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MMA Handicapper Stats: Ninja Punt

Ninja Punt (AlphaWager)


MMA MHandicapper - Ninja Punt

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 40 (41%) Right 29 (51%) Right 11 (35%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 57 (59%) Wrong 28 (49%) Wrong 20 (65%) Wrong 9 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 3.10 Avg Odds 4.03
Units Bet 753.0 Units Bet 550.0 Units Bet 150.5 Units Bet 52.5
Avg Bet 7.76 Avg Bet 9.65 Avg Bet 4.85 Avg Bet 5.83
Units Profit 8.01 Units Profit 23.56 Units Profit 36.95 Units Profit -52.50
ROI % 1% ROI % 4% ROI % 25% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Ninja Punt: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% -21.6 / 50 (-43%) -3.8 / 20 (-19%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% -29.0 / 42 (-69%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% 3.4 / 22 (16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% -8.6 / 55 (-16%) -1.6 / 10 (-16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% -17.8 / 44 (-41%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% -4.1 / 55 (-7%) 25.0 / 10 (250%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% -26.3 / 55 (-48%) 26.8 / 17 (158%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% -4.8 / 16 (-30%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% -0.5 / 10 (-5%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% 27.2 / 33 (82%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% 16.5 / 11 (150%) 9.7 / 8.5 (114%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% 30.4 / 55 (55%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15 13.8 92% 13.8 / 15 (92%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% 26.6 / 55 (48%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 71 25.5 36% 35.2 / 44 (80%) -4.7 / 22 (-21%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 8 (47%)
Losing Events: 9 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 44.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 83.00 units
Best Event: 30.36 units
Worst Event: -39.96 units
Average Event: 0.47 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 148.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -104.98

Ninja Punt: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 337 -87.1 -26% -77.6 / 268 (-29%) 13.5 / 46 (29%) -23.0 / 23 (-100%) 1 / 5 (17%) -14.51
2018 416 95.1 23% 101.2 / 282 (36%) 23.4 / 104.5 (22%) -29.5 / 29.5 (-100%) 7 / 4 (64%) 8.64

Ninja Punt: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Ninja Punt: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 739 2.2 0% 26.6 / 547 (5%) 28.1 / 139.5 (20%) -52.5 / 52.5 (-100%)
Bellator 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
Other 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Ninja Punt: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (19%) 9 82 % 121.00 7.59 0.69 6%
Slight Favorites 16 (28%) 8 50 % 161.00 -29.50 -1.84 -18%
Slight Underdogs 22 (39%) 8 36 % 209.00 -15.58 -0.71 -7%
Big Underdogs 8 (14%) 4 50 % 59.00 61.05 7.63 103%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (11%) 3 50 % 58.00 29.56 4.93 51%
Co-Main Event 6 (11%) 1 17 % 60.00 -47.13 -7.85 -79%
Position 3-5 14 (25%) 4 29 % 131.00 -63.57 -4.54 -49%
6+ (Undercard) 30 (53%) 20 67 % 290.00 98.32 3.28 34%

Ninja Punt: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 27.00 24.81 8.27 92%
Light Heavy 7 (12%) 0 % 57.00 -57.00 -8.14 -100%
Middleweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 21.00 5.18 1.73 25%
Welterweight 7 (12%) 2 29 % 68.00 -21.65 -3.09 -32%
Lightweight 10 (18%) 7 70 % 104.00 41.35 4.13 40%
Featherweight 7 (12%) 5 71 % 65.00 6.82 0.97 10%
Bantamweight 6 (11%) 2 33 % 60.00 -19.63 -3.27 -33%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 33.00 15.29 5.10 46%
               
Women's Fights 11 (19%) 8 73 % 115.00 28.39 2.58 25%
Featherweight 2 (4%) 0 % 22.00 -22.00 -11.00 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 3 100 % 33.00 15.18 5.06 46%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 27.00 4.52 1.51 17%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 3 100 % 33.00 30.69 10.23 93%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (52%) 10 77 %
Slight Favorites 7 (28%) 3 43 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (16%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (4%) 0 0 %
25 15 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (6%) 0 0 %
50-65% 6 (18%) 6 100 %
35-50% 3 (9%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 23 (68%) 3 13 %
34 11 32 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (9%) 3 100 % 1.60 1.67Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 1.8 (60%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (12%) 4 100 % 2.05 2.52Pick was correct 1.78Pick was correct 4.4 (110%)
Goes to Decision 3 (9%) 0 0 % 1.58 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.43Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 9 (26%) 1 11 % 5.37 9.10Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -2.8 (-31%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (3%) 0 0 % 7.50 7.50Pick was incorrect 7.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (21%) 2 29 % 3.41 10.55Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -0.1 (-2%)
X Wins Inside Distance 5 (15%) 1 20 % 4.37 7.00Pick was correct 2.95Pick was incorrect 2.0 (40%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (6%) 0 0 % 4.88 6.25Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
34 11 32 % 3.05     -0.7 (-2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Ninja Punt's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Oct UFC 229 71 25.5 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,254.70
13th Oct Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% $12.55 $1,254.70 $1,365.11
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% $13.65 $1,365.11 $1,708.02
3rd Nov UFC 230 15 13.8 92% $17.08 $1,708.02 $1,943.38
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% $19.43 $1,943.38 $2,533.40
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% $25.33 $2,533.40 $3,133.81
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% $31.34 $3,133.81 $3,797.25
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% $37.97 $3,797.25 $3,683.33
30th Nov TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% $36.83 $3,683.33 $3,349.99
8th Dec UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% $33.50 $3,349.99 $2,316.52
29th Dec UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% $23.17 $2,316.52 $2,074.67
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% $20.75 $2,074.67 $2,446.65
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% $24.47 $2,446.65 $2,010.65
9th Feb UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% $20.11 $2,010.65 $1,704.44
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% $17.04 $1,704.44 $1,677.34
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% $19.99 $16.77 $1,677.34 $987.08
2nd Mar UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% $19.99 $9.87 $987.08 $667.22


ROI % from starting bank balance: -33.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Ninja Punt: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Paid Pick Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.00 5 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Paid Pick Macy Chiasson Gina Mazany 1.22 11 TKO, R1 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Veronica Macedo 1.63 8 Sub, R2 (3:27) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Aljamain Sterling Jimmie Rivera 2.31 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Kai Kara-France Raulian Paiva 1.44 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Kyung Ho Kang Teruto Ishihara 1.29 11 Sub, R1 (3:59) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Jalin Turner Callan Potter 1.49 11 TKO, R1 (0:53) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Markus Perez Anthony Hernandez 2.38 11 Sub, R2 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.68 11 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '19 Henry Cejudo T.J. Dillashaw 2.95 11 TKO, R1 (0:32) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Petr Yan Douglas Silva de Andrade 1.36 11 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Ryan Hall B.J. Penn 1.25 11 Sub, R1 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.23 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Kevin Aguilar Rick Glenn 1.89 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Yadong Song Vincent Morales 1.20 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Yan Xiaonan Syuri Kondo 1.27 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Francis Ngannou Curtis Blaydes 3.00 11 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Cynthia Calvillo Poliana Botelho 2.50 11 Sub, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Mike Trizano Luis Pena 2.50 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Beneil Dariush Thiago Moises 1.67 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Paid Pick Robbie Lawler Ben Askren 3.30 8 Sub, R1 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Paid Pick Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Paid Pick Charles Byrd Edmen Shahbazyan 2.37 5 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.36 5 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Paid Pick Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.70 11 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Paid Pick Gian Villante Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.74 6 TKO, R1 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Paid Pick Klidson Farias de Abreu Magomed Ankalaev 2.80 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Paid Pick Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.89 5 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Paid Pick Lucie Pudilova Liz Carmouche 2.23 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Paid Pick John Dodson Petr Yan 3.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.89 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.30 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Sam Alvey Jim Crute 2.35 11 TKO, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Justin Ledet Johnny Walker 2.77 11 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.45 11 Sub, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Lyman Good Demian Maia 2.69 11 Sub, R1 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '19 Te Edwards Dennis Bermudez 1.85 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.61 11 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '19 Karl Roberson Glover Teixeira 2.13 11 Sub, R1 (3:21) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Cristiane Justino Amanda Nunes 1.44 11 TKO, R1 (0:51) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Ninja Punt: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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