MMA Handicapper Stats: Hermes MMA |
|
Hermes MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
10th May '20 |
UFC 249 |
42 |
-27.0 |
-64% |
|
-27.0 / 42 (-64%) |
|
14th Mar '20 |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
46.5 |
-20.5 |
-44% |
-16.2 / 28 (-58%) |
0.6 / 6.5 (9%) |
-4.9 / 12 (-41%) |
8th Mar '20 |
UFC 248 |
36 |
-12.2 |
-34% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-5.7 / 29.5 (-19%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
29th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
22nd Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 168 |
24.5 |
-7.6 |
-31% |
-10.7 / 17 (-63%) |
3.1 / 7.5 (41%) |
|
21st Feb '20 |
Bellator 239 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
15th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
31 |
-3.9 |
-13% |
-0.0 / 12 (-0%) |
9.1 / 6 (152%) |
-13.0 / 13 (-100%) |
9th Feb '20 |
UFC 247 |
22 |
-2.6 |
-12% |
-1.3 / 8.5 (-16%) |
1.3 / 5.5 (23%) |
-2.6 / 8 (-32%) |
26th Jan '20 |
Bellator 238 |
1.5 |
2.8 |
185% |
|
2.8 / 1.5 (185%) |
|
25th Jan '20 |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-7.0 / 7 (-100%) |
18th Jan '20 |
UFC 246 |
15 |
14.5 |
97% |
8.2 / 10 (82%) |
|
6.4 / 5 (128%) |
15th Dec '19 |
UFC 245 |
5 |
12.8 |
255% |
|
|
12.8 / 5 (255%) |
17th Aug '19 |
UFC 241 |
14 |
2.2 |
15% |
-3.6 / 8 (-45%) |
2.2 / 3 (74%) |
3.5 / 3 (118%) |
10th Aug '19 |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
17.5 |
1.0 |
6% |
-0.7 / 6 (-11%) |
|
1.7 / 11.5 (14%) |
7th Aug '19 |
DWCS 23 |
7 |
-2.4 |
-34% |
2.6 / 2 (130%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
3rd Aug '19 |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
44 |
2.7 |
6% |
7.4 / 10 (74%) |
3.2 / 20 (16%) |
-7.9 / 14 (-57%) |
27th Jul '19 |
UFC 240 |
27 |
1.7 |
6% |
-2.2 / 14.5 (-15%) |
0.6 / 6 (10%) |
3.3 / 6.5 (51%) |
25th Jul '19 |
PFL 2019: Week 5 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
|
|
24th Jul '19 |
DWCS 21 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
20th Jul '19 |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
28 |
-16.1 |
-58% |
-6.8 / 12 (-56%) |
-3.4 / 10 (-34%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
17th Jul '19 |
DWCS 20 |
9.75 |
-2.6 |
-27% |
-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) |
-0.4 / 7.5 (-5%) |
|
13th Jul '19 |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
29.5 |
-5.4 |
-18% |
0.4 / 19.5 (2%) |
-2.8 / 7 (-40%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
12th Jul '19 |
Bellator 224 |
6 |
5.6 |
93% |
1.7 / 4 (42%) |
3.9 / 2 (195%) |
|
10th Jul '19 |
DWTNCS 19 |
12.35 |
-6.8 |
-55% |
-4.8 / 10.35 (-47%) |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
6th Jul '19 |
UFC 239 |
32 |
-11.3 |
-35% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-12.9 / 23 (-56%) |
2.6 / 8 (32%) |
29th Jun '19 |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
19.5 |
4.8 |
25% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
1.1 / 11 (10%) |
6.7 / 5.5 (122%) |
22nd Jun '19 |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
15.5 |
9.6 |
62% |
5.0 / 6 (83%) |
6.6 / 7.5 (88%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
22nd Jun '19 |
Bellator London |
5 |
4.3 |
86% |
|
|
4.3 / 5 (86%) |
14th Jun '19 |
Bellator 222 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
8th Jun '19 |
UFC 238 |
20.5 |
2.9 |
14% |
-3.5 / 9 (-39%) |
4.7 / 5 (94%) |
1.7 / 6.5 (27%) |
1st Jun '19 |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
44.9 |
-5.8 |
-13% |
-1.9 / 21.5 (-9%) |
-4.0 / 14 (-29%) |
0.0 / 9.4 (1%) |
18th May '19 |
UFC Fight Night 152 |
51.75 |
-1.3 |
-2% |
-0.5 / 15.5 (-3%) |
-1.6 / 26.25 (-6%) |
0.9 / 10 (9%) |
11th May '19 |
UFC 237 |
42.5 |
-1.7 |
-4% |
-1.7 / 20 (-9%) |
2.6 / 20 (13%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
11th May '19 |
Bellator 221 |
4.5 |
1.2 |
26% |
|
1.5 / 0.5 (300%) |
-0.3 / 4 (-8%) |
4th May '19 |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
26 |
1.3 |
5% |
-3.0 / 16 (-19%) |
5.3 / 9 (59%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
27th Apr '19 |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
25.5 |
3.5 |
14% |
8.9 / 12.5 (71%) |
-1.2 / 5 (-24%) |
-4.2 / 8 (-53%) |
20th Apr '19 |
UFC Fight Night 149 |
35.5 |
12.5 |
35% |
8.0 / 11 (73%) |
-5.4 / 9 (-60%) |
10.0 / 15.5 (64%) |
13th Apr '19 |
UFC 236 |
43.5 |
2.1 |
5% |
-3.8 / 14.5 (-26%) |
-2.9 / 23 (-12%) |
8.8 / 6 (146%) |
30th Mar '19 |
UFC on ESPN 2 |
55.5 |
-6.0 |
-11% |
5.8 / 18 (32%) |
2.7 / 23 (12%) |
-14.5 / 14.5 (-100%) |
23rd Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
47.55 |
-24.2 |
-51% |
-7.6 / 14.5 (-52%) |
-13.2 / 20 (-66%) |
-3.3 / 13.05 (-25%) |
23rd Mar '19 |
KSW 47 |
6 |
3.0 |
50% |
6.0 / 3 (200%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
16th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
46.75 |
-21.0 |
-45% |
2.1 / 14.5 (15%) |
-9.8 / 12.75 (-77%) |
-13.3 / 19.5 (-68%) |
9th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
48.75 |
-7.5 |
-15% |
-4.3 / 10.5 (-41%) |
-0.7 / 10.5 (-7%) |
-2.5 / 27.75 (-9%) |
2nd Mar '19 |
UFC 235 |
81.25 |
-7.4 |
-9% |
-10.0 / 16 (-62%) |
9.3 / 21 (44%) |
-6.7 / 44.25 (-15%) |
23rd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
64.5 |
23.0 |
36% |
6.4 / 16 (40%) |
-1.0 / 30 (-3%) |
17.6 / 18.5 (95%) |
17th Feb '19 |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
49.5 |
8.8 |
18% |
-9.1 / 21 (-43%) |
1.1 / 4.5 (25%) |
16.8 / 24 (70%) |
16th Feb '19 |
Bellator 216 |
16 |
4.8 |
30% |
|
6.6 / 6 (110%) |
-1.8 / 10 (-18%) |
9th Feb '19 |
UFC 234 |
87 |
40.1 |
46% |
3.7 / 5 (74%) |
20.7 / 59 (35%) |
15.8 / 23 (69%) |
2nd Feb '19 |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
76 |
-7.1 |
-9% |
8.5 / 31 (27%) |
-3.5 / 26.5 (-13%) |
-12.1 / 18.5 (-65%) |
29th Dec '18 |
UFC 232 |
49.35 |
-12.9 |
-26% |
-14.0 / 14 (-100%) |
12.6 / 17.35 (73%) |
-11.4 / 18 (-64%) |
15th Dec '18 |
Bellator 213 |
9.83 |
-3.7 |
-37% |
2.2 / 4 (54%) |
|
-5.8 / 5.83 (-100%) |
15th Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
31.68 |
-17.5 |
-55% |
-9.0 / 9 (-100%) |
-4.6 / 7 (-66%) |
-3.9 / 15.68 (-25%) |
15th Dec '18 |
Bellator 212 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
8th Dec '18 |
UFC 231 |
36 |
6.3 |
18% |
7.9 / 9 (87%) |
-4.2 / 17 (-25%) |
2.6 / 10 (26%) |
1st Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
37.81 |
-9.8 |
-26% |
-1.1 / 8 (-14%) |
-8.6 / 13.25 (-65%) |
-0.1 / 16.56 (-1%) |
1st Dec '18 |
KSW 46 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
30th Nov '18 |
TUF Finale |
45 |
8.4 |
19% |
3.0 / 12.5 (24%) |
-5.0 / 10.5 (-48%) |
10.4 / 22 (47%) |
24th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
42 |
10.0 |
24% |
-4.9 / 15.5 (-32%) |
10.6 / 9.5 (112%) |
4.3 / 17 (25%) |
17th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
47.25 |
11.0 |
23% |
-0.2 / 23.5 (-1%) |
9.8 / 16.25 (60%) |
1.4 / 7.5 (19%) |
15th Nov '18 |
Bellator 209 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
10th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
53 |
-10.3 |
-20% |
-7.1 / 15.5 (-46%) |
-0.8 / 25 (-3%) |
-2.4 / 12.5 (-19%) |
3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
44 |
-13.6 |
-31% |
5.3 / 7 (76%) |
-10.2 / 25 (-41%) |
-8.7 / 12 (-73%) |
27th Oct '18 |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
24 |
1.9 |
8% |
1.5 / 6 (25%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
6.4 / 12 (53%) |
Winning Events: 27 (43%) Losing Events: 36 (57%)
Average Staked Per Event: 28.97 units Most Staked On One Event: 87.00 units Best Event: 40.13 units Worst Event: -26.95 units Average Event: -1.69 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 76.77 Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -89.35 |
Hermes MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2020 |
241 |
-79.0 |
-33% |
-26.6 / 82 (-32%) |
-16.9 / 99.5 (-17%) |
-35.6 / 59.5 (-60%) |
2 / 9 (18%) |
-7.18 |
2019 |
1157.05 |
9.7 |
1% |
-10.8 / 375.6 (-3%) |
9.2 / 422 (2%) |
11.2 / 359.45 (3%) |
20 / 18 (53%) |
0.25 |
2018 |
426.92 |
-37.2 |
-9% |
-19.6 / 127 (-15%) |
-6.3 / 146.85 (-4%) |
-11.3 / 153.07 (-7%) |
5 / 9 (36%) |
-2.66 |
|
Hermes MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Hermes MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1724.04 |
-89.6 |
-5% |
-50.3 / 547 (-9%) |
-28.4 / 650.85 (-4%) |
-10.9 / 526.19 (-2%) |
Bellator |
57.33 |
0.4 |
1% |
-0.7 / 12.5 (-5%) |
14.8 / 10 (148%) |
-13.7 / 34.83 (-39%) |
PFL |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
|
|
Other |
39.1 |
-12.9 |
-33% |
-1.5 / 20.6 (-7%) |
-0.4 / 7.5 (-5%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
|
Hermes MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
8.00 |
-8.00 |
-8.00 |
-100% |
Slight Favorites |
76 (39%) |
36 |
47 % |
272.50 |
-48.95 |
-0.64 |
-18% |
Slight Underdogs |
102 (52%) |
48 |
47 % |
276.85 |
6.12 |
0.06 |
2% |
Big Underdogs |
17 (9%) |
4 |
24 % |
27.25 |
-6.15 |
-0.36 |
-23% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
19 (10%) |
9 |
47 % |
64.50 |
3.23 |
0.17 |
5% |
Co-Main Event |
21 (11%) |
12 |
57 % |
66.50 |
10.66 |
0.51 |
16% |
Position 3-5 |
51 (26%) |
24 |
47 % |
146.10 |
-2.38 |
-0.05 |
-2% |
6+ (Undercard) |
105 (54%) |
43 |
41 % |
307.50 |
-68.49 |
-0.65 |
-22% |
|
Hermes MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
14 (7%) |
6 |
43 % |
34.50 |
-2.80 |
-0.20 |
-8% |
Light Heavy |
15 (8%) |
7 |
47 % |
51.50 |
-6.16 |
-0.41 |
-12% |
Middleweight |
20 (10%) |
7 |
35 % |
49.85 |
-7.44 |
-0.37 |
-15% |
Welterweight |
24 (12%) |
15 |
63 % |
70.00 |
18.03 |
0.75 |
26% |
Lightweight |
29 (15%) |
12 |
41 % |
86.25 |
-6.17 |
-0.21 |
-7% |
Featherweight |
28 (14%) |
10 |
36 % |
79.00 |
-24.70 |
-0.88 |
-31% |
Bantamweight |
20 (10%) |
10 |
50 % |
67.50 |
2.81 |
0.14 |
4% |
Flyweight |
13 (7%) |
5 |
38 % |
49.50 |
-20.72 |
-1.59 |
-42% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
33 (17%) |
16 |
48 % |
96.50 |
-9.82 |
-0.30 |
-10% |
Featherweight |
5 (3%) |
3 |
60 % |
11.50 |
4.10 |
0.82 |
36% |
Bantamweight |
6 (3%) |
3 |
50 % |
17.50 |
-0.60 |
-0.10 |
-3% |
Flyweight |
8 (4%) |
4 |
50 % |
35.00 |
-10.02 |
-1.25 |
-29% |
Strawweight |
14 (7%) |
6 |
43 % |
32.50 |
-3.30 |
-0.24 |
-10% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
200 (69%) |
152 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
72 (25%) |
35 |
49 % |
Slight Underdogs |
12 (4%) |
5 |
42 % |
Big Underdogs |
7 (2%) |
2 |
29 % |
|
291 |
194 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
55 (15%) |
34 |
62 % |
50-65% |
154 (41%) |
83 |
54 % |
35-50% |
108 (28%) |
51 |
47 % |
<35% chance |
62 (16%) |
12 |
19 % |
|
379 |
180 |
47 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Hermes MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -77.67% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Hermes MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '20 |
Charles Oliveira |
Kevin Lee |
2.35 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (0:28) |
|
|
2. |
Feb '20 |
Jim Crute |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
2.10 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:29) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '20 |
John Dodson |
Nathaniel Wood |
2.40 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:16) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '20 |
Mario Bautista |
Miles Johns |
2.05 |
3.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:41) |
|
|
5. |
Jan '20 |
Holly Holm |
Raquel Pennington |
1.76 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Jan '20 |
Aleksa Camur |
Justin Ledet |
1.87 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Aug '19 |
Nate Diaz |
Anthony Pettis |
2.20 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Aug '19 |
Enrique Barzola |
Bobby Moffett |
1.77 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Aug '19 |
Dwight Joseph |
Jay Perrin |
2.30 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Aug '19 |
Antonina Shevchenko |
Lucie Pudilova |
1.77 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:20) |
|
|
11. |
Aug '19 |
Jim Miller |
Clay Guida |
1.71 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (0:58) |
|
|
12. |
Jul '19 |
Gavin Tucker |
Seung Woo Choi |
2.05 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (3:17) |
|
|
13. |
Jul '19 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
1.64 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Jul '19 |
Jennifer Maia |
Roxanne Modafferi |
1.74 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Jul '19 |
Benito Lopez |
Vincent Morales |
2.00 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '19 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Aspen Ladd |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:16) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '19 |
Marvin Vettori |
Cezar Ferreira |
1.66 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '19 |
Rafael Carvalho |
Chidi Njokuani |
1.89 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Jul '19 |
Maki Pitolo |
Justin Sumter |
2.35 |
2.35 |
TKO, R1 (1:37) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '19 |
Andre Fili |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
2.15 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:7) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Hermes MMA: Progress Chart |
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