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MMA Handicapper Stats: Blair Bones

Blair Bones (blairbones)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Blair Bones

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 66 (47%) Right 40 (52%) Right 11 (44%) Right 15 (38%)
Wrong 75 (53%) Wrong 37 (48%) Wrong 14 (56%) Wrong 24 (62%)
Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 2.97
Units Bet 453.1 Units Bet 296.1 Units Bet 75.8 Units Bet 81.2
Avg Bet 3.21 Avg Bet 3.85 Avg Bet 3.03 Avg Bet 2.08
Units Profit 6.49 Units Profit -0.52 Units Profit -11.44 Units Profit 18.44
ROI % 1% ROI % -0% ROI % -15% ROI % 23%
View Handicapper's Profile

Blair Bones: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 8.5 -1.4 -17% 2.6 / 4.5 (57%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 10.6 4.5 43% 4.5 / 10.6 (43%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 3 5.4 180% 5.4 / 3 (180%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 29.41 -17.0 -58% -18.2 / 21.41 (-85%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 4.2 / 5 (85%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 50.66 2.9 6% 3.9 / 30.5 (13%) -5.8 / 15.16 (-38%) 4.8 / 5 (97%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 20.75 6.4 31% 5.7 / 14 (40%) 0.7 / 6.75 (11%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 12.62 -6.5 -52% -6.5 / 12.62 (-52%)
13th Oct '18 PFL 9 4 -0.7 -18% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.3 / 3 (10%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 35 8.1 23% 9.1 / 15 (61%) -1.0 / 20 (-5%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 53.21 -13.5 -25% -18.8 / 41.49 (-45%) 0.2 / 6.72 (3%) 5.1 / 5 (103%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 22.46 0.5 2% 4.0 / 18.96 (21%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 47.03 22.9 49% 12.0 / 31.82 (38%) 7.0 / 9.55 (73%) 3.9 / 5.66 (69%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 6.4 -6.4 -100% -6.4 / 6.4 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 55 10.1 18% -2.5 / 34.4 (-7%) 2.0 / 5.6 (36%) 10.6 / 15 (71%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 61.88 -2.4 -4% 0.8 / 32.76 (3%) -5.4 / 8.25 (-65%) 2.1 / 20.87 (10%)
30th Aug '18 PFL 7 5.2 3.8 73% 3.8 / 5.2 (73%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 21.425 -4.2 -19% 2.2 / 11.48 (19%) -2.5 / 4.56 (-54%) -3.9 / 5.385 (-72%)


Winning Events: 9 (47%)
Losing Events: 10 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.85 units
Most Staked On One Event: 61.88 units
Best Event: 22.88 units
Worst Event: -16.98 units
Average Event: 0.34 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 23.35
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.98

Blair Bones: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 9.5 -2.4 -26% 1.6 / 5.5 (29%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) / 2 (0%) -1.21
2018 443.645 8.9 2% -2.1 / 290.64 (-1%) -11.4 / 75.84 (-15%) 22.4 / 77.165 (29%) 9 / 8 (53%) 0.52

Blair Bones: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Blair Bones: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 355.865 4.2 1% -7.0 / 225.36 (-3%) -7.4 / 52.84 (-14%) 18.7 / 77.665 (24%)
Bellator 77.48 -5.4 -7% -0.9 / 53.98 (-2%) -4.0 / 23 (-17%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
PFL 9.2 3.1 34% 2.8 / 6.2 (45%) 0.3 / 3 (10%)
Other 10.6 4.5 43% 4.5 / 10.6 (43%)

Blair Bones: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (16%) 11 92 % 93.88 19.39 1.62 21%
Slight Favorites 29 (38%) 15 52 % 136.99 -32.62 -1.12 -24%
Slight Underdogs 24 (31%) 10 42 % 48.77 6.32 0.26 13%
Big Underdogs 12 (16%) 4 33 % 16.50 6.40 0.53 39%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 19 (25%) 8 42 % 64.91 3.20 0.17 5%
Co-Main Event 10 (13%) 5 50 % 40.95 -3.46 -0.35 -8%
Position 3-5 19 (25%) 12 63 % 72.37 5.02 0.26 7%
6+ (Undercard) 27 (35%) 14 52 % 110.11 -5.28 -0.20 -5%

Blair Bones: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (17%) 5 38 % 47.55 -7.00 -0.54 -15%
Light Heavy 7 (9%) 5 71 % 30.43 14.81 2.12 49%
Middleweight 11 (14%) 8 73 % 68.53 -1.21 -0.11 -2%
Welterweight 11 (14%) 4 36 % 36.41 -5.90 -0.54 -16%
Lightweight 12 (16%) 5 42 % 34.63 -6.89 -0.57 -20%
Featherweight 5 (6%) 4 80 % 26.80 9.76 1.95 36%
Bantamweight 7 (9%) 4 57 % 12.95 2.80 0.40 22%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 2 100 % 6.50 7.07 3.53 109%
               
Women's Fights 9 (12%) 3 33 % 32.34 -13.96 -1.55 -43%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 11.25 3.00 1.00 27%
Bantamweight 4 (5%) 1 25 % 14.03 -9.90 -2.47 -71%
Strawweight 2 (3%) 0 % 7.06 -7.06 -3.53 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 50 (65%) 42 84 %
Slight Favorites 21 (27%) 12 57 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (8%) 2 33 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
77 56 73 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 19 (28%) 14 74 %
50-65% 24 (35%) 15 63 %
35-50% 15 (22%) 8 53 %
<35% chance 10 (15%) 6 60 %
68 43 63 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (7%) 3 60 % 1.72 2.15Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was correct -0.1 (-1%)
Goes to Decision 2 (3%) 0 0 % 1.92 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.41Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 19 (28%) 17 89 % 1.55 2.70Pick was correct 1.24Pick was correct 8.1 (42%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.38 1.38Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.54 1.54Pick was correct 1.54Pick was incorrect 0.5 (54%)
X Wins by KO 6 (9%) 5 83 % 2.13 3.00Pick was correct 1.81Pick was incorrect 5.3 (88%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (6%) 3 75 % 2.50 3.00Pick was correct 2.10Pick was incorrect 4.1 (101%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (7%) 0 0 % 1.92 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.40 1.40Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 20 (29%) 13 65 % 2.19 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was incorrect 11.2 (56%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.44 1.44Pick was correct 1.44Pick was correct 0.4 (44%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (3%) 0 0 % 3.24 8.50Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.91 1.91Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
68 43 63 % 1.87     17.5 (26%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Blair Bones's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 21.425 -4.2 -19% $10.00 $1,000.00 $958.28
30th Aug PFL 7 5.2 3.8 73% $9.58 $958.28 $994.69
8th Sep UFC 228 61.88 -2.4 -4% $9.95 $994.69 $970.64
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 55 10.1 18% $9.71 $970.64 $1,068.70
21st Sep Bellator 205 6.4 -6.4 -100% $10.69 $1,068.70 $1,000.30
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 47.03 22.9 49% $10.00 $1,000.30 $1,229.19
29th Sep Bellator 206 22.46 0.5 2% $12.29 $1,229.19 $1,234.90
6th Oct UFC 229 53.21 -13.5 -25% $12.35 $1,234.90 $1,068.57
12th Oct Bellator 207 35 8.1 23% $10.69 $1,068.57 $1,154.99
13th Oct Bellator 208 12.62 -6.5 -52% $11.55 $1,154.99 $1,079.88
13th Oct PFL 9 4 -0.7 -18% $10.80 $1,079.88 $1,072.16
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 20.75 6.4 31% $10.72 $1,072.16 $1,140.52
3rd Nov UFC 230 50.66 2.9 6% $11.41 $1,140.52 $1,174.11
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 29.41 -17.0 -58% $11.74 $1,174.11 $974.75
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 3 5.4 180% $9.75 $974.75 $1,027.39
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 10.6 4.5 43% $10.27 $1,027.39 $1,073.73
29th Dec UFC 232 5 -5.0 -100% $10.74 $1,073.73 $1,020.05
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 1 -1.0 -100% $10.20 $1,020.05 $1,009.85
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 8.5 -1.4 -17% $10.10 $1,009.85 $995.46


ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Blair Bones: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Charles Oliveira David Teymur 2.40 0.5 Sub, R2 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Jose Aldo Renato Moicano 2.35 2.5 TKO, R2 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.43 10.6 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Austin Arnett Humberto Bandenay 3.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Shane Burgos Kurt Holobaugh 1.32 10.8 Sub, R1 (2:11) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 2.90 3 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman 1.36 8.4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 2.15 3 TKO, R2 (3:10) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Michael Johnson Artem Lobov 1.20 11 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Francis Ngannou Curtis Blaydes 2.80 3 TKO, R1 (0:45) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Anatoly Tokov Alexander Shlemenko 1.69 3.62 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Sergei Kharitonov Roy Nelson 3.50 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Mandel Nallo Carrington Banks 2.05 3 TKO, R2 (0:57) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Ryan Bader Matt Mitrione 1.31 11 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Aspen Ladd Tonya Evinger 1.63 4.8 TKO, R1 (3:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.35 4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Douglas Lima Andrey Koreshkov 1.67 3 Sub, R5 (3:4) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.38 7.95 TKO, R2 (3:23) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Rogerio Nogueira Sam Alvey 3.75 2 TKO, R2 (0:35) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Ryan Spann Luis Henrique 1.63 6.4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Junior Albini Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.90 1 Sub, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Fedor Emelianenko Ryan Bader 3.50 1 TKO, R1 (0:35) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Cezar Ferreira Ian Heinisch 1.54 9.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Devin Powell Jesus Pinedo 2.68 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.36 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 2.80 3 Sub, R1 (1:2) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.73 3.16 Sub, R1 (4:48) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Derrick Lewis Daniel Cormier 5.90 1 Sub, R2 (2:14) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Roxanne Modafferi Sijara Eubanks 4.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Chris Weidman Ronaldo Souza 1.56 6.3 TKO, R3 (2:46) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Rakim Cleveland Vinny Magalhaes 7.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:20) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Robert Watley Chris Wade 2.70 0.5 Split Decision (2 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Timothy Johnson Cheick Kongo 1.80 6 TKO, R1 (3:49) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Saad Awad Benson Henderson 4.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Chael Sonnen Fedor Emelianenko 3.10 2 TKO, R1 (4:45) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.39 8.93 TKO, R3 (3:42) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Ryan LaFlare Tony Martin 1.71 4.2 TKO, R3 (1:0) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.77 3.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.54 7.4 TKO, R3 (4:49) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Blair Bones: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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