MMA Handicapper Stats: Darkhorse Detector |
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Darkhorse Detector: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
30th Nov '18 |
TUF Finale |
38 |
-1.6 |
-4% |
3.4 / 33 (10%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
24th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
31 |
-0.7 |
-2% |
2.3 / 28 (8%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
17th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
31 |
-14.1 |
-45% |
-6.1 / 23 (-27%) |
|
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
10th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
25 |
8.5 |
34% |
0.9 / 21 (4%) |
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7.6 / 4 (189%) |
3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
16 |
-8.3 |
-52% |
-5.3 / 13 (-41%) |
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-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 1 (20%) Losing Events: 4 (80%)
Average Staked Per Event: 28.20 units Most Staked On One Event: 38.00 units Best Event: 8.45 units Worst Event: -14.10 units Average Event: -3.23 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 8.45 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.32 |
Darkhorse Detector: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
141 |
-16.2 |
-11% |
-4.7 / 118 (-4%) |
|
-11.4 / 23 (-50%) |
1 / 4 (20%) |
-3.23 |
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Darkhorse Detector: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Darkhorse Detector: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
141 |
-16.2 |
-11% |
-4.7 / 118 (-4%) |
|
-11.4 / 23 (-50%) |
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Darkhorse Detector: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
36 (62%) |
28 |
78 % |
84.00 |
-0.15 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Slight Favorites |
17 (29%) |
10 |
59 % |
28.00 |
-5.04 |
-0.30 |
-18% |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.00 |
-2.86 |
-0.72 |
-57% |
Big Underdogs |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
335% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
4 (7%) |
3 |
75 % |
8.00 |
-0.47 |
-0.12 |
-6% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
7.00 |
-1.74 |
-0.35 |
-25% |
Position 3-5 |
14 (24%) |
8 |
57 % |
33.00 |
-5.60 |
-0.40 |
-17% |
6+ (Undercard) |
35 (60%) |
26 |
74 % |
70.00 |
3.11 |
0.09 |
4% |
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Darkhorse Detector: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (9%) |
4 |
80 % |
7.00 |
0.08 |
0.02 |
1% |
Light Heavy |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.00 |
-1.04 |
-0.52 |
-35% |
Middleweight |
6 (10%) |
3 |
50 % |
12.00 |
-5.19 |
-0.87 |
-43% |
Welterweight |
9 (16%) |
5 |
56 % |
20.00 |
-5.28 |
-0.59 |
-26% |
Lightweight |
6 (10%) |
4 |
67 % |
11.00 |
-0.09 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
11 (19%) |
7 |
64 % |
20.00 |
0.55 |
0.05 |
3% |
Bantamweight |
3 (5%) |
3 |
100 % |
9.00 |
2.98 |
0.99 |
33% |
Flyweight |
5 (9%) |
4 |
80 % |
11.00 |
-1.91 |
-0.38 |
-17% |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
11 (19%) |
9 |
82 % |
25.00 |
5.20 |
0.47 |
21% |
Featherweight |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.27 |
0.63 |
63% |
Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.44 |
1.44 |
48% |
Flyweight |
3 (5%) |
3 |
100 % |
5.00 |
4.36 |
1.45 |
87% |
Strawweight |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
15.00 |
-1.87 |
-0.37 |
-12% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
22 (69%) |
15 |
68 % |
Slight Favorites |
8 (25%) |
3 |
38 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
|
32 |
20 |
63 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Darkhorse Detector's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Darkhorse Detector: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '18 |
Leah Letson |
Julija Stoliarenko |
1.37 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Nov '18 |
Antonina Shevchenko |
Ji Yeon Kim |
1.30 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
Nov '18 |
Macy Chiasson |
Pannie Kianzad |
1.90 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:11) |
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4. |
Nov '18 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Darren Stewart |
1.90 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Nov '18 |
Tim Means |
Ricky Rainey |
1.24 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:18) |
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6. |
Nov '18 |
Maurice Greene |
Michel Batista |
1.48 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:14) |
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7. |
Nov '18 |
Roosevelt Roberts |
Darrell Horcher |
1.29 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:50) |
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8. |
Nov '18 |
Raoni Barcelos |
Chris Gutierrez |
1.18 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
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9. |
Nov '18 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Bryan Caraway |
1.33 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:39) |
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10. |
Nov '18 |
Juan Espino |
Justin Frazier |
1.64 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:36) |
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11. |
Nov '18 |
Kamaru Usman |
Rafael dos Anjos |
1.40 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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12. |
Nov '18 |
Pingyuan Liu |
Martin Day |
1.43 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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13. |
Nov '18 |
Rashad Coulter |
Hu Yaozong |
1.96 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Nov '18 |
Louis Smolka |
Su Mudaerji |
1.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:7) |
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15. |
Nov '18 |
Weili Zhang |
Jessica Aguilar |
1.19 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:41) |
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16. |
Nov '18 |
Yanan Wu |
Lauren Mueller |
4.35 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:0) |
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17. |
Nov '18 |
Kevin Holland |
John Phillips |
1.16 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (4:5) |
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18. |
Nov '18 |
Yadong Song |
Vincent Morales |
1.19 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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19. |
Nov '18 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Syuri Kondo |
1.19 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Nov '18 |
Alistair Overeem |
Sergey Pavlovich |
2.14 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:21) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Darkhorse Detector: Progress Chart |
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