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MMA Handicapper Stats: DarkHorse MMAus

DarkHorse MMAus (DarkHorse MMAus)


MMA MHandicapper - DarkHorse MMAus

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 120 (50%) Right 83 (53%) Right 7 (44%) Right 30 (45%)
Wrong 120 (50%) Wrong 74 (47%) Wrong 9 (56%) Wrong 37 (55%)
Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 2.36
Units Bet 468.9 Units Bet 312.9 Units Bet 29.5 Units Bet 126.5
Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 1.99 Avg Bet 1.84 Avg Bet 1.89
Units Profit -15.42 Units Profit -16.34 Units Profit -3.64 Units Profit 4.55
ROI % -3% ROI % -5% ROI % -12% ROI % 4%
View Handicapper's Profile

DarkHorse MMAus: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 5.4 1.7 32% 1.7 / 5.4 (32%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 8 3.2 40% 1.4 / 6 (23%) 1.8 / 2 (90%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 7 -3.9 -56% 0.1 / 3 (3%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 8 5.9 74% 3.0 / 6 (50%) 2.9 / 2 (147%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 32.5 -14.9 -46% -5.0 / 18.5 (-27%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -7.9 / 12 (-66%)
14th Aug '19 DWCS 24 3 -0.5 -16% -0.5 / 3 (-16%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 16.5 4.9 30% 3.6 / 15.5 (23%) 1.4 / 1 (137%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 18.5 4.1 22% 2.8 / 16.5 (17%) 1.3 / 2 (63%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 10 0.4 4% 0.4 / 10 (4%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 23 -11.3 -49% -2.3 / 14 (-17%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Jul '19 DWCS 20 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 18 -18.0 -100% -16.0 / 16 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 7 0.7 11% 0.7 / 7 (11%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 22 -14.1 -64% -5.6 / 13.5 (-42%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 8 1.3 17% -0.9 / 5.5 (-16%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 2.7 / 2 (135%)
26th Jun '19 DWTNCS 18 2 1.6 80% 1.6 / 2 (80%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 7 -7.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 2 3.0 150% 3.0 / 2 (150%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 32 1.7 5% -3.8 / 26 (-15%) 5.5 / 6 (92%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 9.5 2.8 30% 2.8 / 9.5 (30%)
31st May '19 Combate 38 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd May '19 PFL 2019: Week 2 6 0.2 4% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.2 / 4 (55%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 12 5.9 49% 1.2 / 4 (31%) 4.7 / 8 (59%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 14 6.1 43% 2.7 / 8 (34%) 1.3 / 3 (44%) 2.1 / 3 (69%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 7 4.4 62% 3.4 / 5 (67%) 1.0 / 2 (50%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 19 -16.1 -85% -8.1 / 11 (-74%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 12 2.0 16% -0.3 / 4 (-8%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 5.3 / 5 (105%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 15 8.9 60% 3.0 / 8 (37%) 6.0 / 7 (85%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 18.5 -5.1 -28% -3.6 / 7 (-51%) 0.4 / 5.5 (6%) -1.9 / 6 (-31%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 36.5 -5.1 -14% -0.4 / 27.5 (-1%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.7 / 8 (-46%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 16.5 -4.4 -26% -2.9 / 9 (-32%) -1.5 / 7.5 (-20%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5 -1.3 -26% -0.3 / 4 (-7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 12 5.7 47% 4.2 / 8 (52%) 1.5 / 4 (36%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 9 5.7 63% 3.1 / 7 (45%) 2.6 / 2 (128%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 7 2.3 32% 0.9 / 4 (23%) 1.3 / 3 (45%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 11 2.9 26% 2.2 / 6 (36%) 0.7 / 5 (14%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 14 5.1 37% -0.5 / 7 (-7%) 5.6 / 7 (80%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 10 8.7 87% 1.6 / 6 (27%) 7.1 / 4 (179%)


Winning Events: 25 (63%)
Losing Events: 15 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.72 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.50 units
Best Event: 8.93 units
Worst Event: -18.00 units
Average Event: -0.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 30.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -30.33

DarkHorse MMAus: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 458.9 -24.2 -5% -17.9 / 306.9 (-6%) -3.6 / 29.5 (-12%) -2.6 / 122.5 (-2%) 24 / 15 (62%) -0.62
2018 10 8.7 87% 1.6 / 6 (27%) 7.1 / 4 (179%) 1 / (100%) 8.75

DarkHorse MMAus: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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DarkHorse MMAus: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 435.9 -23.4 -5% -18.6 / 288.9 (-6%) -3.6 / 29.5 (-12%) -1.2 / 117.5 (-1%)
Bellator 3 4.0 133% 4.0 / 3 (133%)
PFL 6 0.2 4% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.2 / 4 (55%)
Other 24 3.8 16% 0.3 / 19 (1%) 3.5 / 5 (71%)

DarkHorse MMAus: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 39 (25%) 30 77 % 121.00 8.92 0.23 7%
Slight Favorites 64 (41%) 33 52 % 125.90 -20.05 -0.31 -16%
Slight Underdogs 34 (22%) 15 44 % 47.00 -0.68 -0.02 -1%
Big Underdogs 20 (13%) 5 25 % 19.00 -4.52 -0.23 -24%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (6%) 4 44 % 16.00 -1.60 -0.18 -10%
Co-Main Event 14 (9%) 8 57 % 28.50 2.34 0.17 8%
Position 3-5 49 (31%) 30 61 % 94.50 4.23 0.09 4%
6+ (Undercard) 85 (54%) 41 48 % 173.90 -21.31 -0.25 -12%

DarkHorse MMAus: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (8%) 6 50 % 18.20 -0.32 -0.03 -2%
Light Heavy 13 (8%) 5 38 % 22.70 -6.34 -0.49 -28%
Middleweight 11 (7%) 6 55 % 20.00 0.41 0.04 2%
Welterweight 22 (14%) 15 68 % 50.00 0.36 0.02 1%
Lightweight 17 (11%) 11 65 % 26.50 7.42 0.44 28%
Featherweight 25 (16%) 14 56 % 51.50 -3.55 -0.14 -7%
Bantamweight 23 (15%) 10 43 % 56.00 -12.78 -0.56 -23%
Flyweight 7 (4%) 4 57 % 14.00 1.46 0.21 10%
               
Women's Fights 27 (17%) 12 44 % 54.00 -3.00 -0.11 -6%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 2 67 % 5.00 0.41 0.14 8%
Bantamweight 6 (4%) 1 17 % 10.00 -6.94 -1.16 -69%
Strawweight 17 (11%) 9 53 % 38.50 4.03 0.24 10%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 88 (75%) 72 82 %
Slight Favorites 25 (21%) 10 40 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (3%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
117 84 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 45 (63%) 36 80 %
50-65% 11 (15%) 9 82 %
35-50% 8 (11%) 4 50 %
<35% chance 8 (11%) 0 0 %
72 49 68 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.41 1.61Pick was correct 1.25Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-20%)
Goes to Decision 10 (14%) 7 70 % 1.41 1.89Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect 0.2 (2%)
Does not go to Decision 42 (58%) 35 83 % 1.32 2.10Pick was correct 1.08Pick was incorrect 6.1 (15%)
X Wins by KO 3 (4%) 1 33 % 2.84 9.50Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct -1.3 (-43%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (4%) 0 0 % 5.18 14.00Pick was incorrect 3.25Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 12 (17%) 5 42 % 2.32 4.33Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was correct -2.6 (-22%)
72 49 68 % 1.53     -0.9 (-1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail DarkHorse MMAus's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 10 8.7 87% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,087.46
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 14 5.1 37% $10.87 $1,087.46 $1,143.25
9th Feb UFC 234 11 2.9 26% $11.43 $1,143.25 $1,176.19
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 7 2.3 32% $11.76 $1,176.19 $1,202.86
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 9 5.7 63% $12.03 $1,202.86 $1,271.28
2nd Mar UFC 235 12 5.7 47% $12.71 $1,271.28 $1,343.21
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5 -1.3 -26% $13.43 $1,343.21 $1,326.02
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 16.5 -4.4 -26% $13.26 $1,326.02 $1,268.21
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 36.5 -5.1 -14% $12.68 $1,268.21 $1,203.90
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 18.5 -5.1 -28% $12.04 $1,203.90 $1,142.64
13th Apr UFC 236 15 8.9 60% $11.43 $1,142.64 $1,244.70
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 12 2.0 16% $12.45 $1,244.70 $1,268.98
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 19 -16.1 -85% $12.69 $1,268.98 $1,064.17
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 7 4.4 62% $10.64 $1,064.17 $1,110.56
11th May UFC 237 14 6.1 43% $11.11 $1,110.56 $1,178.11
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 12 5.9 49% $11.78 $1,178.11 $1,247.98
23rd May PFL 2019: Week 2 6 0.2 4% $12.48 $1,247.98 $1,250.63
31st May Combate 38 2 -2.0 -100% $12.51 $1,250.63 $1,225.61
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 9.5 2.8 30% $12.26 $1,225.61 $1,259.99
8th Jun UFC 238 32 1.7 5% $12.60 $1,259.99 $1,281.49
14th Jun Bellator 222 1 1.0 100% $12.81 $1,281.49 $1,294.31
22nd Jun Bellator London 2 3.0 150% $12.94 $1,294.31 $1,333.14
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 7 -7.0 -100% $13.33 $1,333.14 $1,239.82
26th Jun DWTNCS 18 2 1.6 80% $12.40 $1,239.82 $1,259.58
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 8 1.3 17% $12.60 $1,259.58 $1,276.41
6th Jul UFC 239 22 -14.1 -64% $12.76 $1,276.41 $1,095.80
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 7 0.7 11% $10.96 $1,095.80 $1,104.02
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 18 -18.0 -100% $11.04 $1,104.02 $905.30
17th Jul DWCS 20 1 -1.0 -100% $9.05 $905.30 $896.24
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 23 -11.3 -49% $8.96 $896.24 $794.70
27th Jul UFC 240 10 0.4 4% $7.95 $794.70 $797.88
31st Jul DWCS 22 1 -1.0 -100% $7.98 $797.88 $789.90
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 18.5 4.1 22% $7.90 $789.90 $822.21
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 16.5 4.9 30% $8.22 $822.21 $862.87
14th Aug DWCS 24 3 -0.5 -16% $8.63 $862.87 $858.82
17th Aug UFC 241 32.5 -14.9 -46% $8.59 $858.82 $730.43
20th Aug DWCS 25 8 5.9 74% $7.30 $730.43 $773.81
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 7 -3.9 -56% $7.74 $773.81 $743.48
7th Sep UFC 242 8 3.2 40% $7.43 $743.48 $767.26
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 5.4 1.7 32% $7.67 $767.26 $780.53


ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

DarkHorse MMAus: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '19 Austin Hubbard Kyle Prepolec 1.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Urijah Hall Antonio Carlos Junior 3.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Augusto Sakai Marcin Tybura 1.90 1.2 TKO, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Damir Ismagulov Thiago Moises 1.54 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Belal Muhammad Takashi Sato 1.38 3 Sub, R3 (1:55) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '19 Carlos Diego Ferreira Mairbek Taisumov 3.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Mallory Martin Micol DiSegni 1.30 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Jamal Pogues Marcos Brigagao 1.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Sodiq Yusuff Gabriel Benitez 1.36 4 TKO, R1 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.50 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis 2.14 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Sarah Alpar Shanna Young 2.53 1 Sub, R2 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Tecia Torres 2.41 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Rodolfo Vieira Oskar Piechota 1.54 2 Sub, R2 (4:26) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Mickey Gall Salim Touahri 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Chris Gutierrez Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 1.72 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Enrique Barzola Bobby Moffett 1.70 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '19 Claudio Silva Cole Williams 1.25 4 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '19 Scott Holtzman Dong Hyun Ma 1.33 4 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '19 Enrique Barzola Bobby Moffett 1.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '19 Jim Crute Misha Cirkunov 1.90 1.2 Sub, R1 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Donald Cerrone Justin Gaethje 2.60 1 TKO, R1 (4:18) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Yanan Wu Mizuki Inoue 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '19 Nordine Taleb Muslim Salikhov 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Brandon Davis Kyung Ho Kang 2.95 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Jodie Esquibel Hannah Cifers 3.57 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Herdem Alacabek William Knight 1.57 2 TKO, R3 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Raulian Paiva Rogerio Bontorin 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (2:56) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Chris Gutierrez 1.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Jordan Espinosa Matt Schnell 1.90 2 Sub, R1 (1:23) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Shana Dobson Sabina Mazo 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Gabriel Benitez Sodiq Yusuff 3.75 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:14) Yes MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Ian Heinisch Derek Brunson 1.47 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Joaquim Silva Nasrat Haqparast 3.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Lucie Pudilova Antonina Shevchenko 2.55 2 Sub, R2 (1:20) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Seung Woo Choi Gavin Tucker 2.55 3 Sub, R3 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Ricardo Prasel Don'tale Mayes 2.66 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Irene Aldana Raquel Pennington 1.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Gabriel Silva Ray Borg 3.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Andre Fili 1.86 1 TKO, R1 (3:7) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

DarkHorse MMAus: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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