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MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Fight Picks 2018 User

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User (TechnicalTim)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMA Fight Picks 2018 User

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 43 (36%) Right 18 (47%) Right 19 (30%) Right 6 (32%)
Wrong 78 (64%) Wrong 20 (53%) Wrong 45 (70%) Wrong 13 (68%)
Avg Odds 2.61 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 3.31 Avg Odds 2.35
Units Bet 268.4 Units Bet 136.7 Units Bet 74.8 Units Bet 57.0
Avg Bet 2.22 Avg Bet 3.60 Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 3.00
Units Profit -52.99 Units Profit -17.57 Units Profit -7.52 Units Profit -27.90
ROI % -20% ROI % -13% ROI % -10% ROI % -49%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 33 -12.8 -39% -12.8 / 33 (-39%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 13.5 -9.3 -69% 1.7 / 2.5 (67%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
31st Dec '18 PFL 11: Finals 37 -17.8 -48% -3.3 / 22.5 (-15%) -14.5 / 14.5 (-100%)
31st Dec '18 Rizin 14 9 -9.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 46.9 -21.5 -46% -19.9 / 19.9 (-100%) -5.4 / 17 (-32%) 3.7 / 10 (37%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 213 12 -9.0 -75% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.0 / 3 (1%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 12.5 -6.1 -49% 2.4 / 4 (61%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 5.5 1.3 24% 1.7 / 1.5 (110%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.6 / 2 (82%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 24 2.7 11% 6.3 / 6.75 (94%) -1.6 / 15.25 (-11%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 Cage Warriors 100 8 8.3 104% 8.3 / 8 (104%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 13 -9.0 -69% -11.0 / 11 (-100%) 2.0 / 2 (98%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 27 12.9 48% 1.9 / 9.5 (20%) 15.2 / 8 (190%) -4.2 / 9.5 (-45%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 3.6 71% 3.6 / 5 (71%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 22 12.8 58% 5.6 / 11 (51%) 5.7 / 10 (57%) 1.5 / 1 (149%)


Winning Events: 6 (43%)
Losing Events: 8 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 19.17 units
Most Staked On One Event: 46.90 units
Best Event: 12.90 units
Worst Event: -21.52 units
Average Event: -3.79 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 29.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -85.52

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 46.5 -22.2 -48% -11.2 / 35.5 (-31%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%) / 2 (0%) -11.08
2018 221.9 -30.8 -14% -6.4 / 101.15 (-6%) -7.5 / 74.75 (-10%) -16.9 / 46 (-37%) 6 / 6 (50%) -2.57

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 191.9 -30.4 -16% -14.8 / 86.65 (-17%) -5.6 / 69.75 (-8%) -10.0 / 35.5 (-28%)
Bellator 17.5 -7.7 -44% -2.4 / 5.5 (-43%) -2.0 / 5 (-39%) -3.4 / 7 (-48%)
PFL 37 -17.8 -48% -3.3 / 22.5 (-15%) -14.5 / 14.5 (-100%)
Other 22 2.9 13% 2.9 / 22 (13%)

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (16%) 4 67 % 33.50 -9.52 -1.59 -28%
Slight Favorites 16 (42%) 6 38 % 65.90 -20.48 -1.28 -31%
Slight Underdogs 9 (24%) 5 56 % 29.00 1.07 0.12 4%
Big Underdogs 7 (18%) 3 43 % 8.25 11.35 1.62 138%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (18%) 5 71 % 22.50 7.59 1.08 34%
Co-Main Event 6 (16%) 4 67 % 10.75 9.48 1.58 88%
Position 3-5 13 (34%) 5 38 % 50.50 -20.87 -1.61 -41%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (32%) 4 33 % 52.90 -13.77 -1.15 -26%

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (8%) 3 100 % 4.00 4.90 1.63 123%
Light Heavy 7 (18%) 3 43 % 22.00 -5.64 -0.81 -26%
Middleweight 3 (8%) 1 33 % 13.00 -5.05 -1.68 -39%
Welterweight 6 (16%) 3 50 % 30.00 4.02 0.67 13%
Lightweight 1 (3%) 0 % 11.00 -11.00 -11.00 -100%
Featherweight 4 (11%) 2 50 % 9.00 4.82 1.21 54%
Bantamweight 5 (13%) 3 60 % 23.00 -0.15 -0.03 -1%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 8 (21%) 3 38 % 22.65 -7.47 -0.93 -33%
Featherweight 4 (11%) 0 % 11.90 -11.90 -2.98 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 3.25 0.92 0.46 28%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 7.50 3.51 1.76 47%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 19 (79%) 10 53 %
Slight Favorites 2 (8%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (8%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (4%) 1 100 %
24 13 54 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (15%) 7 58 %
50-65% 10 (12%) 4 40 %
35-50% 14 (17%) 6 43 %
<35% chance 45 (56%) 11 24 %
81 28 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 5.17 5.17Pick was correct 5.17Pick was correct 4.2 (417%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (6%) 2 40 % 2.00 2.55Pick was correct 1.57Pick was incorrect -0.0 (-0%)
Goes to Decision 2 (2%) 1 50 % 2.27 3.85Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct -0.4 (-20%)
Does not go to Decision 7 (9%) 3 43 % 1.46 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.24Pick was correct -2.6 (-37%)
X Wins by KO 18 (22%) 4 22 % 3.90 11.60Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was correct 0.8 (5%)
X Wins by Sub 8 (10%) 2 25 % 6.22 13.10Pick was incorrect 4.20Pick was incorrect 1.8 (23%)
X Wins Inside Distance 28 (35%) 9 32 % 2.76 9.27Pick was incorrect 1.34Pick was correct -1.5 (-5%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (2%) 0 0 % 9.71 13.00Pick was incorrect 7.75Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 10 (12%) 6 60 % 2.01 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct 0.3 (3%)
81 28 35 % 2.74     0.6 (1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Fight Picks 2018 User's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 22 12.8 58% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,122.53
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 3.6 71% $5 $11.23 $1,122.53 $1,157.50
30th Nov TUF Finale 27 12.9 48% $5 $11.57 $1,157.50 $1,301.82
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 13 -9.0 -69% $5 $13.02 $1,301.82 $1,179.23
8th Dec Cage Warriors 100 8 8.3 104% $5 $11.79 $1,179.23 $1,272.48
8th Dec UFC 231 24 2.7 11% $5 $12.72 $1,272.48 $1,302.05
15th Dec Bellator 212 5.5 1.3 24% $5 $13.02 $1,302.05 $1,313.94
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 12.5 -6.1 -49% $5 $13.14 $1,313.94 $1,229.11
15th Dec Bellator 213 12 -9.0 -75% $5 $12.29 $1,229.11 $1,113.98
29th Dec UFC 232 46.9 -21.5 -46% $5 $11.14 $1,113.98 $869.29
31st Dec Rizin 14 9 -9.0 -100% $5 $8.69 $869.29 $786.05
31st Dec PFL 11: Finals 37 -17.8 -48% $5 $7.86 $786.05 $641.14
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 13.5 -9.3 -69% $5 $6.41 $641.14 $576.30
13th Apr UFC 236 33 -12.8 -39% $5 $5.76 $576.30 $497.34


ROI % from starting bank balance: -50.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '19 Paid Pick Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender 1.83 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Paid Pick Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.67 2.5 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Paid Pick Sean O'Connell Vinny Magalhaes 5.20 1.5 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Paid Pick Magomed Magomedkerimov Ray Cooper III 2.85 4 Sub, R2 (2:18) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Paid Pick Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.61 4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Paid Pick Javy Ayala Frank Mir 2.10 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:30) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Paid Pick Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.05 2.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Paid Pick Jack Shore Mike Ekundayo 1.53 5 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Paid Pick Dean Trueman Aiden Lee 2.90 3 TKO, R3 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Paid Pick Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 2.65 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Bryan Caraway 1.47 6 TKO, R1 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Paid Pick Juan Espino Justin Frazier 1.77 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Paid Pick Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.42 2 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Paid Pick Deron Winn Tom Lawlor 1.91 3 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Paid Pick Yan Xiaonan Syuri Kondo 1.35 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Paid Pick Francis Ngannou Curtis Blaydes 3.10 1 TKO, R1 (0:45) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Paid Pick Weili Zhang Jessica Aguilar 1.57 4 Sub, R1 (3:41) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Paid Pick Alex Morono Kenan Song 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '19 Paid Pick Zelim Imadaev Max Griffin 2.20 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Paid Pick Eryk Anders Khalil Rountree 1.67 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Paid Pick Abusupiyan Magomedov Louis Taylor 1.47 6 TKO, R1 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Paid Pick Rashid Magomedov Natan Schulte 1.51 11 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Paid Pick Brandon Halsey Jiri Prochazka 4.50 1 TKO, R1 (6:30) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Paid Pick Darrion Caldwell Kyoji Horiguchi 1.67 5 Sub, R3 (1:19) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Paid Pick Darrion Caldwell Kyoji Horiguchi 2.20 3 Sub, R3 (1:19) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Paid Pick Chad Mendes Alex Volkanovski 1.74 3 TKO, R2 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Paid Pick Ilir Latifi Corey Anderson 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Paid Pick Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.65 2 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Paid Pick Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Paid Pick Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.87 3.9 TKO, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Paid Pick Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.87 3 TKO, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Paid Pick Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.87 4 TKO, R1 (1:1) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Paid Pick Ed Ruth Neiman Gracie 1.57 4 Sub, R4 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Paid Pick Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 3.90 0.75 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Paid Pick Devin Clark Aleksandar Rakic 5.25 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:5) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Paid Pick Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (4:19) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Paid Pick Vincent Morales Yadong Song 4.65 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Paid Pick David Zawada Li Jingliang 2.55 1 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Fight Picks 2018 User: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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