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MMA Handicapper Stats: John

John (MartianMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - John

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	22 (33%)	Right	15 (44%)	Right	6 (21%)	Right	1 (33%)
Wrong	44 (67%)	Wrong	19 (56%)	Wrong	23 (79%)	Wrong	2 (67%)
Avg Odds	2.53	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	3.30	Avg Odds	3.08
Units Bet	76.2	Units Bet	51.3	Units Bet	20.5	Units Bet	4.3
Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	1.51	Avg Bet	0.71	Avg Bet	1.44
Units Profit	-10.64	Units Profit	-2.92	Units Profit	-7.46	Units Profit	-0.26
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-36%	ROI %	-6%

John : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	12.34	-3.9	-32%	-1.2 / 9.67 (-13%)	-2.7 / 2.67 (-100%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	20.31	-5.2	-25%	-1.2 / 16.31 (-7%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	14.53	0.2	1%	-0.6 / 7.47 (-8%)	3.1 / 4.73 (66%)	-2.3 / 2.33 (-100%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	15.57	-2.7	-17%	-0.4 / 9.57 (-4%)	-2.3 / 6 (-39%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	13.46	0.9	7%	0.4 / 8.32 (5%)	-1.6 / 3.14 (-51%)	2.1 / 2 (104%)

Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.31 units
Best Event: 0.91 units
Worst Event: -5.17 units
Average Event: -2.13 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 0.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -9.06

John : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	76.21	-10.6	-14%	-2.9 / 51.34 (-6%)	-7.5 / 20.54 (-36%)	-0.3 / 4.33 (-6%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-2.13

John : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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John : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	76.21	-10.6	-14%	-2.9 / 51.34 (-6%)	-7.5 / 20.54 (-36%)	-0.3 / 4.33 (-6%)

John : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (12%)	3	75 %	10.00	-3.02	-0.76	-30%
Slight Favorites	11 (32%)	4	36 %	21.20	-6.15	-0.56	-29%
Slight Underdogs	12 (35%)	6	50 %	14.80	5.43	0.45	37%
Big Underdogs	7 (21%)	2	29 %	5.34	0.82	0.12	15%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (12%)	0	0 %	7.00	-7.00	-1.75	-100%
Co-Main Event	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.30	1.30	130%
Position 3-5	11 (32%)	7	64 %	16.04	6.46	0.59	40%
6+ (Undercard)	18 (53%)	7	39 %	27.30	-3.68	-0.20	-13%

John : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (6%)		0 %	2.37	-2.37	-1.19	-100%
Light Heavy	2 (6%)	1	50 %	1.67	0.64	0.32	38%
Middleweight	3 (9%)	2	67 %	4.70	1.38	0.46	29%
Welterweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.20	1.20	120%
Lightweight	6 (18%)	2	33 %	5.33	0.82	0.14	15%
Featherweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	1.67	0.58	0.29	35%
Bantamweight	5 (15%)	3	60 %	9.76	3.19	0.64	33%
Flyweight	2 (6%)		0 %	1.67	-1.67	-0.84	-100%

Women's Fights	11 (32%)	5	45 %	23.17	-6.69	-0.61	-29%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.30	1.30	130%
Bantamweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	10.70	-3.50	-1.17	-33%
Strawweight	7 (21%)	3	43 %	11.47	-4.49	-0.64	-39%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	5 (63%)	5	100 %
Slight Favorites	3 (38%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	8	5	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (6%)	1	50 %
50-65%	6 (19%)	2	33 %
35-50%	6 (19%)	2	33 %
<35% chance	17 (55%)	2	12 %
	31	7	23 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (10%)	1	33 %	1.90	2.20	1.69	-1.1 (-38%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.49	1.49	1.49	0.5 (49%)
Goes to Decision	4 (13%)	3	75 %	2.22	3.55	1.61	4.2 (106%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.69	1.69	1.69	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	3 (10%)	0	0 %	3.10	11.50	1.38	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (6%)	0	0 %	11.05	21.00	7.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (10%)	1	33 %	3.67	4.83	3.07	0.5 (17%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (23%)	1	14 %	3.19	7.52	1.77	-4.6 (-66%)
X Wins in Round X	5 (16%)	0	0 %	9.40	18.50	3.75	-5.0 (-100%)
Others	2 (6%)	0	0 %	2.37	2.50	2.25	-2.0 (-100%)
	31	7	23 %	3.04			-13.5 (-44%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail John 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Feb	UFC 234	13.46	0.9	7%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,009.11
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	15.57	-2.7	-17%		$10.09	$1,009.11	$981.86
17th Aug	UFC 241	14.53	0.2	1%		$9.82	$981.86	$983.92
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	20.31	-5.2	-25%		$9.84	$983.92	$933.06
7th Sep	UFC 242	12.34	-3.9	-32%		$9.33	$933.06	$896.76

ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.32% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

John : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '19	Sarah Moras	Liana Jojua	2.30	1	TKO, R3 (2:26)
2.	Sep '19	Carlos Diego Ferreira	Mairbek Taisumov	3.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '19	Paul Felder	Edson Barboza	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '19	Heili Alateng	Danaa Batgerel	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '19	Mizuki Inoue	Yanan Wu	1.80	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Aug '19	Anthony Hernandez	Jun Yong Park	1.69	2	Sub, R2 (4:39)
7.	Aug '19	Da Un Jung	Khadis Ibragimov	3.45	0.67	Sub, R3 (2:0)
8.	Aug '19	Casey Kenney	Manny Bermudez	2.22	3.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '19	Gilbert Burns	Alexey Kunchenko	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Aug '19	Chris Gutierrez	Geraldo De Freitas Jr.	2.15	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Aug '19	Rodolfo Vieira	Oskar Piechota	1.59	1.7	Sub, R2 (4:26)
12.	Feb '19	Montana De La Rosa	Nadia Kassem	1.40	2	Sub, R2 (2:37)
13.	Feb '19	Montana De La Rosa	Nadia Kassem	1.40	1.5	Sub, R2 (2:37)
14.	Feb '19	Montana De La Rosa	Nadia Kassem	1.38	1.5	Sub, R2 (2:37)
15.	Feb '19	Ricky Simon	Rani Yahya	1.77	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '19	Andrea Lee	Joanne Calderwood	1.51	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '19	Shamil Abdurakhimov	Curtis Blaydes	5.20	0.67	TKO, R2 (2:22)	No
3.	Sep '19	Dustin Poirier	Khabib Nurmagomedov	4.50	1	Sub, R3 (2:6)	No
4.	Aug '19	Jessica Andrade	Weili Zhang	1.61	1	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
5.	Aug '19	Andre Soukhamthath	Su Mudaerji	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '19	Thiago Moises	Damir Ismagulov	4.05	0.67	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '19	Mark Delarosa	Kai Kara-France	3.20	0.67	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '19	Shana Dobson	Sabina Mazo	2.15	0.67	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Aug '19	Christos Giagos	Drakkar Klose	2.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Aug '19	Ian Heinisch	Derek Brunson	1.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Aug '19	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	1.75	1.7	TKO, R4 (4:9)	No
12.	Aug '19	Jessica Andrade	Weili Zhang	1.61	3.3	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
13.	Aug '19	Polyana Viana	Veronica Macedo	2.12	1.7	Sub, R1 (1:9)	No
14.	Aug '19	Raulian Paiva	Rogerio Bontorin	1.95	1	TKO, R1 (2:56)	No
15.	Aug '19	Bobby Moffett	Enrique Barzola	2.70	0.67	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Aug '19	Tecia Torres	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Feb '19	Callan Potter	Jalin Turner	3.20	0.66	TKO, R1 (0:53)	No
18.	Feb '19	Wuliji Buren	Jonathan Martinez	2.55	0.66	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '19	Sam Alvey	Jim Crute	2.18	1	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

John : Progress Chart

Chart

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