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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alpha Bettor

Alpha Bettor (AlphaWager)


MMA MHandicapper - Alpha Bettor

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 66 (50%) Right 49 (59%) Right 16 (41%) Right 1 (10%)
Wrong 66 (50%) Wrong 34 (41%) Wrong 23 (59%) Wrong 9 (90%)
Avg Odds 2.22 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 3.03 Avg Odds 3.36
Units Bet 1,055.0 Units Bet 813.0 Units Bet 184.5 Units Bet 57.5
Avg Bet 7.99 Avg Bet 9.80 Avg Bet 4.73 Avg Bet 5.75
Units Profit 127.21 Units Profit 126.02 Units Profit 51.90 Units Profit -50.71
ROI % 12% ROI % 16% ROI % 28% ROI % -88%
View Handicapper's Profile

Alpha Bettor: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 87 27.3 31% 14.6 / 68 (21%) 10.9 / 14 (78%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 72 40.3 56% 36.3 / 52 (70%) 4.0 / 20 (20%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 77 21.7 28% 21.7 / 77 (28%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 66 29.9 45% 29.9 / 66 (45%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% -21.6 / 50 (-43%) -3.8 / 20 (-19%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% -29.0 / 42 (-69%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% 3.4 / 22 (16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% -8.6 / 55 (-16%) -1.6 / 10 (-16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% -17.8 / 44 (-41%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% -4.1 / 55 (-7%) 25.0 / 10 (250%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% -26.3 / 55 (-48%) 26.8 / 17 (158%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% -4.8 / 16 (-30%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% -0.5 / 10 (-5%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% 27.2 / 33 (82%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% 16.5 / 11 (150%) 9.7 / 8.5 (114%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% 30.4 / 55 (55%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15 13.8 92% 13.8 / 15 (92%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% 26.6 / 55 (48%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 71 25.5 36% 35.2 / 44 (80%) -4.7 / 22 (-21%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 12 (57%)
Losing Events: 9 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 50.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 87.00 units
Best Event: 40.28 units
Worst Event: -39.96 units
Average Event: 6.06 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 148.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -104.98

Alpha Bettor: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 639 32.1 5% 24.9 / 531 (5%) 28.5 / 80 (36%) -21.2 / 28 (-76%) 5 / 5 (50%) 3.21
2018 416 95.1 23% 101.2 / 282 (36%) 23.4 / 104.5 (22%) -29.5 / 29.5 (-100%) 7 / 4 (64%) 8.64

Alpha Bettor: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alpha Bettor: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1041 121.4 12% 129.0 / 810 (16%) 43.1 / 173.5 (25%) -50.7 / 57.5 (-88%)
Bellator 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
Other 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Alpha Bettor: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 16 (19%) 14 88 % 176.00 22.66 1.42 13%
Slight Favorites 28 (34%) 16 57 % 293.00 -6.40 -0.23 -2%
Slight Underdogs 29 (35%) 13 45 % 276.00 26.56 0.92 10%
Big Underdogs 10 (12%) 6 60 % 68.00 83.20 8.32 122%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (12%) 6 60 % 102.00 58.60 5.86 57%
Co-Main Event 9 (11%) 3 33 % 93.00 -29.86 -3.32 -32%
Position 3-5 20 (24%) 9 45 % 197.00 -31.89 -1.59 -16%
6+ (Undercard) 43 (52%) 30 70 % 410.00 122.79 2.86 30%

Alpha Bettor: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (7%) 3 50 % 60.00 9.74 1.62 16%
Light Heavy 8 (10%) 1 13 % 68.00 -46.55 -5.82 -68%
Middleweight 9 (11%) 6 67 % 77.00 50.51 5.61 66%
Welterweight 9 (11%) 4 44 % 80.00 -13.56 -1.51 -17%
Lightweight 14 (17%) 10 71 % 148.00 47.29 3.38 32%
Featherweight 9 (11%) 7 78 % 87.00 29.92 3.32 34%
Bantamweight 8 (10%) 3 38 % 82.00 -23.04 -2.88 -28%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 33.00 15.29 5.10 46%
               
Women's Fights 17 (20%) 13 76 % 178.00 56.42 3.32 32%
Featherweight 4 (5%) 1 25 % 44.00 -29.37 -7.34 -67%
Bantamweight 5 (6%) 5 100 % 52.00 38.59 7.72 74%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 27.00 4.52 1.51 17%
Strawweight 5 (6%) 5 100 % 55.00 42.68 8.54 78%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 15 (56%) 12 80 %
Slight Favorites 7 (26%) 3 43 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (15%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (4%) 0 0 %
27 17 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (5%) 0 0 %
50-65% 8 (19%) 8 100 %
35-50% 6 (14%) 4 67 %
<35% chance 26 (62%) 4 15 %
42 16 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (10%) 4 100 % 1.75 2.40Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 3.2 (80%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (10%) 4 100 % 2.05 2.52Pick was correct 1.78Pick was correct 4.4 (110%)
Goes to Decision 3 (7%) 0 0 % 1.58 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.43Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.45 2.45Pick was incorrect 2.45Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 12 (29%) 3 25 % 4.82 9.10Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was correct 3.3 (27%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (2%) 0 0 % 7.50 7.50Pick was incorrect 7.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (17%) 2 29 % 3.41 10.55Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -0.1 (-2%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (19%) 3 38 % 3.38 7.62Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct 2.7 (33%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (5%) 0 0 % 4.88 6.25Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
42 16 38 % 3.00     6.4 (15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alpha Bettor's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Oct UFC 229 71 25.5 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,254.70
13th Oct Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% $12.55 $1,254.70 $1,365.11
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% $13.65 $1,365.11 $1,708.02
3rd Nov UFC 230 15 13.8 92% $17.08 $1,708.02 $1,943.38
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% $19.43 $1,943.38 $2,533.40
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% $25.33 $2,533.40 $3,133.81
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% $31.34 $3,133.81 $3,797.25
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% $37.97 $3,797.25 $3,683.33
30th Nov TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% $36.83 $3,683.33 $3,349.99
8th Dec UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% $33.50 $3,349.99 $2,316.52
29th Dec UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% $23.17 $2,316.52 $2,074.67
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% $20.75 $2,074.67 $2,446.65
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% $24.47 $2,446.65 $2,010.65
9th Feb UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% $20.11 $2,010.65 $1,704.44
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% $17.04 $1,704.44 $1,677.34
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% $19.99 $16.77 $1,677.34 $987.08
2nd Mar UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% $19.99 $9.87 $987.08 $667.22
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 66 29.9 45% $19.99 $6.67 $667.22 $846.86
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 77 21.7 28% $8.47 $846.86 $1,030.38
11th May UFC 237 72 40.3 56% $10.30 $1,030.38 $1,445.41
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 87 27.3 31% $14.45 $1,445.41 $1,840.38


ROI % from starting bank balance: 84.04% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alpha Bettor: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Michel Pereira Danny Roberts 3.15 1 TKO, R1 (1:47) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Davi Ramos Austin Hubbard 1.24 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Zak Cummings Trevin Giles 2.55 1 Sub, R3 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Grant Dawson Mike Trizano 1.80 11 Sub, R2 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.33 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.62 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Viviane Araujo Talita Bernardo 3.50 8 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Irene Aldana Bethe Correia 1.31 11 Sub, R3 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Alex Volkanovski Jose Aldo 2.30 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas 1.87 11 TKO, R2 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Andrew Sanchez Marc-Andre Barriault 1.67 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Walt Harris Sergey Spivak 1.63 11 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.03 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Merab Dvalishvili Brad Katona 1.69 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 1.95 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Paid Pick Roosevelt Roberts Thomas Gifford 1.27 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Paid Pick Angela Hill Jodie Esquibel 1.22 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Paid Pick Takashi Sato Ben Saunders 1.54 11 TKO, R2 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Paid Pick Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba 1.95 11 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Paid Pick Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.74 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Megan Anderson Felicia Spencer 1.63 11 Sub, R1 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.99 11 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.20 11 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Mitch Gagnon Cole Smith 1.93 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.87 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Paid Pick Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai 2.33 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Paid Pick Robbie Lawler Ben Askren 3.30 8 Sub, R1 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Paid Pick Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Paid Pick Charles Byrd Edmen Shahbazyan 2.37 5 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.36 5 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Paid Pick Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.70 11 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Paid Pick Gian Villante Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.74 6 TKO, R1 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Paid Pick Klidson Farias de Abreu Magomed Ankalaev 2.80 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Paid Pick Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.89 5 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Paid Pick Lucie Pudilova Liz Carmouche 2.23 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Paid Pick John Dodson Petr Yan 3.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.89 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.30 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '19 Sam Alvey Jim Crute 2.35 11 TKO, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '19 Justin Ledet Johnny Walker 2.77 11 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alpha Bettor: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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