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MMA Handicapper Stats: Brad_mma

Brad_mma (Mma_brad)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Brad_mma

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 22 (52%) Right 14 (56%) Right 7 (58%) Right 1 (20%)
Wrong 20 (48%) Wrong 11 (44%) Wrong 5 (42%) Wrong 4 (80%)
Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 1.66 Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 2.14
Units Bet 73.0 Units Bet 49.5 Units Bet 16.8 Units Bet 6.8
Avg Bet 1.74 Avg Bet 1.98 Avg Bet 1.40 Avg Bet 1.35
Units Profit -0.70 Units Profit 1.57 Units Profit 2.58 Units Profit -4.85
ROI % -1% ROI % 3% ROI % 15% ROI % -72%
View Handicapper's Profile

Brad_mma : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5 -0.9 -18% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.1 / 3 (36%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 11.25 -3.5 -31% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.8 / 5 (55%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2.75 -2.8 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 2 1.1 57% 1.1 / 2 (57%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 5.5 2.9 52% 1.9 / 5 (38%) 1.0 / 0.5 (200%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 5 4.9 97% 4.9 / 5 (97%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 -2.1 -31% -2.1 / 7 (-31%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 2 1.8 90% 1.8 / 2 (90%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 3.5 3.2 91% 2.7 / 3 (90%) 0.5 / 0.5 (95%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 4 0.7 18% 0.7 / 4 (18%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 4.5 3.1 69% 2.7 / 3 (90%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 4 -2.8 -70% 0.7 / 0.5 (140%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 8 2.2 28% 2.2 / 8 (28%)


Winning Events: 8 (50%)
Losing Events: 8 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.25 units
Best Event: 4.86 units
Worst Event: -4.00 units
Average Event: -0.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.88
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -7.15

Brad_mma : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 38.5 -0.4 -1% -2.3 / 27 (-8%) 4.1 / 9.25 (44%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 3 / 4 (43%) -0.06
2018 34.5 -0.3 -1% 3.8 / 22.5 (17%) -1.5 / 7.5 (-20%) -2.6 / 4.5 (-58%) 5 / 4 (56%) -0.03

Brad_mma : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Brad_mma : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 71 -1.8 -3% 0.4 / 47.5 (1%) 2.6 / 16.75 (15%) -4.8 / 6.75 (-72%)
Bellator 2 1.1 57% 1.1 / 2 (57%)

Brad_mma : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (24%) 3 50 % 14.00 -2.92 -0.49 -21%
Slight Favorites 13 (52%) 8 62 % 25.50 2.39 0.18 9%
Slight Underdogs 6 (24%) 3 50 % 10.00 2.10 0.35 21%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (20%) 4 80 % 11.50 2.96 0.59 26%
Co-Main Event 2 (8%) 1 50 % 5.00 1.60 0.80 32%
Position 3-5 7 (28%) 4 57 % 15.00 0.51 0.07 3%
6+ (Undercard) 11 (44%) 5 45 % 18.00 -3.50 -0.32 -19%

Brad_mma : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (12%) 1 33 % 5.00 -1.86 -0.62 -37%
Light Heavy 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.50 1.50 150%
Welterweight 6 (24%) 2 33 % 9.50 -2.89 -0.48 -30%
Lightweight 2 (8%) 2 100 % 4.00 1.82 0.91 45%
Featherweight 5 (20%) 4 80 % 11.50 7.88 1.58 69%
Bantamweight 3 (12%) 1 33 % 6.00 -2.74 -0.91 -46%
Flyweight 3 (12%) 1 33 % 7.50 -4.80 -1.60 -64%
               
Women's Fights 2 (8%) 2 100 % 5.00 2.66 1.33 53%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.86 1.86 62%
Strawweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 2.00 0.80 0.80 40%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 5 (100%) 2 40 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
5 2 40 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 11 (55%) 7 64 %
50-65% 4 (20%) 3 75 %
35-50% 2 (10%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 3 (15%) 1 33 %
20 12 60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (15%) 1 33 % 1.64 1.90Pick was correct 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.1 (-37%)
Goes to Decision 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.40 1.40Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct 0.4 (40%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (15%) 2 67 % 1.20 1.36Pick was correct 1.11Pick was incorrect -0.5 (-16%)
Fight Starts Round X 5 (25%) 5 100 % 1.44 1.57Pick was correct 1.33Pick was incorrect 2.2 (45%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (10%) 2 100 % 2.36 3.00Pick was correct 1.95Pick was correct 3.0 (148%)
Others 6 (30%) 1 17 % 2.43 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -3.6 (-60%)
20 12 60 % 1.69     0.4 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Brad_mma 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 8 2.2 28% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,022.20
3rd Nov UFC 230 4 -2.8 -70% $10.22 $1,022.20 $993.58
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 4.5 3.1 69% $9.94 $993.58 $1,024.42
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.24 $1,024.42 $998.81
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 4 0.7 18% $9.99 $998.81 $1,005.90
30th Nov TUF Finale 2 -2.0 -100% $10.06 $1,005.90 $985.78
8th Dec UFC 231 3.5 3.2 91% $9.86 $985.78 $1,017.08
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 2 1.8 90% $10.17 $1,017.08 $1,035.39
29th Dec UFC 232 4 -4.0 -100% $10.35 $1,035.39 $993.97
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 7 -2.1 -31% $9.94 $993.97 $972.70
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 5 4.9 97% $9.73 $972.70 $1,019.97
9th Feb UFC 234 5.5 2.9 52% $10.20 $1,019.97 $1,049.35
16th Feb Bellator 216 2 1.1 57% $10.49 $1,049.35 $1,061.31
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2.75 -2.8 -100% $10.61 $1,061.31 $1,032.13
2nd Mar UFC 235 11.25 -3.5 -31% $10.32 $1,032.13 $996.21
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5 -0.9 -18% $9.96 $996.21 $987.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: -1.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Brad_mma : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Mirko Filipovic Roy Nelson 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Montana De La Rosa Nadia Kassem 1.40 2 Sub, R2 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Shane Young Austin Arnett 1.36 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Jose Aldo Renato Moicano 2.20 3 TKO, R2 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao 1.63 2 Sub, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.62 3 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.90 3 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Li Jingliang David Zawada 1.57 3 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.00 1.5 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Eric Shelton Joseph Morales 1.80 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Stevie Ray Jessin Ayari 1.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 1.90 1 TKO, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Anthony Smith Volkan Oezdemir 2.50 1 Sub, R3 (4:26) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Nasrat Haqparast Thibault Gouti 1.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.61 2 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.67 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.53 4 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Kenan Song Alex Morono 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 2.80 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Marcelo Golm Arjan Bhullar 1.02 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Chris Fishgold Calvin Kattar 1.03 1 TKO, R1 (4:11) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Brad_mma : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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