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MMA Handicapper Stats: Guy Fawkes MMA

Guy Fawkes MMA (GuyFawkes MMA)


MMA MHandicapper - Guy Fawkes MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 8 (47%) Right 5 (50%) Right 1 (33%) Right 2 (50%)
Wrong 9 (53%) Wrong 5 (50%) Wrong 2 (67%) Wrong 2 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.42 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.22 Avg Odds 2.92
Units Bet 27.5 Units Bet 19.5 Units Bet 3.0 Units Bet 5.0
Avg Bet 1.62 Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 1.25
Units Profit 1.34 Units Profit -1.10 Units Profit -0.70 Units Profit 3.14
ROI % 5% ROI % -6% ROI % -23% ROI % 63%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 7 4.0 57% 2.9 / 4 (73%) 1.0 / 3 (35%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 1 3.1 310% 3.1 / 1 (310%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 5 -0.7 -13% -0.7 / 5 (-13%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 7 2.4 35% 2.1 / 5 (43%) 0.3 / 2 (15%)


Winning Events: 3 (43%)
Losing Events: 4 (57%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 27.5 1.3 5% -1.1 / 19.5 (-6%) -0.7 / 3 (-23%) 3.1 / 5 (63%) 3 / 4 (43%) 0.19

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 27.5 1.3 5% -1.1 / 19.5 (-6%) -0.7 / 3 (-23%) 3.1 / 5 (63%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (10%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.33 1.33 44%
Slight Favorites 2 (20%) 2 100 % 4.00 2.92 1.46 73%
Slight Underdogs 3 (30%) 1 33 % 5.00 -2.70 -0.90 -54%
Big Underdogs 4 (40%) 1 25 % 7.50 -2.65 -0.66 -35%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (20%) 0 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 3 (30%) 2 67 % 7.00 1.59 0.53 23%
Position 3-5 3 (30%) 3 100 % 6.00 3.81 1.27 63%
6+ (Undercard) 2 (20%) 0 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 1 (10%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.33 1.33 44%
Lightweight 2 (20%) 1 50 % 4.00 -0.26 -0.13 -7%
Featherweight 1 (10%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (30%) 1 33 % 5.00 -1.82 -0.61 -36%
Flyweight 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.00 3.85 3.85 385%
               
Women's Fights 2 (20%) 1 50 % 5.00 -2.70 -1.35 -54%
Bantamweight 1 (10%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.30 1.30 130%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 3 (38%) 2 67 %
Slight Favorites 5 (63%) 4 80 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
8 6 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (63%) 4 80 %
50-65% 1 (13%) 1 100 %
35-50% 1 (13%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 1 (13%) 0 0 %
8 6 75 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (25%) 1 50 % 1.69 2.30Pick was correct 1.33Pick was incorrect 0.3 (15%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (13%) 1 100 % 1.59 1.59Pick was correct 1.59Pick was correct 0.6 (59%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (13%) 1 100 % 1.19 1.19Pick was correct 1.19Pick was incorrect 0.2 (19%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (25%) 1 50 % 2.44 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -0.5 (-23%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (13%) 1 100 % 1.28 1.28Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 0.3 (28%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 1 (13%) 1 100 % 1.41 1.41Pick was correct 1.41Pick was correct 0.4 (41%)
8 6 75 % 1.61     1.3 (16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Aug UFC 227 7 2.4 35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,024.50
6th Oct UFC 229 5 -0.7 -13% $10.24 $1,024.50 $1,017.67
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.18 $1,017.67 $1,002.40
3rd Nov UFC 230 1 3.1 310% $10.02 $1,002.40 $1,033.43
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 2 -2.0 -100% $10.33 $1,033.43 $1,012.76
8th Dec UFC 231 4 -4.0 -100% $10.13 $1,012.76 $972.25
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 7 4.0 57% $9.72 $972.25 $1,010.75


ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.07% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 1.87 2 TKO, R3 (2:19) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Dominick Reyes Ovince St Preux 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '18 J.J. Aldrich Polyana Viana 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 Henry Cejudo Demetrious Johnson 4.85 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '18 Chris Fishgold Calvin Kattar 3.70 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:11) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 3.30 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.50 2 Sub, R4 (3:2) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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