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MMA Handicapper Stats: JonStargaryen MMA

JonStargaryen MMA (GuyFawkes MMA)

MMA MHandicapper - JonStargaryen MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 32 (46%) Right 24 (55%) Right 4 (40%) Right 4 (27%)
Wrong 37 (54%) Wrong 20 (45%) Wrong 6 (60%) Wrong 11 (73%)
Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 2.42
Units Bet 185.0 Units Bet 128.0 Units Bet 17.5 Units Bet 39.5
Avg Bet 2.68 Avg Bet 2.91 Avg Bet 1.75 Avg Bet 2.63
Units Profit -18.59 Units Profit 2.19 Units Profit -1.68 Units Profit -19.10
ROI % -10% ROI % 2% ROI % -10% ROI % -48%
View Handicapper's Profile

JonStargaryen MMA: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 -6.7 -49% -6.7 / 13.5 (-49%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 12 -6.8 -56% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.2 / 5 (5%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 12 0.5 4% 2.4 / 4 (61%) -1.9 / 8 (-24%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 10.5 -6.2 -59% -1.2 / 5.5 (-22%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 9 -4.2 -46% -1.2 / 6 (-20%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 17 -1.1 -6% -1.1 / 17 (-6%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 9 3.7 42% 6.7 / 6 (112%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 10.5 2.1 20% -0.1 / 6.5 (-1%) 2.2 / 4 (54%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 9.5 6.6 69% 6.6 / 9.5 (69%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 8.5 1.5 18% 3.0 / 3 (100%) 0.0 / 4 (0%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 7 -2.0 -29% 3.0 / 2 (150%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 11 -5.3 -48% -5.3 / 11 (-48%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 12 2.7 22% 4.7 / 10 (47%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 6 5.2 87% 5.2 / 6 (87%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 7 4.0 57% 2.9 / 4 (73%) 1.0 / 3 (35%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 1 3.1 310% 3.1 / 1 (310%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 5 -0.7 -13% -0.7 / 5 (-13%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 7 2.4 35% 2.1 / 5 (43%) 0.3 / 2 (15%)


Winning Events: 10 (45%)
Losing Events: 12 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.41 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.00 units
Best Event: 6.59 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -0.84 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 13.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.43

JonStargaryen MMA: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 157.5 -19.9 -13% 3.3 / 108.5 (3%) -1.0 / 14.5 (-7%) -22.2 / 34.5 (-64%) 7 / 8 (47%) -1.33
2018 27.5 1.3 5% -1.1 / 19.5 (-6%) -0.7 / 3 (-23%) 3.1 / 5 (63%) 3 / 4 (43%) 0.19

JonStargaryen MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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JonStargaryen MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 176 -14.4 -8% 3.4 / 122 (3%) -1.7 / 17.5 (-10%) -16.1 / 36.5 (-44%)
Bellator 9 -4.2 -46% -1.2 / 6 (-20%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

JonStargaryen MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (14%) 3 50 % 27.00 -6.41 -1.07 -24%
Slight Favorites 17 (39%) 12 71 % 61.00 10.84 0.64 18%
Slight Underdogs 17 (39%) 8 47 % 32.50 0.41 0.02 1%
Big Underdogs 4 (9%) 1 25 % 7.50 -2.65 -0.66 -35%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (20%) 3 33 % 33.50 -12.18 -1.35 -36%
Co-Main Event 6 (14%) 4 67 % 17.00 7.02 1.17 41%
Position 3-5 15 (34%) 11 73 % 43.00 10.95 0.73 25%
6+ (Undercard) 14 (32%) 6 43 % 34.50 -3.60 -0.26 -10%

JonStargaryen MMA: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 7.50 5.00 2.50 67%
Light Heavy 2 (5%) 1 50 % 5.00 -0.67 -0.33 -13%
Middleweight 4 (9%) 2 50 % 14.00 1.43 0.36 10%
Welterweight 7 (16%) 5 71 % 22.50 3.90 0.56 17%
Lightweight 8 (18%) 5 63 % 23.00 4.08 0.51 18%
Featherweight 6 (14%) 4 67 % 12.00 5.98 1.00 50%
Bantamweight 6 (14%) 2 33 % 16.00 -7.52 -1.25 -47%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 5.00 -0.15 -0.08 -3%
               
Women's Fights 7 (16%) 2 29 % 23.00 -9.86 -1.41 -43%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Bantamweight 4 (9%) 0 % 12.00 -12.00 -3.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 7.00 6.14 3.07 88%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 20 (77%) 13 65 %
Slight Favorites 6 (23%) 5 83 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
26 18 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (52%) 8 67 %
50-65% 4 (17%) 2 50 %
35-50% 5 (22%) 3 60 %
<35% chance 2 (9%) 0 0 %
23 13 57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (9%) 1 50 % 1.69 2.30Pick was correct 1.33Pick was incorrect 0.3 (15%)
Goes to Decision 3 (13%) 3 100 % 1.69 2.50Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct 2.4 (80%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (22%) 2 40 % 1.55 2.15Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-41%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.61 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.19 1.19Pick was correct 1.19Pick was incorrect 0.2 (19%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (4%) 0 0 % 4.75 4.75Pick was incorrect 4.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (17%) 2 50 % 2.19 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -0.5 (-12%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (13%) 2 67 % 1.40 1.52Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct -0.2 (-7%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 2 (9%) 2 100 % 1.56 1.75Pick was correct 1.41Pick was correct 1.2 (58%)
Others 1 (4%) 0 0 % 2.15 2.15Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
23 13 57 % 1.69     -1.6 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail JonStargaryen MMA's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Aug UFC 227 7 2.4 35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,024.50
6th Oct UFC 229 5 -0.7 -13% $10.24 $1,024.50 $1,017.67
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.18 $1,017.67 $1,002.40
3rd Nov UFC 230 1 3.1 310% $10.02 $1,002.40 $1,033.43
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 2 -2.0 -100% $10.33 $1,033.43 $1,012.76
8th Dec UFC 231 4 -4.0 -100% $10.13 $1,012.76 $972.25
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 7 4.0 57% $9.72 $972.25 $1,010.75
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 10 -10.0 -100% $10.11 $1,010.75 $909.67
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 6 5.2 87% $9.10 $909.67 $957.13
13th Apr UFC 236 12 2.7 22% $9.57 $957.13 $982.50
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 11 -5.3 -48% $9.83 $982.50 $930.10
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 7 -2.0 -29% $9.30 $930.10 $911.50
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 8.5 1.5 18% $9.12 $911.50 $925.17
11th May UFC 237 9.5 6.6 69% $9.25 $925.17 $986.13
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 10.5 2.1 20% $9.86 $986.13 $1,007.05
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 9 3.7 42% $10.07 $1,007.05 $1,044.78
8th Jun UFC 238 17 -1.1 -6% $10.45 $1,044.78 $1,033.26
14th Jun Bellator 222 9 -4.2 -46% $10.33 $1,033.26 $990.05
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 10.5 -6.2 -59% $9.90 $990.05 $928.43
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 12 0.5 4% $9.28 $928.43 $933.25
6th Jul UFC 239 12 -6.8 -56% $9.33 $933.25 $870.15
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 -6.7 -49% $8.70 $870.15 $812.14


ROI % from starting bank balance: -18.79% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

JonStargaryen MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 1.95 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Demian Maia Tony Martin 1.61 4 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Rory MacDonald Neiman Gracie 1.61 3 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Aljamain Sterling Pedro Munhoz 1.77 3 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Christos Giagos Damir Hadzovic 2.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Christos Giagos Damir Hadzovic 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Frank Camacho Nick Hein 1.91 4 TKO, R2 (4:56) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Grant Dawson Mike Trizano 2.15 3 Sub, R2 (2:27) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.51 7 TKO, R2 (5:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Alex Volkanovski Jose Aldo 2.10 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas 1.81 6 TKO, R2 (2:58) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Mike Perry Alex Oliveira 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Alistair Overeem Aleksei Oleinik 1.42 4 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender 1.74 3 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.57 6 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Arnold Allen Jordan Rinaldi 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Mike Grundy Nad Narimani 2.80 1 TKO, R2 (4:42) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Claudio Silva Danny Roberts 1.65 3 Sub, R3 (2:37) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Irene Aldana Raquel Pennington 1.69 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Rafael dos Anjos Leon Edwards 2.00 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Francisco Trinaldo Alexander Hernandez 2.55 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Luke Rockhold Jan Blachowicz 1.57 4 TKO, R2 (1:39) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Darrion Caldwell Kyoji Horiguchi 1.65 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.77 5 TKO, R3 (4:51) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Ricardo Lamas Calvin Kattar 2.50 2 TKO, R1 (4:6) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.95 3.5 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.70 2 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Antonina Shevchenko Roxanne Modafferi 1.35 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '19 Lauren Mueller Poliana Botelho 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.53 4 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '19 Rachael Ostovich Paige VanZant 2.30 2 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 4 TKO, R1 (0:32) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Chris Fishgold Calvin Kattar 3.70 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:11) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 3.30 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.50 2 Sub, R4 (3:2) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

JonStargaryen MMA: Progress Chart
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