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 10.5 3.1 29% 3.1 / 10.5 (29%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 12 -5.5 -46% -5.5 / 12 (-46%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 20 1.4 7% 1.4 / 20 (7%)


Winning Events: 10 (43%)
Losing Events: 13 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.33 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 21.45 units
Worst Event: -11.52 units
Average Event: -1.58 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.03
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.72

FadeKeltonFund : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 217.55 -37.9 -17% -1.4 / 173.55 (-1%) -3.4 / 11 (-31%) -33.0 / 33 (-100%) 9 / 13 (41%) -1.72
2018 20 1.4 7% 1.4 / 20 (7%) 1 / (100%) 1.40

FadeKeltonFund : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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FadeKeltonFund : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 233.95 -38.7 -17% -2.2 / 189.95 (-1%) -3.4 / 11 (-31%) -33.0 / 33 (-100%)
Bellator 3.6 2.2 61% 2.2 / 3.6 (61%)

FadeKeltonFund : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (13%) 4 44 % 17.50 -6.88 -0.76 -39%
Slight Favorites 19 (28%) 13 68 % 44.50 6.68 0.35 15%
Slight Underdogs 33 (49%) 16 48 % 98.40 -3.12 -0.09 -3%
Big Underdogs 7 (10%) 2 29 % 33.15 3.30 0.47 10%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (10%) 2 29 % 16.50 -10.72 -1.53 -65%
Co-Main Event 5 (7%) 3 60 % 19.60 16.21 3.24 83%
Position 3-5 15 (22%) 5 33 % 54.10 -23.81 -1.59 -44%
6+ (Undercard) 41 (60%) 25 61 % 103.35 18.31 0.45 18%

FadeKeltonFund : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.33 1.33 67%
Light Heavy 5 (7%) 2 40 % 22.80 -3.57 -0.71 -16%
Middleweight 10 (15%) 6 60 % 25.50 -2.31 -0.23 -9%
Welterweight 12 (18%) 4 33 % 33.65 4.36 0.36 13%
Lightweight 9 (13%) 7 78 % 27.00 13.79 1.53 51%
Featherweight 10 (15%) 5 50 % 28.90 -12.22 -1.22 -42%
Bantamweight 8 (12%) 4 50 % 17.00 -3.24 -0.40 -19%
Flyweight 4 (6%) 1 25 % 7.50 -3.40 -0.85 -45%
               
Women's Fights 9 (13%) 5 56 % 29.20 5.26 0.58 18%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 3 100 % 8.25 15.35 5.12 186%
Strawweight 5 (7%) 2 40 % 16.95 -6.10 -1.22 -36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (15%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 23 (85%) 1 4 %
27 3 11 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (33%) 3 100 %
50-65% 2 (22%) 1 50 %
35-50% 3 (33%) 1 33 %
<35% chance 1 (11%) 0 0 %
9 5 56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (11%) 1 100 % 1.57 1.57Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 0.6 (57%)
Goes to Decision 2 (22%) 0 0 % 2.27 2.35Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub 1 (11%) 1 100 % 1.04 1.04Pick was correct 1.04Pick was correct 0.0 (4%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 1 (11%) 0 0 % 1.57 1.57Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 4 (44%) 3 75 % 1.66 3.25Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct 0.8 (21%)
9 5 56 % 1.63     -1.6 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail FadeKeltonFund 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Dec UFC 232 20 1.4 7% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,014.02
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 12 -5.5 -46% $10.14 $1,014.02 $957.91
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 10.5 3.1 29% $9.58 $957.91 $987.15
9th Feb UFC 234 7.15 -7.2 -100% $9.87 $987.15 $916.57
16th Feb Bellator 216 1.5 0.6 42% $9.17 $916.57 $922.30
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 5.6 0.4 7% $9.22 $922.30 $925.99
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 9.8 -9.8 -100% $9.26 $925.99 $835.24
2nd Mar UFC 235 13.7 -9.0 -66% $8.35 $835.24 $759.67
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 9.9 -5.8 -59% $7.60 $759.67 $715.61
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 8.5 -5.1 -60% $7.16 $715.61 $679.32
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 6.4 2.2 35% $6.79 $679.32 $694.57
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 14 -5.6 -40% $6.95 $694.57 $655.65
13th Apr UFC 236 13 8.6 66% $6.56 $655.65 $712.09
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 8 -2.8 -35% $7.12 $712.09 $692.31
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 11.4 -4.4 -38% $6.92 $692.31 $662.01
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 15 -7.4 -49% $6.62 $662.01 $613.03
11th May UFC 237 14 -5.0 -35% $6.13 $613.03 $582.58
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 14 -8.8 -63% $5.83 $582.58 $531.32
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 11 12.0 109% $5.31 $531.32 $595.23
8th Jun UFC 238 15 -11.5 -77% $5.95 $595.23 $526.67
14th Jun Bellator 222 1.1 1.3 122% $5.27 $526.67 $533.74
22nd Jun Bellator London 1 0.2 24% $5.34 $533.74 $535.01
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 15 21.4 143% $5.35 $535.01 $649.77


ROI % from starting bank balance: -35.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

FadeKeltonFund : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '19 James Gallagher Jeremiah Labiano 1.24 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Molly McCann Ariane Lipski 3.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Randy Brown Bryan Barberena 3.30 8 TKO, R3 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Patrick Mix Ricky Bandejas 2.22 1.1 Sub, R1 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Aljamain Sterling Pedro Munhoz 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Joel Alvarez Danilo Belluardo 2.00 3 TKO, R2 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Devin Clark Darko Stosic 1.91 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Christos Giagos Damir Hadzovic 2.55 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Zak Cummings Trevin Giles 2.60 2 Sub, R3 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Warlley Alves Sergio Moraes 1.79 3 TKO, R3 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas 1.83 2 TKO, R2 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Matt Sayles Kyle Nelson 1.45 3 Sub, R3 (3:16) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Andrew Sanchez Marc-Andre Barriault 1.63 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Augusto Sakai Andrei Arlovski 1.67 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Alexander Yakovlev Alex da Silva 1.74 3 Sub, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Khalid Taha Boston Salmon 2.40 1 TKO, R1 (0:25) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Khalid Taha Boston Salmon 2.40 2 TKO, R1 (0:25) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Max Griffin Zelim Imadaev 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Matt Frevola Jalin Turner 2.30 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.70 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '19 Angela Hill Yan Xiaonan 2.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Ricardo Lamas Calvin Kattar 2.30 3 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.67 3 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Megan Anderson Felicia Spencer 1.51 4 Sub, R1 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Antonio Carlos Junior Ian Heinisch 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Aiemann Zahabi Vincent Morales 1.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.40 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Ben Saunders Takashi Sato 2.90 3.4 TKO, R2 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.90 5 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Curtis Millender Belal Muhammad 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '19 Curtis Millender Belal Muhammad 2.45 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Sodiq Yusuff 2.30 3.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 David Branch Jack Hermansson 2.15 3.6 Sub, R1 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Jussier Formiga 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Jose Quinonez Nathaniel Wood 3.55 5 Sub, R2 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Darren Till Jorge Masvidal 1.47 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Drew Dober Beneil Dariush 2.80 4 Sub, R2 (4:41) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Tim Boetsch Omari Akhmedov 2.40 3.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Charles Byrd Edmen Shahbazyan 2.37 3 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

FadeKeltonFund : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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