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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1747
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 724

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Alpha Bettor

Alpha Bettor (AlphaWager)


MMA MHandicapper - Alpha Bettor

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 87 (50%) Right 64 (60%) Right 21 (40%) Right 2 (13%)
Wrong 88 (50%) Wrong 42 (40%) Wrong 32 (60%) Wrong 14 (88%)
Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 2.98 Avg Odds 3.16
Units Bet 1,394.0 Units Bet 1,052.0 Units Bet 252.5 Units Bet 89.5
Avg Bet 7.97 Avg Bet 9.92 Avg Bet 4.76 Avg Bet 5.59
Units Profit 169.74 Units Profit 182.82 Units Profit 52.25 Units Profit -65.33
ROI % 12% ROI % 17% ROI % 21% ROI % -73%
View Handicapper's Profile

Alpha Bettor: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 46 55.7 121% 42.7 / 29 (147%) 15.0 / 15 (100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 84 -69.5 -83% -29.5 / 44 (-67%) -30.0 / 30 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 60 23.0 38% 21.4 / 45 (48%) 1.6 / 15 (10%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 35 17.8 51% -0.1 / 22 (-0%) 10.5 / 3 (350%) 7.4 / 10 (74%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 44 17.1 39% 17.1 / 44 (39%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 70 -1.5 -2% 5.2 / 55 (9%) 3.3 / 5 (66%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 87 27.3 31% 14.6 / 68 (21%) 10.9 / 14 (78%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 72 40.3 56% 36.3 / 52 (70%) 4.0 / 20 (20%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 77 21.7 28% 21.7 / 77 (28%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 66 29.9 45% 29.9 / 66 (45%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% -21.6 / 50 (-43%) -3.8 / 20 (-19%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% -29.0 / 42 (-69%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% 3.4 / 22 (16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% -8.6 / 55 (-16%) -1.6 / 10 (-16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% -17.8 / 44 (-41%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% -4.1 / 55 (-7%) 25.0 / 10 (250%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% -26.3 / 55 (-48%) 26.8 / 17 (158%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% -4.8 / 16 (-30%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% -0.5 / 10 (-5%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% 27.2 / 33 (82%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% 16.5 / 11 (150%) 9.7 / 8.5 (114%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% 30.4 / 55 (55%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15 13.8 92% 13.8 / 15 (92%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% 26.6 / 55 (48%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 71 25.5 36% 35.2 / 44 (80%) -4.7 / 22 (-21%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 16 (59%)
Losing Events: 11 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 51.63 units
Most Staked On One Event: 87.00 units
Best Event: 55.72 units
Worst Event: -69.48 units
Average Event: 6.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 148.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -104.98

Alpha Bettor: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 978 74.7 8% 81.7 / 770 (11%) 28.8 / 148 (19%) -35.8 / 60 (-60%) 9 / 7 (56%) 4.67
2018 416 95.1 23% 101.2 / 282 (36%) 23.4 / 104.5 (22%) -29.5 / 29.5 (-100%) 7 / 4 (64%) 8.64

Alpha Bettor: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alpha Bettor: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1380 163.9 12% 185.8 / 1049 (18%) 43.4 / 241.5 (18%) -65.3 / 89.5 (-73%)
Bellator 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
Other 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Alpha Bettor: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 24 (23%) 18 75 % 264.00 -5.28 -0.22 -2%
Slight Favorites 37 (35%) 22 59 % 392.00 9.11 0.25 2%
Slight Underdogs 33 (31%) 16 48 % 316.00 60.59 1.84 19%
Big Underdogs 12 (11%) 8 67 % 80.00 118.40 9.87 148%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (13%) 8 57 % 146.00 58.71 4.19 40%
Co-Main Event 11 (10%) 5 45 % 115.00 8.97 0.82 8%
Position 3-5 30 (28%) 16 53 % 297.00 -9.34 -0.31 -3%
6+ (Undercard) 50 (47%) 34 68 % 483.00 118.10 2.36 24%

Alpha Bettor: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (8%) 5 63 % 82.00 28.22 3.53 34%
Light Heavy 13 (12%) 5 38 % 123.00 -34.12 -2.62 -28%
Middleweight 10 (9%) 6 60 % 88.00 39.51 3.95 45%
Welterweight 14 (13%) 6 43 % 135.00 -36.44 -2.60 -27%
Lightweight 15 (14%) 12 80 % 149.00 68.63 4.58 46%
Featherweight 12 (11%) 8 67 % 120.00 18.92 1.58 16%
Bantamweight 11 (10%) 5 45 % 115.00 9.74 0.89 8%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 33.00 15.29 5.10 46%
               
Women's Fights 20 (19%) 15 75 % 207.00 73.07 3.65 35%
Featherweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 44.00 -29.37 -7.34 -67%
Bantamweight 6 (6%) 6 100 % 63.00 55.42 9.24 88%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 27.00 4.52 1.51 17%
Strawweight 7 (7%) 6 86 % 73.00 42.50 6.07 58%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 27 (61%) 18 67 %
Slight Favorites 8 (18%) 4 50 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (16%) 4 57 %
Big Underdogs 2 (5%) 1 50 %
44 27 61 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (7%) 0 0 %
50-65% 13 (22%) 11 85 %
35-50% 8 (14%) 4 50 %
<35% chance 34 (58%) 6 18 %
59 21 36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (12%) 5 71 % 1.59 2.40Pick was correct 1.30Pick was incorrect 1.9 (27%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (7%) 4 100 % 2.05 2.52Pick was correct 1.78Pick was correct 4.4 (110%)
Goes to Decision 3 (5%) 0 0 % 1.58 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.43Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (5%) 0 0 % 1.84 2.45Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 16 (27%) 5 31 % 3.61 9.10Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct 2.6 (16%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (7%) 0 0 % 4.72 7.50Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (15%) 3 33 % 3.64 10.55Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 2.4 (26%)
X Wins Inside Distance 11 (19%) 4 36 % 3.67 7.62Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct 5.7 (51%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (3%) 0 0 % 4.88 6.25Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
59 21 36 % 2.81     4.9 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alpha Bettor's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Oct UFC 229 71 25.5 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,254.70
13th Oct Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% $12.55 $1,254.70 $1,365.11
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% $13.65 $1,365.11 $1,708.02
3rd Nov UFC 230 15 13.8 92% $17.08 $1,708.02 $1,943.38
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% $19.43 $1,943.38 $2,533.40
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% $25.33 $2,533.40 $3,133.81
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% $31.34 $3,133.81 $3,797.25
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% $37.97 $3,797.25 $3,683.33
30th Nov TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% $36.83 $3,683.33 $3,349.99
8th Dec UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% $33.50 $3,349.99 $2,316.52
29th Dec UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% $23.17 $2,316.52 $2,074.67
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% $20.75 $2,074.67 $2,446.65
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% $24.47 $2,446.65 $2,010.65
9th Feb UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% $20.11 $2,010.65 $1,704.44
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% $17.04 $1,704.44 $1,677.34
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% $9.99 $16.77 $1,677.34 $997.08
2nd Mar UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% $9.99 $9.97 $997.08 $684.18
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 66 29.9 45% $9.99 $6.84 $684.18 $878.90
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 77 21.7 28% $8.79 $878.90 $1,069.35
11th May UFC 237 72 40.3 56% $10.69 $1,069.35 $1,500.09
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 87 27.3 31% $15.00 $1,500.09 $1,910.00
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 70 -1.5 -2% $19.10 $1,910.00 $1,880.79
8th Jun UFC 238 44 17.1 39% $18.81 $1,880.79 $2,201.46
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 35 17.8 51% $22.01 $2,201.46 $2,592.84
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 60 23.0 38% $25.93 $2,592.84 $3,189.19
6th Jul UFC 239 84 -69.5 -83% $9.99 $31.89 $3,189.19 $963.35
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 46 55.7 121% $9.99 $9.63 $963.35 $1,490.12


ROI % from starting bank balance: 49.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alpha Bettor: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Paid Pick Urijah Faber Ricky Simon 3.99 11 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Paid Pick Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.53 11 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Paid Pick Michael Chiesa Diego Sanchez 1.32 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Francis Ngannou Junior dos Santos 1.48 11 TKO, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Eryk Anders Vinicius Moreira 1.32 11 TKO, R1 (1:18) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Alonzo Menifield Paul Craig 1.34 11 TKO, R1 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Vinc Pichel Roosevelt Roberts 3.31 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Demian Maia Tony Martin 1.60 11 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Andre Ewell Anderson dos Santos 1.99 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Blagoy Ivanov Tai Tuivasa 2.20 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Yan Xiaonan Angela Hill 1.62 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.73 11 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '19 Aleksandar Rakic Jimi Manuwa 1.54 11 TKO, R1 (0:47) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Devin Clark Darko Stosic 1.93 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold 2.00 11 Sub, R2 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Michel Pereira Danny Roberts 3.15 1 TKO, R1 (1:47) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Davi Ramos Austin Hubbard 1.24 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Zak Cummings Trevin Giles 2.55 1 Sub, R3 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Grant Dawson Mike Trizano 1.80 11 Sub, R2 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.33 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Livia Renata Souza Brianna Van Buren 2.10 7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Ismail Naurdiev Chance Rencountre 1.20 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Paid Pick Luke Rockhold Jan Blachowicz 1.44 11 TKO, R2 (1:39) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Paid Pick Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal 1.51 11 TKO, R1 (0:5) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Kevin Aguilar Dan Ige 1.71 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.83 11 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Sung Bin Jo Daniel Teymur 1.71 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Alexander Gustafsson Anthony Smith 1.38 11 Sub, R4 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Megan Anderson Felicia Spencer 1.63 11 Sub, R1 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.99 11 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.20 11 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Mitch Gagnon Cole Smith 1.93 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.87 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Paid Pick Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai 2.33 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Paid Pick Robbie Lawler Ben Askren 3.30 8 Sub, R1 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Paid Pick Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Paid Pick Charles Byrd Edmen Shahbazyan 2.37 5 TKO, R1 (0:38) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.36 5 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Paid Pick Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.70 11 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '19 Paid Pick Gian Villante Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.74 6 TKO, R1 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alpha Bettor: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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