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MMA Handicapper Stats: man604

man604 (man604)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - man604

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 20 (38%) Right 18 (38%) Right 0 (0%) Right 2 (40%)
Wrong 33 (62%) Wrong 30 (63%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 3 (60%)
Avg Odds 2.57 Avg Odds 2.38 Avg Odds 0.00 Avg Odds 10.92
Units Bet 88.0 Units Bet 83.5 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 4.5
Avg Bet 1.66 Avg Bet 1.74 Avg Bet 0.00 Avg Bet 0.90
Units Profit 9.55 Units Profit -2.55 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 12.10
ROI % 11% ROI % -3% ROI % 0% ROI % 269%
View Handicapper's Profile

man604 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 5 -2.9 -57% -2.9 / 5 (-57%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 4 -1.9 -49% -1.9 / 4 (-49%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 20 8.9 44% 8.9 / 20 (44%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 4 0.6 14% 0.6 / 4 (14%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 15 2.4 16% 2.4 / 15 (16%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 11 -8.9 -81% -8.9 / 11 (-81%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 6 -6.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 5 1.7 34% 1.7 / 5 (34%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 4 -1.5 -36% -0.5 / 3 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 4 12.6 315% 3.6 / 3 (120%) 9.0 / 1 (900%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 2 7.2 358% 1.0 / 1.5 (70%) 6.1 / 0.5 (1,220%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 2 0.4 20% 0.4 / 2 (20%)


Winning Events: 8 (53%)
Losing Events: 7 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.87 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 12.60 units
Worst Event: -8.95 units
Average Event: 0.64 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 20.16
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.95

man604 : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 39 1.6 4% 2.6 / 38 (7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3 / 4 (43%) 0.24
2018 49 7.9 16% -5.2 / 45.5 (-11%) 13.1 / 3.5 (374%) 5 / 3 (63%) 0.99

man604 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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man604 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 88 9.5 11% -2.6 / 83.5 (-3%) 12.1 / 4.5 (269%)

man604 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (8%) 1 25 % 22.00 -7.63 -1.91 -35%
Slight Favorites 5 (10%) 3 60 % 7.00 1.47 0.29 21%
Slight Underdogs 27 (56%) 11 41 % 39.00 -2.95 -0.11 -8%
Big Underdogs 12 (25%) 3 25 % 15.50 6.56 0.55 42%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (25%) 5 42 % 24.50 -1.25 -0.10 -5%
Co-Main Event 9 (19%) 4 44 % 13.00 -1.06 -0.12 -8%
Position 3-5 16 (33%) 5 31 % 33.00 1.09 0.07 3%
6+ (Undercard) 11 (23%) 4 36 % 13.00 -1.33 -0.12 -10%

man604 : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (10%) 0 % 4.50 -4.50 -0.90 -100%
Light Heavy 7 (15%) 5 71 % 20.00 16.37 2.34 82%
Middleweight 3 (6%) 1 33 % 3.00 -0.45 -0.15 -15%
Welterweight 11 (23%) 4 36 % 25.00 0.24 0.02 1%
Lightweight 9 (19%) 5 56 % 18.00 -7.66 -0.85 -43%
Featherweight 5 (10%) 1 20 % 5.00 -2.85 -0.57 -57%
Bantamweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 4.00 -1.85 -0.46 -46%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.16 0.08 8%
               
Women's Fights 2 (4%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 4 (25%) 3 75 %
Slight Favorites 4 (25%) 2 50 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (25%) 3 75 %
Big Underdogs 4 (25%) 1 25 %
16 9 56 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 0 % 0.00     0.0 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail man604 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 2 0.4 20% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,004.00
3rd Nov UFC 230 2 7.2 358% $10.04 $1,004.00 $1,075.80
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 4 12.6 315% $10.76 $1,075.80 $1,211.39
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 4 -1.5 -36% $12.11 $1,211.39 $1,193.83
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 5 1.7 34% $11.94 $1,193.83 $1,214.24
8th Dec UFC 231 6 -6.0 -100% $12.14 $1,214.24 $1,141.39
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 11 -8.9 -81% $11.41 $1,141.39 $1,039.24
29th Dec UFC 232 15 2.4 16% $10.39 $1,039.24 $1,064.55
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 4 0.6 14% $10.65 $1,064.55 $1,070.61
2nd Mar UFC 235 1 -1.0 -100% $10.71 $1,070.61 $1,059.90
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 20 8.9 44% $10.60 $1,059.90 $1,153.88
13th Apr UFC 236 3 -3.0 -100% $11.54 $1,153.88 $1,119.27
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 4 -1.9 -49% $11.19 $1,119.27 $1,097.44
8th Jun UFC 238 5 -2.9 -57% $10.97 $1,097.44 $1,066.16
6th Jul UFC 239 2 1.0 50% $10.66 $1,066.16 $1,076.93


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

man604 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren 3.01 1 TKO, R1 (0:5) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Henry Cejudo Marlon Moraes 2.15 1 TKO, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.05 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Dominick Reyes Volkan Oezdemir 1.44 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Jorge Masvidal Darren Till 2.90 5 TKO, R2 (3:5) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '19 Dennis Bermudez Te Edwards 1.87 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.70 1 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Curtis Millender Siyar Bahadurzada 1.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Corey Anderson Ilir Latifi 2.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.05 1 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Mauricio Rua Tyson Pedro 4.55 1 TKO, R3 (0:43) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.16 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Johnny Walker Khalil Rountree 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Beneil Dariush Thiago Moises 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Donald Cerrone Mike Perry 2.79 1 Sub, R1 (4:46) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.15 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.55 1 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Anthony Smith Volkan Oezdemir 2.40 1 Sub, R3 (4:26) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Holly Holm Amanda Nunes 4.05 1 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Ricardo Lamas Calvin Kattar 2.15 1 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Jimmie Rivera Petr Yan 3.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson 2.32 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Sergey Spivak Walt Harris 2.44 1 TKO, R1 (0:50) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Curtis Millender Belal Muhammad 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Kelvin Gastelum Israel Adesanya 2.56 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Max Holloway Dustin Poirier 1.51 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.24 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '19 Yancy Medeiros Gregor Gillespie 5.05 1 TKO, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.49 1 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 B.J. Penn Ryan Hall 4.55 1 Sub, R1 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Andrei Arlovski Walt Harris 2.36 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.43 5 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Kevin Lee Al Iaquinta 1.33 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Eryk Anders Elias Theodorou 1.94 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.20 1 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

man604 : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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