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MMA Handicapper Stats: John

John (MartianMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - John

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	73 (40%)	Right	58 (46%)	Right	13 (24%)	Right	2 (40%)
Wrong	111 (60%)	Wrong	67 (54%)	Wrong	41 (76%)	Wrong	3 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.33	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	3.44	Avg Odds	3.23
Units Bet	256.1	Units Bet	203.9	Units Bet	45.6	Units Bet	6.7
Avg Bet	1.39	Avg Bet	1.63	Avg Bet	0.84	Avg Bet	1.33
Units Profit	-8.34	Units Profit	-1.47	Units Profit	-7.88	Units Profit	1.00
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	15%

John : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 170	7	5.9	84%	4.3 / 5 (86%)		1.6 / 2 (79%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	11.65	-0.0	-0%	-0.0 / 11.65 (-0%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	17	-0.3	-2%	-6.7 / 12.5 (-54%)	6.4 / 4.5 (142%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	7.55	3.4	45%	3.4 / 7.55 (45%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	10.5	1.7	16%	4.2 / 8 (52%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	4.5	1.8	40%	1.8 / 4.5 (40%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	8	-0.1	-1%	-0.1 / 8 (-1%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	5.2	0.3	5%	0.3 / 5.2 (5%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	9	0.4	5%	-0.1 / 7 (-2%)	0.5 / 2 (27%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	6.5	-3.3	-51%	-3.3 / 6.5 (-51%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	6	-0.4	-7%	-0.4 / 6 (-7%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	11.5	-0.2	-2%	1.3 / 10 (13%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	7.5	4.2	56%	4.2 / 7.5 (56%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	12.69	-1.5	-12%	-2.1 / 10.7 (-20%)	0.6 / 1.99 (30%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	13.74	-6.8	-50%	-5.1 / 12.04 (-43%)	-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	13.37	-4.5	-33%	-2.1 / 9.34 (-23%)	-2.3 / 4.03 (-58%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	13.7	1.3	9%	1.3 / 13.7 (9%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	9.82	0.7	7%	0.9 / 1 (91%)	0.1 / 8.49 (1%)	-0.3 / 0.33 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	Bellator 228	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	5.4	1.0	18%	1.0 / 5.4 (18%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	12.34	-3.9	-32%	-1.2 / 9.67 (-13%)	-2.7 / 2.67 (-100%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	20.31	-5.2	-25%	-1.2 / 16.31 (-7%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	14.53	0.2	1%	-0.6 / 7.47 (-8%)	3.1 / 4.73 (66%)	-2.3 / 2.33 (-100%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	15.57	-2.7	-17%	-0.4 / 9.57 (-4%)	-2.3 / 6 (-39%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	13.46	0.9	7%	0.4 / 8.32 (5%)	-1.6 / 3.14 (-51%)	2.1 / 2 (104%)

Winning Events: 12 (48%)
Losing Events: 13 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.31 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.31 units
Best Event: 5.87 units
Worst Event: -6.84 units
Average Event: -0.33 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 6.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.85

John : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	71.4	12.5	18%	7.1 / 62.4 (11%)	3.9 / 7 (55%)	1.6 / 2 (79%)	5 / 3 (63%)	1.57
2019	186.43	-20.9	-11%	-8.5 / 141.52 (-6%)	-11.8 / 40.25 (-29%)	-0.6 / 4.66 (-13%)	7 / 10 (41%)	-1.23

John : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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John : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	256.83	-7.3	-3%	-0.5 / 202.92 (-0%)	-7.9 / 47.25 (-17%)	1.0 / 6.66 (15%)
Bellator	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

John : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	10 (8%)	8	80 %	28.00	3.17	0.32	11%
Slight Favorites	50 (40%)	26	52 %	94.77	-3.56	-0.07	-4%
Slight Underdogs	50 (40%)	21	42 %	69.14	1.72	0.03	2%
Big Underdogs	15 (12%)	3	20 %	12.01	-2.80	-0.19	-23%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (9%)	2	18 %	22.00	-14.01	-1.27	-64%
Co-Main Event	9 (7%)	5	56 %	19.20	6.02	0.67	31%
Position 3-5	38 (30%)	22	58 %	59.54	8.96	0.24	15%
6+ (Undercard)	67 (54%)	29	43 %	103.18	-2.44	-0.04	-2%

John : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (8%)	2	20 %	14.49	-8.56	-0.86	-59%
Light Heavy	9 (7%)	4	44 %	9.37	-0.66	-0.07	-7%
Middleweight	10 (8%)	3	30 %	11.70	-3.32	-0.33	-28%
Welterweight	19 (15%)	11	58 %	36.17	8.00	0.42	22%
Lightweight	16 (13%)	8	50 %	23.88	1.21	0.08	5%
Featherweight	16 (13%)	7	44 %	26.64	5.92	0.37	22%
Bantamweight	17 (14%)	11	65 %	25.46	8.80	0.52	35%
Flyweight	8 (6%)	1	13 %	12.67	-8.05	-1.01	-64%

Women's Fights	20 (16%)	11	55 %	43.54	-4.81	-0.24	-11%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.30	1.30	130%
Flyweight	6 (5%)	4	67 %	19.40	1.70	0.28	9%
Strawweight	13 (10%)	6	46 %	23.14	-7.81	-0.60	-34%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (70%)	7	100 %
Slight Favorites	3 (30%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	10	7	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (3%)	1	50 %
50-65%	13 (22%)	4	31 %
35-50%	11 (18%)	6	55 %
<35% chance	34 (57%)	3	9 %
	60	14	23 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (5%)	1	33 %	1.90	2.20	1.69	-1.1 (-38%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (7%)	2	50 %	1.93	3.35	1.49	-0.7 (-17%)
Goes to Decision	4 (7%)	3	75 %	2.22	3.55	1.61	4.2 (106%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.55	2.55	2.55	-1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	3 (5%)	1	33 %	1.81	2.10	1.69	-0.9 (-30%)
X Wins by KO	9 (15%)	1	11 %	3.78	11.50	1.38	-3.5 (-39%)
X Wins by Sub	8 (13%)	0	0 %	11.03	21.00	7.49	-8.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (7%)	1	25 %	4.48	13.15	3.07	-0.5 (-12%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (12%)	1	14 %	3.19	7.52	1.77	-4.6 (-66%)
X Wins in Round X	8 (13%)	1	13 %	7.12	18.50	2.25	-5.7 (-72%)
Others	9 (15%)	3	33 %	2.38	9.00	1.71	-1.2 (-14%)
	60	14	23 %	3.22			-23.1 (-39%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail John 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Feb	UFC 234	13.46	0.9	7%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,009.11
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	15.57	-2.7	-17%		$10.09	$1,009.11	$981.86
17th Aug	UFC 241	14.53	0.2	1%		$9.82	$981.86	$983.92
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	20.31	-5.2	-25%		$9.84	$983.92	$933.06
7th Sep	UFC 242	12.34	-3.9	-32%		$9.33	$933.06	$896.76
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	5.4	1.0	18%		$8.97	$896.76	$905.40
28th Sep	Bellator 228	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.05	$905.40	$896.34
5th Oct	UFC 243	9.82	0.7	7%		$8.96	$896.34	$902.29
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	13.7	1.3	9%		$9.02	$902.29	$913.96
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	13.37	-4.5	-33%		$9.14	$913.96	$873.11
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	13.74	-6.8	-50%		$8.73	$873.11	$813.35
2nd Nov	UFC 244	12.69	-1.5	-12%		$8.13	$813.35	$800.88
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	7.5	4.2	56%		$8.01	$800.88	$834.59
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	11.5	-0.2	-2%		$8.35	$834.59	$832.99
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	6	-0.4	-7%		$8.33	$832.99	$829.50
15th Dec	UFC 245	6.5	-3.3	-51%		$8.29	$829.50	$801.93
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	9	0.4	5%		$8.02	$801.93	$805.28
18th Jan	UFC 246	5.2	0.3	5%		$8.05	$805.28	$807.30
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	8	-0.1	-1%		$8.07	$807.30	$806.53
9th Feb	UFC 247	4.5	1.8	40%		$8.07	$806.53	$820.97
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	10.5	1.7	16%		$8.21	$820.97	$834.61
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	7.55	3.4	45%		$8.35	$834.61	$862.79
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	17	-0.3	-2%		$8.63	$862.79	$859.98
8th Mar	UFC 248	11.65	-0.0	-0%		$8.60	$859.98	$859.96
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 170	7	5.9	84%		$8.60	$859.96	$910.47

ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

John : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '20	Nikita Krylov	Johnny Walker	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '20	David Dvorak	Bruno Silva	2.16	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '20	Gilbert Burns	Demian Maia	1.61	3	TKO, R1 (2:34)
4.	Mar '20	Beneil Dariush	Drakkar Klose	1.61	1.65	TKO, R2 (1:0)
5.	Mar '20	Danaa Batgerel	Guido Cannetti	1.83	2	TKO, R1 (3:1)
6.	Mar '20	Gerald Meerschaert	Deron Winn	2.30	1	Sub, R3 (2:13)
7.	Mar '20	Mark O. Madsen	Austin Hubbard	1.52	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '20	Magomed Ankalaev	Ion Cutelaba	1.53	3.8	TKO, R1 (0:38)
9.	Feb '20	Jalin Turner	Joshua Culibao	1.50	2	TKO, R2 (3:1)
10.	Feb '20	Angela Hill	Loma Lookboonmee	1.59	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '20	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Ben Sosoli	1.69	1.45	TKO, R1 (1:28)
12.	Feb '20	Brad Riddell	Magomed Mustafaev	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Feb '20	Scott Holtzman	Jim Miller	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '20	Diego Sanchez	Michel Pereira	2.48	3.5
15.	Feb '20	Youssef Zalal	Austin Lingo	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '20	Mario Bautista	Miles Johns	2.16	1.5	TKO, R2 (1:41)
17.	Jan '20	Jamahal Hill	Darko Stosic	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jan '20	Brett Johns	Tony Gravely	1.95	1.5	Sub, R3 (2:53)
19.	Jan '20	Angela Hill	Hannah Cifers	1.59	2	TKO, R2 (4:26)
20.	Jan '20	Brian Kelleher	Ode Osbourne	2.25	1	Sub, R1 (2:49)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '20	Max Griffin	Alex Oliveira	2.30	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '20	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.60	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '20	Aalon Cruz	Spike Carlyle	1.59	1.7	TKO, R1 (1:25)	No
4.	Feb '20	T.J. Brown	Jordan Griffin	2.24	2	Sub, R2 (3:38)	No
5.	Feb '20	Gabriel Silva	Kyler Phillips	1.83	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '20	Joseph Benavidez	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.80	3	TKO, R2 (1:54)	Yes
7.	Feb '20	Kevin Aguilar	Zubaira Tukhugov	1.91	1.1	TKO, R1 (3:21)	No
8.	Feb '20	Mark Delarosa	Raulian Paiva	3.25	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:42)	No
9.	Feb '20	Rogerio Bontorin	Ray Borg	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '20	Jonathan Martinez	Andre Ewell	2.13	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '20	Ilir Latifi	Derrick Lewis	2.98	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jan '20	Nate Landwehr	Herbert Burns	1.83	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:43)	No
13.	Jan '20	Rafael dos Anjos	Michael Chiesa	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jan '20	Tim Elliott	Askar Askarov	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jan '20	Andre Fili	Sodiq Yusuff	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '19	Ryan Benoit	Heili Alateng	1.91	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Dec '19	Marc-Andre Barriault	Jun Yong Park	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Dec '19	Mike Rodriguez	Da Un Jung	1.91	1	TKO, R1 (1:4)	No
19.	Dec '19	Daniel Teymur	Chase Hooper	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
20.	Dec '19	Oskar Piechota	Punahele Soriano	1.91	1	TKO, R1 (3:17)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

John : Progress Chart

Chart

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