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Total MMA Handicappers: 1415 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 2 (20%) | 0 | 0 % | 4.00 | -4.00 | -2.00 | -100% |
| Co-Main Event | 3 (30%) | 2 | 67 % | 7.00 | 1.59 | 0.53 | 23% |
| Position 3-5 | 3 (30%) | 3 | 100 % | 6.00 | 3.81 | 1.27 | 63% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 2 (20%) | 0 | 0 % | 2.50 | -2.50 | -1.25 | -100% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Light Heavy | 1 (10%) | 1 | 100 % | 3.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 44% |
| Lightweight | 2 (20%) | 1 | 50 % | 4.00 | -0.26 | -0.13 | -7% |
| Featherweight | 1 (10%) | 0 % | 1.50 | -1.50 | -1.50 | -100% | |
| Bantamweight | 3 (30%) | 1 | 33 % | 5.00 | -1.82 | -0.61 | -36% |
| Flyweight | 1 (10%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.00 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 385% |
| Women's Fights | 2 (20%) | 1 | 50 % | 5.00 | -2.70 | -1.35 | -54% |
| Bantamweight | 1 (10%) | 0 % | 4.00 | -4.00 | -4.00 | -100% | |
| Strawweight | 1 (10%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.00 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 130% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 3 (38%) | 2 | 67 % |
| Slight Favorites | 5 (63%) | 4 | 80 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 8 | 6 | 75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 5 (63%) | 4 | 80 % |
| 50-65% | 1 (13%) | 1 | 100 % |
| 35-50% | 1 (13%) | 1 | 100 % |
| <35% chance | 1 (13%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 8 | 6 | 75 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 2 (25%) | 1 | 50 % | 1.69 | 2.30 |
1.33 |
0.3 (15%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 1 (13%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.59 | 1.59 |
1.59 |
0.6 (59%) |
| Fight Doesn't Start Round X | 1 (13%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.19 | 1.19 |
1.19 |
0.2 (19%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 2 (25%) | 1 | 50 % | 2.44 | 6.00 |
1.53 |
-0.5 (-23%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 1 (13%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.28 | 1.28 |
1.28 |
0.3 (28%) |
| X Does NOT Win Inside Distance | 1 (13%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.41 | 1.41 |
1.41 |
0.4 (41%) |
| 8 | 6 | 75 % | 1.61 | 1.3 (16%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 7 | 2.4 | 35% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,024.50 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 5 | -0.7 | -13% | $10.24 | $1,024.50 | $1,017.67 | |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 1.5 | -1.5 | -100% | $10.18 | $1,017.67 | $1,002.40 | |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 1 | 3.1 | 310% | $10.02 | $1,002.40 | $1,033.43 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $10.33 | $1,033.43 | $1,012.76 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $10.13 | $1,012.76 | $972.25 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 7 | 4.0 | 57% | $9.72 | $972.25 | $1,010.75 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.07% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Rob Font | Sergio Pettis | 1.59 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Edson Barboza | Daniel Hooker | 1.87 | 2 | TKO, R3 (2:19) |
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| 3. | Oct '18 | Dominick Reyes | Ovince St Preux | 1.44 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 4. | Aug '18 | J.J. Aldrich | Polyana Viana | 2.30 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. | Aug '18 | Henry Cejudo | Demetrious Johnson | 4.85 | 1 | Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Oct '18 | Chris Fishgold | Calvin Kattar | 3.70 | 1.5 | TKO, R1 (4:11) | No |
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Valentina Shevchenko | 3.30 | 4 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 3. | Oct '18 | Conor McGregor | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2.50 | 2 | Sub, R4 (3:2) | No |
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| 4. | Aug '18 | Brett Johns | Pedro Munhoz | 3.00 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 5. | Aug '18 | Cody Garbrandt | T.J. Dillashaw | 2.05 | 2 | TKO, R1 (4:10) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
Chart
