MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: DanShot Insight

DanShot Insight (DanShotInsight)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	81 (45%)	Right	53 (54%)	Right	25 (37%)	Right	3 (21%)
Wrong	100 (55%)	Wrong	46 (46%)	Wrong	43 (63%)	Wrong	11 (79%)
Avg Odds	2.30	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	2.87	Avg Odds	2.75
Units Bet	381.2	Units Bet	228.3	Units Bet	127.9	Units Bet	25.0
Avg Bet	2.11	Avg Bet	2.31	Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	1.79
Units Profit	7.83	Units Profit	14.93	Units Profit	3.17	Units Profit	-10.27
ROI %	2%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	-41%

DanShot Insight: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	3.75	1.5	40%	1.5 / 3.75 (40%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	15	8.7	58%	8.8 / 8 (110%)	1.8 / 5 (37%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	7	2.0	29%	1.3 / 5 (26%)	1.2 / 1.5 (83%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	8	3.7	47%	3.7 / 8 (47%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	3	-0.4	-13%	-0.4 / 3 (-13%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	13	-0.7	-6%	1.8 / 10.5 (17%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	14.5	-3.6	-25%	-3.6 / 14.5 (-25%)
1st Nov '19	Combate 48	1	1.3	125%	1.3 / 1 (125%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	6	19.5	326%	19.5 / 6 (326%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	21	-1.1	-5%	7.9 / 12 (66%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	35	5.4	15%	-0.0 / 7 (-0%)	5.4 / 28 (19%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	26.4	-3.3	-12%	-5.1 / 13.5 (-38%)	1.8 / 12.9 (14%)
4th May '19	Bellator Birmingham	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	6	-1.5	-25%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.5 / 4 (13%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	10	3.6	36%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.6 / 8 (70%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	14	-14.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	23	-4.9	-21%	2.6 / 9 (29%)	-2.5 / 9 (-28%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	18.5	0.8	4%	1.3 / 11 (12%)	1.5 / 5.5 (27%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	Cage Warriors 100	3	-0.8	-27%	-0.8 / 3 (-27%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	12	-3.8	-32%	-3.1 / 7 (-44%)	-0.7 / 5 (-14%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	4.5	2.0	44%	3.5 / 3 (117%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	17.5	12.8	73%	5.0 / 5 (99%)	6.0 / 9.5 (63%)	1.8 / 3 (60%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	26.5	-11.9	-45%	-12.1 / 21 (-58%)	1.2 / 4.5 (27%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	30	2.4	8%	2.1 / 18.5 (11%)	-2.6 / 7 (-37%)	2.9 / 4.5 (64%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	10	-4.0	-40%	-4.0 / 10 (-40%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	2	1.8	91%	1.8 / 2 (91%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	22	-6.5	-30%	-5.5 / 13.5 (-41%)	2.5 / 5 (50%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	4.5	2.4	53%	1.3 / 3 (44%)		1.1 / 1.5 (71%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	19	1.5	8%	0.1 / 16 (1%)	1.4 / 3 (47%)

Winning Events: 15 (50%)
Losing Events: 15 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.71 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 19.54 units
Worst Event: -14.00 units
Average Event: 0.26 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 20.79
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -18.93

DanShot Insight: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	49.75	14.8	30%	16.7 / 38.25 (44%)	0.6 / 9 (6%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	4 / 2 (67%)	2.47
2019	124.9	15.3	12%	11.0 / 63 (17%)	6.3 / 59.9 (11%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	4 / 6 (40%)	1.53
2018	206.5	-22.3	-11%	-12.8 / 127 (-10%)	-3.7 / 59 (-6%)	-5.8 / 20.5 (-28%)	7 / 7 (50%)	-1.59

DanShot Insight: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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DanShot Insight: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	369.65	4.2	1%	12.3 / 218.25 (6%)	3.2 / 127.9 (2%)	-11.3 / 23.5 (-48%)
Bellator	7.5	3.2	43%	2.1 / 6 (36%)		1.1 / 1.5 (71%)
Other	4	0.5	11%	0.5 / 4 (11%)

DanShot Insight: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	16 (16%)	13	81 %	59.00	7.60	0.48	13%
Slight Favorites	35 (35%)	20	57 %	83.00	-5.51	-0.16	-7%
Slight Underdogs	31 (31%)	15	48 %	57.50	-2.42	-0.08	-4%
Big Underdogs	17 (17%)	5	29 %	28.75	15.26	0.90	53%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (11%)	5	45 %	27.00	-4.89	-0.44	-18%
Co-Main Event	8 (8%)	6	75 %	20.00	5.56	0.70	28%
Position 3-5	25 (25%)	14	56 %	64.00	13.11	0.52	20%
6+ (Undercard)	54 (55%)	27	50 %	114.25	-0.86	-0.02	-1%

DanShot Insight: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (6%)	4	67 %	12.50	2.49	0.42	20%
Light Heavy	8 (8%)	2	25 %	19.00	-9.61	-1.20	-51%
Middleweight	12 (12%)	8	67 %	28.50	3.43	0.29	12%
Welterweight	15 (15%)	9	60 %	32.00	19.00	1.27	59%
Lightweight	10 (10%)	5	50 %	20.50	-4.19	-0.42	-20%
Featherweight	15 (15%)	7	47 %	32.75	0.05	0.00	0%
Bantamweight	10 (10%)	4	40 %	19.00	-2.58	-0.26	-14%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	2	67 %	9.00	0.73	0.24	8%

Women's Fights	20 (20%)	12	60 %	55.00	5.61	0.28	10%
Bantamweight	5 (5%)	4	80 %	9.50	4.42	0.88	47%
Flyweight	5 (5%)	4	80 %	18.00	6.02	1.20	33%
Strawweight	10 (10%)	4	40 %	27.50	-4.83	-0.48	-18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	19 (66%)	15	79 %
Slight Favorites	6 (21%)	3	50 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (14%)	2	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	29	20	69 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (9%)	6	86 %
50-65%	19 (25%)	9	47 %
35-50%	13 (17%)	7	54 %
<35% chance	38 (49%)	8	21 %
	77	30	39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (10%)	3	38 %	1.91	2.95	1.50	-2.7 (-34%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (4%)	2	67 %	1.85	2.00	1.73	0.7 (24%)
Goes to Decision	3 (4%)	2	67 %	2.23	3.40	1.67	0.9 (29%)
Does not go to Decision	11 (14%)	7	64 %	1.61	2.05	1.30	-0.3 (-2%)
X Wins by KO	13 (17%)	6	46 %	2.72	10.00	1.50	4.3 (33%)
X Wins by Sub	11 (14%)	3	27 %	4.79	14.00	1.83	-0.4 (-4%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (6%)	1	20 %	3.24	7.50	1.67	-1.8 (-36%)
X Wins Inside Distance	14 (18%)	3	21 %	3.29	11.00	1.45	-3.3 (-24%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (3%)	0	0 %	7.49	11.75	5.50	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	7 (9%)	3	43 %	3.13	9.00	1.73	1.1 (16%)
	77	30	39 %	2.62			-3.6 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail DanShot Insight's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	19	1.5	8%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,015.19
29th Sep	Bellator 206	4.5	2.4	53%		$10.15	$1,015.19	$1,039.45
6th Oct	UFC 229	22	-6.5	-30%		$10.39	$1,039.45	$971.99
13th Oct	Bellator 208	2	1.8	91%		$9.72	$971.99	$989.68
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	10	-4.0	-40%		$9.90	$989.68	$950.09
3rd Nov	UFC 230	30	2.4	8%		$9.50	$950.09	$972.49
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	26.5	-11.9	-45%		$9.72	$972.49	$857.06
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	17.5	12.8	73%		$8.57	$857.06	$966.36
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	4.5	2.0	44%		$9.66	$966.36	$985.69
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	12	-3.8	-32%		$9.86	$985.69	$948.23
8th Dec	Cage Warriors 100	3	-0.8	-27%		$9.48	$948.23	$940.64
8th Dec	UFC 231	18.5	0.8	4%		$9.41	$940.64	$948.08
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	23	-4.9	-21%		$9.48	$948.08	$901.30
29th Dec	UFC 232	14	-14.0	-100%		$9.01	$901.30	$775.12
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	10	3.6	36%		$7.75	$775.12	$803.02
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	6	-1.5	-25%		$8.03	$803.02	$790.98
4th May	Bellator Birmingham	1	-1.0	-100%		$7.91	$790.98	$783.07
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	26.4	-3.3	-12%		$7.83	$783.07	$757.40
6th Jul	UFC 239	35	5.4	15%		$7.57	$757.40	$798.22
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	4	-4.0	-100%		$7.98	$798.22	$766.29
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	21	-1.1	-5%		$7.66	$766.29	$757.97
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	6	19.5	326%		$7.58	$757.97	$906.07
1st Nov	Combate 48	1	1.3	125%		$9.06	$906.07	$917.40
2nd Nov	UFC 244	14.5	-3.6	-25%		$9.17	$917.40	$884.19
18th Jan	UFC 246	13	-0.7	-6%		$8.84	$884.19	$877.73
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	3	-0.4	-13%		$8.78	$877.73	$874.22
8th Mar	UFC 248	8	3.7	47%		$8.74	$874.22	$906.83
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	7	2.0	29%		$9.07	$906.83	$925.37
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	15	8.7	58%		$9.25	$925.37	$1,005.58
15th Aug	UFC 252	3.75	1.5	40%		$10.06	$1,005.58	$1,020.51

ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

DanShot Insight: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Chris Daukaus	Parker Porter	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (4:28)
2.	Aug '20	Livia Renata Souza	Ashley Yoder	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jun '20	Marc-Andre Barriault	Oskar Piechota	1.91	1	TKO, R2 (4:50)
4.	Jun '20	Tecia Torres	Brianna Van Buren	2.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jun '20	Gillian Robertson	Cortney Casey	1.91	3	Sub, R3 (4:36)
6.	Jun '20	Belal Muhammad	Lyman Good	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '20	Katlyn Chookagian	Antonina Shevchenko	2.10	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '20	Israel Adesanya	Yoel Romero	1.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Mar '20	Gerald Meerschaert	Deron Winn	2.20	1	Sub, R3 (2:13)
10.	Mar '20	Alex Oliveira	Max Griffin	1.73	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '20	Giga Chikadze	Jamall Emmers	2.50	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '20	Spike Carlyle	Aalon Cruz	2.60	1	TKO, R1 (1:25)
13.	Jan '20	Holly Holm	Raquel Pennington	1.77	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jan '20	Aleksei Oleinik	Maurice Greene	2.10	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:38)
15.	Jan '20	Askar Askarov	Tim Elliott	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jan '20	Drew Dober	Nasrat Haqparast	3.75	1	TKO, R1 (1:10)
17.	Nov '19	Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	1.81	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Nov '19	Edmen Shahbazyan	Brad Tavares	1.91	3	TKO, R1 (2:27)
19.	Nov '19	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Andrei Arlovski	1.67	2	TKO, R1 (0:29)
20.	Nov '19	Gilbert Urbina	Angelo Trevino	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Tony Kelley	Kai Kamaka	2.90	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '20	Louis Smolka	Casey Kenney	3.40	1	Sub, R1 (3:3)	No
3.	May '20	Klidson Farias de Abreu	Jamahal Hill	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (1:51)	No
4.	Mar '20	Guido Cannetti	Danaa Batgerel	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (3:1)	No
5.	Mar '20	Jose Quinonez	Sean O'Malley	4.00	1	TKO, R1 (2:2)	No
6.	Feb '20	Tom Breese	Brendan Allen	1.77	2	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
7.	Jan '20	Andre Fili	Sodiq Yusuff	2.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '20	Anthony Pettis	Carlos Diego Ferreira	3.00	1.5	Sub, R2 (1:46)	No
9.	Jan '20	J.J. Aldrich	Sabina Mazo	1.95	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Nov '19	Blagoy Ivanov	Derrick Lewis	1.83	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Nov '19	Julio Arce	Hakeem Dawodu	2.10	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Nov '19	Chance Rencountre	Lyman Good	2.20	2	TKO, R3 (2:3)	No
13.	Nov '19	Nate Diaz	Jorge Masvidal	2.65	2	TKO, R3 (5:0)	No
14.	Aug '19	Polyana Viana	Veronica Macedo	2.10	4	Sub, R1 (1:9)	No
15.	Jul '19	Alejandro Perez	Yadong Song	2.80	2	TKO, R1 (2:4)	No
16.	May '19	Brad Katona	Merab Dvalishvili	2.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	May '19	Kyle Nelson	Matt Sayles	2.90	1	Sub, R3 (3:16)	No
18.	May '19	Elias Theodorou	Derek Brunson	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	May '19	Al Iaquinta	Donald Cerrone	1.85	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	May '19	Tim Wilde	Brent Primus	4.50	1	Sub, R1 (1:20)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

DanShot Insight: Progress Chart

Chart

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