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MMA Handicapper Stats: THE UFC GAMBLER

THE UFC GAMBLER (theufcgambler)


MMA MHandicapper - THE UFC GAMBLER

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 46 (54%) Right 42 (55%) Right 1 (33%) Right 3 (60%)
Wrong 39 (46%) Wrong 35 (45%) Wrong 2 (67%) Wrong 2 (40%)
Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.45 Avg Odds 1.71
Units Bet 125.5 Units Bet 114.0 Units Bet 3.5 Units Bet 8.0
Avg Bet 1.48 Avg Bet 1.48 Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 1.60
Units Profit -18.79 Units Profit -18.02 Units Profit -2.83 Units Profit 2.05
ROI % -15% ROI % -16% ROI % -81% ROI % 26%
View Handicapper's Profile

THE UFC GAMBLER: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th May '19 UFC 237 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 2 1.1 53% 1.1 / 2 (53%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 1 1.5 145% 1.5 / 1 (145%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 32 -20.2 -63% -20.2 / 32 (-63%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 17.5 -5.6 -32% -4.1 / 14 (-29%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (97%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 4 -1.4 -35% -1.4 / 4 (-35%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 4 2.5 62% 1.5 / 1 (145%) 1.0 / 3 (35%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 19 -2.7 -14% -3.8 / 16 (-24%) 1.0 / 3 (35%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 12.5 2.8 23% 2.8 / 12.5 (23%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 8.5 3.0 36% 3.0 / 8.5 (36%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 8 1.2 15% 1.2 / 8 (15%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.85 -1.9 -32% -0.6 / 3.85 (-15%) -0.3 / 1 (-33%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 10.15 2.0 20% 2.0 / 10.15 (20%)


Winning Events: 7 (54%)
Losing Events: 6 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.00 units
Best Event: 3.03 units
Worst Event: -20.24 units
Average Event: -1.45 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 7.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -27.28

THE UFC GAMBLER: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 115.35 -20.8 -18% -20.1 / 103.85 (-19%) -2.8 / 3.5 (-81%) 2.1 / 8 (26%) 6 / 6 (50%) -1.74
2018 10.15 2.0 20% 2.0 / 10.15 (20%) 1 / (100%) 2.05

THE UFC GAMBLER: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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THE UFC GAMBLER: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 125.5 -18.8 -15% -18.0 / 114 (-16%) -2.8 / 3.5 (-81%) 2.1 / 8 (26%)

THE UFC GAMBLER: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 22 (29%) 15 68 % 52.75 -8.24 -0.37 -16%
Slight Favorites 23 (30%) 13 57 % 23.30 -6.97 -0.30 -30%
Slight Underdogs 29 (38%) 13 45 % 26.95 4.95 0.17 18%
Big Underdogs 3 (4%) 1 33 % 11.00 -7.75 -2.58 -70%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (13%) 4 40 % 18.50 -8.64 -0.86 -47%
Co-Main Event 9 (12%) 4 44 % 14.50 -2.90 -0.32 -20%
Position 3-5 13 (17%) 8 62 % 22.35 -7.23 -0.56 -32%
6+ (Undercard) 45 (58%) 26 58 % 58.65 0.75 0.02 1%

THE UFC GAMBLER: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (8%) 2 33 % 9.10 -5.68 -0.95 -62%
Light Heavy 7 (9%) 6 86 % 7.25 2.21 0.32 30%
Middleweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 3.25 2.50 0.83 77%
Welterweight 13 (17%) 7 54 % 23.35 -13.03 -1.00 -56%
Lightweight 12 (16%) 6 50 % 13.35 2.88 0.24 22%
Featherweight 11 (14%) 8 73 % 19.60 1.12 0.10 6%
Bantamweight 9 (12%) 5 56 % 11.10 0.72 0.08 7%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 1 25 % 11.50 -8.90 -2.23 -77%
               
Women's Fights 12 (16%) 5 42 % 15.50 0.16 0.01 1%
Featherweight 2 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 6 (8%) 3 50 % 5.00 -0.52 -0.09 -10%
Strawweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 9.50 1.68 0.42 18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 10 (100%) 8 80 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
10 8 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (67%) 1 50 %
50-65% 1 (33%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
3 1 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (33%) 1 100 % 1.34 1.34Pick was correct 1.34Pick was correct 0.3 (34%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (33%) 0 0 % 1.47 1.47Pick was incorrect 1.47Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (33%) 0 0 % 1.56 1.56Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
3 1 33 % 1.45     -1.7 (-55%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail THE UFC GAMBLER's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Dec UFC 232 10.15 2.0 20% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,020.48
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.85 -1.9 -32% $10.20 $1,020.48 $1,001.12
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 8 1.2 15% $10.01 $1,001.12 $1,013.40
9th Feb UFC 234 8.5 3.0 36% $10.13 $1,013.40 $1,044.07
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 12.5 2.8 23% $10.44 $1,044.07 $1,073.65
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 19 -2.7 -14% $10.74 $1,073.65 $1,044.24
2nd Mar UFC 235 4 2.5 62% $10.44 $1,044.24 $1,070.23
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 4 -1.4 -35% $10.70 $1,070.23 $1,055.25
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 17.5 -5.6 -32% $10.55 $1,055.25 $995.68
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 32 -20.2 -63% $9.96 $995.68 $794.20
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 1 1.5 145% $7.94 $794.20 $805.71
13th Apr UFC 236 2 1.1 53% $8.06 $805.71 $814.19
11th May UFC 237 1 -1.0 -100% $8.14 $814.19 $806.05


ROI % from starting bank balance: -19.39% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

THE UFC GAMBLER: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Chris Gutierrez Ryan MacDonald 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Maycee Barber J.J. Aldrich 1.51 5 TKO, R2 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Marc Diakiese Joseph Duffy 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Leon Edwards Gunnar Nelson 1.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Arnold Allen Jordan Rinaldi 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.53 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza 2.45 1 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Matt Schnell Louis Smolka 2.60 1 Sub, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Gillian Robertson Veronica Macedo 1.71 0.5 Sub, R2 (3:27) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Magomed Ankalaev Klidson Farias de Abreu 1.51 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Petr Yan John Dodson 1.41 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Chris Fishgold Daniel Teymur 1.53 1 Sub, R2 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Dwight Grant Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Damir Hadzovic Marco Polo Reyes 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Andrea Lee Ashlee Evans-Smith 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Shane Young Austin Arnett 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Jim Crute Sam Alvey 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (2:49) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '19 Montana De La Rosa Nadia Kassem 1.44 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '19 Kyung Ho Kang Teruto Ishihara 1.31 2 Sub, R1 (3:59) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Kamaru Usman Tyron Woodley 2.45 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Eric Shelton Jordan Espinosa 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Jussier Formiga 1.69 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Steven Peterson Luis Pena 3.10 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Justin Willis Curtis Blaydes 3.35 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Stephen Thompson Anthony Pettis 1.23 5 TKO, R2 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Nad Narimani Mike Grundy 1.74 2 TKO, R2 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Danny Henry Dan Ige 2.10 1 Sub, R1 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Danny Roberts Claudio Silva 2.40 1 Sub, R3 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Darren Till Jorge Masvidal 1.47 5 TKO, R2 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Curtis Millender Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 2.15 1 Sub, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Rustam Khabilov Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.87 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.83 1 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Michel Prazeres Ismail Naurdiev 1.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Lucie Pudilova Liz Carmouche 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos 2.40 1 TKO, R3 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Scott Holtzman Nik Lentz 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Alexandra Albu Emily Whitmire 1.77 1 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '19 Renan Barao Luke Sanders 2.70 1 TKO, R2 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.65 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

THE UFC GAMBLER: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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