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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dave Bets_

Dave Bets_ (DaveBets_)


MMA MHandicapper - Dave Bets_

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 19 (56%) Right 9 (64%) Right 2 (40%) Right 8 (53%)
Wrong 15 (44%) Wrong 5 (36%) Wrong 3 (60%) Wrong 7 (47%)
Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.97
Units Bet 63.5 Units Bet 30.5 Units Bet 7.0 Units Bet 26.0
Avg Bet 1.87 Avg Bet 2.18 Avg Bet 1.40 Avg Bet 1.73
Units Profit 3.45 Units Profit 2.04 Units Profit -2.29 Units Profit 3.69
ROI % 5% ROI % 7% ROI % -33% ROI % 14%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 4 -2.0 -50% 0.0 / 2 (0%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 8.5 0.6 7% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.1 / 7 (30%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 1.5 1.5 102% 1.5 / 1.5 (102%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 4 0.2 5% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.2 / 2 (110%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 6.5 2.7 42% 1.0 / 3 (32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.8 / 2.5 (110%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 5 3.1 62% 3.1 / 5 (62%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 16 1.7 11% 2.8 / 12.5 (22%) -1.1 / 3.5 (-31%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 15 -1.4 -10% 0.3 / 11 (2%) 1.3 / 1 (130%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)


Winning Events: 6 (67%)
Losing Events: 3 (33%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 63.5 3.5 5% 2.0 / 30.5 (7%) -2.3 / 7 (-33%) 3.7 / 26 (14%) 6 / 3 (67%) 0.38

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 63.5 3.5 5% 2.0 / 30.5 (7%) -2.3 / 7 (-33%) 3.7 / 26 (14%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (21%) 3 100 % 16.50 3.38 1.13 20%
Slight Favorites 6 (43%) 4 67 % 8.00 0.66 0.11 8%
Slight Underdogs 5 (36%) 2 40 % 6.00 -1.99 -0.40 -33%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (14%) 2 100 % 2.00 2.01 1.01 101%
Co-Main Event 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Position 3-5 3 (21%) 2 67 % 7.50 1.17 0.39 16%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (50%) 4 57 % 18.00 -0.58 -0.08 -3%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (7%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Light Heavy 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.50 0.66 0.66 44%
Middleweight 1 (7%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Welterweight 2 (14%) 1 50 % 3.00 -1.05 -0.52 -35%
Lightweight 2 (14%) 2 100 % 15.00 2.72 1.36 18%
Featherweight 3 (21%) 3 100 % 3.00 2.96 0.99 99%
               
Women's Fights 4 (29%) 2 50 % 5.50 -0.75 -0.19 -14%
Bantamweight 3 (21%) 2 67 % 4.00 0.75 0.25 19%
Strawweight 1 (7%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 23 (85%) 18 78 %
Slight Favorites 4 (15%) 4 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
27 22 81 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (55%) 4 67 %
50-65% 3 (27%) 1 33 %
35-50% 2 (18%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
11 6 55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (9%) 0 0 % 1.75 1.75Pick was incorrect 1.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 1 (9%) 0 0 % 1.51 1.51Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (9%) 1 100 % 1.37 1.37Pick was correct 1.37Pick was correct 0.4 (37%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (18%) 2 100 % 1.31 1.44Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect 0.6 (32%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (55%) 3 50 % 1.72 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct -0.8 (-14%)
11 6 55 % 1.58     -1.8 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Oct UFC 229 15 -1.4 -10% $20 $10.00 $1,000.00 $965.74
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 16 1.7 11% $20 $9.66 $965.74 $962.37
3rd Nov UFC 230 5 3.1 62% $20 $9.62 $962.37 $972.39
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 6.5 2.7 42% $20 $9.72 $972.39 $978.79
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 4 0.2 5% $20 $9.79 $978.79 $960.69
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 3 -3.0 -100% $20 $9.61 $960.69 $911.87
30th Nov TUF Finale 1.5 1.5 102% $20 $9.12 $911.87 $905.85
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 8.5 0.6 7% $20 $9.06 $905.85 $891.25
8th Dec UFC 231 4 -2.0 -50% $20 $8.91 $891.25 $853.42


ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.66% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Paid Pick Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.00 1 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Paid Pick Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.01 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Paid Pick Bobby Moffett Chas Skelly 1.95 1 Sub, R2 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '18 Paid Pick Gian Villante Ed Herman 1.44 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '18 Paid Pick Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 1.95 1 TKO, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '18 Paid Pick Nasrat Haqparast Thibault Gouti 1.12 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '18 Paid Pick Aspen Ladd Tonya Evinger 1.63 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Paid Pick Yana Kunitskaya Lina Lansberg 1.54 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Paid Pick Tony Ferguson Anthony Pettis 1.30 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Paid Pick Eryk Anders Elias Theodorou 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Paid Pick Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Paid Pick Raquel Pennington Germaine de Randamie 2.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '18 Paid Pick Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.82 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '18 Paid Pick Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.59 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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