MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1433
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMAPREDICTIONGURU

MMAPREDICTIONGURU (PredictionGuru)

MMA MHandicapper - MMAPREDICTIONGURU

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	73 (53%)	Right	48 (64%)	Right	7 (30%)	Right	18 (46%)
Wrong	64 (47%)	Wrong	27 (36%)	Wrong	16 (70%)	Wrong	21 (54%)
Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	1.85	Avg Odds	2.66	Avg Odds	2.12
Units Bet	360.3	Units Bet	209.3	Units Bet	34.0	Units Bet	117.0
Avg Bet	2.63	Avg Bet	2.79	Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	3.00
Units Profit	23.06	Units Profit	25.29	Units Profit	-8.18	Units Profit	5.95
ROI %	6%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	-24%	ROI %	5%

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10.5	-7.8	-74%	-4.8 / 7.5 (-64%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	17.75	4.1	23%	6.6 / 15.25 (43%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	14.3	4.6	32%	4.3 / 7.3 (58%)		0.4 / 7 (6%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	21	-9.5	-45%	0.5 / 11 (4%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	20.75	18.2	88%	11.3 / 15.75 (72%)		6.8 / 5 (136%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	8	1.2	15%	2.7 / 6.5 (41%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	22.5	0.1	1%	-0.6 / 15.5 (-4%)		0.7 / 7 (10%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	22	-7.8	-36%	-6.9 / 16 (-43%)		-0.9 / 6 (-16%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	29.5	21.3	72%	13.1 / 23.5 (56%)		8.2 / 6 (137%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	30.5	-9.6	-31%	-1.0 / 5 (-20%)	-4.7 / 10.5 (-45%)	-3.9 / 15 (-26%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	20	-7.3	-37%	1.2 / 11.5 (10%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	10	-4.9	-49%	-0.6 / 4 (-14%)	-1.4 / 3 (-46%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	19	4.0	21%	4.6 / 15 (31%)	1.4 / 2 (69%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	17.5	7.4	42%	-0.8 / 8 (-10%)	5.5 / 5.5 (100%)	2.8 / 4 (69%)
5th Oct '18	PFL 8	3.5	0.0	1%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		1.0 / 2.5 (41%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	15	-2.8	-19%	0.7 / 11.5 (6%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	14.5	0.9	6%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	5.4 / 10 (54%)
21st Sep '18	Bellator 205	2.5	1.4	56%	1.4 / 2.5 (56%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	28	14.7	53%	-0.4 / 10 (-4%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	15.7 / 17.5 (89%)
14th Sep '18	LFA 49	3	1.4	46%	1.4 / 3 (46%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	10.5	-3.5	-34%	-3.6 / 6.5 (-55%)	1.1 / 3 (35%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Sep '18	Cage Warriors 96	3.5	2.6	74%	2.6 / 3.5 (74%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	9.5	-9.5	-100%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Aug '18	Bellator 204	4	2.9	71%			2.9 / 4 (71%)
16th Aug '18	PFL 6	3	1.1	38%	1.1 / 3 (38%)

Winning Events: 16 (64%)
Losing Events: 9 (36%)

Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	10.5	-7.8	-74%	-4.8 / 7.5 (-64%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-7.80
2018	349.8	30.9	9%	30.1 / 201.8 (15%)	-8.2 / 34 (-24%)	8.9 / 114 (8%)	16 / 8 (67%)	1.29

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	296.8	17.4	6%	15.1 / 165.8 (9%)	-7.7 / 28.5 (-27%)	10.1 / 102.5 (10%)
Bellator	50.5	0.5	1%	6.1 / 33 (19%)	-0.5 / 5.5 (-9%)	-5.1 / 12 (-43%)
PFL	6.5	1.2	18%	0.1 / 4 (3%)		1.0 / 2.5 (41%)
Other	6.5	4.0	61%	4.0 / 6.5 (61%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	18 (24%)	15	83 %	73.50	15.45	0.86	21%
Slight Favorites	28 (37%)	18	64 %	87.25	-6.67	-0.24	-8%
Slight Underdogs	20 (27%)	11	55 %	37.75	12.31	0.62	33%
Big Underdogs	9 (12%)	4	44 %	10.80	4.20	0.47	39%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (17%)	10	77 %	47.25	8.56	0.66	18%
Co-Main Event	6 (8%)	3	50 %	12.00	-2.48	-0.41	-21%
Position 3-5	17 (23%)	10	59 %	40.30	7.12	0.42	18%
6+ (Undercard)	39 (52%)	25	64 %	109.75	12.09	0.31	11%

by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	12 (16%)	7	58 %	36.75	1.14	0.09	3%
Light Heavy	5 (7%)	4	80 %	14.00	6.67	1.33	48%
Middleweight	9 (12%)	7	78 %	26.50	6.48	0.72	24%
Welterweight	9 (12%)	6	67 %	23.00	8.16	0.91	35%
Lightweight	11 (15%)	6	55 %	29.30	1.96	0.18	7%
Featherweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	11.00	7.33	1.47	67%
Bantamweight	5 (7%)	3	60 %	15.00	0.78	0.16	5%
Flyweight	6 (8%)	4	67 %	11.50	4.70	0.78	41%

Women's Fights	13 (17%)	7	54 %	42.25	-11.94	-0.92	-28%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	0.75	1.01	1.01	135%
Bantamweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	11.00	5.20	1.04	47%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	5 (7%)	2	40 %	27.50	-15.15	-3.03	-55%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	69 (84%)	55	80 %
Slight Favorites	11 (13%)	3	27 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (2%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	82	59	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	17 (40%)	11	65 %
50-65%	10 (23%)	8	80 %
35-50%	4 (9%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	12 (28%)	1	8 %
	43	20	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision	12 (28%)	9	75 %	1.42	1.69	1.20	1.2 (10%)
X Wins by KO	1 (2%)	0	0 %	5.20	5.20	5.20	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (7%)	0	0 %	4.87	12.75	2.65	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (12%)	1	20 %	2.50	4.85	1.63	-3.4 (-67%)
X Wins Inside Distance	16 (37%)	8	50 %	1.90	5.50	1.35	0.3 (2%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (5%)	0	0 %	6.54	10.50	4.75	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (9%)	2	50 %	2.03	11.50	1.41	-1.0 (-26%)
	43	20	47 %	1.96			-8.9 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Aug	PFL 6	3	1.1	38%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,011.32
17th Aug	Bellator 204	4	2.9	71%		$10.11	$1,011.32	$1,040.22
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	9.5	-9.5	-100%		$10.40	$1,040.22	$941.40
1st Sep	Cage Warriors 96	3.5	2.6	74%		$9.41	$941.40	$965.80
8th Sep	UFC 228	10.5	-3.5	-34%		$9.66	$965.80	$931.54
14th Sep	LFA 49	3	1.4	46%		$9.32	$931.54	$944.48
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	28	14.7	53%		$9.44	$944.48	$1,083.79
21st Sep	Bellator 205	2.5	1.4	56%		$10.84	$1,083.79	$1,098.84
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	14.5	0.9	6%		$10.99	$1,098.84	$1,108.37
29th Sep	Bellator 206	15	-2.8	-19%		$11.08	$1,108.37	$1,077.03
5th Oct	PFL 8	3.5	0.0	1%		$10.77	$1,077.03	$1,077.25
6th Oct	UFC 229	17.5	7.4	42%		$10.77	$1,077.25	$1,157.35
12th Oct	Bellator 207	19	4.0	21%		$11.57	$1,157.35	$1,203.83
13th Oct	Bellator 208	10	-4.9	-49%		$12.04	$1,203.83	$1,144.28
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	20	-7.3	-37%		$11.44	$1,144.28	$1,060.44
3rd Nov	UFC 230	30.5	-9.6	-31%		$10.60	$1,060.44	$958.60
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	29.5	21.3	72%		$9.59	$958.60	$1,162.73
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	22	-7.8	-36%		$11.63	$1,162.73	$1,071.80
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	22.5	0.1	1%		$10.72	$1,071.80	$1,073.00
30th Nov	TUF Finale	8	1.2	15%		$10.73	$1,073.00	$1,085.79
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	20.75	18.2	88%		$10.86	$1,085.79	$1,282.96
8th Dec	UFC 231	21	-9.5	-45%		$12.83	$1,282.96	$1,160.47
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	14.3	4.6	32%		$11.60	$1,160.47	$1,214.36
29th Dec	UFC 232	17.75	4.1	23%		$12.14	$1,214.36	$1,264.54
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10.5	-7.8	-74%		$12.65	$1,264.54	$1,165.91

ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '19	Henry Cejudo	T.J. Dillashaw	2.70	1	TKO, R1 (0:32)
2.	Dec '18	Megan Anderson	Cat Zingano	2.35	0.75	TKO, R1 (1:1)
3.	Dec '18	Montel Jackson	Brian Kelleher	1.63	3	Sub, R1 (1:40)
4.	Dec '18	Walt Harris	Andrei Arlovski	1.63	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '18	Corey Anderson	Ilir Latifi	2.35	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '18	Petr Yan	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.77	3	TKO, R2 (5:0)
7.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	2.05	1	TKO, R4 (5:0)
8.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.91	3	TKO, R4 (5:0)
9.	Dec '18	Mike Rodriguez	Adam Milstead	2.75	2	TKO, R1 (2:59)
10.	Dec '18	Dan Ige	Jordan Griffin	1.51	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Dec '18	Elias Theodorou	Eryk Anders	2.45	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '18	Alexey Kunchenko	Yushin Okami	1.34	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '18	Junior dos Santos	Tai Tuivasa	1.69	2.75	TKO, R2 (2:30)
14.	Nov '18	Juan Espino	Justin Frazier	1.65	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:36)
15.	Nov '18	Roosevelt Roberts	Darrell Horcher	1.34	5	Sub, R1 (4:50)
16.	Dec '18	Wilson Reis	Ben Nguyen	1.91	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Dec '18	Jim Crute	Paul Craig	1.54	3.5	Sub, R3 (4:51)
18.	Dec '18	Tony Martin	Jake Matthews	2.30	3	Sub, R3 (1:19)
19.	Nov '18	Alistair Overeem	Sergey Pavlovich	2.10	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:21)
20.	Nov '18	Pingyuan Liu	Martin Day	1.40	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.53	4	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
2.	Jan '19	Te Edwards	Dennis Bermudez	2.10	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '18	Siyar Bahadurzada	Curtis Millender	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '18	Bevon Lewis	Urijah Hall	2.00	2.5	TKO, R3 (1:32)	No
5.	Dec '18	Jim Miller	Charles Oliveira	3.40	1.3	Sub, R1 (1:15)	No
6.	Dec '18	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Valentina Shevchenko	4.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '18	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Gilbert Burns	1.69	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '18	Matthew Lopez	Brad Katona	3.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '18	Curtis Blaydes	Francis Ngannou	1.50	3	TKO, R1 (0:45)	No
10.	Nov '18	Sumudaerji Sumudaerji	Louis Smolka	3.20	1	Sub, R2 (2:7)	No
11.	Nov '18	David Zawada	Li Jingliang	2.65	2	TKO, R3 (4:7)	No
12.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.91	10	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
13.	Nov '18	Kurt Holobaugh	Shane Burgos	3.55	1	Sub, R1 (2:11)	No
14.	Nov '18	Chris Weidman	Ronaldo Souza	1.56	3	TKO, R3 (2:46)	No
15.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.54	4	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
16.	Oct '18	Jessin Ayari	Stevie Ray	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Oct '18	Roy Nelson	Sergei Kharitonov	1.36	3	TKO, R1 (4:59)	No
18.	Oct '18	Timothy Johnson	Cheick Kongo	2.05	2	TKO, R1 (3:49)	No
19.	Oct '18	Kelvin Tiller	Jared Rosholt	1.91	1	U Decision (2 rounds)	No
20.	Sep '18	Andrey Koreshkov	Douglas Lima	1.71	3	Sub, R5 (3:4)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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