|
MMA Handicapper Stats: man604 |
|
man604 : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 18 (55%) Losing Events: 15 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.06 units Most Staked On One Event: 55.00 units Best Event: 65.70 units Worst Event: -20.00 units Average Event: 2.27 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 69.61 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -50.00 |
man604 : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
55 |
5.4 |
10% |
5.4 / 55 (10%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
2.70 |
2020 |
274 |
56.0 |
20% |
11.5 / 264 (4%) |
|
44.4 / 10 (444%) |
6 / 6 (50%) |
4.66 |
2019 |
53 |
5.5 |
10% |
5.2 / 50 (10%) |
2.3 / 1 (230%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
6 / 5 (55%) |
0.50 |
2018 |
49 |
7.9 |
16% |
-5.2 / 45.5 (-11%) |
|
13.1 / 3.5 (374%) |
5 / 3 (63%) |
0.99 |
|
man604 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
man604 : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
431 |
74.8 |
17% |
16.9 / 414.5 (4%) |
2.3 / 1 (230%) |
55.5 / 15.5 (358%) |
|
man604 : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
10 (10%) |
6 |
60 % |
77.00 |
-0.68 |
-0.07 |
-1% |
Slight Favorites |
24 (24%) |
16 |
67 % |
142.00 |
29.88 |
1.24 |
21% |
Slight Underdogs |
48 (48%) |
20 |
42 % |
158.00 |
3.18 |
0.07 |
2% |
Big Underdogs |
17 (17%) |
3 |
18 % |
37.50 |
-15.44 |
-0.91 |
-41% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
26 (26%) |
11 |
42 % |
113.50 |
-10.55 |
-0.41 |
-9% |
Co-Main Event |
20 (20%) |
9 |
45 % |
87.00 |
3.10 |
0.16 |
4% |
Position 3-5 |
32 (32%) |
17 |
53 % |
142.00 |
23.81 |
0.74 |
17% |
6+ (Undercard) |
21 (21%) |
8 |
38 % |
72.00 |
0.58 |
0.03 |
1% |
|
man604 : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (7%) |
1 |
14 % |
10.50 |
-8.34 |
-1.19 |
-79% |
Light Heavy |
11 (11%) |
7 |
64 % |
42.00 |
13.64 |
1.24 |
32% |
Middleweight |
9 (9%) |
6 |
67 % |
54.00 |
10.36 |
1.15 |
19% |
Welterweight |
19 (19%) |
8 |
42 % |
68.00 |
21.70 |
1.14 |
32% |
Lightweight |
15 (15%) |
7 |
47 % |
59.00 |
-15.68 |
-1.05 |
-27% |
Featherweight |
15 (15%) |
6 |
40 % |
73.00 |
-8.58 |
-0.57 |
-12% |
Bantamweight |
9 (9%) |
1 |
11 % |
40.00 |
-37.85 |
-4.21 |
-95% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
0.16 |
0.08 |
8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
12 (12%) |
8 |
67 % |
66.00 |
41.53 |
3.46 |
63% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
3 |
100 % |
30.00 |
26.05 |
8.68 |
87% |
Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
12.00 |
6.50 |
2.17 |
54% |
Strawweight |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
23.00 |
9.98 |
2.00 |
43% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
6 (26%) |
5 |
83 % |
Slight Favorites |
6 (26%) |
4 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (26%) |
5 |
83 % |
Big Underdogs |
5 (22%) |
1 |
20 % |
|
23 |
15 |
65 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
1 (100%) |
1 |
100 % |
|
1 |
1 |
100 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (100%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.30 |
3.30 |
3.30 |
2.3 (230%) |
|
1 |
1 |
100 % |
3.30 |
|
|
2.3 (230%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail man604 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
2 |
0.4 |
20% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,004.00 |
3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
2 |
7.2 |
358% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,004.00 |
$1,075.80 |
10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
4 |
12.6 |
315% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,075.80 |
$1,211.39 |
17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
4 |
-1.5 |
-36% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,211.39 |
$1,193.83 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
5 |
1.7 |
34% |
|
$11.94 |
$1,193.83 |
$1,214.24 |
8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,214.24 |
$1,141.39 |
15th Dec |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
11 |
-8.9 |
-81% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,141.39 |
$1,039.24 |
29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
15 |
2.4 |
16% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,039.24 |
$1,064.55 |
19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
4 |
0.6 |
14% |
|
$10.65 |
$1,064.55 |
$1,070.61 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,070.61 |
$1,059.90 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
20 |
8.9 |
44% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.90 |
$1,153.88 |
13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.54 |
$1,153.88 |
$1,119.27 |
4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
4 |
-1.9 |
-49% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,119.27 |
$1,097.44 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
5 |
-2.9 |
-57% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,097.44 |
$1,066.16 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
2 |
1.0 |
50% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.16 |
$1,076.93 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
2 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.93 |
$1,076.32 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
5 |
3.1 |
62% |
|
$10.76 |
$1,076.32 |
$1,109.69 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
3 |
0.3 |
9% |
|
$11.10 |
$1,109.69 |
$1,112.80 |
2nd Nov |
UFC 244 |
4 |
0.5 |
13% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,112.80 |
$1,118.70 |
8th Mar |
UFC 248 |
50 |
65.7 |
131% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,118.70 |
$1,853.70 |
10th May |
UFC 249 |
4 |
-2.4 |
-59% |
|
$18.54 |
$1,853.70 |
$1,809.97 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.10 |
$1,809.97 |
$1,628.97 |
16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
20 |
-12.4 |
-62% |
|
$16.29 |
$1,628.97 |
$1,426.61 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
55 |
4.3 |
8% |
|
$14.27 |
$1,426.61 |
$1,487.53 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
30 |
28.2 |
94% |
|
$14.88 |
$1,487.53 |
$1,906.72 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
20 |
4.3 |
22% |
|
$19.07 |
$1,906.72 |
$1,988.71 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
30 |
13.0 |
43% |
|
$19.89 |
$1,988.71 |
$2,247.30 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
15 |
5.3 |
35% |
|
$22.47 |
$2,247.30 |
$2,366.41 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
20 |
-20.0 |
-100% |
|
$23.66 |
$2,366.41 |
$1,893.13 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.93 |
$1,893.13 |
$1,703.81 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.04 |
$1,703.81 |
$1,533.43 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.33 |
$1,533.43 |
$1,380.09 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
45 |
15.4 |
34% |
|
$13.80 |
$1,380.09 |
$1,592.53 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 59.25% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
man604 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jul '21 |
Ryan Hall |
Ilia Topuria |
2.86 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Jul '21 |
Niko Price |
Michel Pereira |
2.51 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Jan '21 |
Calvin Kattar |
Max Holloway |
2.59 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Dec '20 |
Marlon Vera |
Jose Aldo |
2.41 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Dec '20 |
Tony Ferguson |
Charles Oliveira |
1.65 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Dec '20 |
Ovince St Preux |
Jamahal Hill |
2.40 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (3:37) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Dec '20 |
Jack Hermansson |
Marvin Vettori |
2.13 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Oct '20 |
Justin Gaethje |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
3.45 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:34) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '20 |
Thomas Almeida |
Jonathan Martinez |
1.79 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '20 |
Marlon Moraes |
Cory Sandhagen |
2.45 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (1:3) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Sep '20 |
Mirsad Bektic |
Damon Jackson |
1.28 |
10 |
Sub, R3 (1:21) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Sep '20 |
Tyron Woodley |
Colby Covington |
3.75 |
5 |
TKO, R5 (1:19) |
No |
|
|
13. |
May '20 |
Edson Barboza |
Dan Ige |
1.75 |
10 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
May '20 |
Walt Harris |
Alistair Overeem |
1.63 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
15. |
May '20 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Drew Dober |
1.98 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:25) |
No |
|
|
16. |
May '20 |
Ray Borg |
Ricky Simon |
2.41 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
May '20 |
Michelle Waterson |
Carla Esparza |
2.26 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
May '20 |
Donald Cerrone |
Anthony Pettis |
2.24 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
May '20 |
Dominick Cruz |
Henry Cejudo |
2.88 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:58) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Nov '19 |
Johnny Walker |
Corey Anderson |
1.67 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:7) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
man604 : Progress Chart |
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