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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alpha Bettor

Alpha Bettor (AlphaWager)


MMA MHandicapper - Alpha Bettor

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 122 (49%) Right 89 (59%) Right 31 (40%) Right 2 (11%)
Wrong 125 (51%) Wrong 62 (41%) Wrong 47 (60%) Wrong 16 (89%)
Avg Odds 2.25 Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 3.16 Avg Odds 3.10
Units Bet 1,892.0 Units Bet 1,430.0 Units Bet 364.5 Units Bet 97.5
Avg Bet 7.66 Avg Bet 9.47 Avg Bet 4.67 Avg Bet 5.42
Units Profit 275.55 Units Profit 222.15 Units Profit 126.73 Units Profit -73.33
ROI % 15% ROI % 16% ROI % 35% ROI % -75%
View Handicapper's Profile

Alpha Bettor: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 53 17.5 33% -4.0 / 40 (-10%) 21.5 / 13 (165%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 50 -15.7 -31% -4.7 / 30 (-16%) -6.0 / 15 (-40%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 28 19.6 70% 19.6 / 28 (70%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 99 51.7 52% 31.8 / 78 (41%) 19.8 / 21 (94%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 26 -5.0 -19% -4.0 / 15 (-27%) 2.0 / 8 (25%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 64 29.3 46% -1.0 / 44 (-2%) 30.3 / 20 (151%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 91 15.8 17% 13.1 / 66 (20%) 2.7 / 25 (11%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 87 -7.3 -8% -11.5 / 77 (-15%) 4.2 / 10 (42%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 46 55.7 121% 42.7 / 29 (147%) 15.0 / 15 (100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 84 -69.5 -83% -29.5 / 44 (-67%) -30.0 / 30 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 60 23.0 38% 21.4 / 45 (48%) 1.6 / 15 (10%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 35 17.8 51% -0.1 / 22 (-0%) 10.5 / 3 (350%) 7.4 / 10 (74%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 44 17.1 39% 17.1 / 44 (39%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 70 -1.5 -2% 5.2 / 55 (9%) 3.3 / 5 (66%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 87 27.3 31% 14.6 / 68 (21%) 10.9 / 14 (78%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 72 40.3 56% 36.3 / 52 (70%) 4.0 / 20 (20%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 77 21.7 28% 21.7 / 77 (28%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 66 29.9 45% 29.9 / 66 (45%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% -21.6 / 50 (-43%) -3.8 / 20 (-19%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% -29.0 / 42 (-69%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% 3.4 / 22 (16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% -8.6 / 55 (-16%) -1.6 / 10 (-16%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% -17.8 / 44 (-41%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% -4.1 / 55 (-7%) 25.0 / 10 (250%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% -26.3 / 55 (-48%) 26.8 / 17 (158%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% -4.8 / 16 (-30%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% -0.5 / 10 (-5%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% 27.2 / 33 (82%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% 16.5 / 11 (150%) 9.7 / 8.5 (114%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% 30.4 / 55 (55%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15 13.8 92% 13.8 / 15 (92%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% 26.6 / 55 (48%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 71 25.5 36% 35.2 / 44 (80%) -4.7 / 22 (-21%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 21 (60%)
Losing Events: 14 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 54.06 units
Most Staked On One Event: 99.00 units
Best Event: 55.72 units
Worst Event: -69.48 units
Average Event: 7.87 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 148.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -104.98

Alpha Bettor: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 1476 180.5 12% 121.0 / 1148 (11%) 103.3 / 260 (40%) -43.8 / 68 (-64%) 14 / 10 (58%) 7.52
2018 416 95.1 23% 101.2 / 282 (36%) 23.4 / 104.5 (22%) -29.5 / 29.5 (-100%) 7 / 4 (64%) 8.64

Alpha Bettor: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alpha Bettor: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1878 269.7 14% 225.1 / 1427 (16%) 117.9 / 353.5 (33%) -73.3 / 97.5 (-75%)
Bellator 11 8.8 80% 8.8 / 11 (80%)
Other 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Alpha Bettor: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 29 (19%) 22 76 % 309.00 -1.38 -0.05 -0%
Slight Favorites 52 (34%) 30 58 % 525.00 -5.63 -0.11 -1%
Slight Underdogs 52 (34%) 28 54 % 483.00 126.91 2.44 26%
Big Underdogs 18 (12%) 9 50 % 113.00 102.25 5.68 90%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 19 (13%) 12 63 % 196.00 87.36 4.60 45%
Co-Main Event 17 (11%) 8 47 % 153.00 8.42 0.50 6%
Position 3-5 42 (28%) 22 52 % 401.00 -5.11 -0.12 -1%
6+ (Undercard) 72 (48%) 46 64 % 669.00 125.10 1.74 19%

Alpha Bettor: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (7%) 6 60 % 103.00 29.22 2.92 28%
Light Heavy 17 (11%) 7 41 % 154.00 -44.52 -2.62 -29%
Middleweight 15 (10%) 10 67 % 136.00 69.80 4.65 51%
Welterweight 20 (13%) 10 50 % 182.00 -14.81 -0.74 -8%
Lightweight 21 (14%) 16 76 % 208.00 71.89 3.42 35%
Featherweight 15 (10%) 8 53 % 146.00 -7.08 -0.47 -5%
Bantamweight 16 (11%) 6 38 % 144.00 -11.76 -0.74 -8%
Flyweight 5 (3%) 3 60 % 49.00 22.17 4.43 45%
               
Women's Fights 32 (21%) 23 72 % 308.00 107.24 3.35 35%
Featherweight 4 (3%) 1 25 % 44.00 -29.37 -7.34 -67%
Bantamweight 8 (5%) 8 100 % 79.00 77.00 9.63 97%
Bantamweight 10 (7%) 5 50 % 91.00 -3.05 -0.31 -3%
Strawweight 10 (7%) 9 90 % 94.00 62.66 6.27 67%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 31 (62%) 20 65 %
Slight Favorites 10 (20%) 5 50 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (14%) 4 57 %
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 1 50 %
50 30 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (5%) 0 0 %
50-65% 16 (19%) 12 75 %
35-50% 12 (14%) 8 67 %
<35% chance 52 (62%) 11 21 %
84 31 37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (8%) 5 71 % 1.59 2.40Pick was correct 1.30Pick was incorrect 1.9 (27%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (5%) 4 100 % 2.05 2.52Pick was correct 1.78Pick was correct 4.4 (110%)
Goes to Decision 3 (4%) 0 0 % 1.58 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.43Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (5%) 1 25 % 1.83 2.45Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -2.2 (-55%)
X Wins by KO 16 (19%) 5 31 % 3.61 9.10Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct 2.6 (16%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (6%) 0 0 % 3.68 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 18 (21%) 7 39 % 3.62 11.50Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct 13.2 (74%)
X Wins Inside Distance 25 (30%) 9 36 % 3.94 13.79Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 23.1 (93%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (2%) 0 0 % 4.88 6.25Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
84 31 37 % 3.01     33.1 (39%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alpha Bettor's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Oct UFC 229 71 25.5 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,254.70
13th Oct Bellator 208 11 8.8 80% $12.55 $1,254.70 $1,365.11
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 56.5 25.1 44% $13.65 $1,365.11 $1,708.02
3rd Nov UFC 230 15 13.8 92% $17.08 $1,708.02 $1,943.38
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 55 30.4 55% $19.43 $1,943.38 $2,533.40
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22 23.7 108% $25.33 $2,533.40 $3,133.81
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 39 21.2 54% $31.34 $3,133.81 $3,797.25
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 -3.0 -100% $37.97 $3,797.25 $3,683.33
30th Nov TUF Finale 18.5 -9.0 -49% $36.83 $3,683.33 $3,349.99
8th Dec UFC 231 42 -30.8 -73% $33.50 $3,349.99 $2,316.52
29th Dec UFC 232 83 -10.4 -13% $23.17 $2,316.52 $2,074.67
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 68 17.9 26% $20.75 $2,074.67 $2,446.65
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 44 -17.8 -41% $24.47 $2,446.65 $2,010.65
9th Feb UFC 234 70 -15.2 -22% $20.11 $2,010.65 $1,704.44
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 27 -1.6 -6% $17.04 $1,704.44 $1,677.34
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 53 -40.0 -75% $19.99 $16.77 $1,677.34 $987.08
2nd Mar UFC 235 75 -30.4 -41% $19.99 $9.87 $987.08 $667.22
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 66 29.9 45% $19.99 $6.67 $667.22 $846.86
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 77 21.7 28% $8.47 $846.86 $1,030.38
11th May UFC 237 72 40.3 56% $10.30 $1,030.38 $1,445.41
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 87 27.3 31% $14.45 $1,445.41 $1,840.38
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 70 -1.5 -2% $18.40 $1,840.38 $1,812.23
8th Jun UFC 238 44 17.1 39% $18.12 $1,812.23 $2,121.21
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 35 17.8 51% $21.21 $2,121.21 $2,498.33
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 60 23.0 38% $24.98 $2,498.33 $3,072.94
6th Jul UFC 239 84 -69.5 -83% $19.99 $30.73 $3,072.94 $917.87
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 46 55.7 121% $19.99 $9.18 $917.87 $1,409.30
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 87 -7.3 -8% $19.99 $14.09 $1,409.30 $1,285.73
27th Jul UFC 240 91 15.8 17% $19.99 $12.86 $1,285.73 $1,468.76
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 64 29.3 46% $19.99 $14.69 $1,468.76 $1,878.53
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 26 -5.0 -19% $19.99 $18.79 $1,878.53 $1,764.61
17th Aug UFC 241 99 51.7 52% $19.99 $17.65 $1,764.61 $2,656.37
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 28 19.6 70% $19.99 $26.56 $2,656.37 $3,157.55
7th Sep UFC 242 50 -15.7 -31% $19.99 $31.58 $3,157.55 $2,642.45
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 53 17.5 33% $19.99 $26.42 $2,642.45 $3,084.86


ROI % from starting bank balance: 208.49% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alpha Bettor: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '19 Paid Pick Glover Teixeira Nikita Krylov 2.07 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Paid Pick Glover Teixeira Nikita Krylov 2.05 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Paid Pick Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone 1.54 10 TKO, R1 (4:18) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '19 Paid Pick Sarah Moras Liana Jojua 2.39 5 TKO, R3 (2:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Paid Pick Omari Akhmedov Zak Cummings 1.91 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Kenan Song Derrick Krantz 1.93 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Paid Pick Weili Zhang Jessica Andrade 2.64 8 TKO, R1 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Paid Pick Li Jingliang Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 3.37 5 TKO, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Drakkar Klose Christos Giagos 1.65 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Hannah Cifers Jodie Esquibel 1.38 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Sabina Mazo Shana Dobson 1.80 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Paid Pick Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.20 10 TKO, R4 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Paid Pick Derek Brunson Ian Heinisch 2.33 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Paulo Costa Yoel Romero 2.38 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Paid Pick Veronica Macedo Polyana Viana 2.20 5 Sub, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Paid Pick Lauren Murphy Mara Romero Borella 2.64 11 TKO, R3 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '19 Paid Pick Scott Holtzman Dong Hyun Ma 1.27 11 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Erik Koch Kyle Stewart 2.00 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Paid Pick Viviane Araujo Alexis Davis 1.49 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '19 Paid Pick Antonio Carlos Junior Urijah Hall 1.61 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Paid Pick Jim Crute Misha Cirkunov 1.98 10 Sub, R1 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Paid Pick Andrea Lee Joanne Calderwood 1.49 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Paid Pick Yanan Wu Mizuki Inoue 2.01 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Paid Pick Mark Delarosa Kai Kara-France 3.12 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '19 Paid Pick Edson Barboza Paul Felder 1.69 8 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Gabriel Benitez Sodiq Yusuff 3.48 4 TKO, R1 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Manny Bermudez Casey Kenney 1.67 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Brandon Davis Kyung Ho Kang 2.90 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Paid Pick Anthony Pettis Nate Diaz 1.80 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Chris Gutierrez 2.23 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Paid Pick Mike Perry Vicente Luque 2.95 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Paid Pick Lucie Pudilova Antonina Shevchenko 2.30 11 Sub, R2 (1:20) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Paid Pick Darko Stosic Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.83 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 2.31 11 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Paid Pick Frankie Edgar Max Holloway 4.25 11 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Paid Pick Gabriel Silva Ray Borg 2.76 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Steven Peterson Alex Caceres 2.33 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Paid Pick Francisco Trinaldo Alexander Hernandez 2.70 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Paid Pick Juan Adams Greg Hardy 1.91 11 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alpha Bettor: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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