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MMA Handicapper Stats: MMAPREDICTIONGURU

MMAPREDICTIONGURU (PredictionGuru)

MMA MHandicapper - MMAPREDICTIONGURU

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 97 (54%) Right 65 (60%) Right 7 (30%) Right 25 (50%)
Wrong 84 (46%) Wrong 43 (40%) Wrong 16 (70%) Wrong 25 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.03 Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 2.66 Avg Odds 2.12
Units Bet 461.3 Units Bet 282.8 Units Bet 34.0 Units Bet 144.5
Avg Bet 2.55 Avg Bet 2.62 Avg Bet 1.48 Avg Bet 2.89
Units Profit 44.63 Units Profit 38.28 Units Profit -8.18 Units Profit 14.52
ROI % 10% ROI % 14% ROI % -24% ROI % 10%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 16 13.1 82% 7.9 / 11 (72%) 5.1 / 5 (103%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 17 -7.0 -41% -4.0 / 14 (-29%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 16.5 10.4 63% 8.2 / 14.5 (56%) 2.2 / 2 (110%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 14 1.7 12% -2.1 / 10 (-21%) 3.8 / 4 (96%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 14 -2.3 -17% -3.4 / 8.5 (-40%) 1.1 / 5.5 (19%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 9.5 4.8 50% 0.5 / 6.5 (7%) 4.3 / 3 (144%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 14 0.9 7% 5.9 / 9 (66%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 10.5 -7.8 -74% -4.8 / 7.5 (-64%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 17.75 4.1 23% 6.6 / 15.25 (43%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 14.3 4.6 32% 4.3 / 7.3 (58%) 0.4 / 7 (6%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 21 -9.5 -45% 0.5 / 11 (4%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 20.75 18.2 88% 11.3 / 15.75 (72%) 6.8 / 5 (136%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 8 1.2 15% 2.7 / 6.5 (41%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 22.5 0.1 1% -0.6 / 15.5 (-4%) 0.7 / 7 (10%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22 -7.8 -36% -6.9 / 16 (-43%) -0.9 / 6 (-16%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 29.5 21.3 72% 13.1 / 23.5 (56%) 8.2 / 6 (137%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 30.5 -9.6 -31% -1.0 / 5 (-20%) -4.7 / 10.5 (-45%) -3.9 / 15 (-26%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 20 -7.3 -37% 1.2 / 11.5 (10%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 10 -4.9 -49% -0.6 / 4 (-14%) -1.4 / 3 (-46%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 19 4.0 21% 4.6 / 15 (31%) 1.4 / 2 (69%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 17.5 7.4 42% -0.8 / 8 (-10%) 5.5 / 5.5 (100%) 2.8 / 4 (69%)
5th Oct '18 PFL 8 3.5 0.0 1% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 2.5 (41%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 15 -2.8 -19% 0.7 / 11.5 (6%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 14.5 0.9 6% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 5.4 / 10 (54%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 2.5 1.4 56% 1.4 / 2.5 (56%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 28 14.7 53% -0.4 / 10 (-4%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 15.7 / 17.5 (89%)
14th Sep '18 LFA 49 3 1.4 46% 1.4 / 3 (46%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 10.5 -3.5 -34% -3.6 / 6.5 (-55%) 1.1 / 3 (35%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 3.5 2.6 74% 2.6 / 3.5 (74%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 9.5 -9.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 4 2.9 71% 2.9 / 4 (71%)
16th Aug '18 PFL 6 3 1.1 38% 1.1 / 3 (38%)


Winning Events: 21 (66%)
Losing Events: 11 (34%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.50 units
Best Event: 21.29 units
Worst Event: -9.60 units
Average Event: 1.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 21.29
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -21.88

MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 111.5 13.8 12% 8.2 / 81 (10%) 5.6 / 30.5 (18%) 5 / 3 (63%) 1.72
2018 349.8 30.9 9% 30.1 / 201.8 (15%) -8.2 / 34 (-24%) 8.9 / 114 (8%) 16 / 8 (67%) 1.29

MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 397.8 39.0 10% 28.0 / 239.3 (12%) -7.7 / 28.5 (-27%) 18.6 / 130 (14%)
Bellator 50.5 0.5 1% 6.1 / 33 (19%) -0.5 / 5.5 (-9%) -5.1 / 12 (-43%)
PFL 6.5 1.2 18% 0.1 / 4 (3%) 1.0 / 2.5 (41%)
Other 6.5 4.0 61% 4.0 / 6.5 (61%)

MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 22 (20%) 19 86 % 87.50 21.93 1.00 25%
Slight Favorites 42 (39%) 26 62 % 125.25 -3.41 -0.08 -3%
Slight Underdogs 29 (27%) 13 45 % 51.75 7.81 0.27 15%
Big Underdogs 15 (14%) 7 47 % 18.30 11.95 0.80 65%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 15 (14%) 10 67 % 49.25 6.56 0.44 13%
Co-Main Event 11 (10%) 5 45 % 25.50 -4.91 -0.45 -19%
Position 3-5 23 (21%) 14 61 % 57.80 10.70 0.47 19%
6+ (Undercard) 59 (55%) 36 61 % 150.25 25.93 0.44 17%

MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 15 (14%) 7 47 % 42.25 -4.36 -0.29 -10%
Light Heavy 7 (6%) 5 71 % 17.00 7.34 1.05 43%
Middleweight 11 (10%) 8 73 % 31.50 8.15 0.74 26%
Welterweight 15 (14%) 10 67 % 39.00 12.11 0.81 31%
Lightweight 15 (14%) 6 40 % 35.80 -4.54 -0.30 -13%
Featherweight 10 (9%) 9 90 % 25.50 19.42 1.94 76%
Bantamweight 8 (7%) 4 50 % 22.50 0.25 0.03 1%
Flyweight 7 (6%) 4 57 % 12.50 3.70 0.53 30%
               
Women's Fights 20 (19%) 12 60 % 56.75 -3.79 -0.19 -7%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 0.75 1.01 1.01 135%
Bantamweight 6 (6%) 4 67 % 12.00 4.20 0.70 35%
Bantamweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 7.00 -3.71 -0.93 -53%
Strawweight 9 (8%) 6 67 % 37.00 -5.29 -0.59 -14%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 87 (83%) 71 82 %
Slight Favorites 16 (15%) 6 38 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (2%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
105 78 74 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 17 (40%) 11 65 %
50-65% 10 (23%) 8 80 %
35-50% 4 (9%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 12 (28%) 1 8 %
43 20 47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 12 (28%) 9 75 % 1.42 1.69Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 1.2 (10%)
X Wins by KO 1 (2%) 0 0 % 5.20 5.20Pick was incorrect 5.20Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (7%) 0 0 % 4.87 12.75Pick was incorrect 2.65Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (12%) 1 20 % 2.50 4.85Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was correct -3.4 (-67%)
X Wins Inside Distance 16 (37%) 8 50 % 1.90 5.50Pick was correct 1.35Pick was correct 0.3 (2%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (5%) 0 0 % 6.54 10.50Pick was incorrect 4.75Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (9%) 2 50 % 2.03 11.50Pick was incorrect 1.41Pick was correct -1.0 (-26%)
43 20 47 % 1.96     -8.9 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMAPREDICTIONGURU 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Aug PFL 6 3 1.1 38% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,011.32
17th Aug Bellator 204 4 2.9 71% $10.11 $1,011.32 $1,040.22
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 9.5 -9.5 -100% $10.40 $1,040.22 $941.40
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 3.5 2.6 74% $9.41 $941.40 $965.80
8th Sep UFC 228 10.5 -3.5 -34% $9.66 $965.80 $931.54
14th Sep LFA 49 3 1.4 46% $9.32 $931.54 $944.48
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 28 14.7 53% $9.44 $944.48 $1,083.79
21st Sep Bellator 205 2.5 1.4 56% $10.84 $1,083.79 $1,098.84
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 14.5 0.9 6% $10.99 $1,098.84 $1,108.37
29th Sep Bellator 206 15 -2.8 -19% $11.08 $1,108.37 $1,077.03
5th Oct PFL 8 3.5 0.0 1% $10.77 $1,077.03 $1,077.25
6th Oct UFC 229 17.5 7.4 42% $10.77 $1,077.25 $1,157.35
12th Oct Bellator 207 19 4.0 21% $11.57 $1,157.35 $1,203.83
13th Oct Bellator 208 10 -4.9 -49% $12.04 $1,203.83 $1,144.28
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 20 -7.3 -37% $11.44 $1,144.28 $1,060.44
3rd Nov UFC 230 30.5 -9.6 -31% $10.60 $1,060.44 $958.60
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 29.5 21.3 72% $9.59 $958.60 $1,162.73
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22 -7.8 -36% $11.63 $1,162.73 $1,071.80
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 22.5 0.1 1% $10.72 $1,071.80 $1,073.00
30th Nov TUF Finale 8 1.2 15% $10.73 $1,073.00 $1,085.79
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 20.75 18.2 88% $10.86 $1,085.79 $1,282.96
8th Dec UFC 231 21 -9.5 -45% $12.83 $1,282.96 $1,160.47
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 14.3 4.6 32% $11.60 $1,160.47 $1,214.36
29th Dec UFC 232 17.75 4.1 23% $12.14 $1,214.36 $1,264.54
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 10.5 -7.8 -74% $12.65 $1,264.54 $1,165.91
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 14 0.9 7% $11.66 $1,165.91 $1,176.90
9th Feb UFC 234 9.5 4.8 50% $11.77 $1,176.90 $1,233.28
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 14 -2.3 -17% $12.33 $1,233.28 $1,204.56
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 14 1.7 12% $12.05 $1,204.56 $1,225.15
2nd Mar UFC 235 16.5 10.4 63% $12.25 $1,225.15 $1,352.16
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 17 -7.0 -41% $13.52 $1,352.16 $1,257.62
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 16 13.1 82% $12.58 $1,257.62 $1,422.05


ROI % from starting bank balance: 42.20% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Nathaniel Wood Jose Quinonez 1.36 3.5 Sub, R2 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Leon Edwards Gunnar Nelson 1.67 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Mike Grundy Nad Narimani 3.00 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Grant Dawson Julian Erosa 1.53 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Tony Martin Sergio Moraes 1.56 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Weili Zhang Tecia Torres 1.83 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Johnny Walker Misha Cirkunov 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Hannah Cifers Polyana Viana 3.90 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.85 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Edmen Shahbazyan Charles Byrd 1.67 4 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Chris Fishgold Daniel Teymur 1.53 3 Sub, R2 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Gillian Robertson Veronica Macedo 1.65 2 Sub, R2 (3:27) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Emily Whitmire Alexandra Albu 2.55 2 Sub, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Ricky Simon Rani Yahya 1.74 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Jose Aldo Renato Moicano 2.20 2 TKO, R2 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Demian Maia Lyman Good 1.59 3 Sub, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Livia Renata Souza Sarah Frota 1.44 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '19 Henry Cejudo T.J. Dillashaw 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (0:32) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Megan Anderson Cat Zingano 2.35 0.75 TKO, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Montel Jackson Brian Kelleher 1.63 3 Sub, R1 (1:40) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 John Phillips Jack Marshman 2.55 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Derrick Lewis Junior dos Santos 2.90 1 TKO, R2 (1:58) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Dan Moret Alex White 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Zak Ottow Alex Morono 2.90 1 TKO, R1 (3:34) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Marion Reneau Yana Kunitskaya 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Louis Smolka Matt Schnell 2.05 1 Sub, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov 2.15 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.69 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.91 2 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos 1.91 1 TKO, R3 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Lucie Pudilova Liz Carmouche 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.87 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Scott Holtzman Nik Lentz 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Callan Potter Jalin Turner 3.20 1 TKO, R1 (0:53) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.53 4 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '19 Te Edwards Dennis Bermudez 2.10 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Siyar Bahadurzada Curtis Millender 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Bevon Lewis Urijah Hall 2.00 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:32) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMAPREDICTIONGURU : Progress Chart
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