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MMA Handicapper Stats: Matts MMAtips

Matts MMAtips (MattsMMAtips)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Matts MMAtips

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 72 (31%) Right 49 (45%) Right 12 (27%) Right 11 (14%)
Wrong 160 (69%) Wrong 59 (55%) Wrong 32 (73%) Wrong 69 (86%)
Avg Odds 3.25 Avg Odds 2.30 Avg Odds 2.83 Avg Odds 9.07
Units Bet 307.2 Units Bet 212.0 Units Bet 62.9 Units Bet 32.3
Avg Bet 1.32 Avg Bet 1.96 Avg Bet 1.43 Avg Bet 0.40
Units Profit 3.39 Units Profit 5.82 Units Profit -4.85 Units Profit 2.42
ROI % 1% ROI % 3% ROI % -8% ROI % 7%
View Handicapper's Profile

Matts MMAtips: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 10.5 4.8 46% 1.8 / 6 (30%) 3.5 / 4 (87%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 5.5 2.6 47% 3.1 / 5 (61%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 8 3.8 47% -0.8 / 3.5 (-21%) 5.5 / 3.5 (157%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 5 16.0 320% 8.1 / 4 (201%) 7.9 / 1 (794%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 3.5 -1.3 -37% -0.8 / 3 (-27%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 10.5 -5.5 -52% -4.0 / 9 (-44%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 3.5 7.0 200% 4.3 / 3 (142%) 2.8 / 0.5 (550%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 4.5 3.4 75% 3.9 / 4 (97%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 8.5 -8.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 7 -1.7 -25% -0.7 / 6 (-12%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 7.5 2.8 37% 4.3 / 6 (71%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 4.5 -2.3 -51% -1.8 / 4 (-45%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 13 -13.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 5 12.2 243% 4.9 / 4 (123%) 7.3 / 1 (726%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 4.5 2.5 56% 3.0 / 4 (75%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 7.5 -1.7 -23% -1.2 / 7 (-18%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 9 -1.1 -12% -0.1 / 8 (-1%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 15.4 -15.4 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -5.4 / 5.4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 5.5 -0.0 -0% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.5 / 3 (83%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 8.5 13.0 153% 8.8 / 8 (110%) 4.2 / 0.5 (840%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 4.5 6.5 144% 6.5 / 4.5 (144%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 9 -3.5 -39% -1.5 / 7 (-22%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 8.25 -1.9 -24% -1.7 / 8 (-21%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.25 -2.7 -51% -2.5 / 5 (-49%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 9.25 -4.3 -46% -4.0 / 9 (-44%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 8.5 -8.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 10 2.2 22% 2.7 / 9.5 (28%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 11 -3.1 -28% 3.4 / 4.5 (75%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 2 4.0 200% 4.0 / 2 (200%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 6.5 8.1 125% 4.8 / 3.5 (138%) 1.4 / 2 (70%) 1.9 / 1 (189%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 7.75 0.5 7% -0.5 / 3 (-17%) 1.8 / 4 (44%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 10.5 -5.0 -48% -3.0 / 8.5 (-35%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 6 5.7 95% 5.7 / 4.5 (126%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.5 / 1 (55%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 6 4.1 69% 4.9 / 4 (123%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.2 / 1 (20%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 3 0.2 7% 0.1 / 2 (5%) 0.1 / 1 (10%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 1 1.1 110% 1.1 / 1 (110%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 13 1.9 14% 0.3 / 9.5 (3%) 0.7 / 2.5 (28%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10.75 -4.6 -43% -1.4 / 4.5 (-30%) -1.4 / 3.5 (-39%) -1.9 / 2.75 (-68%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -7.0 -58% -3.0 / 8 (-38%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 7 -0.7 -10% -0.7 / 7 (-10%)


Winning Events: 21 (48%)
Losing Events: 23 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.40 units
Best Event: 16.00 units
Worst Event: -15.40 units
Average Event: 0.08 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 19.50
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -20.91

Matts MMAtips: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 180.9 8.7 5% 1.9 / 127 (1%) 0.1 / 35.4 (0%) 6.7 / 18.5 (36%) 11 / 15 (42%) 0.33
2018 126.25 -5.3 -4% 4.0 / 85 (5%) -5.0 / 27.5 (-18%) -4.2 / 13.75 (-31%) 10 / 8 (56%) -0.29

Matts MMAtips: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Matts MMAtips: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 291.65 -1.6 -1% 7.4 / 204 (4%) -12.3 / 57.4 (-22%) 3.3 / 30.25 (11%)
Bellator 15.5 5.0 32% -1.6 / 8 (-20%) 7.5 / 5.5 (136%) -0.9 / 2 (-45%)

Matts MMAtips: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (1%) 0 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 26 (24%) 10 38 % 70.00 -18.24 -0.70 -26%
Slight Underdogs 56 (52%) 34 61 % 106.00 38.49 0.69 36%
Big Underdogs 25 (23%) 5 20 % 32.00 -10.43 -0.42 -33%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 24 (22%) 12 50 % 52.00 6.86 0.29 13%
Co-Main Event 18 (17%) 7 39 % 37.50 0.18 0.01 0%
Position 3-5 30 (28%) 12 40 % 54.50 -5.45 -0.18 -10%
6+ (Undercard) 36 (33%) 18 50 % 68.00 4.23 0.12 6%

Matts MMAtips: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 14 (13%) 7 50 % 26.00 0.02 0.00 0%
Light Heavy 9 (8%) 3 33 % 17.00 -5.87 -0.65 -35%
Middleweight 13 (12%) 7 54 % 23.00 10.68 0.82 46%
Welterweight 19 (18%) 6 32 % 38.50 -8.89 -0.47 -23%
Lightweight 16 (15%) 5 31 % 36.00 -8.97 -0.56 -25%
Featherweight 11 (10%) 9 82 % 23.50 23.06 2.10 98%
Bantamweight 8 (7%) 4 50 % 18.50 -2.87 -0.36 -16%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 5.00 2.00 0.67 40%
               
Women's Fights 15 (14%) 6 40 % 24.50 -3.34 -0.22 -14%
Featherweight 3 (3%) 0 % 5.50 -5.50 -1.83 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 6.00 7.96 2.65 133%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.33 -100%
Strawweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 9.00 -1.80 -0.30 -20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 1 (1%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 37 (24%) 14 38 %
Slight Underdogs 85 (56%) 57 67 %
Big Underdogs 30 (20%) 5 17 %
153 76 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (3%) 0 0 %
50-65% 27 (23%) 11 41 %
35-50% 27 (23%) 9 33 %
<35% chance 57 (50%) 18 32 %
115 38 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (3%) 3 100 % 1.88 2.00Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 2.7 (89%)
Goes to Decision 11 (10%) 6 55 % 2.17 2.50Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.8 (16%)
Does not go to Decision 7 (6%) 2 29 % 1.97 2.55Pick was correct 1.80Pick was incorrect -1.9 (-27%)
X Wins by KO 15 (13%) 6 40 % 3.53 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 4.6 (31%)
X Wins by Sub 17 (15%) 7 41 % 2.74 14.00Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was correct -5.4 (-32%)
X Wins by Decision 12 (10%) 4 33 % 3.89 5.50Pick was correct 3.25Pick was incorrect 7.0 (58%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.50 2.50Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (2%) 0 0 % 6.16 7.00Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 47 (41%) 10 21 % 2.33 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -17.9 (-38%)
115 38 33 % 2.57     -12.1 (-11%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Matts MMAtips's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Sep UFC 228 7 -0.7 -10% $10.00 $1,000.00 $993.20
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -7.0 -58% $9.93 $993.20 $923.68
21st Sep Bellator 205 1 1.0 100% $9.24 $923.68 $932.91
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10.75 -4.6 -43% $9.33 $932.91 $890.19
29th Sep Bellator 206 1 -1.0 -100% $8.90 $890.19 $881.29
6th Oct UFC 229 13 1.9 14% $8.81 $881.29 $897.89
12th Oct Bellator 207 1 1.1 110% $8.98 $897.89 $907.77
13th Oct Bellator 208 3 0.2 7% $9.08 $907.77 $909.61
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 6 4.1 69% $9.10 $909.61 $947.29
3rd Nov UFC 230 6 5.7 95% $9.47 $947.29 $1,001.54
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 10.5 -5.0 -48% $10.02 $1,001.54 $951.47
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 7.75 0.5 7% $9.51 $951.47 $956.32
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 6.5 8.1 125% $9.56 $956.32 $1,033.90
30th Nov TUF Finale 2 4.0 200% $10.34 $1,033.90 $1,075.26
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 11 -3.1 -28% $10.75 $1,075.26 $1,041.87
8th Dec UFC 231 10 2.2 22% $10.42 $1,041.87 $1,064.53
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 8.5 -8.5 -100% $10.65 $1,064.53 $974.04
29th Dec UFC 232 9.25 -4.3 -46% $9.74 $974.04 $932.65
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.25 -2.7 -51% $9.33 $932.65 $907.47
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 8.25 -1.9 -24% $9.07 $907.47 $889.77
9th Feb UFC 234 9 -3.5 -39% $8.90 $889.77 $858.54
16th Feb Bellator 216 4.5 6.5 144% $8.59 $858.54 $914.34
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 8.5 13.0 153% $9.14 $914.34 $1,033.23
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 5.5 -0.0 -0% $10.33 $1,033.23 $1,033.13
2nd Mar UFC 235 15.4 -15.4 -100% $10.33 $1,033.13 $874.03
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 9 -1.1 -12% $8.74 $874.03 $864.32
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 7.5 -1.7 -23% $8.64 $864.32 $849.28
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 4.5 2.5 56% $8.49 $849.28 $870.52
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 5 12.2 243% $8.71 $870.52 $976.36
13th Apr UFC 236 13 -13.0 -100% $9.76 $976.36 $849.43
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 4.5 -2.3 -51% $8.49 $849.43 $829.90
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 7.5 2.8 37% $8.30 $829.90 $852.80
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 7 -1.7 -25% $8.53 $852.80 $837.88
11th May UFC 237 8.5 -8.5 -100% $8.38 $837.88 $766.66
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 4.5 3.4 75% $7.67 $766.66 $792.57
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 3.5 7.0 200% $7.93 $792.57 $848.05
8th Jun UFC 238 10.5 -5.5 -52% $8.48 $848.05 $801.41
14th Jun Bellator 222 3.5 -1.3 -37% $8.01 $801.41 $790.99
22nd Jun Bellator London 1.5 -1.5 -100% $7.91 $790.99 $779.12
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 5 16.0 320% $7.79 $779.12 $903.80
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 5.5 -5.5 -100% $9.04 $903.80 $854.09
6th Jul UFC 239 8 3.8 47% $8.54 $854.09 $886.12
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 5.5 2.6 47% $8.86 $886.12 $908.89
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 10.5 4.8 46% $9.09 $908.89 $952.52


ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.75% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Matts MMAtips: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Raquel Pennington Irene Aldana 2.10 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Leon Edwards Rafael dos Anjos 1.80 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Josh Emmett Mirsad Bektic 2.38 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.25 2 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Jan Blachowicz Luke Rockhold 2.75 1 TKO, R2 (1:39) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Randy Brown Bryan Barberena 3.40 2 TKO, R3 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Chan Sung Jung Renato Moicano 2.63 2 TKO, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Kyoji Horiguchi Darrion Caldwell 2.20 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Darren Stewart Bevon Lewis 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold 2.00 2 Sub, R2 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Anthony Smith Alexander Gustafsson 3.25 1 Sub, R4 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Ed Herman Patrick Cummins 2.88 1 TKO, R1 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.10 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Mike Perry Alex Oliveira 2.38 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.75 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Shamil Abdurakhimov Marcin Tybura 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Maryna Moroz Sabina Mazo 2.38 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Michelle Waterson Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.32 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Steven Peterson Alex Caceres 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Cezar Ferreira Marvin Vettori 2.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Diego Sanchez Michael Chiesa 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Holly Holm Amanda Nunes 4.00 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Marco Polo Reyes Drew Dober 3.50 1 TKO, R1 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Tony Martin Demian Maia 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Junior dos Santos Francis Ngannou 2.88 2 TKO, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Erick Silva Paul Daley 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Chael Sonnen Lyoto Machida 3.25 1 TKO, R2 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Neiman Gracie Rory MacDonald 2.25 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov 1.72 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Jessica Eye Valentina Shevchenko 7.50 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.73 4 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Sijara Eubanks Aspen Ladd 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Kurt Holobaugh Thiago Moises 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.84 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira 2.00 2 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Rafael Fiziev Magomed Mustafaev 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (1:26) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Matts MMAtips: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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