MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Blair Bones

Blair Bones (blairbones)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	63 (45%)	Right	37 (50%)	Right	11 (42%)	Right	15 (38%)
Wrong	77 (55%)	Wrong	37 (50%)	Wrong	15 (58%)	Wrong	25 (63%)
Avg Odds	2.18	Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	2.96
Units Bet	458.6	Units Bet	298.1	Units Bet	76.3	Units Bet	84.2
Avg Bet	3.28	Avg Bet	4.03	Avg Bet	2.94	Avg Bet	2.10
Units Profit	0.99	Units Profit	-2.52	Units Profit	-11.94	Units Profit	15.44
ROI %	0%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	-16%	ROI %	18%

Blair Bones: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	5.5	-5.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	8.5	-1.4	-17%	2.6 / 4.5 (57%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	10.6	4.5	43%	4.5 / 10.6 (43%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	3	5.4	180%	5.4 / 3 (180%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	29.41	-17.0	-58%	-18.2 / 21.41 (-85%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	4.2 / 5 (85%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	50.66	2.9	6%	3.9 / 30.5 (13%)	-5.8 / 15.16 (-38%)	4.8 / 5 (97%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	20.75	6.4	31%	5.7 / 14 (40%)		0.7 / 6.75 (11%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	12.62	-6.5	-52%	-6.5 / 12.62 (-52%)
13th Oct '18	PFL 9	4	-0.7	-18%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		0.3 / 3 (10%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	35	8.1	23%	9.1 / 15 (61%)	-1.0 / 20 (-5%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	53.21	-13.5	-25%	-18.8 / 41.49 (-45%)	0.2 / 6.72 (3%)	5.1 / 5 (103%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	22.46	0.5	2%	4.0 / 18.96 (21%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	47.03	22.9	49%	12.0 / 31.82 (38%)	7.0 / 9.55 (73%)	3.9 / 5.66 (69%)
21st Sep '18	Bellator 205	6.4	-6.4	-100%	-6.4 / 6.4 (-100%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	55	10.1	18%	-2.5 / 34.4 (-7%)	2.0 / 5.6 (36%)	10.6 / 15 (71%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	61.88	-2.4	-4%	0.8 / 32.76 (3%)	-5.4 / 8.25 (-65%)	2.1 / 20.87 (10%)
30th Aug '18	PFL 7	5.2	3.8	73%	3.8 / 5.2 (73%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	21.425	-4.2	-19%	2.2 / 11.48 (19%)	-2.5 / 4.56 (-54%)	-3.9 / 5.385 (-72%)

Winning Events: 9 (45%)
Losing Events: 11 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 22.93 units
Most Staked On One Event: 61.88 units
Best Event: 22.88 units
Worst Event: -16.98 units
Average Event: 0.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 23.35
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -16.98

Blair Bones: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	15	-7.9	-53%	-0.4 / 7.5 (-6%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	/ 3 (0%)	-2.64
2018	443.645	8.9	2%	-2.1 / 290.64 (-1%)	-11.4 / 75.84 (-15%)	22.4 / 77.165 (29%)	9 / 8 (53%)	0.52

Blair Bones: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Blair Bones: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	361.365	-1.3	-0%	-9.0 / 227.36 (-4%)	-7.9 / 53.34 (-15%)	15.7 / 80.665 (19%)
Bellator	77.48	-5.4	-7%	-0.9 / 53.98 (-2%)	-4.0 / 23 (-17%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
PFL	9.2	3.1	34%	2.8 / 6.2 (45%)		0.3 / 3 (10%)
Other	10.6	4.5	43%	4.5 / 10.6 (43%)

Blair Bones: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (15%)	11	92 %	93.88	19.39	1.62	21%
Slight Favorites	29 (37%)	15	52 %	136.99	-32.62	-1.12	-24%
Slight Underdogs	24 (30%)	10	42 %	48.77	6.32	0.26	13%
Big Underdogs	14 (18%)	4	29 %	18.50	4.40	0.31	24%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	19 (24%)	8	42 %	64.91	3.20	0.17	5%
Co-Main Event	10 (13%)	5	50 %	40.95	-3.46	-0.35	-8%
Position 3-5	20 (25%)	12	60 %	73.37	4.02	0.20	5%
6+ (Undercard)	28 (35%)	14	50 %	111.11	-6.28	-0.22	-6%

Blair Bones: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	13 (16%)	5	38 %	47.55	-7.00	-0.54	-15%
Light Heavy	7 (9%)	5	71 %	30.43	14.81	2.12	49%
Middleweight	13 (16%)	8	62 %	70.53	-3.21	-0.25	-5%
Welterweight	11 (14%)	4	36 %	36.41	-5.90	-0.54	-16%
Lightweight	12 (15%)	5	42 %	34.63	-6.89	-0.57	-20%
Featherweight	5 (6%)	4	80 %	26.80	9.76	1.95	36%
Bantamweight	7 (9%)	4	57 %	12.95	2.80	0.40	22%
Flyweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	6.50	7.07	3.53	109%

Women's Fights	9 (11%)	3	33 %	32.34	-13.96	-1.55	-43%
Bantamweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	11.25	3.00	1.00	27%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	14.03	-9.90	-2.47	-71%
Strawweight	2 (3%)		0 %	7.06	-7.06	-3.53	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	53 (66%)	44	83 %
Slight Favorites	21 (26%)	12	57 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (8%)	2	33 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	80	58	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	19 (28%)	14	74 %
50-65%	24 (35%)	15	63 %
35-50%	15 (22%)	8	53 %
<35% chance	11 (16%)	6	55 %
	69	43	62 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (7%)	3	60 %	1.72	2.15	1.51	-0.1 (-1%)
Goes to Decision	2 (3%)	0	0 %	1.92	3.00	1.41	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	19 (28%)	17	89 %	1.55	2.70	1.24	8.1 (42%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.38	1.38	1.38	-1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.54	1.54	1.54	0.5 (54%)
X Wins by KO	6 (9%)	5	83 %	2.13	3.00	1.81	5.3 (88%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (6%)	3	75 %	2.50	3.00	2.10	4.1 (101%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (7%)	0	0 %	1.92	2.50	1.67	-5.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	21 (30%)	13	62 %	2.24	6.50	1.37	10.2 (48%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.44	1.44	1.44	0.4 (44%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (3%)	0	0 %	3.24	8.50	2.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.91	1.91	1.91	-1.0 (-100%)
	69	43	62 %	1.89			16.5 (24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Blair Bones's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	21.425	-4.2	-19%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$958.28
30th Aug	PFL 7	5.2	3.8	73%		$9.58	$958.28	$994.69
8th Sep	UFC 228	61.88	-2.4	-4%		$9.95	$994.69	$970.64
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	55	10.1	18%		$9.71	$970.64	$1,068.70
21st Sep	Bellator 205	6.4	-6.4	-100%		$10.69	$1,068.70	$1,000.30
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	47.03	22.9	49%		$10.00	$1,000.30	$1,229.19
29th Sep	Bellator 206	22.46	0.5	2%		$12.29	$1,229.19	$1,234.90
6th Oct	UFC 229	53.21	-13.5	-25%		$12.35	$1,234.90	$1,068.57
12th Oct	Bellator 207	35	8.1	23%		$10.69	$1,068.57	$1,154.99
13th Oct	Bellator 208	12.62	-6.5	-52%		$11.55	$1,154.99	$1,079.88
13th Oct	PFL 9	4	-0.7	-18%		$10.80	$1,079.88	$1,072.16
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	20.75	6.4	31%		$10.72	$1,072.16	$1,140.52
3rd Nov	UFC 230	50.66	2.9	6%		$11.41	$1,140.52	$1,174.11
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	29.41	-17.0	-58%		$11.74	$1,174.11	$974.75
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	3	5.4	180%		$9.75	$974.75	$1,027.39
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	10.6	4.5	43%		$10.27	$1,027.39	$1,073.73
29th Dec	UFC 232	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.74	$1,073.73	$1,020.05
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.20	$1,020.05	$1,009.85
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	8.5	-1.4	-17%		$10.10	$1,009.85	$995.46
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	5.5	-5.5	-100%		$9.95	$995.46	$940.71

ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.93% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Blair Bones: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '19	Charles Oliveira	David Teymur	2.40	0.5	Sub, R2 (0:55)
2.	Feb '19	Jose Aldo	Renato Moicano	2.35	2.5	TKO, R2 (0:44)
3.	Nov '18	Tito Ortiz	Chuck Liddell	1.43	10.6	TKO, R1 (4:24)
4.	Nov '18	Austin Arnett	Humberto Bandenay	3.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '18	Shane Burgos	Kurt Holobaugh	1.32	10.8	Sub, R1 (2:11)
6.	Nov '18	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Adam Wieczorek	2.90	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Nov '18	Karl Roberson	Jack Marshman	1.36	8.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '18	Sean Strickland	Nordine Taleb	2.15	3	TKO, R2 (3:10)
9.	Oct '18	Michael Johnson	Artem Lobov	1.20	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '18	Francis Ngannou	Curtis Blaydes	2.80	3	TKO, R1 (0:45)
11.	Oct '18	Anatoly Tokov	Alexander Shlemenko	1.69	3.62	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '18	Sergei Kharitonov	Roy Nelson	3.50	1	TKO, R1 (4:59)
13.	Oct '18	Mandel Nallo	Carrington Banks	2.05	3	TKO, R2 (0:57)
14.	Oct '18	Ryan Bader	Matt Mitrione	1.31	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Oct '18	Aspen Ladd	Tonya Evinger	1.63	4.8	TKO, R1 (3:26)
16.	Oct '18	Jussier Formiga	Sergio Pettis	2.35	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '18	Douglas Lima	Andrey Koreshkov	1.67	3	Sub, R5 (3:4)
18.	Sep '18	Gegard Mousasi	Rory MacDonald	1.38	7.95	TKO, R2 (3:23)
19.	Sep '18	Rogerio Nogueira	Sam Alvey	3.75	2	TKO, R2 (0:35)
20.	Sep '18	Ryan Spann	Luis Henrique	1.63	6.4	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '19	Eric Spicely	Deron Winn	3.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jun '19	Alessio Di Chirico	Kevin Holland	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '19	Junior Albini	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	2.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:54)	No
4.	Feb '19	Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	2.90	1	Sub, R1 (3:17)	No
5.	Jan '19	Fedor Emelianenko	Ryan Bader	3.50	1	TKO, R1 (0:35)	No
6.	Nov '18	Cezar Ferreira	Ian Heinisch	1.54	9.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '18	Devin Powell	Jesus Pinedo	2.68	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Nov '18	Hector Aldana	Laureano Staropoli	2.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '18	Bartosz Fabinski	Michel Prazeres	2.80	3	Sub, R1 (1:2)	No
10.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.73	3.16	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
11.	Nov '18	Derrick Lewis	Daniel Cormier	5.90	1	Sub, R2 (2:14)	Yes
12.	Nov '18	Roxanne Modafferi	Sijara Eubanks	4.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
13.	Nov '18	Chris Weidman	Ronaldo Souza	1.56	6.3	TKO, R3 (2:46)	No
14.	Oct '18	Rakim Cleveland	Vinny Magalhaes	7.00	0.5	Sub, R1 (1:20)	Yes
15.	Oct '18	Robert Watley	Chris Wade	2.70	0.5	Split Decision (2 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '18	Timothy Johnson	Cheick Kongo	1.80	6	TKO, R1 (3:49)	No
17.	Oct '18	Saad Awad	Benson Henderson	4.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Oct '18	Chael Sonnen	Fedor Emelianenko	3.10	2	TKO, R1 (4:45)	No
19.	Oct '18	Alan Patrick	Scott Holtzman	1.39	8.93	TKO, R3 (3:42)	No
20.	Oct '18	Ryan LaFlare	Tony Martin	1.71	4.2	TKO, R3 (1:0)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Blair Bones: Progress Chart

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