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MMA Handicapper Stats: JonStargaryen MMA

JonStargaryen MMA (GuyFawkes MMA)

MMA MHandicapper - JonStargaryen MMA

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	11 (48%)	Right	8 (50%)	Right	1 (33%)	Right	2 (50%)
Wrong	12 (52%)	Wrong	8 (50%)	Wrong	2 (67%)	Wrong	2 (50%)
Avg Odds	2.23	Avg Odds	2.11	Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	2.92
Units Bet	43.5	Units Bet	35.5	Units Bet	3.0	Units Bet	5.0
Avg Bet	1.89	Avg Bet	2.22	Avg Bet	1.00	Avg Bet	1.25
Units Profit	-3.45	Units Profit	-5.88	Units Profit	-0.70	Units Profit	3.14
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-23%	ROI %	63%

JonStargaryen MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	6	5.2	87%	5.2 / 6 (87%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	7	4.0	57%	2.9 / 4 (73%)		1.0 / 3 (35%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	2	-2.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	1	3.1	310%			3.1 / 1 (310%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	5	-0.7	-13%	-0.7 / 5 (-13%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	7	2.4	35%	2.1 / 5 (43%)	0.3 / 2 (15%)

Winning Events: 4 (44%)
Losing Events: 5 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.00 units
Best Event: 5.22 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -0.38 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 5.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -10.00

JonStargaryen MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	16	-4.8	-30%	-4.8 / 16 (-30%)			1 / 1 (50%)	-2.39
2018	27.5	1.3	5%	-1.1 / 19.5 (-6%)	-0.7 / 3 (-23%)	3.1 / 5 (63%)	3 / 4 (43%)	0.19

JonStargaryen MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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JonStargaryen MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	43.5	-3.4	-8%	-5.9 / 35.5 (-17%)	-0.7 / 3 (-23%)	3.1 / 5 (63%)

JonStargaryen MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (19%)	1	33 %	11.00	-6.67	-2.22	-61%
Slight Favorites	4 (25%)	4	100 %	9.00	6.33	1.58	70%
Slight Underdogs	5 (31%)	2	40 %	8.00	-2.90	-0.58	-36%
Big Underdogs	4 (25%)	1	25 %	7.50	-2.65	-0.66	-35%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (19%)	0	0 %	8.00	-8.00	-2.67	-100%
Co-Main Event	3 (19%)	2	67 %	7.00	1.59	0.53	23%
Position 3-5	5 (31%)	4	80 %	11.00	3.75	0.75	34%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (31%)	2	40 %	9.50	-3.22	-0.64	-34%

JonStargaryen MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	1 (6%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.33	1.33	44%
Welterweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.94	1.94	65%
Lightweight	3 (19%)	1	33 %	8.00	-4.26	-1.42	-53%
Featherweight	3 (19%)	2	67 %	4.50	1.78	0.59	40%
Bantamweight	3 (19%)	1	33 %	5.00	-1.82	-0.61	-36%
Flyweight	2 (13%)	1	50 %	5.00	-0.15	-0.08	-3%

Women's Fights	3 (19%)	1	33 %	7.00	-4.70	-1.57	-67%
Bantamweight	2 (13%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-3.00	-100%
Strawweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.30	1.30	130%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	3 (38%)	2	67 %
Slight Favorites	5 (63%)	4	80 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	8	6	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (63%)	4	80 %
50-65%	1 (13%)	1	100 %
35-50%	1 (13%)	1	100 %
<35% chance	1 (13%)	0	0 %
	8	6	75 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (25%)	1	50 %	1.69	2.30	1.33	0.3 (15%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.59	1.59	1.59	0.6 (59%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.19	1.19	1.19	0.2 (19%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (25%)	1	50 %	2.44	6.00	1.53	-0.5 (-23%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.28	1.28	1.28	0.3 (28%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	1 (13%)	1	100 %	1.41	1.41	1.41	0.4 (41%)
	8	6	75 %	1.61			1.3 (16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail JonStargaryen MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Aug	UFC 227	7	2.4	35%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,024.50
6th Oct	UFC 229	5	-0.7	-13%		$10.24	$1,024.50	$1,017.67
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.18	$1,017.67	$1,002.40
3rd Nov	UFC 230	1	3.1	310%		$10.02	$1,002.40	$1,033.43
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.33	$1,033.43	$1,012.76
8th Dec	UFC 231	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.13	$1,012.76	$972.25
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	7	4.0	57%		$9.72	$972.25	$1,010.75
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	10	-10.0	-100%		$10.11	$1,010.75	$909.67
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	6	5.2	87%		$9.10	$909.67	$957.13

ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

JonStargaryen MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '19	Arnold Allen	Jordan Rinaldi	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '19	Mike Grundy	Nad Narimani	2.80	1	TKO, R2 (4:42)
3.	Mar '19	Claudio Silva	Danny Roberts	1.65	3	Sub, R3 (2:37)
4.	Dec '18	Rob Font	Sergio Pettis	1.59	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '18	Edson Barboza	Daniel Hooker	1.87	2	TKO, R3 (2:19)
6.	Oct '18	Dominick Reyes	Ovince St Preux	1.44	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '18	J.J. Aldrich	Polyana Viana	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '18	Henry Cejudo	Demetrious Johnson	4.85	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.53	4	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
2.	Jan '19	Rachael Ostovich	Paige VanZant	2.30	2	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
3.	Jan '19	T.J. Dillashaw	Henry Cejudo	1.48	4	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
4.	Oct '18	Chris Fishgold	Calvin Kattar	3.70	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:11)	No
5.	Dec '18	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Valentina Shevchenko	3.30	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '18	Conor McGregor	Khabib Nurmagomedov	2.50	2	Sub, R4 (3:2)	No
7.	Aug '18	Brett Johns	Pedro Munhoz	3.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '18	Cody Garbrandt	T.J. Dillashaw	2.05	2	TKO, R1 (4:10)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

JonStargaryen MMA: Progress Chart

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