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MMA Handicapper Stats: Fight Game Theory

Fight Game Theory (FightGameTheory)


MMA MHandicapper - Fight Game Theory

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 6 (33%) Right 4 (57%) Right 2 (25%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 12 (67%) Wrong 3 (43%) Wrong 6 (75%) Wrong 3 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds 2.22 Avg Odds 3.28
Units Bet 51.5 Units Bet 26.0 Units Bet 19.0 Units Bet 6.5
Avg Bet 2.86 Avg Bet 3.71 Avg Bet 2.38 Avg Bet 2.17
Units Profit -8.60 Units Profit 8.13 Units Profit -10.23 Units Profit -6.50
ROI % -17% ROI % 31% ROI % -54% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Fight Game Theory : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 48.5 -5.6 -12% 11.1 / 23 (48%) -10.2 / 19 (-54%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 PFL 9 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)


Winning Events: 0 (0%)
Losing Events: 2 (100%)

Average Staked Per Event: 25.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 48.50 units
Best Event: 0.00 units
Worst Event: -5.60 units
Average Event: -4.30 units

Max Win Streak: Events: , Units: 0.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -8.60

Fight Game Theory : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 48.5 -5.6 -12% 11.1 / 23 (48%) -10.2 / 19 (-54%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -5.60
2018 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -3.00

Fight Game Theory : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Fight Game Theory : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 48.5 -5.6 -12% 11.1 / 23 (48%) -10.2 / 19 (-54%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
PFL 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Fight Game Theory : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (43%) 1 33 % 12.00 -5.95 -1.98 -50%
Slight Favorites 1 (14%) 1 100 % 5.00 3.23 3.23 65%
Slight Underdogs 3 (43%) 2 67 % 9.00 10.85 3.62 121%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (14%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Position 3-5 4 (57%) 2 50 % 13.00 1.28 0.32 10%
6+ (Undercard) 2 (29%) 2 100 % 8.00 11.85 5.93 148%

Fight Game Theory : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 1 (14%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Welterweight 1 (14%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.05 1.05 21%
Lightweight 3 (43%) 2 67 % 9.00 10.85 3.62 121%
Flyweight 1 (14%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 1 (14%) 1 100 % 5.00 3.23 3.23 65%
Flyweight 1 (14%) 1 100 % 5.00 3.23 3.23 65%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 1 (33%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 2 (67%) 2 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
3 2 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (21%) 1 33 %
50-65% 6 (43%) 3 50 %
35-50% 3 (21%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 2 (14%) 0 0 %
14 4 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (14%) 1 50 % 1.53 1.62Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (14%) 1 50 % 1.55 1.89Pick was incorrect 1.32Pick was correct -0.7 (-34%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.67 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (7%) 0 0 % 7.48 7.48Pick was incorrect 7.48Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (14%) 0 0 % 3.77 6.60Pick was incorrect 2.64Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 5 (36%) 2 40 % 1.78 2.58Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was incorrect -1.8 (-37%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.56 1.56Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
14 4 29 % 1.91     -7.9 (-56%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Fight Game Theory 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Oct PFL 9 3 -3.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $970.00
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 48.5 -5.6 -12% $5 $9.70 $970.00 $910.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.93% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Fight Game Theory : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '19 Paid Pick Dennis Bermudez Te Edwards 2.15 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Paid Pick Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.68 5 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Paid Pick Gregor Gillespie Yancy Medeiros 1.21 5 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Paid Pick Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.65 5 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Paid Pick T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '18 Dan Spohn Sean O'Connell 1.27 2 Split Decision (2 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Robert Watley Chris Wade 2.15 1 Split Decision (2 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Fight Game Theory : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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