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MMA Handicapper Stats: Hermes MMA

Hermes MMA (Hermes)


MMA MHandicapper - Hermes MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 208 (45%) Right 61 (48%) Right 82 (44%) Right 65 (43%)
Wrong 257 (55%) Wrong 66 (52%) Wrong 104 (56%) Wrong 87 (57%)
Avg Odds 2.21 Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 2.29 Avg Odds 2.26
Units Bet 1,235.0 Units Bet 366.0 Units Bet 452.9 Units Bet 416.1
Avg Bet 2.66 Avg Bet 2.88 Avg Bet 2.43 Avg Bet 2.74
Units Profit -13.03 Units Profit -10.20 Units Profit 3.98 Units Profit -6.80
ROI % -1% ROI % -3% ROI % 1% ROI % -2%
View Handicapper's Profile

Hermes MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 51.75 -1.3 -2% -0.5 / 15.5 (-3%) -1.6 / 26.25 (-6%) 0.9 / 10 (9%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 42.5 -1.7 -4% -1.7 / 20 (-9%) 2.6 / 20 (13%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 4.5 1.2 26% 1.5 / 0.5 (300%) -0.3 / 4 (-8%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 26 1.3 5% -3.0 / 16 (-19%) 5.3 / 9 (59%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 25.5 3.5 14% 8.9 / 12.5 (71%) -1.2 / 5 (-24%) -4.2 / 8 (-53%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 35.5 12.5 35% 8.0 / 11 (73%) -5.4 / 9 (-60%) 10.0 / 15.5 (64%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 43.5 2.1 5% -3.8 / 14.5 (-26%) -2.9 / 23 (-12%) 8.8 / 6 (146%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 55.5 -6.0 -11% 5.8 / 18 (32%) 2.7 / 23 (12%) -14.5 / 14.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 47.55 -24.2 -51% -7.6 / 14.5 (-52%) -13.2 / 20 (-66%) -3.3 / 13.05 (-25%)
23rd Mar '19 KSW 47 6 3.0 50% 6.0 / 3 (200%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 46.75 -21.0 -45% 2.1 / 14.5 (15%) -9.8 / 12.75 (-77%) -13.3 / 19.5 (-68%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 48.75 -7.5 -15% -4.3 / 10.5 (-41%) -0.7 / 10.5 (-7%) -2.5 / 27.75 (-9%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 81.25 -7.4 -9% -10.0 / 16 (-62%) 9.3 / 21 (44%) -6.7 / 44.25 (-15%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 64.5 23.0 36% 6.4 / 16 (40%) -1.0 / 30 (-3%) 17.6 / 18.5 (95%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 49.5 8.8 18% -9.1 / 21 (-43%) 1.1 / 4.5 (25%) 16.8 / 24 (70%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 16 4.8 30% 6.6 / 6 (110%) -1.8 / 10 (-18%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 87 40.1 46% 3.7 / 5 (74%) 20.7 / 59 (35%) 15.8 / 23 (69%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 76 -7.1 -9% 8.5 / 31 (27%) -3.5 / 26.5 (-13%) -12.1 / 18.5 (-65%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 49.35 -12.9 -26% -14.0 / 14 (-100%) 12.6 / 17.35 (73%) -11.4 / 18 (-64%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 213 9.83 -3.7 -37% 2.2 / 4 (54%) -5.8 / 5.83 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 31.68 -17.5 -55% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -4.6 / 7 (-66%) -3.9 / 15.68 (-25%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 36 6.3 18% 7.9 / 9 (87%) -4.2 / 17 (-25%) 2.6 / 10 (26%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 37.81 -9.8 -26% -1.1 / 8 (-14%) -8.6 / 13.25 (-65%) -0.1 / 16.56 (-1%)
1st Dec '18 KSW 46 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 45 8.4 19% 3.0 / 12.5 (24%) -5.0 / 10.5 (-48%) 10.4 / 22 (47%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 42 10.0 24% -4.9 / 15.5 (-32%) 10.6 / 9.5 (112%) 4.3 / 17 (25%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 47.25 11.0 23% -0.2 / 23.5 (-1%) 9.8 / 16.25 (60%) 1.4 / 7.5 (19%)
15th Nov '18 Bellator 209 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 53 -10.3 -20% -7.1 / 15.5 (-46%) -0.8 / 25 (-3%) -2.4 / 12.5 (-19%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 44 -13.6 -31% 5.3 / 7 (76%) -10.2 / 25 (-41%) -8.7 / 12 (-73%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 24 1.9 8% 1.5 / 6 (25%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 6.4 / 12 (53%)


Winning Events: 15 (47%)
Losing Events: 17 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 38.59 units
Most Staked On One Event: 87.00 units
Best Event: 40.13 units
Worst Event: -24.17 units
Average Event: -0.41 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 76.77
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -43.22

Hermes MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 808.05 24.2 3% 9.4 / 239 (4%) 10.3 / 306 (3%) 4.5 / 263.05 (2%) 10 / 8 (56%) 1.34
2018 426.92 -37.2 -9% -19.6 / 127 (-15%) -6.3 / 146.85 (-4%) -11.3 / 153.07 (-7%) 5 / 9 (36%) -2.66

Hermes MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Hermes MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1191.64 -11.3 -1% -15.4 / 356 (-4%) -4.1 / 446.35 (-1%) 8.2 / 389.29 (2%)
Bellator 34.33 -1.7 -5% 2.2 / 4 (54%) 8.1 / 6.5 (125%) -12.0 / 23.83 (-50%)
Other 9 0.0 0% 3.0 / 6 (50%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Hermes MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Slight Favorites 54 (43%) 25 46 % 180.00 -32.36 -0.60 -18%
Slight Underdogs 64 (50%) 32 50 % 171.00 16.05 0.25 9%
Big Underdogs 9 (7%) 4 44 % 15.00 6.10 0.68 41%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (9%) 6 55 % 44.00 1.98 0.18 5%
Co-Main Event 12 (9%) 6 50 % 32.50 6.34 0.53 20%
Position 3-5 35 (28%) 18 51 % 96.00 13.40 0.38 14%
6+ (Undercard) 69 (54%) 31 45 % 193.50 -31.92 -0.46 -16%

Hermes MMA: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (9%) 6 50 % 30.00 1.70 0.14 6%
Light Heavy 11 (9%) 5 45 % 33.50 -3.81 -0.35 -11%
Middleweight 13 (10%) 4 31 % 33.00 -6.76 -0.52 -20%
Welterweight 19 (15%) 14 74 % 58.50 25.13 1.32 43%
Lightweight 17 (13%) 7 41 % 47.00 -7.02 -0.41 -15%
Featherweight 16 (13%) 4 25 % 48.00 -23.68 -1.48 -49%
Bantamweight 12 (9%) 6 50 % 42.00 -0.35 -0.03 -1%
Flyweight 7 (6%) 4 57 % 23.00 0.56 0.08 2%
               
Women's Fights 20 (16%) 11 55 % 51.00 4.03 0.20 8%
Featherweight 3 (2%) 2 67 % 8.50 3.10 1.03 36%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 2.00 1.60 0.80 80%
Bantamweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 18.00 -1.88 -0.38 -10%
Strawweight 10 (8%) 5 50 % 22.50 1.21 0.12 5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 159 (73%) 121 76 %
Slight Favorites 51 (23%) 24 47 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (2%) 1 25 %
Big Underdogs 5 (2%) 2 40 %
219 148 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 44 (16%) 27 61 %
50-65% 108 (39%) 58 54 %
35-50% 81 (30%) 39 48 %
<35% chance 41 (15%) 8 20 %
274 132 48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 27 (10%) 20 74 % 1.83 2.20Pick was correct 1.48Pick was incorrect 10.2 (38%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 24 (9%) 7 29 % 1.99 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct -10.3 (-43%)
Goes to Decision 8 (3%) 3 38 % 2.00 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.49Pick was correct -2.0 (-24%)
Does not go to Decision 66 (24%) 33 50 % 1.84 3.55Pick was incorrect 1.21Pick was correct -2.8 (-4%)
Fight Starts Round X 29 (11%) 15 52 % 1.68 2.79Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect -2.5 (-9%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 14 (5%) 9 64 % 1.64 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was incorrect 0.7 (5%)
X Wins by KO 21 (8%) 6 29 % 3.39 13.50Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct -6.2 (-29%)
X Does NOT Win by KO 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.57 1.67Pick was correct 1.48Pick was correct 1.1 (57%)
X Wins by Sub 18 (7%) 8 44 % 3.37 13.63Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was incorrect 9.5 (53%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.83 1.83Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 0.8 (83%)
X Wins by Decision 15 (5%) 4 27 % 2.64 15.25Pick was incorrect 1.66Pick was incorrect -5.7 (-38%)
X Wins Inside Distance 24 (9%) 9 38 % 2.11 5.75Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct -5.4 (-23%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 7 (3%) 6 86 % 1.52 1.78Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was correct 2.0 (28%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (1%) 1 50 % 3.04 5.50Pick was correct 2.10Pick was incorrect 3.5 (175%)
Others 16 (6%) 8 50 % 1.71 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was incorrect -3.4 (-21%)
274 132 48 % 1.99     -10.3 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Hermes MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 24 1.9 8% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,014.28
3rd Nov UFC 230 44 -13.6 -31% $5 $10.14 $1,014.28 $871.69
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 53 -10.3 -20% $5 $8.72 $871.69 $776.52
15th Nov Bellator 209 2 -2.0 -100% $7.77 $776.52 $760.99
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 47.25 11.0 23% $7.61 $760.99 $845.03
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 42 10.0 24% $5 $8.45 $845.03 $924.45
30th Nov TUF Finale 45 8.4 19% $5 $9.24 $924.45 $996.76
1st Dec KSW 46 3 -3.0 -100% $9.97 $996.76 $966.86
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 37.81 -9.8 -26% $9.67 $966.86 $871.69
8th Dec UFC 231 36 6.3 18% $5 $8.72 $871.69 $921.75
15th Dec Bellator 212 2 -2.0 -100% $9.22 $921.75 $903.32
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 31.68 -17.5 -55% $9.03 $903.32 $744.79
15th Dec Bellator 213 9.83 -3.7 -37% $7.45 $744.79 $717.46
29th Dec UFC 232 49.35 -12.9 -26% $7.17 $717.46 $625.21
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 76 -7.1 -9% $5 $6.25 $625.21 $575.54
9th Feb UFC 234 87 40.1 46% $5 $5.76 $575.54 $801.53
16th Feb Bellator 216 16 4.8 30% $8.02 $801.53 $839.79
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 49.5 8.8 18% $8.40 $839.79 $913.83
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 64.5 23.0 36% $9.14 $913.83 $1,124.44
2nd Mar UFC 235 81.25 -7.4 -9% $11.24 $1,124.44 $1,040.73
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 48.75 -7.5 -15% $10.41 $1,040.73 $962.58
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 46.75 -21.0 -45% $9.63 $962.58 $760.28
23rd Mar KSW 47 6 3.0 50% $7.60 $760.28 $783.09
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 47.55 -24.2 -51% $7.83 $783.09 $593.81
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 55.5 -6.0 -11% $5.94 $593.81 $558.39
13th Apr UFC 236 43.5 2.1 5% $5.58 $558.39 $570.01
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 35.5 12.5 35% $5.70 $570.01 $641.52
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 25.5 3.5 14% $6.42 $641.52 $663.84
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 26 1.3 5% $6.64 $663.84 $672.47
11th May Bellator 221 4.5 1.2 26% $6.72 $672.47 $680.35
11th May UFC 237 42.5 -1.7 -4% $6.80 $680.35 $669.09
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 51.75 -1.3 -2% $6.69 $669.09 $660.52


ROI % from starting bank balance: -33.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Hermes MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Felicia Spencer Megan Anderson 2.20 3 Sub, R1 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas 1.80 2 TKO, R2 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Viviane Araujo Talita Bernardo 3.60 1 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Ryan Spann Rogerio Nogueira 1.74 3 TKO, R1 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Laureano Staropoli Thiago Alves 1.95 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Vincent Morales Aiemann Zahabi 2.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Cole Smith Mitch Gagnon 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Arjan Bhullar Juan Adams 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba 2.01 2 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Augusto Sakai Andrei Arlovski 1.74 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '19 Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba 2.34 3 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Cory Sandhagen John Lineker 2.30 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Magomed Mustafaev Rafael Fiziev 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Magomed Mustafaev Rafael Fiziev 2.00 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Shamil Abdurakhimov Marcin Tybura 2.43 2 TKO, R2 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Sultan Aliev Keita Nakamura 2.01 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Nikita Krylov Ovince St Preux 1.89 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Max Griffin Zelim Imadaev 1.99 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.85 3 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.99 2.5 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 1.82 2 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.74 2 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.74 3 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Bethe Correia Irene Aldana 4.00 1 Sub, R3 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.78 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.78 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Kurt Holobaugh Thiago Moises 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Sergio Moraes Warlley Alves 2.17 3 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.40 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone 1.87 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Elias Theodorou Derek Brunson 1.93 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Virna Jandiroba Carla Esparza 1.94 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Alen Amedovski Krzysztof Jotko 2.65 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Boston Salmon Khalid Taha 1.81 3 TKO, R1 (0:25) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Lauren Mueller Poliana Botelho 2.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Wilson Reis Alexandre Pantoja 2.75 3 TKO, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Sodiq Yusuff 2.25 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Enrique Barzola Kevin Aguilar 1.93 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Hermes MMA: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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