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MMA Handicapper Stats: Gooner Tom

Gooner Tom (goonert)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	92 (71%)	Right	80 (72%)	Right	8 (62%)	Right	4 (80%)
Wrong	37 (29%)	Wrong	31 (28%)	Wrong	5 (38%)	Wrong	1 (20%)
Avg Odds	1.57	Avg Odds	1.56	Avg Odds	1.61	Avg Odds	1.62
Units Bet	205.5	Units Bet	172.0	Units Bet	19.5	Units Bet	14.0
Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	1.55	Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	2.80
Units Profit	26.13	Units Profit	20.30	Units Profit	2.60	Units Profit	3.23
ROI %	13%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	23%

Gooner Tom: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	13	2.8	22%	2.8 / 13 (22%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	14	4.5	32%	3.1 / 12 (26%)	0.7 / 1 (71%)	0.6 / 1 (64%)
4th Aug '23	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	10.5	0.9	9%	0.9 / 10.5 (9%)
16th Feb '19	Bellator 216	5	-0.7	-15%	1.3 / 3 (42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	10	5.5	55%	3.5 / 7 (50%)	1.9 / 3 (64%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	5	-0.7	-14%	0.3 / 2.5 (12%)	-1.0 / 2.5 (-41%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10	0.8	8%	-0.4 / 7 (-5%)	1.2 / 3 (39%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	13	-3.1	-24%	-3.1 / 13 (-24%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	18	5.2	29%	4.3 / 15 (29%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.9 / 2 (93%)
20th Oct '18	Cage Warriors 98	5	1.7	33%	1.7 / 5 (33%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	5	-1.6	-31%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.4 / 2 (71%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	27	-0.1	-0%	-1.1 / 16 (-7%)	1.4 / 5 (27%)	-0.4 / 6 (-7%)
5th Oct '18	PFL 8	12	0.1	1%	-1.0 / 7 (-15%)		1.1 / 5 (22%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	24	7.3	31%	7.3 / 24 (31%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	34	3.5	10%	3.5 / 34 (10%)

Winning Events: 10 (67%)
Losing Events: 5 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.70 units
Most Staked On One Event: 34.00 units
Best Event: 7.34 units
Worst Event: -3.08 units
Average Event: 1.74 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.90
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -3.08

Gooner Tom: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	37.5	8.3	22%	6.9 / 35.5 (19%)		0.6 / 1 (64%)	3 / (100%)	2.76
2019	30	4.8	16%	4.7 / 19.5 (24%)	0.1 / 10.5 (1%)		2 / 2 (50%)	1.21
2018	138	13.0	9%	8.6 / 117 (7%)	1.8 / 8 (22%)	2.6 / 13 (20%)	5 / 3 (63%)	1.63

Gooner Tom: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Gooner Tom: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	163	26.5	16%	20.2 / 141 (14%)	4.2 / 13 (32%)	2.1 / 9 (24%)
Bellator	15	-3.0	-20%	-1.4 / 8.5 (-17%)	-1.6 / 6.5 (-25%)
PFL	22.5	1.0	4%	-0.1 / 17.5 (-1%)		1.1 / 5 (22%)
Other	5	1.7	33%	1.7 / 5 (33%)

Gooner Tom: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	62 (56%)	51	82 %	110.00	12.37	0.20	11%
Slight Favorites	26 (23%)	18	69 %	35.00	5.97	0.23	17%
Slight Underdogs	18 (16%)	10	56 %	23.00	3.01	0.17	13%
Big Underdogs	5 (5%)	1	20 %	4.00	-1.05	-0.21	-26%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (10%)	4	36 %	16.00	-7.46	-0.68	-47%
Co-Main Event	10 (9%)	6	60 %	16.50	2.73	0.27	17%
Position 3-5	35 (32%)	26	74 %	53.50	8.85	0.25	17%
6+ (Undercard)	54 (49%)	44	81 %	83.00	19.19	0.36	23%

Gooner Tom: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	14 (13%)	7	50 %	23.50	-4.12	-0.29	-18%
Light Heavy	16 (14%)	11	69 %	20.50	2.45	0.15	12%
Middleweight	11 (10%)	8	73 %	18.00	4.70	0.43	26%
Welterweight	15 (14%)	14	93 %	25.00	8.43	0.56	34%
Lightweight	16 (14%)	11	69 %	29.00	4.77	0.30	16%
Featherweight	14 (13%)	9	64 %	16.00	-0.38	-0.03	-2%
Bantamweight	7 (6%)	7	100 %	14.00	4.04	0.58	29%
Flyweight	5 (5%)	2	40 %	6.00	-3.02	-0.60	-50%

Women's Fights	13 (12%)	11	85 %	20.00	3.44	0.26	17%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	4.00	-1.55	-0.77	-39%
Flyweight	7 (6%)	6	86 %	9.00	3.43	0.49	38%
Strawweight	4 (4%)	4	100 %	7.00	1.56	0.39	22%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	6 (100%)	5	83 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	6	5	83 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (61%)	8	73 %
50-65%	5 (28%)	3	60 %
35-50%	1 (6%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (6%)	1	100 %
	18	12	67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.48	1.48	1.48	0.5 (48%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.32	1.32	1.32	0.3 (32%)
Goes to Decision	4 (22%)	3	75 %	1.36	1.49	1.26	0.2 (5%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (22%)	2	50 %	1.33	1.38	1.27	-1.4 (-35%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (6%)	0	0 %	2.08	2.08	2.08	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (11%)	1	50 %	1.82	1.94	1.71	-0.3 (-14%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (28%)	4	80 %	1.77	3.45	1.48	3.2 (64%)
	18	12	67 %	1.53			1.5 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Gooner Tom's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	34	3.5	10%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,034.94
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	24	7.3	31%		$10.35	$1,034.94	$1,110.90
5th Oct	PFL 8	12	0.1	1%		$11.11	$1,110.90	$1,111.63
6th Oct	UFC 229	27	-0.1	-0%		$11.12	$1,111.63	$1,110.54
13th Oct	Bellator 208	5	-1.6	-31%		$11.11	$1,110.54	$1,093.09
20th Oct	Cage Warriors 98	5	1.7	33%		$10.93	$1,093.09	$1,111.34
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	18	5.2	29%		$11.11	$1,111.34	$1,169.17
3rd Nov	UFC 230	13	-3.1	-24%		$11.69	$1,169.17	$1,133.15
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10	0.8	8%		$11.33	$1,133.15	$1,142.47
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	5	-0.7	-14%		$11.42	$1,142.47	$1,134.20
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	10	5.5	55%		$11.34	$1,134.20	$1,196.16
16th Feb	Bellator 216	5	-0.7	-15%		$11.96	$1,196.16	$1,187.46
4th Aug	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	10.5	0.9	9%		$11.87	$1,187.46	$1,198.64
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	14	4.5	32%		$11.99	$1,198.64	$1,252.58
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	13	2.8	22%		$12.53	$1,252.58	$1,288.03

ROI % from starting bank balance: 28.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Gooner Tom: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '23	Luana Santos	Juliana Miller	1.69	1	TKO, R1 (3:41)
2.	Aug '23	DaMon Blackshear	Jose Johnson	1.38	1	Sub, R1 (3:47)
3.	Aug '23	Jaqueline Amorim	Montserrat Ruiz	1.43	1	TKO, R3 (3:41)
4.	Aug '23	Martin Buday	Josh Parisian	1.51	1	Sub, R1 (4:11)
5.	Aug '23	Marcus McGhee	J.P. Buys	1.30	1	TKO, R1 (2:19)
6.	Aug '23	Terrance McKinney	Mike Breeden	1.37	1	TKO, R1 (1:25)
7.	Aug '23	Josh Fremd	Jamie Pickett	1.32	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '23	AJ Dobson	Tafon Nchukwi	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '23	Iasmin Lucindo	Polyana Viana	1.53	1	Sub, R2 (3:42)
10.	Aug '23	Vicente Luque	Rafael dos Anjos	2.05	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Aug '23	Sean Woodson	Dennis Buzukja	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '23	Kyler Phillips	Raoni Barcelos	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Aug '23	Ludovit Klein	Ignacio Bahamondes	2.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Aug '23	Tanner Boser	Aleksa Camur	1.77	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Aug '23	Diego Lopes	Gavin Tucker	1.62	1	Sub, R1 (1:38)
16.	Aug '23	Tatiana Suarez	Jessica Andrade	1.27	1	Sub, R2 (1:31)
17.	Aug '23	Cory Sandhagen	Rob Font	1.30	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Aug '23	Billy Quarantillo	Damon Jackson	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '23	Assu Almabaev	Ode Osbourne	1.53	1	Sub, R2 (3:11)
20.	Aug '23	Billy Elekana	Chuck Campbell	1.49	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '23	Francis Marshall	Isaac Dulgarian	1.57	1	TKO, R1 (4:48)	No
2.	Aug '23	Chris Daukaus	Khalil Rountree	2.50	1	TKO, R1 (2:40)	No
3.	Aug '23	Hakeem Dawodu	Cub Swanson	1.44	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '23	Jake Hadley	Cody Durden	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '23	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Dustin Jacoby	1.67	1	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
6.	Aug '23	Jeremiah Wells	Carlston Harris	2.05	1	Sub, R3 (1:50)	No
7.	Aug '23	Keoni Diggs	Elvin Espinoza	2.18	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '23	Ty Flores	Joshua Silveira	5.75	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:46)	No
9.	Aug '23	Bubba Jenkins	Jesus Pinedo	1.31	2	TKO, R2 (4:40)	No
10.	Feb '19	Anthony Hernandez	Markus Perez	1.69	1	Sub, R2 (1:7)	No
11.	Jan '19	J.W. Kiser	Jake Hager	6.00	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:9)	No
12.	Jan '19	Ariane Lipski	Joanne Wood	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jan '19	T.J. Dillashaw	Henry Cejudo	1.48	1	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
14.	Nov '18	Adam Wieczorek	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	1.48	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Nov '18	Jason Knight	Jordan Rinaldi	1.41	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '18	Julio Arce	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	1.43	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '18	David Branch	Jared Cannonier	1.31	1	TKO, R2 (0:29)	No
18.	Nov '18	Chris Weidman	Ronaldo Souza	1.65	1	TKO, R3 (2:46)	No
19.	Oct '18	Jessin Ayari	Stevie Ray	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '18	Te Edwards	Don Madge	1.22	1	TKO, R2 (0:14)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Gooner Tom: Progress Chart

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