MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Capnap

Capnap (Stare)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	62 (37%)	Right	35 (43%)	Right	9 (56%)	Right	18 (26%)
Wrong	104 (63%)	Wrong	46 (57%)	Wrong	7 (44%)	Wrong	51 (74%)
Avg Odds	2.72	Avg Odds	2.28	Avg Odds	2.63	Avg Odds	3.58
Units Bet	607.5	Units Bet	363.3	Units Bet	45.3	Units Bet	199.0
Avg Bet	3.66	Avg Bet	4.48	Avg Bet	2.83	Avg Bet	2.88
Units Profit	-37.27	Units Profit	-31.97	Units Profit	21.14	Units Profit	-26.43
ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-9%	ROI %	47%	ROI %	-13%

Capnap : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	6.5	-3.9	-60%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	0.6 / 2 (31%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	35	-17.1	-49%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)	-0.6 / 11 (-5%)	-3.5 / 11 (-32%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	45	-12.7	-28%	1.8 / 26 (7%)	1.5 / 3 (50%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	32	11.8	37%	5.6 / 12 (46%)		6.3 / 20 (31%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	56	-49.6	-89%	-28.0 / 28 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-19.6 / 26 (-75%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	32.5	-6.7	-21%	0.0 / 18.5 (0%)		-6.7 / 14 (-48%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	52	31.6	61%	15.2 / 25 (61%)		16.3 / 27 (60%)
16th Feb '19	Bellator 216	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	36	-19.9	-55%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	-2.6 / 6 (-43%)	-7.3 / 20 (-37%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	36.5	12.4	34%	11.0 / 24.5 (45%)		1.5 / 12 (12%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	42.5	40.8	96%	24.6 / 29.5 (83%)	2.4 / 4 (61%)	13.8 / 9 (153%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	38.78	-3.0	-8%	-3.0 / 38.78 (-8%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	28	10.4	37%	-0.1 / 21 (-0%)		10.5 / 7 (151%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	67.25	14.1	21%	2.3 / 40 (6%)	27.8 / 11.25 (247%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	52	-36.4	-70%	-19.4 / 35 (-55%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	40	-1.7	-4%	-7.0 / 30 (-23%)		5.3 / 10 (53%)

Winning Events: 6 (35%)
Losing Events: 11 (65%)

Average Staked Per Event: 35.74 units
Most Staked On One Event: 67.25 units
Best Event: 40.77 units
Worst Event: -49.60 units
Average Event: -2.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 40.77
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -56.27

Capnap : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	41.5	-21.0	-51%	-17.5 / 17.5 (-100%)	0.0 / 13 (0%)	-3.5 / 11 (-32%)	/ 2 (0%)	-10.49
2019	340	0.2	0%	12.6 / 181 (7%)	-0.6 / 15 (-4%)	-11.8 / 144 (-8%)	4 / 6 (40%)	0.02
2018	226.03	-16.5	-7%	-27.1 / 164.78 (-16%)	21.8 / 17.25 (126%)	-11.1 / 44 (-25%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-3.30

Capnap : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Capnap : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	600.03	-29.8	-5%	-24.5 / 355.78 (-7%)	21.1 / 45.25 (47%)	-26.4 / 199 (-13%)
Bellator	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)

Capnap : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	2.50	2.50	50%
Slight Favorites	26 (32%)	15	58 %	130.78	-5.62	-0.22	-4%
Slight Underdogs	36 (44%)	15	42 %	170.50	-1.45	-0.04	-1%
Big Underdogs	19 (23%)	4	21 %	57.00	-27.40	-1.44	-48%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (16%)	5	38 %	58.00	-3.02	-0.23	-5%
Co-Main Event	9 (11%)	6	67 %	37.50	16.08	1.79	43%
Position 3-5	20 (24%)	7	35 %	82.28	-28.10	-1.40	-34%
6+ (Undercard)	40 (49%)	17	43 %	185.50	-16.94	-0.42	-9%

Capnap : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (10%)	5	63 %	31.50	12.20	1.52	39%
Light Heavy	11 (13%)	3	27 %	50.00	-23.80	-2.16	-48%
Middleweight	8 (10%)	3	38 %	41.00	-8.00	-1.00	-20%
Welterweight	12 (15%)	6	50 %	48.50	1.74	0.14	4%
Lightweight	14 (17%)	6	43 %	57.00	3.62	0.26	6%
Featherweight	12 (15%)	6	50 %	59.78	-0.58	-0.05	-1%
Bantamweight	7 (9%)	2	29 %	30.00	-7.65	-1.09	-26%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	17.50	-4.25	-1.06	-24%

Women's Fights	6 (7%)	3	50 %	28.00	-5.25	-0.88	-19%
Featherweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	7.00	7.81	3.90	112%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	21.00	-13.06	-3.26	-62%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	87 (48%)	58	67 %
Slight Favorites	36 (20%)	23	64 %
Slight Underdogs	51 (28%)	20	39 %
Big Underdogs	8 (4%)	2	25 %
	182	103	57 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	1 (10%)	1	100 %
<35% chance	9 (90%)	2	22 %
	10	3	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision	1 (10%)	1	100 %	2.76	2.76	2.76	1.8 (176%)
X Wins by KO	1 (10%)	0	0 %	8.20	8.20	8.20	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (20%)	0	0 %	7.17	8.00	6.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (10%)	0	0 %	4.50	4.50	4.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (40%)	2	50 %	4.48	8.50	3.80	3.8 (95%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (10%)	0	0 %	12.00	12.00	12.00	-1.0 (-100%)
	10	3	30 %	5.10			0.6 (6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Capnap 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
30th Nov	TUF Finale	40	-1.7	-4%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$983.39
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	52	-36.4	-70%		$9.83	$983.39	$625.68
8th Dec	UFC 231	67.25	14.1	21%		$6.26	$625.68	$713.81
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	28	10.4	37%		$7.14	$713.81	$788.36
29th Dec	UFC 232	38.78	-3.0	-8%		$7.88	$788.36	$764.66
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	42.5	40.8	96%		$7.65	$764.66	$1,076.45
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.76	$1,076.45	$1,049.54
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	36.5	12.4	34%		$10.50	$1,049.54	$1,179.95
9th Feb	UFC 234	36	-19.9	-55%		$11.80	$1,179.95	$944.99
16th Feb	Bellator 216	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.45	$944.99	$897.74
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	52	31.6	61%		$8.98	$897.74	$1,181.26
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	32.5	-6.7	-21%		$11.81	$1,181.26	$1,102.48
2nd Mar	UFC 235	56	-49.6	-89%		$11.02	$1,102.48	$555.60
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	32	11.8	37%	$10	$5.56	$555.60	$611.30
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	45	-12.7	-28%	$10	$6.11	$611.30	$523.66
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	35	-17.1	-49%		$5.24	$523.66	$434.16
13th Dec	UFC 256	6.5	-3.9	-60%		$4.34	$434.16	$417.30

ROI % from starting bank balance: -58.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Capnap : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '19	Mike Grundy	Nad Narimani	2.90	3	TKO, R2 (4:42)
2.	Mar '19	Saparbek Safarov	Nick Negumereanu	2.75	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '19	Marc Diakiese	Joseph Duffy	2.70	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '19	Niko Price	Tim Means	2.60	3	TKO, R1 (4:50)
5.	Mar '19	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Curtis Millender	1.95	5	Sub, R1 (2:35)
6.	Feb '19	Stefan Struve	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2.10	5	Sub, R2 (2:21)
7.	Feb '19	Ismail Naurdiev	Michel Prazeres	4.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '19	Andre Fili	Myles Jury	2.60	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '19	Aljamain Sterling	Jimmie Rivera	2.60	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '19	Markus Perez	Anthony Hernandez	2.80	5	Sub, R2 (1:7)
11.	Feb '19	Charles Oliveira	David Teymur	2.30	4	Sub, R2 (0:55)
12.	Feb '19	Francis Ngannou	Cain Velasquez	2.85	5	TKO, R1 (0:26)
13.	Feb '19	Jose Aldo	Renato Moicano	2.45	5	TKO, R2 (0:44)
14.	Jan '19	Paige VanZant	Rachael Ostovich	1.59	5	Sub, R2 (1:50)
15.	Jan '19	Dennis Bermudez	Te Edwards	1.83	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jan '19	Donald Cerrone	Alexander Hernandez	2.65	5	TKO, R2 (3:43)
18.	Jan '19	Allen Crowder	Greg Hardy	4.50	0.5
19.	Jan '19	Henry Cejudo	T.J. Dillashaw	2.65	5	TKO, R1 (0:32)
20.	Dec '18	Curtis Millender	Siyar Bahadurzada	1.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '20	Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	2.16	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
2.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.95	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '20	Ovince St Preux	Jamahal Hill	2.48	3	TKO, R2 (3:37)	No
4.	Dec '20	Jack Hermansson	Marvin Vettori	2.16	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '19	Jordan Rinaldi	Arnold Allen	2.40	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '19	John Phillips	Jack Marshman	2.50	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '19	Volkan Oezdemir	Dominick Reyes	3.00	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '19	Gunnar Nelson	Leon Edwards	2.25	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '19	Dan Moret	Alex White	2.25	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '19	Charles Byrd	Edmen Shahbazyan	2.10	3	TKO, R1 (0:38)	No
11.	Mar '19	Jeremy Stephens	Zabit Magomedsharipov	2.50	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '19	Misha Cirkunov	Johnny Walker	2.40	10	TKO, R1 (0:36)	No
13.	Feb '19	Veronica Macedo	Gillian Robertson	2.30	4	Sub, R2 (3:27)	No
14.	Feb '19	John Dodson	Petr Yan	2.95	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '19	Jan Blachowicz	Thiago Santos	2.10	5	TKO, R3 (0:39)	No
16.	Mar '19	Anthony Smith	Jon Jones	8.50	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '19	Paul Daley	Michael Page	2.85	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '19	Callan Potter	Jalin Turner	2.80	5	TKO, R1 (0:53)	No
19.	Feb '19	Renan Barao	Luke Sanders	2.70	5	TKO, R2 (1:1)	No
20.	Mar '19	Anthony Smith	Jon Jones	7.50	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Capnap : Progress Chart

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