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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1982
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 798

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: J R

J R (Always_Lucky)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - J R

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 17 (33%) Right 14 (44%) Right 0 (0%) Right 3 (21%)
Wrong 34 (67%) Wrong 18 (56%) Wrong 5 (100%) Wrong 11 (79%)
Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 4.36 Avg Odds 3.31
Units Bet 95.5 Units Bet 71.0 Units Bet 6.5 Units Bet 18.0
Avg Bet 1.87 Avg Bet 2.22 Avg Bet 1.30 Avg Bet 1.29
Units Profit -18.49 Units Profit -13.50 Units Profit -6.50 Units Profit 1.51
ROI % -19% ROI % -19% ROI % -100% ROI % 8%
View Handicapper's Profile

J R: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 11 -5.0 -45% -1.0 / 7 (-14%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 1.5 2.6 170% 2.6 / 1.5 (170%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 15 -6.5 -43% -5.5 / 14 (-39%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 26 -13.5 -52% -11.0 / 21.5 (-51%) -2.6 / 4.5 (-57%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 17 24.8 146% 10.2 / 14 (73%) 14.6 / 3 (487%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 16 -11.9 -74% -6.9 / 11 (-63%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 8 -8.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 2 (25%)
Losing Events: 6 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.94 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.00 units
Best Event: 24.84 units
Worst Event: -13.55 units
Average Event: -2.31 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 24.84
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -20.01

J R: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 87.5 -10.5 -12% -12.5 / 70 (-18%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 3.5 / 16 (22%) 2 / 5 (29%) -1.50
2018 8 -8.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -8.00

J R: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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J R: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 95.5 -18.5 -19% -13.5 / 71 (-19%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) 1.5 / 18 (8%)

J R: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (19%) 5 83 % 22.00 6.71 1.12 31%
Slight Favorites 6 (19%) 2 33 % 10.00 -4.72 -0.79 -47%
Slight Underdogs 14 (44%) 6 43 % 30.00 -10.49 -0.75 -35%
Big Underdogs 6 (19%) 1 17 % 9.00 -5.00 -0.83 -56%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (16%) 2 40 % 9.50 -0.93 -0.19 -10%
Co-Main Event 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Position 3-5 7 (22%) 4 57 % 19.00 -4.66 -0.67 -25%
6+ (Undercard) 19 (59%) 8 42 % 41.50 -6.91 -0.36 -17%

J R: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Middleweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 4.00 -1.97 -0.98 -49%
Welterweight 2 (6%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%
Lightweight 6 (19%) 3 50 % 11.00 0.92 0.15 8%
Featherweight 6 (19%) 2 33 % 8.00 -3.58 -0.60 -45%
Bantamweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 10.00 -5.90 -1.97 -59%
Flyweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 4.00 0.32 0.16 8%
               
Women's Fights 10 (31%) 5 50 % 29.00 1.71 0.17 6%
Bantamweight 3 (9%) 3 100 % 13.00 10.82 3.61 83%
Bantamweight 6 (19%) 1 17 % 14.50 -11.66 -1.94 -80%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.50 2.55 2.55 170%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 14 (40%) 12 86 %
Slight Favorites 12 (34%) 5 42 %
Slight Underdogs 9 (26%) 2 22 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35 19 54 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (17%) 1 100 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 2 (33%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (50%) 0 0 %
6 1 17 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 1 (17%) 1 100 % 1.38 1.38Pick was correct 1.38Pick was correct 0.4 (38%)
X Wins by KO 1 (17%) 0 0 % 9.00 9.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (33%) 0 0 % 9.90 11.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 2 (33%) 0 0 % 2.40 2.40Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
6 1 17 % 3.21     -4.6 (-77%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail J R's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Dec UFC 231 8 -8.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $920.00
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 16 -11.9 -74% $9.20 $920.00 $810.52
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 17 24.8 146% $8.11 $810.52 $1,011.83
27th Jul UFC 240 26 -13.5 -52% $10.12 $1,011.83 $874.77
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 15 -6.5 -43% $8.75 $874.77 $818.26
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 1.5 2.6 170% $8.18 $818.26 $839.13
7th Sep UFC 242 1 -1.0 -100% $8.39 $839.13 $830.73
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 11 -5.0 -45% $8.31 $830.73 $789.47


ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

J R: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '19 Lina Lansberg Macy Chiasson 4.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Makhmud Muradov Alessio Di Chirico 1.02 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Nasrat Haqparast Joaquim Silva 1.41 2 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Nasrat Haqparast Joaquim Silva 1.43 4 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Arman Tsarukyan Olivier Aubin-Mercier 1.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Alexandre Pantoja 2.16 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Viviane Araujo Alexis Davis 1.42 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Weili Zhang Jessica Andrade 2.70 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Josh Emmett Mirsad Bektic 2.42 1 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Ryan Hall Darren Elkins 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Julianna Pena Nicco Montano 1.53 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.26 2 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Vincent Morales Aiemann Zahabi 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Cole Smith Mitch Gagnon 1.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '19 Alen Amedovski John Phillips 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (0:14) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Brandon Davis Giga Chikadze 1.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Mara Romero Borella Lauren Murphy 1.53 2 TKO, R3 (1:46) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Jordan Espinosa Matt Schnell 1.77 2 Sub, R1 (1:23) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Robbie Lawler Colby Covington 2.88 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Clay Guida Jim Miller 2.40 1 Sub, R1 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 2.20 6 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 2.20 2 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 2.20 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Niko Price Geoff Neal 3.75 1 TKO, R2 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Yoshinori Horie Hakeem Dawodu 4.20 1 TKO, R3 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '19 Dustin Poirier Khabib Nurmagomedov 4.00 1 Sub, R3 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Seung Woo Choi Gavin Tucker 2.02 1 Sub, R3 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Frankie Edgar Max Holloway 4.21 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Sergey Spivak Walt Harris 2.40 1 TKO, R1 (0:50) Yes MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.50 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Gilbert Burns 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

J R: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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